Friday, December4, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Canal Point, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
8/26/2020 The 7 day forecast is taking about 5 seconds to load but it will eventually load. NOAA is still working on it.
8/18/2020 NOAA continues to have trouble. Wind guest will occasionally be left off graphs. I am working with NOAA to resolve the issue.
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:55AMSunset 5:30PM Friday December 4, 2020 6:06 PM EST (23:06 UTC) Moonrise 9:21PMMoonset 10:35AM Illumination 77% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 20 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ610 Lake Okeechobee- 335 Pm Est Fri Dec 4 2020
Tonight..South southeast winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southwest after midnight. Lake waters a light chop.
Saturday..West southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming northwest in the afternoon. Lake waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers.
Saturday night..North northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters a light chop.
Sunday..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots becoming east southeast in the afternoon. Lake waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers in the afternoon.
Sunday night..South southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters a light chop. Chance of showers in the evening, then showers likely and slight chance of Thunderstorms after midnight.
Monday..West northwest winds 5 to 15 knots. Lake waters a moderate chop. Chance of showers.
Monday night through Wednesday..North northwest winds 5 to 15 knots with gusts to around 20 knots. Lake waters a moderate chop.
AMZ600 Synopsis For Jupiter Inlet To Ocean Reef Fl Out To 60 Nm And For East Cape Sable To Bonita Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 335 Pm Est Fri Dec 4 2020
Synopsis..A weakening cold front will approach the local waters later tonight and into Saturday. This will allow for a slight chance of showers across the atlantic and gulf waters on Saturday as it moves through. A stronger cold front will be moving through the local waters later on Sunday night and into Monday. This could increase the winds and seas behind the front. Therefore, hazardous marine conditions could develop across the atlantic and gulf waters during the early to middle portion of next week.
Gulf stream hazards..None the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of dec 01, 2020 at 1200 utc... 4 nautical miles southeast of fowey rocks. 9 nautical miles east southeast of port everglades. 6 nautical miles east northeast of lake worth. 5 nautical miles east northeast of jupiter inlet. This data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Canal Point, FL
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location: 26.91, -80.7     debug


Area Discussion for - Miami-South Florida, FL
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FXUS62 KMFL 042041 AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Miami FL 341 PM EST Fri Dec 4 2020

Discussion.

Short Term (Rest of Today through Saturday) .

A weak frontal boundary draped across the east/central GOMEX will continue to approach South FL throughout the remainder of today into tonight. Increasing moisture ahead of the boundary will continue to bring expanding cloud coverage, along with veering SE to eventually SW flow through Saturday. Looking at GOES-16 water vapor imagery, the low levels are fairly dry but the mid-upper levels are moistening. MFL's 04/12Z sounding also has a PW of around 1.18 inches, which is almost 0.4 inches higher than the 04/00Z sounding. Therefore, added sprinkles areawide through the remainder of the afternoon when diurnal heating is greatest (albeit cloud coverage will dampen it a tad).

By Saturday late morning/early afternoon, the aforementioned cold front should be near the Lake Okeechobee region and will continue to push southward over the course of the day. Forecast continues to trend with a few isolated showers developing ahead of the front, though nothing too exciting. In fact, most areas should stay dry throughout the day, but again due to the proximity and nature of the front, a brief shower is possible. Therefore, don't be surprised if you see a couple rain drops while out and about.

High temps Saturday will be in the upper 70s to near 80, which is just about seasonal for this time of year, with morning lows ranging from the low-60s near the Lake Region to mid-upper 60s elsewhere.

Long Term (Saturday night through Thursday) .

Models depict a long wave trough pattern over much of the eastern half of the nation, with an associated sfc cold front boundary pushing southward into central Florida on Saturday night, then through SoFlo by Sunday. Latest solutions suggest this front may stall near the Florida Keys. Meanwhile, a closed mid-level low will move east from Texas, along with a strong subtropical jet stream over the western Gulf and SE CONUS. This results in having robust low pressure developing on Sunday over the east Gulf region, and bringing areas of rain and embedded storms over SoFlo by Sunday late afternoon. Showers and thunderstorms will become more numerous over South Florida Sunday night and Monday as the low moves east across the area. An upper level subtropical jet over the region will provide added upper level dynamic support for a few strong storms to form. Periods of locally heavy rain are also possible with the heaviest downpours.

The aforementioned area of low pressure should move to the east of the state by Monday night, and followed by a strong sfc frontal boundary sweeping across the area. Much colder and drier air will descend upon SoFlo in the wake of the FROPA. Latest temperature forecast values suggest that 40s are certainly possible by mid week.

All in all, the forecast scenario for the long term remains uncertain in terms of specifics about timing and how the individual elements of the synoptic scenario will evolve. Thus, remain well informed with the latest forecasts and products from your National Weather Service.

Marine.

High pressure is forecast to slowly move eastward today, allowing the wind to become more southeasterly to southerly through the day. This is ahead of a weak cold front that is forecast to move into the area this weekend, possibly bringing a few showers and waterspouts to the local waters, though winds should remain below any cautionary levels. A stronger cold front is forecast to move through the area for the beginning of next week, increasing winds and seas in the process. Therefore, some adverse marine conditions are possible across the South Florida waters from early to mid-next week.

Beach Forecast.

Overall, South Florida beaches will be quiet, with a slight risk of rip currents for the Gulf coast beaches and a moderate risk for the Atlantic beaches of Broward/Miami-Dade counties. While the winds continue to subside off the Palm Beach County coast, NE swell will keep a high risk of rip currents through the remainder of this afternoon. An elevated rip current risk may stick around for portions of the Atlantic beaches Saturday before decreasing to a slight risk.

Early next week, an increasing risk for rip currents is expected for the Gulf beaches in the wake of a cold front.

Aviation.

Mainly VFR conditions are expected through today with quick isolated sprinkles possible. For tonight into Saturday morning, MVFR CIGs are expected with an approaching frontal boundary. Winds will continue to veer from the SE to the SW overnight before becoming NW tomorrow afternoon after the front passes. Showers are possible ahead of the front Saturday, but confidence too low to include in TAFs at this time.

Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs. West Palm Beach 65 80 66 78 / 10 20 0 20 Fort Lauderdale 66 82 66 80 / 10 20 0 20 Miami 67 82 68 80 / 10 20 0 10 Naples 67 79 63 77 / 20 20 0 20

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . High Rip Current Risk until 7 PM EST this evening for FLZ168.

AM . None. GM . None.

Short term/Marine/Beach . PAF Long term . 17


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
LKWF1 - 8722670 - Lake Worth, FL 41 mi48 min SSE 13 G 15 76°F 76°F1017.4 hPa61°F
BGCF1 - Big Carlos Pass, FL 72 mi72 min S 6 G 8 75°F

Wind History for Lake Worth Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Okeechobee County Airport, FL26 mi71 minN 010.00 miFair72°F62°F73%1018.3 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KOBE

Wind History from OBE (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS4CalmCalmS7S3CalmCalm
1 day agoNE6CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmE8E6E4E8
G14
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2 days agoN4N3CalmCalmCalmCalmN6CalmCalmN5CalmCalmCalmN6N9N6N11N9CalmCalmCalmNE9NE12Calm

Tide / Current Tables for Boy Scout Dock, Loxahatchee River, Florida
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Boy Scout Dock
Click for Map
Fri -- 06:13 AM EST     0.35 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:55 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 10:33 AM EST     Moonset
Fri -- 12:04 PM EST     2.44 feet High Tide
Fri -- 05:26 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 06:49 PM EST     0.85 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 09:18 PM EST     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.221.71.20.80.50.40.40.81.31.92.32.42.42.11.81.41.10.90.911.31.72.1

Tide / Current Tables for Southwest Fork (spillway), Loxahatchee River, Florida
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Southwest Fork (spillway)
Click for Map
Fri -- 06:01 AM EST     0.33 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:55 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 10:32 AM EST     Moonset
Fri -- 11:55 AM EST     2.27 feet High Tide
Fri -- 05:26 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 06:37 PM EST     0.80 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 09:18 PM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 11:58 PM EST     2.06 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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21.81.51.10.70.40.30.50.81.31.82.22.32.21.91.61.310.80.811.31.72

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map


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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.