Saturday, November28, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Bradenton Beach, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
8/26/2020 The 7 day forecast is taking about 5 seconds to load but it will eventually load. NOAA is still working on it.
8/18/2020 NOAA continues to have trouble. Wind guest will occasionally be left off graphs. I am working with NOAA to resolve the issue.
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:00AMSunset 5:36PM Saturday November 28, 2020 12:04 AM EST (05:04 UTC) Moonrise 4:41PMMoonset 5:22AM Illumination 96% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 13 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ853 Coastal Waters From Englewood To Tarpon Springs Fl Out 20 Nm- 814 Pm Est Fri Nov 27 2020
Rest of tonight..North winds around 5 knots then becoming northeast around 5 knots toward morning. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters smooth.
Saturday..East winds around 5 knots then becoming south late in the morning, then becoming west early in the afternoon then becoming northwest around 5 knots late in the afternoon. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters smooth.
Saturday night..North winds around 5 knots then becoming east after midnight. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters smooth.
Sunday..Southeast winds around 10 knots then becoming south in the afternoon. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Sunday night..South winds 5 to 10 knots then becoming southwest around 15 knots in the late evening and overnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. Scattered Thunderstorms after midnight.
Monday..West winds around 15 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. Scattered Thunderstorms.
Monday night..Northwest winds around 20 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet. Bay and inland waters choppy.
Tuesday..North winds around 15 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
Tuesday night..Northeast winds around 15 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
Wednesday..Northeast winds around 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 814 Pm Est Fri Nov 27 2020
Synopsis..Weak high pressure will remain over the gulf this weekend for light winds and slight seas. A strong cold front early next week will bring strong winds and rough choppy elevated seas.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Bradenton Beach, FL
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location: 27.47, -82.69     debug


Area Discussion for - Tampa Bay, FL
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FXUS62 KTBW 280113 AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 813 PM EST Fri Nov 27 2020

UPDATE. Zonal flow aloft over the FL Peninsula this evening with weak surface high pressure in place over the area. Warm and humid conditions to continue with patchy fog forming overnight especially in interior and fog prone areas through Saturday Morning. Latest grids and forecasts on track.

AVIATION. VFR conditions this evening with light winds but patchy/shallow field fog is expected to develop overnight especially in typical fog prone areas with tempos into MVFR category, but may need to reduce vsby into IFR towards 12Z as conditions warrant.

Prev Discussion. /issued 149 PM EST Fri Nov 27 2020/

DISCUSSION .

Models are a little slower with the approaching cold front than they were yesterday, we are looking at an early Monday morning event. The atmosphere looks plenty unstable and with Bulk Richardson Numbers in the 25 to 35 range there is at least some chance of a couple stronger, more organized storms.

Behind the front is much colder air. At first, on Monday the wind will have enough of an onshore component that temperatures will not fall very fast, but we should see strato cu from the cold air blowing over the Gulf. Late Monday the veers and that will allow the cold air to advect down the state.

Right now Wednesday morning looks to be the coldest morning with winds calming down allowing for radiational cooling. I would not be surprised at all to see frost in the typically colder locations north and east of Tampa.

Starting Thursday expect a very slow warm up to begin, until the next blast of cold air just beyond this forecast period.

MARINE .

No headlines for the weekend. Cold air blowing over the relatively warm water will cause enhanced seas early next week.

FIRE WEATHER .

Much drier air is expected next week behind the cold front with gusty winds early in the week.

Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs. TPA 67 82 67 82 / 0 10 0 0 FMY 65 83 66 82 / 0 0 0 0 GIF 65 83 66 82 / 0 10 0 0 SRQ 66 81 67 82 / 0 0 0 0 BKV 63 81 63 81 / 0 10 0 0 SPG 69 78 69 79 / 0 0 0 0

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . None. Gulf waters . None.

RJD


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PMAF1 13 mi46 min 71°F 73°F1018.2 hPa
MTBF1 14 mi46 min NNE 4.1 G 4.1 72°F 1018.1 hPa68°F
42098 15 mi38 min 74°F1 ft
CLBF1 18 mi70 min Calm G 1.9 70°F 1017.6 hPa
SAPF1 - 8726520 - St. Petersburg, FL 20 mi46 min NNE 1 G 1.9 72°F 73°F1018.5 hPa
GCTF1 23 mi46 min 72°F 1018.2 hPa65°F
42013 - C10 - Navy-2 24 mi94 min NNE 7.8 G 7.8 37°F 75°F1018.3 hPa
OPTF1 - 8726607 - Old Port Tampa, FL 28 mi46 min ENE 1.9 G 1.9 71°F 74°F1018.3 hPa
VENF1 - Venice, FL 30 mi64 min NE 5.1 G 6 71°F 74°F1017.8 hPa (+0.3)71°F
EBEF1 34 mi52 min 70°F 73°F1017.9 hPa
SKCF1 34 mi58 min N 1.9 G 3.9
TPAF1 - 8726694 - TPA Cruise Terminal 2, Tampa, FL 35 mi46 min Calm G 1
TSHF1 - 8726667 - East Bay Causeway, FL 35 mi52 min Calm G 1.9
CWBF1 - 8726724 - Clearwater Beach, FL 36 mi46 min Calm G 1 72°F 76°F1018.4 hPa
FHPF1 - Fred Howard Park, FL 48 mi70 min ENE 1.9 G 2.9 71°F 1018.9 hPa

Wind History for C-Cut, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Sarasota / Bradenton, Sarasota-Bradenton International Airport, FL9 mi71 minNNE 310.00 miFair69°F64°F87%1017.5 hPa
Albert Whitted Airport, FL21 mi71 minN 410.00 miFair72°F69°F91%1017.7 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KSRQ

Wind History from SRQ (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE3CalmCalmCalmCalmE4E3CalmE3S5SW5W6SW5W7W6W5W6NW5N3CalmCalmCalmN3NE4
1 day agoCalmCalmSE4NE3E3CalmCalmCalm--SE8SE9SW4SW9SW9SW9--W4CalmCalmCalmN3CalmSE3NE4
2 days agoNE3NE4NE5NE6E7E5E6NE7E5E10E14
G21
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G24
SE9SE9SE12SE7SE5E5SE9E10SE5E5Calm

Tide / Current Tables for Cortez, Sarasota Bay, Florida
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Cortez
Click for Map
Sat -- 05:22 AM EST     Moonset
Sat -- 05:37 AM EST     -0.09 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 07:01 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 11:55 AM EST     1.48 feet High Tide
Sat -- 04:41 PM EST     Moonrise
Sat -- 04:46 PM EST     1.10 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 05:35 PM EST     Sunset
Sat -- 09:58 PM EST     2.13 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.71.30.90.50.2-0.1-0.10.10.50.91.21.41.51.41.31.21.11.11.21.51.822.12.1

Tide / Current Tables for Tampa Bay Entrance (Egmont Channel), Florida Current
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Tampa Bay Entrance (Egmont Channel)
Click for Map
Sat -- 12:07 AM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 03:41 AM EST     -1.77 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 05:22 AM EST     Moonset
Sat -- 07:02 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 07:38 AM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 10:50 AM EST     1.58 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 02:29 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 04:16 PM EST     -0.40 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 04:41 PM EST     Moonrise
Sat -- 05:35 PM EST     Sunset
Sat -- 06:17 PM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 09:50 PM EST     1.15 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.1-0.7-1.3-1.7-1.8-1.5-1.1-0.50.311.41.61.30.80.2-0.2-0.4-0.3-0.10.30.711.10.9

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Ground Weather Radar Station Tampa Bay Area, FL
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Gulf Stream Current



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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.