Monday, December16, 2019
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Marine Weather and Tides
Deerfield Beach, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:59AMSunset 5:32PM Monday December 16, 2019 7:40 AM EST (12:40 UTC) Moonrise 10:11PMMoonset 10:55AM Illumination 77% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 19 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ650 Coastal Waters From Jupiter Inlet To Deerfield Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Jupiter Inlet To Deerfield Beach Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- 349 Am Est Mon Dec 16 2019
Today..East southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Period 5 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. Chance of showers in the afternoon.
Tonight..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots along the coast to southeast 10 to 20 knots in the gulf stream. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Period 5 seconds. Intracoastal waters choppy in exposed areas. Chance of showers.
Tuesday..South southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Period 5 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Chance of showers.
Tuesday night..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots along the coast to south southwest 10 to 15 knots in the gulf stream. Seas around 2 feet. Period 4 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Showers likely in the evening, then showers after midnight.
Wednesday..Along the coast, north northwest winds 10 to 20 knots, seas 2 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet in the afternoon. In the gulf stream, west winds 10 to 15 knots becoming north northwest 15 to 25 knots in the afternoon, seas 5 to 7 feet with occasional seas to 9 feet in the afternoon. Seas around 2 feet. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. Showers likely.
Wednesday night..North northeast winds 20 to 25 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet with occasional seas to 8 feet along the coast and 8 to 10 feet with occasional to 13 feet in the gulf stream. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. Chance of light showers.
Thursday..Northeast winds 20 to 25 knots. Seas 5 to 7 feet with occasional seas to 9 feet along the coast and 7 to 9 feet with occasional to 11 feet in the gulf stream. Intracoastal waters rough in exposed areas. Slight chance of light showers
Thursday night and Friday...east winds 15 to 20 knots along the coast to east 20 to 25 knots in the gulf stream. Seas 7 to 9 feet with occasional seas to 11 feet. Intracoastal waters rough in exposed areas. Slight chance of light showers.
AMZ600 Synopsis For Jupiter Inlet To Ocean Reef Fl Out To 60 Nm And For East Cape Sable To Bonita Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 349 Am Est Mon Dec 16 2019
Synopsis..High pressure centered over the western atlantic will keep a ese flow for the beginning of the work week. A cold front will slowly approach the area on Tuesday and Wednesday, bringing showers and possibly a few isolated Thunderstorms for the middle of the week. The front should pass through on Thursday, allowing for quieter and drier conditions for the end of the week.
Gulf stream hazards..None. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of dec 14, 2019 at 1200 utc... 7 nautical miles east northeast of fowey rocks. 16 nautical miles east northeast of port everglades. 12 nautical miles east southeast of lake worth. 16 nautical miles east southeast of jupiter inlet. This data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Deerfield Beach, FL
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location: 26.3, -80.11     debug


Area Discussion for - Miami-South Florida, FL
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FXUS62 KMFL 161129 AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Miami FL 629 AM EST Mon Dec 16 2019

Aviation. VFR continues during the next 24 hours at all terminals. Chances of showers this afternoon remain very low, thus, will keep mention of rain out of the TAFS attm and update as necessary. Mainly ESE winds prevail during the forecast period, becoming gusty at times after 14-15Z.

Prev Discussion. /issued 314 AM EST Mon Dec 16 2019/

Short Term (Today through Tuesday Night) . A rather complex weather pattern dominates much of the central and eastern CONUS with large- amplitude troughing extending from east Texas through much of the Atlantic seaboard, while the deep SE states and the FL peninsula continue to enjoy the influence of relatively stable and benign weather thanks to the dominance of a broad high pressure system centered over the west Atlantic.

Latest sfc and model analyses show the high pressure ridge at the lower levels, while mainly zonal flow dominates aloft over the area, keeping generally easterly flow across SoFlo today. Models gradually migrate the ridge eastward and into the west Atlantic during the short term, which will strengthen a little more the pressure gradients over the region. This will result in periods of gusty winds this afternoon, possibly in the 20-25 mph range at times, mainly over the Atlantic coast areas.

With the prevailing E/SE flow, low-level moisture gradually increases and brings a warming trend today with afternoon highs climbing into the mid 80s. It will also push a few passing showers over the eastern half of SoFlo this afternoon, but any shower that forms should be brief.

Meanwhile, model solutions suggest the deepening/consolidation of the trough across the eastern seaboard into a large deep low near the NE states, which sends an associated frontal boundary into the northern FL peninsula by early Tuesday. This in turn will bring veering winds to a more southerly flow, which in turn increases moisture advection from the Caribbean/SW Atlantic waters. Therefore, as daytime heating provides added BL instability, expect increasing shower/convective activity on Tuesday afternoon with scattered to numerous showers, along with a few possible thunderstorms. With the southerly flow in place, best chances for deep convection will reside over interior and northern areas.

Temperatures on Tuesday afternoon will again hit the mid 80s across much of SoFlo, with nighttime lows mostly in the 60s.

Long Term (Wednesday through Sunday Night) . Showers and a few thunderstorms are expected Tuesday Night into Wednesday morning as a cold front pushes through the area, with the greatest instability and thunderstorm potential out over the waters. Right now high temperatures are forecast to range from near 70 west of the Lake to the low 80s across the far southern Peninsula, which is a touch higher than previous forecasts due to a slight slowing in the frontal timing. Since the front is forecast to push through in the morning, any timing changes could have a significant impact on forecast highs for the day. Breezy northerly winds are expected in the wake of the front Wednesday before becoming more northeasterly on Thursday. Wednesday Night is forecast to be the coldest of the period with low temperatures ranging from the mid 40s west of the Lake to the low 60s right along the East Coast.

Winds gradually become easterly on Friday but remain breezy with strong surface high pressure over the mid Atlantic states and developing low pressure somewhere around the southeast Gulf. The forecast for the weekend remains interesting with some fairly significant feature and timing differences between the models. Both GFS and ECMWF show a mid to upper trough digging southeastward into the Eastern Gulf with a surface low pressure system developing somewhere in the eastern to southeastern Gulf next weekend. GFS develops and keeps the low further south, with a much faster track across the Keys and Bahamas on Saturday. ECMWF is slower, developing the low in the eastern Gulf and then deepening it some off the Florida West Coast before dragging it across the state Saturday Night or Sunday. Either solution could potentially pose impacts for our area, but that largely depends on the strength, track and timing of the system. In general, a faster solution would probably be less hazardous as the low could deepen off the Southeast CONUS coast instead of while it's still in the Gulf. A faster solution would also give less time for moisture return in the wake of Wednesday's front, although as the solutions trend later and later it appears that will be less of an issue. Track of the system will be critical regardless of timing, as a track closer to South Florida would increase our chance for heavy rainfall and/or severe weather.

Marine . High pressure dominates the coastal waters through Tuesday, with persistent easterly to southeasterly flow. A cold front boundary reaches the area by mid-week, bringing potential for hazardous conditions over the coastal waters for the later part of the work week.

Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs. West Palm Beach 82 71 83 68 / 10 40 40 60 Fort Lauderdale 82 74 82 70 / 20 30 30 50 Miami 83 73 83 70 / 10 30 30 50 Naples 84 69 83 65 / 0 0 50 60

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . None. AM . None. GM . None.

Aviation . 17/AR


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PEGF1 15 mi65 min E 12 G 16 77°F 1020.9 hPa
LKWF1 - 8722670 - Lake Worth, FL 22 mi53 min ESE 11 G 14 77°F 76°F1022.1 hPa
VAKF1 - 8723214 - Virginia Key, FL 39 mi65 min E 9.9 G 13 76°F 76°F1020.2 hPa
FWYF1 - Fowey Rocks, FL 49 mi41 min E 16 G 18 77°F 77°F1020.7 hPa (+1.2)

Wind History for Lake Worth Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Pompano Beach, Pompano Beach Airpark, FL3 mi48 minESE 610.00 miA Few Clouds76°F66°F72%1020.9 hPa
Boca Raton, Boca Raton Airport, FL6 mi54 minESE 510.00 miA Few Clouds75°F66°F74%1021 hPa
Fort Lauderdale, Fort Lauderdale Executive Airport, FL8 mi48 minE 510.00 miA Few Clouds73°F66°F79%1020.9 hPa
Fort Lauderdale/Hollywood International Airport, FL16 mi48 minESE 1210.00 miA Few Clouds76°F69°F79%1020.5 hPa
Hollywood, North Perry Airport, FL22 mi48 minE 410.00 miFair72°F66°F82%1021.2 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KPMP

Wind History from PMP (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNW3N3NE3E7E8E10E11E10E11E10E7E7E8E11E11E12E11E13
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W12W11W11W11W7W7NW9NW7NW6NW4NW4NW4NW3NW6NW4NW4NW4
2 days agoSE7SE11SE6S7SE11S9S6SW6W8W7SW5SW7SW6S6S7S5SW5W3W6SW4SW4S4S7SW7

Tide / Current Tables for Deerfield Beach, Hillsboro River, Florida
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Deerfield Beach
Click for Map
Mon -- 05:51 AM EST     -0.01 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 07:00 AM EST     Sunrise
Mon -- 10:54 AM EST     Moonset
Mon -- 12:00 PM EST     2.77 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:30 PM EST     Sunset
Mon -- 06:28 PM EST     0.29 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 10:11 PM EST     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.52.21.71.10.50.1-00.20.71.42.12.62.82.62.21.71.10.60.30.30.71.21.82.3

Tide / Current Tables for Yamato, ICWW, Florida
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Yamato
Click for Map
Mon -- 12:11 AM EST     2.70 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:44 AM EST     -0.01 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 07:01 AM EST     Sunrise
Mon -- 10:54 AM EST     Moonset
Mon -- 12:52 PM EST     2.86 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:30 PM EST     Sunset
Mon -- 07:20 PM EST     0.35 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 10:11 PM EST     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.72.62.21.710.40.100.30.91.62.32.72.92.72.21.71.10.60.40.40.81.32

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Miami-South Florida, FL (7,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Miami, FL
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.