Sunday, January26, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Tequesta, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:07AMSunset 5:58PM Sunday January 26, 2020 7:46 AM EST (12:46 UTC) Moonrise 8:29AMMoonset 7:41PM Illumination 2% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 1 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ650 Coastal Waters From Jupiter Inlet To Deerfield Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Jupiter Inlet To Deerfield Beach Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- 344 Am Est Sun Jan 26 2020
Today..North northwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet. Period 5 seconds. Northeast swells of 2 to 3 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop.
Tonight..Northeast winds around 5 knots becoming east southeast after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Period 5 seconds. Northeast swells of 2 feet. Intracoastal waters smooth.
Monday..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Period 5 seconds. Northeast swells of 2 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers in the morning, then chance of showers in the afternoon.
Monday night..West winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Period 4 seconds. Northeast swells of 2 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Chance of showers.
Tuesday..Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming north northeast in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Chance of showers.
Tuesday night..North northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers.
Wednesday and Wednesday night..Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots with gusts to around 20 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers.
Thursday..North winds around 10 knots. In the gulf stream, gusts up to 20 knots in the morning. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop.
AMZ600 Synopsis For Jupiter Inlet To Ocean Reef Fl Out To 60 Nm And For East Cape Sable To Bonita Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 344 Am Est Sun Jan 26 2020
Synopsis.. Generally light north to northwesterly winds are expected today before swinging to a more south southwest direction late tonight into Monday as a weather system moves through the region. Increasing shower chances are expected Monday into Monday night with a Thunderstorm or two possible. While winds and wave should generally remain below hazardous thresholds, locally higher winds and waves are possible near any Thunderstorms that may develop.
Gulf stream hazards..None. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of jan 25, 2020 at 1200 utc... 6 nautical miles east of fowey rocks. 14 nautical miles east of port everglades. 11 nautical miles east southeast of lake worth. 12 nautical miles east of jupiter inlet. This data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Tequesta, FL
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location: 26.97, -80.13     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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FXUS62 KMLB 260744 AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 240 AM EST Sun Jan 26 2020

DISCUSSION.

. High Risk for Numerous, Strong Rip Currents Today .

Current . clear and cool/dry early this morning with just some patches of thin CI streaming overhead. Current temps are in the 40s across all but a few spots, with the coldest readings (L40s) over the interior north and in a few rural sheltered spots farther south over the interior as well.

Today-tonight . A benign weather day is on tap with light winds and high clouds that will increase through this afternoon, then thicken and gradually lower tonight. The chance for any measurable precip, which has waned steadily the past 4 days and now looks to hold off until after 12Z Mon as any spits/sprinkles will be falling out of an AC or very high based SCU deck. Highs will reach the U60s most areas, a few degrees cooler along the Volusia coastline, and perhaps tickling 70F in Okeechobee/Saint Lucie/Martin Counties. Mins mainly in the U40s. Depending on how quickly the clouds thicken up, there could be a rapid post-sunset dropoff into the L-M40s before temps flatTen out and perhaps rise a couple degrees overnight.

Mon-Tue . Weak low pressure over the central GoM will continue this trend as it approaches the FL peninsula. Support aloft will also be poor and PWAT values will be low. Have held onto a 20pct chance or less for some precip, but have higher confidence that most areas will remain dry. Light northerly winds filter down the peninsula Mon overnight. On Tue, weak high pressure builds into the region. Models hint at some light precip across the south and will have to monitor if this trend continues, but for now have kept this day mainly dry across land. Surface winds behind the system become light onshore once again Tue afternoon/night. Highs generally in the U60s to L70s with lows mainly in the U40s to L50s along/north of I-4 and L-M50s southward.

Wed-Sat . Zonal to SWRLY flow aloft during this time with embedded shortwave energy accompanying this flow as this period promises to be a bit unsettled. Trouble with this period will be timing/placement/strength of upper/surface features. At the surface, another weak low pressure over the north-central GoM moves toward the FL peninsula on Wed and across ECFL Wed night. Moisture and instability remain marginal at best. We keep in the forecast a 20pct chance or less for showers. Thu is mainly dry but we do add a small threat Thu night with increasing moisture ahead of a potentially stronger developing/approaching Gulf system.

Medium range models differ greatly on how fast to bring this system across the peninsula with the GFS much faster at present. The 00Z GFS brings this system across ECFL Fri-Fri evening, whereas the 00Z ECMWF is slower driving the system across the area Fri overnight into Sat. We do have Chance (40-50pct) PoPs in currently for these days, but expect to refine this as well as bump PoPs up over a period or two with further consistency and if this system remains fairly strong. While we don't initiate thunder mention just yet there may eventually be a threat for a few strong/severe storms, so this system does bear watching. Highs and lows will average just a bit above normal during this period.

AVIATION. VFR. SCT-BKN250 today. High clouds (CS/AS/AC) with bases lowering from BKN-OVC200 down to BKN-OVC100-120.

MARINE. Today-tonight . Concern today continues to be surf conditions and rip currents, since wave heights will be entirely comprised of a continued long (12s) period swell of 4-6ft. Local rip current work sheet came in with quite high values due to the combination of moderate-large swells, and below normal MLLW values at low tide. This has prompted issuance of both a High Rip Current Risk and a Beach Hazards Statement through 7 PM. Otherwise, a Cautionary Statement will continue for the waters beyond 20nm.

Mon-Mon Night . Weak low pressure approaches the FL peninsula from the Gulf while continuing its weakening trend as it ventures across the southern peninsula late in the period. Winds promise to be variable and remain mainly under 10 kts as the pgrad remains weak, though a short bump up to 10-15 kts out of the north is forecast for late Mon night into early Tue morning. Seas 2-3 ft near shore and 3- 4 ft Gulf Stream in a persistent ENE swell.

Tue-Thu . Weak surface high pressure builds in by late Tue but is quickly tossed aside by another weak Gulf low that will push across the local waters Wed night. Generally a 20-30pct shower threat will exist during this period. Initial NW/N winds will veer a bit more NERLY and ERLY through the remainder of the period. Headlines are not anticipated. Seas generally 3-4 ft becoming AOB 3 ft on Wed-Wed night, then 3-4 ft, again, Thu-Thu night.

FIRE WEATHER. Afternoon min RH values will be quite low today, reaching the M-U20s from I-95westward and L30s closer to the coast. Wins from 20ft through the mixed transport layer will slacken, which will result in poor smoke dispersion the next two afternoons.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS. DAB 63 48 66 47 / 0 0 20 10 MCO 67 50 70 53 / 0 10 20 10 MLB 65 46 71 53 / 0 10 20 10 VRB 66 44 71 53 / 0 10 20 20 LEE 68 49 68 50 / 0 10 20 10 SFB 67 48 69 52 / 0 0 10 10 ORL 67 52 71 55 / 0 10 20 10 FPR 68 45 72 54 / 0 10 20 20

MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . None. AM . None.

SHORT TERM/AVIATION . Cristaldi LONG TERM/DSS . Sedlock


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
LKWF1 - 8722670 - Lake Worth, FL 25 mi47 min NW 7 G 8.9 53°F 75°F1018.2 hPa (+0.8)
41114 - Fort Pierce, FL (134) 40 mi17 min 68°F5 ft
SPGF1 - Settlement Point, GBI 63 mi47 min NE 5.1 G 6 68°F 1017.9 hPa (+0.4)

Wind History for Lake Worth Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Witham Field Airport, FL15 mi60 minN 07.00 miFair48°F42°F82%1019.6 hPa
West Palm Beach - Palm Beach International Airport, FL20 mi54 minNW 710.00 miA Few Clouds50°F43°F77%1019.3 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KSUA

Wind History from SUA (wind in knots)
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NW7NW5E8NE8NE6CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmW7NW6NW10
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1 day ago54SW5SE4SE5SE5SE5
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SE8SE5SE5--CalmCalmS3SW4SW5SW4W5W6W6W6W6
2 days agoW5E8
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E6E11E8E10E10E10E10E6E7CalmCalmCalmN4NW3CalmW4CalmCalmW5CalmNW4

Tide / Current Tables for 3 miles above A1A highway bridge, Loxahatchee River, Florida
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3 miles above A1A highway bridge
Click for Map
Sun -- 04:47 AM EST     -0.32 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:08 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 08:28 AM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 10:34 AM EST     2.04 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:17 PM EST     -0.03 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 05:57 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 07:41 PM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 10:42 PM EST     1.86 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.510.50.1-0.2-0.3-0.10.41.11.6221.81.410.50.2-00.10.40.91.41.81.8

Tide / Current Tables for Donald Ross Bridge, ICWW, Loxahatchee River, Florida
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Donald Ross Bridge
Click for Map
Sun -- 03:49 AM EST     -0.33 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:08 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 08:28 AM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 09:58 AM EST     2.37 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:18 PM EST     -0.03 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 05:57 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 07:41 PM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 10:06 PM EST     2.16 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.30.70.1-0.2-0.3-0.10.41.11.72.22.42.21.81.20.70.2-00.10.40.91.522.22

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Melbourne, FL (7,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.