Wednesday, August21, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Lighthouse Point, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:54AMSunset 7:52PM Wednesday August 21, 2019 4:49 PM EDT (20:49 UTC) Moonrise 10:41PMMoonset 10:59AM Illumination 63% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 21 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ650 Coastal Waters From Jupiter Inlet To Deerfield Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Jupiter Inlet To Deerfield Beach Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- 420 Pm Edt Wed Aug 21 2019
Tonight..East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Period 4 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. Slight chance of showers through the night.
Thursday..East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Period 4 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday night..East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Period 4 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. Chance of showers through the night. Slight chance of Thunderstorms after midnight.
Friday..East southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Period 4 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. Showers likely and chance of Thunderstorms.
Friday night..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. Showers likely in the evening. Slight chance of Thunderstorms through the night. Chance of showers after midnight.
Saturday..Southeast winds around 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Showers likely and slight chance of Thunderstorms in the morning, then chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Saturday night and Sunday..South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Chance of showers in the evening. Chance of Thunderstorms. Showers likely.
Sunday night..South southwest winds around 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Chance of Thunderstorms in the evening. Chance of showers through the night. Slight chance of Thunderstorms after midnight.
Monday..South southwest winds around 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Chance of showers in the morning. Chance of Thunderstorms. Showers likely in the afternoon.
AMZ600 Synopsis For Jupiter Inlet To Ocean Reef Fl Out To 60 Nm And For East Cape Sable To Bonita Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 420 Pm Edt Wed Aug 21 2019
Synopsis.. Easterly to southeasterly winds will prevail throughout the rest of the week. Showers and Thunderstorms will be possible each day and night over the local south florida waters. Increased moisture from a disturbance moving in from the bahamas on Friday into the weekend will bring elevated precipitation chances. Gusty and erratic winds with locally higher seas are possible in and around any Thunderstorms. Overnight easterly wind surges could bring gusty winds near cautionary criteria.
Gulf stream hazards..Lightning, gusty winds, locally higher seas, and waterspouts are possible with showers and Thunderstorms over the gulf stream. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of aug 20, 2019 at 1200 utc... 5 nautical miles northeast of fowey rocks. 8 nautical miles east northeast of port everglades. 8 nautical miles east of lake worth. 12 nautical miles east northeast of jupiter inlet. This data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Lighthouse Point, FL
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location: 26.26, -80.08     debug


Area Discussion for - Miami-South Florida, FL
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Fxus62 kmfl 212030
afdmfl
area forecast discussion
national weather service miami fl
430 pm edt Wed aug 21 2019

Discussion
Rest of today and tonight: rain showers and thunderstorms have begun
to develop over the interior and lake okeechobee region this
afternoon and are progressing westward with the mean easterly to
southeasterly flow towards the gulf coast. Isolated to scattered
convection has also been developing over the offshore atlantic
waters, moving westward with the mean wind flow as well. The
greatest storm coverage for the remainder of the day is expected
over the gulf coast and adjacent waters. The main threat with these
storms with be locally gusty winds and frequent lightning.

Easterly to southeasterly steering flow will allow for the further
development of isolated showers and thunderstorms over the
offshore atlantic waters during the overnight hours. Some of these
isolated showers and storms may move onshore into the east coast
metros during the early morning hours, then continue westward
towards the interior during the morning hours. Some of the high
resolution guidance has struggled with this trend over recent
days.

Thursday: once again, atlantic high pressure remains the dominant
synoptic feature for S florida, leading to persistent easterly to
southeasterly flow throughout the day. Sufficient moisture should
be available across S florida, allowing for greater convective
coverage during the early afternoon than previous days for all of
s florida. One can expect the greatest storm coverage to be
focused in the interior and gulf coast with the development of a
gulf sea breeze.

Friday into the weekend: an area of scattered convection is
currently east of the bahamas and expected to progress westward into
s florida late this week into the weekend. This will provide a
moisture feed into the peninsula that will increase overall storm
coverage and heavy rainfall potential through the weekend. In
addition, the mean steering flow will become more southerly as an
area of enhanced convection progressing into the region from the
bahamas creeps into the area. This will allow for the development
of both east and west coast sea breezes, further enhancing
convective coverage over the weekend. The national hurricane
center has this feature highlighted in their tropical weather
outlook (twoat) with a low chance of further development in the
next 5 days.

Early next week: high pressure in the gulf will build into s
florida, leading to light southerly to southwesterly winds. With
this pattern, expect the development of both the atlantic and
gulf sea breezes to drive convection throughout the afternoon each
day. Main focus for convection during this period will be in the
interior.

Marine
Easterly to southeasterly flow will prevail through the week with
nocturnal easterly wind surges, mainly over the atlantic, that could
bring conditions near scec. Showers and thunderstorms will be
possible each day and night over the local south florida waters.

Gusty and erratic winds with locally higher seas are possible in and
around any convection. A tropical disturbance over the bahamas will
need to be monitored for any potential impacts to the waters. Nhc
currently gives the feature a low chance of further development over
the next 5 days.

Beach forecast
The persistent easterly to southeasterly flow through a good portion
of the week will allow an elevated risk of rip currents to continue
along the atlantic beaches of south florida through at least the
weekend. Eyes continue on the disturbance over the bahamas and any
potential impact it may present for the atlantic waters.

Hydrology
With a few periods of heavy rainfall possible late this week into
the weekend as an area of disturbed weather over the bahamas and
associated moisture push across the region, the potential for ground
saturation leading to an increased risk of flooding remains. The
west coast metro is an area that will require some monitoring as the
easterlies will restrict the progress of the gulf sea breeze which
will allow a convective focus to hang around the naples area until
the pattern shifts. Cannot rule out any part of south florida for
minor flooding concerns due to the potential for heavy rainfall with
this disturbance.

Fisheating creek at palmdale has a current stage of 6.28, which
places it on action stage below the flood stage of 7 feet. The
forecast continues to call for the creek to remain below flood stage
but any heavy rains in the basin over the coming days could cause
some changes in the forecast. We will still need to monitor in case
excessive rainfall above forecast occurs upstream in the basin over
portions of glades and highlands counties, leading to rapid rises
in the creek above flood stage.

Prev discussion issued 127 pm edt Wed aug 21 2019
aviation...

prevailing dryVFR conditions expected for the eastern terminals
into this evening, with only isolated showers anticipated.

Vicinity showers storms possible at naples between about 20-23z
this evening. Increasing moisture will lead to shower chances
increasing tomorrow morning into at least early afternoon.

Easterly wind regime continues through the TAF period.

Preliminary point temps pops
West palm beach 79 90 77 89 20 30 40 50
fort lauderdale 80 89 78 88 20 40 40 60
miami 79 90 78 89 20 40 40 60
naples 76 91 76 90 40 50 30 70

Mfl watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Am... None.

Gm... None.

Discussion... 18 weinman and 02 rag
marine... 02 rag and 18 weinman
aviation... 34 spm
beach forecast... 02 rag and 18 weinman
hydrology... 02 rag and 18 weinman


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PEGF1 12 mi50 min E 8 G 12 88°F 1017.7 hPa (-0.9)
LKWF1 - 8722670 - Lake Worth, FL 25 mi50 min E 8 G 9.9 84°F 87°F1018.9 hPa
VAKF1 - 8723214 - Virginia Key, FL 37 mi50 min E 8 G 9.9 85°F 89°F1017 hPa (-1.2)
FWYF1 - Fowey Rocks, FL 46 mi50 min E 13 G 15 81°F 86°F1017.6 hPa (-1.1)

Wind History for Lake Worth Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Pompano Beach, Pompano Beach Airpark, FL2 mi57 minENE 1110.00 miPartly Cloudy90°F71°F54%1017.5 hPa
Fort Lauderdale, Fort Lauderdale Executive Airport, FL6 mi57 minENE 1010.00 miPartly Cloudy89°F71°F55%1017.6 hPa
Boca Raton, Boca Raton Airport, FL8 mi63 minE 810.00 miPartly Cloudy91°F73°F56%1017.9 hPa
Fort Lauderdale/Hollywood International Airport, FL14 mi57 minE 1010.00 miPartly Cloudy88°F72°F59%1017.1 hPa
Hollywood, North Perry Airport, FL20 mi57 minE 910.00 miA Few Clouds89°F72°F57%1017.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KPMP

Wind History from PMP (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE11SE11SE9SE7SE9SE9SE8E8E6SE8SE7SE5SE6CalmCalmE6SE8E7NE7E10E10E11E11E11
1 day agoE10E10E11E8SE12SE9SE11SE8SE5SE8E5SE6E8E8E7SE13SE10E9SE13SE15SE9
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2 days agoE9E6E7E6E7E6E6E8E6E5E6E6E7E8E5E10E4E9E9E11E11E10NE8NE11

Tide / Current Tables for Hillsboro Inlet (ocean), Florida
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Hillsboro Inlet (ocean)
Click for Map
Wed -- 12:18 AM EDT     2.63 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:38 AM EDT     0.39 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:55 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 11:59 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 12:51 PM EDT     2.60 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:59 PM EDT     0.67 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:51 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 11:41 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.62.62.31.81.20.70.40.40.61.11.62.22.52.62.42.11.61.10.80.70.81.11.62.1

Tide / Current Tables for Boca Raton, Lake Boca Raton, Florida
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Boca Raton
Click for Map
Wed -- 01:04 AM EDT     2.28 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:55 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 07:45 AM EDT     0.36 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 11:59 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 01:37 PM EDT     2.25 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:51 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 08:06 PM EDT     0.63 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 11:41 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.12.32.21.91.51.10.70.40.40.611.51.92.22.22.11.81.410.70.60.711.5

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Miami-South Florida, FL (16,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Miami, FL
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.