Saturday, January18, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Palm City, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:10AMSunset 5:52PM Saturday January 18, 2020 7:18 PM EST (00:18 UTC) Moonrise 1:17AMMoonset 12:55PM Illumination 37% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 23 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ555 SEbastian Inlet To Jupiter Inlet 0-20 Nm- 438 Pm Est Sat Jan 18 2020
.small craft advisory in effect through late tonight...
Tonight..South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 6 to 8 feet with a dominant period 10 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Sunday..South winds 10 to 15 knots becoming southwest 5 to 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas 5 to 7 feet with a dominant period 12 seconds. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers in the afternoon.
Sunday night..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots becoming northwest 15 to 20 knots after midnight. Seas 4 to 6 feet with a dominant period 12 seconds. Choppy on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers.
Monday..North winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 5 to 7 feet. Choppy on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers.
Monday night..North winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 6 to 8 feet. Choppy on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers.
Tuesday..North winds 20 to 25 knots. Seas 6 to 9 feet. Rough on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers.
Tuesday night..North winds 20 to 25 knots. Seas 7 to 10 feet. Chance of showers.
Wednesday..North winds 20 to 25 knots becoming northeast 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon. Seas 8 to 11 feet. Chance of showers.
Wednesday night..Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 7 to 10 feet. Chance of showers.
Thursday..East winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 6 to 9 feet. Chance of showers.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 438 Pm Est Sat Jan 18 2020
Synopsis..Hazardous boating conditions into tonight. High pressure ridge pushes away causing winds and seas to subside slightly on Sunday, however conditions will remain poor for small craft operation. A much stronger cold front will push across central florida and the adjacent atlantic Sunday night, causing conditions to become hazardous once again through early next week.
Gulf stream hazards..Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots with gusts up to 30 knots, becoming south to southwest and diminishing slightly by Sunday morning. Seas 7 to 9 feet. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Thursday, january 16th. 44 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 32 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 24 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 15 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 10 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Palm City, FL
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location: 27.17, -80.26     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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FXUS62 KMLB 182028 AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 328 PM EST Sat Jan 18 2020

DISCUSSION.

. Strong Cold Front To Move Across Central Florida Sunday Night .

Rest of Today-Tonight . Partly cloudy and mostly dry conditions continue through tonight as breezy conditions along the coast diminish by late afternoon. Temperatures in the low to mid 70s this afternoon will cool this evening, eventually reaching the low 60s after midnight. As winds diminish they veer south by sunrise.

Sunday . Energy aloft in the mid-levels embedded in the SW/W flow will slowly progress eastward across the FL peninsula. At the surface, weak high pressure ridging will slide eastward with the approach of a fairly strong cold front. This feature will slip into the I-4 corridor by late afternoon/early evening, then southward across the remainder of ECFL during the evening and overnight. All but a few of the global, regional, and mesoscale models indicate convection along the front falling apart as it reaches the central FL peninsula. For this reason have kept rain chances at 50 percent north of I-4, 30-40 percent for the Space Coast, and 20 percent or less for the Treasure Coast. Thunderstorms are not likely due to low instability.

Light southwest winds expected ahead of the front during the day. A weak sea breeze may develop during the day along the Space/Treasure coasts. Fairly warm ahead of the front, low 80s for the Treasure Coast and slightly lower mid to upper 70s from Melbourne north due to cloud cover and early day rain.

. modified prev disc .

Mon-Fri . An active pattern and a good deal of troughiness aloft across the central and eastern CONUS during this time. At the surface and closer towards home, we begin the period post-frontal with high pressure building into the region Mon-Tue. Initial NW flow gradually becomes more N-NE into Wed with what appears to be a coastal troughing pattern setting up and winds veering at the coast to easterly as this veering wind field spreads to inland areas Thu- Fri. Overall drier/cooler air does spread down the peninsula early in the week, with some U30s forecast for the N central FL cooler spots Tue morning, then a warming trend thereafter. A small threat for showers will exist along the coast, especially Treasure Coast, then PoPs begin to increase with greater chances spreading inland Wed-Fri.

Med Range guidance from 18/12Z continues to focus on the marine and beach areas for best chc of accumulating rainfall, however will keep some mentionable chc of rain for the coast and to some degree inland to account for timing and placement differences.

Expect below climo temps thru mid-week as the I-4 corridor only realizes highs in the M-U50s to around 60F. 60s will be realized further south. The Space/Treasure coasts will fair better wind a slight onshore component, especially Tue overnight as temps keep in the M-U40s there, except around 50F to L50s immediate coast/barrier islands. A slight/gradual warming trend continues Thu-Fri for both highs and lows areawide.

AVIATION.

VFR conditions prevail as breezy conditions decrease along the coast by late afternoon. A cold front will push through the area tomorrow, however rain/showers along the front will be diminishing as they approach central Florida. Low confidence in potential for impacts at area terminals, but we are likely to introduce VCSH for the 00Z TAF package at KDAB, KLEE, KSFB, and perhaps KMCO for Sunday mid morning to mid afternoon period. Winds will shift from southwest Sunday morning, to west by Sunday afternoon.

MARINE.

Rest of Today-Tonight . Southeast winds 15-20 knots this afternoon diminish to around 15 knots overnight and become south to southwest. Seas will take longer to diminish and remain hazardous to small craft. Expect 5-7 feet nearshore, and 7-9 feet offshore and in the Gulf Stream.

Sunday . High pressure ridging pushes away as a strong cold front begins to cross the area. Southwest winds 10-15 knots become west by the afternoon. Increasing shower chances by late Sunday morning through the afternoon. Somewhat improved boating conditions in the afternoon with seas 3-5 feet nearshore, and up to 6 feet offshore. However, this reprieve will be short lived as another surge of wind and seas moves into our area Sunday night creating hazardous conditions once more.

Late Sun-Wed . Strong cold front with notable wind surge will pass across the local waters Sun evening and overnight. High pressure builds in Mon-Tue, but coastal troughing develops late Tue into Wed. Increasing shower chances late Sun/Sun night with front. Thunder mention wl remain absent. ISOLD shower chances Mon-Mon night, then shower chances increasing to SCT Tue-Wed. NWRLY surge Sun night behind the front with continue elevated winds veering N/NNE Mon night/Tue, then NERLY Tue overnight into Wed, and finally ERLY Wed overnight. Small craft boating conditions deteriorate Sun night and will remain poor to hazardous for much of this period. As stated, wind speeds do remain elevated and seas build Sun overnight, also remaining poor to hazardous for the duration of the period in this unsettled weather pattern.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS. DAB 60 75 46 59 / 10 50 30 10 MCO 61 75 53 61 / 0 50 30 10 MLB 63 79 56 63 / 10 30 30 20 VRB 62 81 59 65 / 10 20 30 20 LEE 62 75 48 61 / 10 50 30 10 SFB 61 75 51 60 / 0 50 30 10 ORL 62 75 53 61 / 0 50 30 10 FPR 63 81 59 67 / 10 20 30 20

MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . None.

AM . Small Craft Advisory until 4 AM EST Sunday for Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 0-20 nm-Volusia-Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 0-20 nm.

Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM EST Sunday for Flagler Beach to Volusia-Brevard County Line 20-60 nm-Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 20-60 nm-Volusia-Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 20-60 nm.



Rodriguez/Pendergrast


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
41114 - Fort Pierce, FL (134) 26 mi78 min 74°F6 ft
SIPF1 49 mi33 min SE 13 71°F 70°F1025 hPa
SPGF1 - Settlement Point, GBI 74 mi78 min ESE 13 G 15 71°F 1025 hPa (+0.0)

Wind History for Lake Worth Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Witham Field Airport, FL2 mi91 minESE 97.00 miPartly Cloudy72°F60°F69%1024.7 hPa
Fort Pierce, St. Lucie County International Airport, FL24 mi85 minESE 1310.00 miOvercast73°F59°F62%1024.1 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KSUA

Wind History from SUA (wind in knots)
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1 day agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNW4N3N3NE10NE12NE15
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2 days agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmW5NW5NW5E7NE7NE7E5E6E5SE4

Tide / Current Tables for South Fork, St. Lucie River, Florida
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South Fork
Click for Map
Sat -- 01:17 AM EST     Moonrise
Sat -- 05:19 AM EST     0.98 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:11 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 12:09 PM EST     0.12 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 12:55 PM EST     Moonset
Sat -- 05:34 PM EST     0.95 feet High Tide
Sat -- 05:51 PM EST     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0.2-00.30.60.8110.90.70.50.30.20.10.20.30.60.80.90.90.80.70.40.2-0

Tide / Current Tables for North Fork, St. Lucie River, Florida
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North Fork
Click for Map
Sat -- 01:17 AM EST     Moonrise
Sat -- 05:16 AM EST     1.03 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:12 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 12:05 PM EST     0.12 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 12:55 PM EST     Moonset
Sat -- 05:30 PM EST     1.00 feet High Tide
Sat -- 05:51 PM EST     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0.200.30.60.9110.90.70.50.30.20.10.20.40.60.8110.90.70.40.2-0

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Melbourne, FL (19,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.