Friday, September25, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Lauderdale-by-the-Sea, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
8/26/2020 The 7 day forecast is taking about 5 seconds to load but it will eventually load. NOAA is still working on it.
8/18/2020 NOAA continues to have trouble. Wind guest will occasionally be left off graphs. I am working with NOAA to resolve the issue.
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:09AMSunset 7:14PM Friday September 25, 2020 8:08 PM EDT (00:08 UTC) Moonrise 2:38PMMoonset 12:24AM Illumination 63% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 9 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ651 Coastal Waters From Deerfield Beach To Ocean Reef Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Deerfield Beach To Ocean Reef Fl From 20 To 60 Nm Excluding The Territorial Waters Of Bahamas- 326 Pm Edt Fri Sep 25 2020
Tonight..Southwest winds 5 to 15 knots along the coast to south southwest 5 to 10 knots in the gulf stream. Seas around 2 feet. Period 11 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Chance of Thunderstorms in the evening. Chance of showers through the night. Slight chance of Thunderstorms after midnight.
Saturday..West southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south southeast in the afternoon. Seas around 2 feet. Period 10 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Slight chance of Thunderstorms in the morning. Chance of showers. Chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Saturday night..South southeast winds around 5 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Period 9 seconds becoming 2 seconds after midnight. Intracoastal waters smooth. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms in the evening, then slight chance of showers after midnight.
Sunday..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Period 2 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers in the morning. Slight chance of Thunderstorms
chance of showers in the afternoon
Sunday night..East southeast winds around 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms in the evening, then slight chance of showers after midnight.
Monday..East southeast winds around 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Chance of showers.
Monday night..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening.
Tuesday through Wednesday..South southeast winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts to around 20 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
AMZ600 Synopsis For Jupiter Inlet To Ocean Reef Fl Out To 60 Nm And For East Cape Sable To Bonita Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 326 Pm Edt Fri Sep 25 2020
Synopsis.. Southerly flow across the area today, behind a warm front that has moved through, will allow for showers and Thunderstorms to be possible through the day. Any showers or Thunderstorms could create locally hazardous conditions. Weak high pressure builds in to the east of the area for the weekend. A cold front is forecast to move into the northern portion of the waters next week, before stalling across the area. This will keep showers and Thunderstorms in the forecast through next week.
Gulf stream hazards..None. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of sep 22, 2020 at 1200 utc... 7 nautical miles east northeast of fowey rocks. 16 nautical miles east of port everglades. 9 nautical miles east northeast of lake worth. 9 nautical miles east southeast of jupiter inlet. This data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Lauderdale-by-the-Sea, FL
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location: 26.18, -80.1     debug


Area Discussion for - Miami-South Florida, FL
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FXUS62 KMFL 252326 AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Miami FL 726 PM EDT Fri Sep 25 2020

AVIATION(00Z TAFS).

Showers gradually ending early this evening with the exception of a few thunderstorms persisting over the Lake Okeechobee region. Prevailing dry/VFR into Saturday morning with VCSH/VCTS chances increasing towards the afternoon. Light and variable winds tonight should become SSW-SW by late morning, potentially shifting to the SSE-SE by mid/late afternoon at the Atlantic terminals in association with the Atlantic sea breeze.

PREV DISCUSSION. (Issued 355 PM EDT Fri Sep 25 2020)

Short Term (Today through Saturday) . A mid-level trough moving through the eastern United States and the remnants of Beta are bringing unsettled weather across a good portion of the southeastern US. Surface high pressure centered over the Atlantic has allow a southerly flow to develop over the area which remain fairly light to start the weekend. As the mid-level trough pushes into the Atlantic and deamplifies, mid-level high pressure will begin to build back over the region on Saturday.

Intermittent rounds of convection will continue to be the main concern through this afternoon and evening, and possibly into the overnight as well. The healthy moisture over the region, with the 12z MFL sounding featuring a 2.43 inch precipitable water value, creates the concern that training cells with efficient precipitation processes could lead to localized flooding. Also could see some storms tap into boundaries and other localized areas of vorticity which could lead to some spinning and the chance of stronger winds and enhanced rainfall amounts.

As the high pressure aloft builds and the generally flow begins to become lighter, the sea breeze circulations driven by diurnal patterns will begin to take a larger hold on things. For Saturday, the focus for convection may be inland including the western suburbs of Southeast Florida. Obviously, any force to arrest the progress of the sea breezes inland such as increased cloud cover from morning convection or a stronger westerly component to the flow could keep the convection closer to the east coast. Some of the stronger convection could produce gusty winds, torrential rainfall, and frequent lightning. Temperatures should still remain warm with upper 80s and lower 90s for the daytime high on Saturday.

Long Term (Sunday through Friday) .

Sunday through Tuesday

A ridge of high pressure - characterized by 500 hPa height maximum of roughly 592 dam - becomes fixated over Florida, with the center located generally in the offshore Gulf waters. This will induce modest subsidence via differential anticyclonic vorticity advection, as most of South Florida is beneath the eastern periphery of this upper anticyclone. Near-surface winds beneath the ridge will generally be easterly, which will act to focus convection over the Atlantic waters/metros in the morning, with a progression towards the interior/Gulf coast by the afternoon/evening. Given the unfavorable synoptic environment, stronger convection should be limited. The main threats through this period will be localized flooding, given that the steering flow will be weak in association with the upper level ridge. A swath of drier air appears to advect into the region Monday morning (forecast PWI < 1.25 ins), which should even further suppress storm activity though at least Tuesday. This is reflected in the latest forecast, with 30-40 PoPs over much of the Atlantic metros for Monday and Tuesday.

Wednesday through Friday

A vigorous short-wave trough and attendant frontal cyclone will transverse the Mid-Atlantic states, also sweeping down through the southeastern Gulf states. While the stronger forcing and advection of colder temperatures behind the front will stay well north of the region, there appears to be an inverted surface trough that acts to congeal moisture and increase convergence ahead of the main frontal boundary. A less hostile synoptic environment may act to increase the depth of moisture in the boundary layer, as well as reducing convective inhibition and lower the LFC (level of free convection). This may result in a widespread heavy rainfall event, where flooding appears to be the primary impact of concern. The orientation of this pre-frontal trough will dictate where the most favorable region for heavy rainfall will be, and it possible that the orientation allows for the heavy rainfall to stay away from the metro region. Though predictability of affected locations is low at this time, it will be an important feature to monitor heading into later next week.

Temperatures are forecast to be seasonable, with highs generally in the upper 80s/lower 90s, and a slight decreasing trend heading into later next week. The highest temperatures will likely be experienced over the interior, and where cloud cover is minimized. The stalled cold front will likely stay north of the region, though may provide some mild temperature relief in the form of widespread cloud cover and weak temperature advection.

Marine . As high pressure builds and swell continues to dissipate over the Atlantic, conditions for mariners will slowly improve. Shower and thunderstorm activity will be a concern through the weekend into early next week. Some of the showers and storms may bring locally gusty conditions and possibly even a few waterspouts.

Aviation . Unsettled pattern continues with bouts of sub-VFR possible with passing showers and storms. IFR/LIFR possible at terminals directly impacted by rain. There could be a break in the convection overnight. Short-fused amendments will likely be necessary through the period.

Beach Forecast . Conditions continue to improve though an elevated risk of rip currents along the Atlantic beaches may persist into the weekend. Southerly flow turning SW/W and diminishing swell will allow conditions to slowly improve into next week

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS. Miami 77 90 77 89 / 30 50 20 60 West Kendall 77 90 76 90 / 30 60 20 60 Opa-Locka 77 90 76 89 / 30 50 20 60 Homestead 77 89 76 88 / 30 50 20 60 Fort Lauderdale 77 90 77 88 / 30 40 20 50 N Ft Lauderdale 77 90 76 88 / 30 40 20 50 Pembroke Pines 77 90 77 89 / 30 50 10 60 West Palm Beach 76 90 76 89 / 30 40 10 50 Boca Raton 77 90 77 89 / 40 40 20 50 Naples 77 89 76 90 / 20 30 10 50

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . High Rip Current Risk until 8 PM EDT this evening for FLZ168.

AM . None. GM . None.

Update/Aviation . SPM Tonight/Saturday and Marine . RAG Saturday Night through Friday . Bhatti


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PEGF1 7 mi56 min 83°F 1015.2 hPa
LKWF1 - 8722670 - Lake Worth, FL 30 mi50 min S 12 G 13 83°F 85°F1014 hPa78°F
VAKF1 - 8723214 - Virginia Key, FL 31 mi50 min S 6 G 7 82°F 85°F1015.8 hPa
FWYF1 - Fowey Rocks, FL 41 mi68 min SW 4.1 G 5.1 81°F 83°F1015.8 hPa (+1.3)

Wind History for Lake Worth Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Fort Lauderdale, Fort Lauderdale Executive Airport, FL4 mi15 minS 510.00 miPartly Cloudy83°F77°F82%1015.1 hPa
Pompano Beach, Pompano Beach Airpark, FL5 mi15 minSSW 710.00 miLight Rain82°F77°F85%1015 hPa
Fort Lauderdale/Hollywood International Airport, FL8 mi15 minSSW 410.00 miMostly Cloudy83°F75°F79%1015 hPa
Hollywood, North Perry Airport, FL14 mi15 minS 610.00 miFair83°F75°F79%1015.7 hPa
Boca Raton, Boca Raton Airport, FL14 mi81 minS 510.00 miPartly Cloudy84°F78°F84%1014.6 hPa
Miami, Opa Locka Airport, FL21 mi15 minS 610.00 miFair81°F73°F79%1015.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KFXE

Wind History from FXE (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE4E5E8E9CalmE3CalmE6--CalmCalmCalmS4CalmS8SW75S8S7S6S5E5S6S5
1 day agoNE8NE4E4CalmE10E9E12E13E12E9E13E13E13
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2 days agoNE9
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Tide / Current Tables for Lauderdale-by-the-Sea, Anglin Fishing Pier, Florida
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Lauderdale-by-the-Sea
Click for Map
Fri -- 01:23 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 03:19 AM EDT     2.95 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:10 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 09:44 AM EDT     0.67 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 03:37 PM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 04:14 PM EDT     3.13 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:12 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 10:29 PM EDT     1.06 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.82.32.72.92.92.62.11.61.10.70.70.91.31.92.52.93.13.12.72.31.81.31.11.1

Tide / Current Tables for Mayan Lake, Fort Lauderdale, Florida
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Mayan Lake
Click for Map
Fri -- 01:23 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 04:13 AM EDT     2.34 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:10 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 10:59 AM EDT     0.52 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 03:37 PM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 05:08 PM EDT     2.48 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:12 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 11:44 PM EDT     0.83 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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11.41.82.22.32.32.11.71.30.90.60.50.711.522.32.52.42.21.81.41.10.9

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Ground Weather Radar Station Miami, FL
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