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Marine Weather and Tides South Venice, FL Version 3.4

NOTICE 12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed. 10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones. 9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them. 7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

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Sunrise 6:34AM

Sunset 8:19PM

Friday May 29, 2020 9:43 PM EDT (01:43 UTC)

Moonrise 11:56AM

Moonset 12:37AM

Illumination 54%

NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near South Venice, FL

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Area Discussion for - Tampa Bay, FL

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FXUS62 KTBW 292357 AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 757 PM EDT Fri May 29 2020

UPDATE. Upper trough lifting from the Great Lakes with weaker and warmer SW flow aloft this afternoon as enhanced upper energy has moved NE of the area. Diurnal convection mainly seabreeze driven not as organized or strong as yesterday. This convection to continue to wane and drift mainly inland on numerous outflow boundaries. Overnight, continue to expect clearing skies with temps slightly warmer than seasonal averages. Will adjust grids and forecasts based on radar trends otherwise is fair shape.

AVIATION. VCTS waning this evening with VFR conditions and light winds tonight. Another round of VCTS Saturday afternoon.

Prev Discussion. /issued 200 PM EDT Fri May 29 2020/

SYNOPSIS . Strong stacked ridging continues to reside over the Western Atlantic. Meanwhile, a highly amplified pattern over the US with ridging out West and troughing over the eastern half of the CONUS. Associated surface cold fronts slowly work their way southeast over the upcoming weekend. Finally, the tropical wave to the east- southwest Bermuda, which has the potential of subtropical development, will quickly get pulled off to the north and away from the CONUS in the coming days as it becomes sandwiched between a digging trough in the northwest Atlantic and a large omega block over the north/central Atlantic.

DISCUSSION . Today, surface ridging has built slightly and move north, bringing more of a southerly/southeasterly flow to our area compared to yesterday. This will favor rain chances a little bit farther west towards the I-75 corridor along an area of enhanced convergence formed near the west coast sea breeze. 12Z sounding out of KTBW shows 500mb temps have warmed approximately 1.5 degrees so the threat of hail will be slightly less. However, forecast PWAT and MLCAPE are still impressively high for late May with ~2 inches, and 2500-3000 J/kg, respectively. Furthermore, afternoon forecast RAP soundings for TBW show wind <10 knots from the surface to 250mb. This suggests storm motion solely driven by sea breeze and outflow boundaries. With much of the area receiving 1-2 with localized 3-4 inches of rain yesterday (and a lot of rain the previous day as well for some spots) , the threshold for minor urban and small stream flooding will be lower. So this will be something to watch for.

Low dewpoint depressions and calm winds will promote some patchy fog north of I-4 and inland tomorrow morning. Meanwhile, the ridge will axis will be located across the Suncoast, 1000mb-700mb flow becomes light and variable in this location so initial storm development will be favored across the spine of the peninsula in Central FL. However, weak/moderate southwest flow across the Nature Coast will promote a few earlier showers/storms in this area. Later tomorrow, a weak upper level trough stretched across the panhandle through the carolinas will push eastward. At the surface, an associated weak frontal boundary will sag south into the Big Bend of FL by Sunday morning. Westerly low-level flow will usher in relatively drier air which will limit rain and thunderstorm coverage some, especially for our western counties.

This front will be very weak and nearly stalled out across our area on Sunday before very broad surface high pressure builds across the eastern half of the CONUS. This reinforcing high pressure will push it south-southwestward as a backdoor front. This will bring breezy easterly winds to the area by Monday Night or Tuesday and much drier air with less oppressive humidity, especially along and north of I-4 corridor. Rain chances will still be possible in the region of higher PWAT (South Central and Southwest FL) through mid-week. The enhanced easterly flow will also promote more showers/storms over the Gulf waters just about anytime of day. Models diverge by Friday but it does appear moisture will begin to get advected back northward as the western flank of the ridge axis begins to degrade.

MARINE . Surface high pressure will continue to across the Gulf waters keeping mostly light winds and calm seas through the weekend. However, isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms each day will be capable of producing frequent lightning, locally gusty winds, and rough seas. Early next week a breezy east to northeast flow will setup with winds speeds approaching exercise caution criteria.

FIRE WEATHER . Ample moisture will preclude any major fire weather concerns through the weekend with overall weak winds. Daily afternoon showers and thunderstorms will be capable of frequent lightning and gusty winds from outflow boundaries. Some patchy fog will be possible late overnight into Saturday morning for Pasco county northward.

Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs. TPA 74 89 75 89 / 20 40 10 20 FMY 74 89 74 89 / 50 60 10 30 GIF 72 89 72 89 / 40 80 10 50 SRQ 73 89 75 89 / 10 30 10 10 BKV 70 89 71 90 / 20 50 10 20 SPG 75 89 75 89 / 10 40 10 10

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . None. Gulf waters . None.

Davis

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Weather Reporting Stations

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Stations	Dist	Age	Wind	Air Temp	Water Temp	Waves	Pressure	DewPt
VENF1 - Venice, FL	5 mi	44 min	WNW 5.1 G 6	82°F	86°F		1016.5 hPa (+0.8)	78°F
42013 - C10 - Navy-2	28 mi	74 min	NW 3.9 G 3.9	81°F	81°F		1016.9 hPa
FMRF1 - 8725520 - Fort Myers, FL	39 mi	56 min	W 6 G 7	80°F	86°F		1016.8 hPa
PMAF1	44 mi	56 min		82°F	89°F		1016.4 hPa
MTBF1	46 mi	56 min	NW 7 G 8	82°F			1016.6 hPa	73°F
42098	48 mi	44 min			82°F	1 ft

Wind History for C-Cut, FL

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Airport Reports

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Airport	Dist	Age	Wind kt	Visibility	Sky/Weather	Temp	DewPt	Humidity	Pressure
Venice Municipal Airport, FL	5 mi	49 min	NW 3	8.00 mi	Fair	82°F	77°F	84%	1016.9 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KVNC

Wind History from VNC (wind in knots)

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Tide / Current Tables for Englewood, Lemon Bay, Florida

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Tide / Current Tables for Boca Grande Pass, Charlotte Harbor, Florida Current

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Weather Map

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GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East

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Wind Forecast for Tampa Bay, FL (21,6,7,8)

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Ground Weather Radar Station Tampa Bay Area, FL

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Gulf Stream Current

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