Thursday, July16, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
North Sarasota, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:44AMSunset 8:27PM Thursday July 16, 2020 10:35 AM EDT (14:35 UTC) Moonrise 2:11AMMoonset 3:58PM Illumination 15% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 26 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ853 Coastal Waters From Englewood To Tarpon Springs Fl Out 20 Nm- 946 Am Edt Thu Jul 16 2020
This afternoon..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots becoming north around 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Isolated Thunderstorms early in the afternoon. Scattered Thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Tonight..Northeast winds around 10 knots becoming east in the late evening and overnight. Seas 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Isolated Thunderstorms in the evening.
Friday..Northeast winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Scattered Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Friday night..East winds around 10 knots increasing to 10 to 15 knots in the late evening and overnight. Seas 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light to moderate chop. Scattered Thunderstorms in the evening, then isolated Thunderstorms overnight.
Saturday..East winds 10 to 15 knots diminishing to 5 to 10 knots in the late morning and afternoon. Seas 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light to moderate chop. Isolated Thunderstorms late in the morning, then numerous showers and scattered Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Saturday night..East winds around 10 knots increasing to 10 to 15 knots overnight. Seas 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light to moderate chop. Scattered Thunderstorms in the evening, then isolated Thunderstorms overnight.
Sunday..East winds around 10 knots becoming northeast late in the afternoon. Seas 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Isolated Thunderstorms in the morning, then scattered Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Sunday night..East winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Scattered Thunderstorms in the evening, then isolated Thunderstorms overnight.
Monday..East winds around 10 knots becoming northeast late in the afternoon. Seas 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Isolated Thunderstorms in the morning, then numerous showers and scattered Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 946 Am Edt Thu Jul 16 2020
Synopsis.. High pressure ridge axis will shift north of the waters through early next week with an easterly flow becoming established. Winds and seas are expected to remain below advisory levels through the period with the main hazard being isolated to scattered Thunderstorms mainly during the late afternoon and nighttime hours which will be capable of producing frequent lightning, locally gusty winds and rough seas.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near North Sarasota, FL
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location: 27.36, -82.54     debug


Area Discussion for - Tampa Bay, FL
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FXUS62 KTBW 161338 AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 938 AM EDT Thu Jul 16 2020

No change to current forecast.

Morning sounding not as unstable as yesterday morning with a CAPE around 1,100 and Lifted Index of -3. Mid level water vapor loop showed dry air across northeast quarter of florida. Deep easterly flow to 35 kft will spread dry air over Nature Coast this afternoon and will limit rain chance to 20-30%. Gulf Coast seabreeze front to remain pinned along coast from Tampa Bay to Fort Myers with isolated convection possible early afternoon. Main thunderstorm activity in this area will have to wait until later afternoon as Atlantic Coast seabreeze moves into area. Expect highs in the low to mid 90s this afternoon with a heat index 104-107.

AVIATION. MVFR/local IFR conditions will be possible in scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms this afternoon and evening. Otherwise VFR conditions should prevail.

MARINE. High pressure ridge axis will shift north of the waters through early next week with an easterly flow becoming established. Winds and seas are expected to remain below advisory levels through the period with the main hazard being isolated to scattered thunderstorms mainly during the late afternoon and nighttime hours which will be capable of producing frequent lightning, locally gusty winds and rough seas.

FIRE WEATHER. Sufficient low level moisture will keep relative humidity values above critical levels through the weekend with no Red Flag conditions expected.

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . None. Gulf waters . None.

UPDATE/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER . Noah DECISION SUPPORT . Jillson


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
VENF1 - Venice, FL 20 mi95 min ENE 8.9 G 11 81°F 88°F1019 hPa (+1.6)73°F
MTBF1 21 mi125 min E 8.9 G 9.9
42013 - C10 - Navy-2 24 mi65 min ENE 9.7 G 12 83°F 87°F1019.5 hPa
42098 26 mi39 min 88°F1 ft
CLBF1 27 mi101 min ENE 1.9 G 6 82°F 1018.7 hPa
SAPF1 - 8726520 - St. Petersburg, FL 28 mi47 min 89°F
OPTF1 - 8726607 - Old Port Tampa, FL 34 mi47 min 88°F
EBEF1 39 mi131 min 88°F
TPAF1 - 8726694 - TPA Cruise Terminal 2, Tampa, FL 40 mi131 min NE 1 G 2.9
TSHF1 - 8726667 - East Bay Causeway, FL 40 mi137 min NNE 1.9 G 2.9
CWBF1 - 8726724 - Clearwater Beach, FL 45 mi47 min 89°F

Wind History for C-Cut, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Sarasota / Bradenton, Sarasota-Bradenton International Airport, FL3 mi42 minVar 510.00 miFair86°F73°F67%1018.5 hPa
Venice Municipal Airport, FL21 mi40 minENE 89.00 miFair84°F73°F70%1019.3 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KSRQ

Wind History from SRQ (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW5W7W9W10W13
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CalmNE3NE6E7E5E5E6E4E4E3CalmE3E4E5NE4E95
1 day agoW6W8W8W9W10W10W9W10W6W6W6W6W7W6W6W4N3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmW4
2 days agoW11W10SW11W12W12W13W11W10W9W6W7W9W8NW8W6W6W6W5W7W6CalmCalmW5W5

Tide / Current Tables for Sarasota, Sarasota Bay, Florida
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Sarasota
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:50 AM EDT     1.33 feet High Tide
Thu -- 03:11 AM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 03:21 AM EDT     1.31 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:45 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 09:33 AM EDT     2.21 feet High Tide
Thu -- 04:58 PM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 05:52 PM EDT     0.30 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 08:26 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.31.31.31.31.31.41.61.822.22.22.11.81.51.20.90.60.40.30.40.60.91.11.2

Tide / Current Tables for Tampa Bay (Sunshine Skyway Bridge), Florida Current
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Tampa Bay (Sunshine Skyway Bridge)
Click for Map
Thu -- 02:31 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 03:05 AM EDT     -0.03 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 03:11 AM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 03:38 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 06:45 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 08:17 AM EDT     1.02 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 11:31 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 03:38 PM EDT     -1.31 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 04:59 PM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 07:48 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 08:27 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 11:03 PM EDT     1.18 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.60.30.1-000.30.60.9110.70.3-0.2-0.7-1.1-1.3-1.3-1.2-0.9-0.40.10.611.2

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Tampa Bay, FL (10,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Tampa Bay Area, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.