Tuesday, June15, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Aventura, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:27AMSunset 8:15PM Tuesday June 15, 2021 12:37 AM EDT (04:37 UTC) Moonrise 9:58AMMoonset 11:33PM Illumination 26% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 5 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ651 Coastal Waters From Deerfield Beach To Ocean Reef Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Deerfield Beach To Ocean Reef Fl From 20 To 60 Nm Excluding The Territorial Waters Of Bahamas- 1003 Pm Edt Mon Jun 14 2021
Rest of tonight..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Period 3 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday..South southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Period 8 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Chance of showers in the morning. Chance of Thunderstorms
showers likely in the afternoon
Tuesday night..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Period 7 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening, then slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Wednesday..South southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Period 7 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Chance of showers in the morning. Chance of Thunderstorms
showers likely in the afternoon
Wednesday night..East southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday night..East southeast winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts to around 20 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Friday..East winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts to around 20 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Friday night..East southeast winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts to around 20 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop.
Saturday..East southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
AMZ600 Synopsis For Jupiter Inlet To Ocean Reef Fl Out To 60 Nm And For East Cape Sable To Bonita Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 1003 Pm Edt Mon Jun 14 2021
Synopsis.. An upper level weather disturbance will continue to move through the region tonight, which will allow for scattered to numerous showers and Thunderstorms to continue through the overnight hours. Gusty winds and rough seas may accompany stronger Thunderstorms, along with the potential for waterspouts. Aside from this activity, conditions will be relatively benign across the local waters.
Gulf stream hazards..Lightning, waterspouts, and locally higher winds and seas are possible in and near Thunderstorms. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of jun 12, 2021 at 1200 utc... 9 nautical miles east of fowey rocks. 15 nautical miles east southeast of port everglades. 14 nautical miles east of lake worth. 16 nautical miles east of jupiter inlet. This data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Aventura, FL
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location: 25.95, -80.14     debug


Area Discussion for - Miami-South Florida, FL
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FXUS62 KMFL 142355 AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Miami FL 755 PM EDT Mon Jun 14 2021

AVIATION(00Z TAFS). Unsettled pattern continues with another wave of convection possible at some of the terminals in the next few hours. Additional waves of convection are possible overnight with another peak of convection anticipated later tomorrow morning into the afternoon. Sub-VFR likely with the convection including brief bouts of IFR/LIFR. Short-fused amendments likely will be needed.

PREV DISCUSSION. (Issued 214 PM EDT Mon Jun 14 2021)

.Localized/Urban Flooding Remains Possible. .A Few Strong Thunderstorms Remain Possible Today.

SHORT TERM .

Through Tuesday

An active weather pattern is in store today for South Florida, as numerous thunderstorms encompass much of the region thus far today. This is due to favorable synoptic scale dynamics, as a few impulses embedded within a larger, positively tilted short-wave trough progress through the mid/upper level flow. Upper level mass divergence, a deepening moist layer, and enhanced low-level moisture convergence are all contributing to the widespread convection across the region. Furthermore, a few strong wind gusts and small hail will be possible, as 500 hPa temperatures around -8C and effective bulk shear of 15-25 kt may allow for taller and more organized convection through this evening. The primary threat for today however will be localized/urban flooding. The 12Z MFL sounding indicated a very moist tropospheric column of 2.06 in, which is in the upper 10th percentile in terms of climatology for the region. This will allow for efficient warm-rain processes whereby rain rates may be very intense at times. Metro localities that experience repeated storm activity will need to be monitored closely, as significant rainfall amounts may fall in a short period of time and present flooding hazards.

The wet pattern looks to remain intact for Tuesday as well, albeit a bit less overall coverage anticipated compared to today. Efficient low-level moisture flux via southwesterly flow of 15-20 kt in the SFC-850 hPa range should continue to support deep tropical moisture over the region. Again with the upper trough not becoming reoriented much by tomorrow, this should allow for the continuation of modest effective bulk shear values and somewhat cooler temperatures aloft. This may support scattered to numerous convection again, with possibly a slightly more northerly shift in areal coverage compared to today. Again localized/urban flooding will be the primary threat, especially given rainfall that may have fallen from previous days.

Temperatures will remain much cooler than normal today due to widespread cloud cover, storms outflows, and evaporative cooling from rainfall. Maximum temperatures may only reach the mid/upper 80s across the region for today. Tomorrow should warm up a bit more due to a lesser spatial extent of expected thunderstorm coverage, as maximum temperatures may reach warmer and more seasonable values in the lower 90s across the region.

LONG TERM .

Tuesday Night through Monday .

A middle to upper level trough will remain over South Florida through the middle portion of this week, allowing for southwesterly flow to prevail across South Florida. This will allow for the continued advection of a moist and saturated airmass into South Florida with precipitable water values between 1.8 and 2.0 inches through Thursday. With the prevailing southwesterly flow, the greatest coverage of showers and thunderstorms should continue to focus over the interior and east coast metro areas during the afternoon and evening hours. As soils across South Florida remain saturated due to previous rounds of rainfall during the early portion of the week, localized flooding concerns will continue to remain an issue through midweek. In addition, flow in the vertical column continues to remain light with a very moist boundary layer and overall a slow storm motion. The potential exists for an isolated strong thunderstorm or two with the strongest convective activity. Small hail, strong wind gusts, and frequent lightning is possible with the strongest convective columns.

Towards the end of the week, model guidance continues to suggest that the Bermuda High will strengthen and rebuild back into the region. During this time frame, model guidance also depicts a plume of Saharan Dust approaching the region. Increased subsidence due to the ridge of high pressure as well as the addition of the Saharan Air Layer (S.A.L.) may act to reduce shower and thunderstorm chances late this week into next weekend. As mentioned in previous discussions, forecast uncertainty in this portion of the long term forecast is high. The National Hurricane Center continues to monitor an area of disturbed weather over the Bay of Campeche. This area of disturbed weather looks to slowly move over the Gulf of Mexico well to the west of the region as a mid level ridge of high pressure builds back into the Bahamas and then over the Florida Straits by the end of the week. The uncertainty is due to model disagreement on how far to the west of our area the disturbance in the Gulf moves. Depending on the placement of this feature relative to South Florida, the larger expansive moisture envelope surrounding the feature itself could allow for higher rain chances across the area than if the airmass is dominated by the Saharan Air Layer. Be sure to monitor future changes with the forecast as we progress through next week.

MARINE .

An upper level disturbance will allow for scattered to numerous showers/thunderstorms to develop across the local waters of South Florida. Outflows from any developing storms may produce locally enhanced wind gusts and elevated seas, as well as frequent lightning and small hail. Waterspouts will be possible across all local waters as well, especially within any stronger thunderstorms that develop. These hazards will linger through the early week, though presently it does appear that drier conditions could be possible by mid/late week.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS. Miami 77 91 79 88 / 30 60 20 60 West Kendall 75 91 77 89 / 40 60 30 60 Opa-Locka 75 91 77 89 / 30 60 20 60 Homestead 75 90 76 88 / 40 50 30 60 Fort Lauderdale 77 90 78 88 / 40 60 20 60 N Ft Lauderdale 76 90 78 88 / 40 60 20 60 Pembroke Pines 75 90 77 88 / 40 60 20 60 West Palm Beach 75 90 76 88 / 40 70 20 60 Boca Raton 75 91 78 89 / 40 60 20 60 Naples 77 89 78 88 / 70 60 30 60

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . None. AM . None. GM . None.

Aviation . RAG

Visit us at weather.gov/miami

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Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PEGF1 9 mi49 min S 8.9 G 15 75°F 1017.2 hPa
VAKF1 - 8723214 - Virginia Key, FL 15 mi49 min S 14 G 17 79°F 86°F1018.1 hPa
FWYF1 - Fowey Rocks, FL 25 mi37 min S 20 G 21 76°F 82°F1017.5 hPa (+0.8)
LKWF1 - 8722670 - Lake Worth, FL 46 mi49 min WSW 8.9 G 15 78°F 81°F1016 hPa69°F
MDKF1 48 mi157 min 84°F

Wind History for Virginia Key, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Hollywood, North Perry Airport, FL6 mi44 minS 610.00 miMostly Cloudy73°F69°F87%1017.6 hPa
Fort Lauderdale/Hollywood International Airport, FL8 mi44 minS 910.00 miOvercast74°F72°F94%1016.8 hPa
Miami, Opa Locka Airport, FL8 mi44 minS 610.00 miMostly Cloudy75°F69°F82%1017.7 hPa
Miami, Miami International Airport, FL12 mi44 minN 010.00 miOvercast75°F71°F88%1017.5 hPa
Fort Lauderdale, Fort Lauderdale Executive Airport, FL17 mi44 minSSW 410.00 miFair74°F70°F88%1017 hPa
Pompano Beach, Pompano Beach Airpark, FL21 mi44 minSSW 59.00 miFair71°F69°F94%1016.8 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KHWO

Wind History from HWO (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW6W6W5W5CalmCalmCalmS4S8S7NW8W11NW4CalmS5SW10S9S6SW6SW4SW3W13SW4S6
1 day agoSW3W4CalmW3S3CalmSW4SW5SW6W7W5S9SW12SW15W12N3CalmSW13W14W10SW10SW10SW9SW8
2 days agoS5CalmSW3SW3CalmCalmCalmSW4S4SW6S4S7SW10S7S12S7SE9SW8S3SW14
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Tide / Current Tables for Dumfoundling Bay, Florida
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Dumfoundling Bay
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Tue -- 01:47 AM EDT     2.02 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:28 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 08:28 AM EDT     0.35 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 10:57 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 01:56 PM EDT     1.84 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:13 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 08:40 PM EDT     0.12 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.61.921.91.61.20.80.50.40.40.611.41.71.81.71.51.10.70.40.20.10.30.8

Tide / Current Tables for Miami Harbor Entrance, Florida Current
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Miami Harbor Entrance
Click for Map
Tue -- 01:51 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 04:05 AM EDT     -1.26 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 06:28 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 08:01 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 10:30 AM EDT     1.64 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 10:57 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 02:02 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 04:18 PM EDT     -1.33 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 08:12 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 08:13 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 10:56 PM EDT     1.91 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.50.9-0.2-1-1.3-1.2-0.9-0.6-00.91.61.61.30.90-0.9-1.3-1.2-1-0.6-0.20.71.61.9

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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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