Tuesday, January28, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Highland Beach, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:52AMSunset 5:52PM Tuesday January 28, 2020 9:10 PM EST (02:10 UTC) Moonrise 9:26AMMoonset 9:15PM Illumination 17% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 4 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Highland Beach, FL
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location: 26.19, -77.19     debug


Area Discussion for - Miami-South Florida, FL
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FXUS62 KMFL 282357 AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Miami FL 656 PM EST Tue Jan 28 2020

Aviation.

Prevailing VFR is anticipated for the eastern terminals, but areas of low clouds and/or fog are possible, mainly over interior portions of South Florida. Chances for these to impact the TAF sites appears low, but will monitor for possible changes. Light and variable winds tonight should trend SE by early tomorrow afternoon, possibly shifting to the SSW by late afternoon or evening. Shower chances increase by tomorrow night.

Prev Discussion. /issued 357 PM EST Tue Jan 28 2020/

DISCUSSION .

Short term (Tonight-Wednesday night): High pressure over the Southeastern United States will move quickly into the Atlantic waters tonight. This will allow for low pressure over Texas to move east southeast and through Southeastern United States on Wednesday. An associated cold front with the low will also be moving east southeast through the Gulf of Mexico. This weather pattern will allow for the wind flow over South Florida to go from a northerly flow this afternoon to a south/southwest direction on Wednesday. However, the atmosphere will remain mostly dry through Tuesday before low level moisture increases over the region on Wednesday. Therefore, the weather will remain dry through Tuesday night before increasing PoPs from west to east on Wednesday.

The low pressure over the Southeastern United States will continue to move eastward into the Western Atlantic waters Wednesday night allowing for the cold front over the Gulf of Mexico to move southeast through South Florida and stall over the Florida Keys or the Florida Straits. This will end PoPs from west to east across the region.

A few of the showers Wednesday night could produce some gusty winds over South Florida especially over the western areas, as a mid to upper level jet of 35 to 50 knots will be moving northeast from the Southern Gulf of Mexico across the Lake Okeechobee region and into the Western Atlantic waters. Therefore, gusty wind wording will be added in the extended HWO product for the showers for Wednesday night.

Long Term (Thursday-Monday night):

A few showers are possible through the early morning hours on Thursday with some possible overrunning from a stationary decaying front lingering over the Florida Keys. But drier conditions will prevail for the rest of the day as high pressure establishes across the area.

Meanwhile, long range model solutions depict a deepening mid level trough across the eastern CONUS, with a cyclogenesis sfc reflection over the Gulf waters by late Thursday and into Friday. As the low intensifies, it will help the aforementioned stalled front in retrograding back across SoFlo, which will bring weak isentropic lifting by Friday afternoon. This synoptic scenario will result in increased shower activity across much of the area for the start of the weekend.

Models show the still deepening low crossing the extreme SE CONUS and into South Carolina Friday night into early Saturday. Both the low and a supporting upper level jet remain well to the north of the area, along with the best dynamic support for deep convection. But there should be enough low level instability for justifying keeping slight chance of storms, especially Friday evening and through the overnight hours. In terms of rain, model PWATS are gradually increasing with latest runs from GFS getting close to 2 inches. So, forecast will keep mentioning the potential for heavy showers and localized flooding in the Friday night through Saturday time frame.

The front should be clearing SoFlo by Saturday evening with high pressure building behind it. The wind will veer to the northwest by Sunday, with 10 to 15 kts at the surface Sunday morning, subsiding to below 10 kts late Sunday. There is also some cold air advection in the wake of the FROPA, with highs remaining in the upper 60s to low 70s Sunday afternoon. Sunday night into Monday morning will experience colder temperatures with lows in the mid 40s near the lake to around 60 along the Atlantic beaches. High pressure will prevail with benign weather in place for early next week.

Marine . The winds will swing from a northerly direction this afternoon to a southerly direction on Wednesday with speeds of 10 knots or less. The northeast swells will continue to slowly decrease this afternoon and should be gone by Wednesday over the Atlantic waters. This will keep the seas at 2 feet or less in the Atlantic and Gulf waters through Wednesday, except around 3 feet in the Atlantic waters of Palm Beach County.

Beach Forecast . The northeast swells from this afternoon will help to keep the High Risk of Rip Currents ongoing through this evening for the northern beaches of Palm Beach County. The treat of rip currents will then decrease late tonight into Wednesday along the beaches of Palm Beach County, and remain low along rest of the beaches of South Florida.

Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs. West Palm Beach 61 77 62 78 / 10 10 30 10 Fort Lauderdale 63 78 65 78 / 10 10 30 10 Miami 62 78 65 80 / 10 10 30 10 Naples 56 75 61 75 / 0 10 40 0

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . High Rip Current Risk until 10 PM EST this evening for FLZ168.

AM . None. GM . None.

Short term/Marine/Beach . BNB Long term . AR Aviation . SPM


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Pompano Beach, Pompano Beach Airpark, FL155 mi18 minN 610.00 miFair67°F59°F76%1013.7 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KPMP

Wind History from PMP (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmW4W3NW3W5NW4NW4NW4NW4NW7N7N6NE10--NE11NE12NE12N11N10N6N6N6
1 day agoN6N3N4N4N4NW5NW4CalmCalmNW9CalmCalmS9S9W6SW7SW8SW8W5SW8W6SW5SW4SW4
2 days agoCalmNW5NW3NW4NW6NW9NW10NW11NW10NW10NW7NW5NW7N7NW6NW8NW9N7CalmNE7NE3N3N4NW5

Tide / Current Tables for Pelican Harbour, Abaco Island, Bahamas (2)
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Pelican Harbour
Click for Map
Tue -- 04:14 AM EST     -0.08 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:54 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:25 AM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 10:26 AM EST     2.48 feet High Tide
Tue -- 04:46 PM EST     -0.07 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:47 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 09:13 PM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 10:48 PM EST     2.23 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.81.20.60.2-0.100.411.62.22.42.42.11.610.40-0.10.20.61.21.82.12.2

Tide / Current Tables for Pelican Harbour, Abaco Island, Bahamas
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Pelican Harbour
Click for Map
Tue -- 04:10 AM EST     0.63 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:54 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:25 AM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 10:22 AM EST     3.18 feet High Tide
Tue -- 04:42 PM EST     0.65 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:47 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 09:13 PM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 10:44 PM EST     2.94 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.41.91.30.80.60.71.11.72.42.93.23.12.82.31.61.10.70.70.91.422.52.92.9

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Miami-South Florida, FL (21,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Miami, FL
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.