Friday, April3, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Verona Walk, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:14AMSunset 7:46PM Friday April 3, 2020 10:35 PM EDT (02:35 UTC) Moonrise 2:08PMMoonset 3:05AM Illumination 84% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 11 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ656 Coastal Waters From Chokoloskee To Bonita Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From East Cape Sable To Chokoloskee Fl Out 20 Nm- 949 Pm Edt Fri Apr 3 2020
Rest of tonight..Northwest winds 5 knots becoming east northeast after midnight. Seas less than 2 feet. Period 4 seconds. Bay and inland waters smooth.
Saturday..NEarshore, southeast winds 5 knots. Southwest in the afternoon. Offshore, east southeast winds 5 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Period 3 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Saturday night..South winds 5 knots becoming east southeast after midnight. Seas less than 1 foot. Period 2 seconds. Bay and inland waters smooth.
Sunday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Period 2 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Sunday night..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Monday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots with gusts to around 20 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Monday night..East southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Tuesday..South winds 5 to 10 knots with gusts to around 20 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Tuesday night..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Wednesday..West winds 5 to 10 knots. NEarshore, gusts up to 20 knots in the afternoon. Seas less than 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 330 Pm Cdt Fri Apr 3 2020
Synopsis..A generally light wind flow will continue through the weekend. Light offshore flow can be expected at night followed by southerly flow developing each afternoon. East/southeast flow will then follow for early next week, with moderate southwest flow developing Tuesday as a cold front advances towards the region from the northwest. Moderate west to southwest flow is then expected through midweek.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Verona Walk, FL
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location: 26.03, -81.69     debug


Area Discussion for - Miami-South Florida, FL
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FXUS62 KMFL 032355 AAA AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion . UPDATED National Weather Service Miami FL 755 PM EDT Fri Apr 3 2020

Aviation. The winds will remain light from the east/southeast tonight over all of the TAF sites before increasing to around 10 knots on Saturday. The only exception is at KAPF taf site where the winds will become westerly in the afternoon. The ceiling and vis will remain in VFR conditions at all of the TAF sites with dry conditions.

Update. High pressure over the Southeastern United States will remain stationary tonight keeping a light east southeast winds over South Florida along with dry weather. Therefore, no changes are planned at this time.

Prev Discussion. /issued 217 PM EDT Fri Apr 3 2020/

Discussion .

Short Term (Tonight and Saturday):

A mature cyclone located off the New England coast will move into the open Atlantic, as mid-level ridging remains prominent across the southern Gulf of Mexico and Greater Antilles. Weak surface ridging will prevail from the lower Great Lakes through Florida. Despite some weak passing perturbations aloft, it appears that sea breeze circulation patterns will be the primary short-term drivers for wind direction and cloud cover. Light and variable winds tonight should again become east to southeast on Saturday, with the exception of along the Gulf coast where they'll become southwesterly by afternoon as the Gulf breeze progresses inland. The high resolution guidance suggests a slight uptick in low-level moisture given the prevailing easterly fetch and even want to spit out a few afternoon showers along the inland advancing Atlantic sea breeze. Added an area of slight chance PoPs to account for this given the consistency of the signal. That said, dry conditions should be the rule for most. Given the dry airmass, cool temperatures are expected tonight over the interior (upper 50s to around 60), with 60s along the Gulf coast and lower 70s for the Atlantic beaches. Highs on Saturday should climb well into the 80s across western portions of the area, with lower 80s along the east coast given the somewhat cool onshore flow.

Long Term . (Saturday night through Thursday):

Models have backed down considerably for the potential front on the Sat night/Sunday timeframe. There is fair inter and intra model consensus about having instead weak high pressure developing over the SE CONUS, which will help in blocking the progression of the front and its parent low, keeping most of the associated weather over the central states. There is still a shortwave signal on models, migrating across the Gulf and the northern portions of the peninsula, but with only slight chance of showers for SoFlo on Sunday. Afterwards, the aforementioned high keeps sliding south/southeast, with the center reaching the Bahamas by mid week. This will bring another round of persisting subsidence, along with veering winds from easterlies on Sunday to SW/W by Wednesday as the ridge positions itself to the SE of Florida.

With the dominant high pressure across the area, expect warming temperatures each day with afternoon highs remaining above normals, mainly mid-upper 80s near the coast and low-mid 90s inland.

Long range models continue to struggle on how to resolve a potential trough/low complex that may develop over the central CONUS by the end of next week. For now, it seems the best dynamic and overall impacts remain well to the north of SoFlo, with the sfc boundary stalling near the Fl Panhandle.

Marine .

Large N-NE swells are anticipated over the Atlantic waters through this evening before subsiding. These swells will be more pronounced off the the Palm Beach County coast, with smaller but still significant swell expected for areas farther south as well. Hazardous marine conditions are expected for small craft operators for the Atlantic waters off Palm Beach County where a Small Craft Advisory is in effect. Cautionary conditions will exist elsewhere across the Atlantic waters through tonight.

Aviation .

VFR. E-ESE winds around 7-10 kt this afternoon at the eastern terminals. At APF expect a more SWly direction as the Gulf Breeze pushes inland this afternoon. A similar weather pattern should prevail for tonight into Saturday.

Beach Forecast .

The arriving swell will bring an enhanced rip current risk for the Atlantic beaches, with a high risk for the Palm Beaches. This hazard will likely continue for this weekend and beyond with onshore winds continuing. Rough surf conditions are expected along the Palm Beach through this evening before subsiding tonight.

Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs. West Palm Beach 66 83 68 81 / 0 10 10 30 Fort Lauderdale 68 82 71 81 / 0 10 10 20 Miami 69 83 70 82 / 0 10 10 20 Naples 65 83 67 84 / 0 0 0 10

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . High Rip Current Risk through Sunday evening for FLZ168.

AM . Small Craft Advisory until 2 AM EDT Saturday for AMZ650-670.

GM . None.

Update . 54/BNB Marine . 34/SPM Aviation . 54/BNB Beach Forecast . 34/SPM Short Term . 34/SPM Long Term . 17/AR


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
RKXF1 - Rookery Bay Reserve, FL 1 mi111 min NW 1 71°F 1015 hPa65°F
NPSF1 - 8725110 - Naples, FL 9 mi48 min W 2.9 G 5.1 78°F 80°F1015.6 hPa
BGCF1 - Big Carlos Pass, FL 28 mi102 min W 4.1 G 7 76°F 1014.9 hPa
WPLF1 - Watson Place, FL 32 mi96 min 80°F
CNBF1 - Cannon Bay, FL 35 mi96 min 84°F
LMRF1 - Lostmans River, FL 43 mi96 min 81°F
FMRF1 - 8725520 - Fort Myers, FL 44 mi48 min NW 4.1 G 5.1 74°F 80°F1015.4 hPa
WIWF1 - Willy Willy, FL 46 mi96 min 78°F

Wind History for Naples, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Naples, Naples Municipal Airport, FL9 mi43 minN 010.00 miFair75°F66°F74%1014.7 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KAPF

Wind History from APF (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE6NE4N5N4CalmNE3NE5NE4NE6NE5E6E7E8SW45SW10SW14SW13SW11SW10SW7W6CalmCalm
1 day agoN8N6N9N6N6NE5NE6NE8NE8NE7NE11NE11NE10E7Calm3W9NW10W10------NW5NW4
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Tide / Current Tables for Marco, Big Marco River, Florida
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Marco
Click for Map
Fri -- 04:05 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 04:21 AM EDT     -0.34 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:15 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 11:40 AM EDT     1.67 feet High Tide
Fri -- 03:08 PM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 04:27 PM EDT     0.96 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:44 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 10:03 PM EDT     2.01 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.20.80.3-0.1-0.3-0.3-00.40.91.21.51.61.71.61.41.1111.21.41.71.921.9

Tide / Current Tables for Naples (outer coast), Florida
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Naples (outer coast)
Click for Map
Fri -- 03:26 AM EDT     -0.23 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 04:05 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 07:15 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 10:40 AM EDT     2.26 feet High Tide
Fri -- 03:08 PM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 03:40 PM EDT     1.47 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:45 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 09:27 PM EDT     2.67 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.20.60.1-0.2-0.20.20.71.21.622.22.22.11.91.71.51.51.722.32.52.72.62.4

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Miami-South Florida, FL (22,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Miami, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.