Saturday, July4, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Palmetto, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:38AMSunset 8:30PM Saturday July 4, 2020 12:38 AM EDT (04:38 UTC) Moonrise 7:20PMMoonset 4:58AM Illumination 98% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 13 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ853 Coastal Waters From Englewood To Tarpon Springs Fl Out 20 Nm- 820 Pm Edt Fri Jul 3 2020
Rest of tonight..West winds around 15 knots diminishing to 5 to 10 knots in the late evening and overnight. Seas 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. Isolated Thunderstorms.
Saturday..Southwest winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Scattered showers and isolated Thunderstorms in the morning, then scattered Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Saturday night..Southwest winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Isolated Thunderstorms. Scattered showers after midnight.
Sunday..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots increasing to around 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. Showers in the morning. A chance of Thunderstorms. Showers likely in the afternoon.
Sunday night..Southwest winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Showers likely and a chance of Thunderstorms.
Monday..Southwest winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Showers likely in the morning. A chance of Thunderstorms.
Monday night..Southwest winds around 10 knots diminishing to around 5 knots after midnight, then becoming south toward morning. Seas 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Tuesday..South winds around 5 knots then becoming west around 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Tuesday night..North winds around 10 knots then becoming northeast around 5 knots toward morning. Seas 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Wednesday..Northeast winds around 5 knots then becoming northwest around 10 knots in the late morning and afternoon. Seas 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A slight chance of Thunderstorms.
GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 820 Pm Edt Fri Jul 3 2020
Synopsis.. West-southwest winds generally around 10-15 knots will prevail over the gulf coast waters as high pressure ridges over southern florida. Daily scattered showers and an isolated Thunderstorm will be possible each day with the highest chances north of tarpon springs earlier in the day before more of the activity pushes inland. However, under the current pattern, there exists at least a small chance of showers or storms at any time... Otherwise, no headlines are expected through the period. The main hazards will continue to be associated with higher winds and seas as well as dangerous lightning associated with passing Thunderstorms.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Palmetto, FL
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location: 27.51, -82.57     debug


Area Discussion for - Tampa Bay, FL
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FXUS62 KTBW 032342 AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 742 PM EDT Fri Jul 3 2020

. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS STARTING EARLY IN THE DAY ON THE 4TH BEFORE MOVING INLAND .

. TOMORROW AFTERNOON'S HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL BE BETWEEN 100-105 DEGREES .

AVIATION. Prevailing VFR through the period with persistent westerly flow. Winds will subside tonight but begin to pick up to AOA 12 knots late morning into afternoon hours, perhaps becoming gusty at times. VCSH starting out early in TAFs, transitioning to VCTS by 17-18z. Convection should push east of most terminals (besides LAL) during the remainder of the afternoon, although sporadic SHRA moving in off the Gulf will be possible through the evening. Higher uncertainty exists in rain development farther south, so VCSH is carried for RSW/FMY through 19Z for now.

MARINE. West-southwest winds generally around 10-15 knots will prevail over the gulf coast waters as high pressure ridges over southern Florida. Daily scattered showers and an isolated thunderstorm will be possible each day with the highest chances north of Tarpon Springs earlier in the day before more of the activity pushes inland. However, under the current pattern, there exists at least a small chance of showers or storms at any time . Otherwise, no headlines are expected through the period. The main hazards will continue to be associated with higher winds and seas as well as dangerous lightning associated with passing thunderstorms.

Prev Discussion. /issued 601 PM EDT Fri Jul 3 2020/

UPDATE . For the most part, it's been another early arrival and early departure for convection across West Central and Southwest FL. As we speak, the only active rainfall is across Sumter and Highlands county, but this will soon push east of our area. Somewhat similar to yesterday, the occasional shower and perhaps rumble of thunder will be possible through much of the late evening hours, mostly from the Bay Area northward due to lower PWATs farther south. This is in part to the strong low-level westerly flow advecting warm, moist air over the hot Gulf Waters and enhanced coastal convergence . Trimmed back PoPs across the interior and made minor adjustments through the rest of this evening to account for this thinking.

Some model blends continue to be rather bullish with PoPs as of late and keep afternoon PoPs a bit too high for our western counties. Strong 1000mb-700mb westerly flow will be in place once again tomorrow. With average moisture content this time of year, have opted to blend in Climatological PoPs that represent strong westerly flow. This tunes down rain chances along coastal communities as we head into the evening of the 4th, although scattered to numerous storms are still expected across the interior. Greatest storm coverage, however, will be confined to the eastern half of the peninsula .

Finally, remember that heat can kill. Heat Index values will run between 100-105 degrees tomorrow afternoon so if you are outside for an extended periods of time, please be sure to take precautions to avoid heat related illness.

Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs. TPA 80 91 80 91 / 30 40 30 80 FMY 78 92 78 92 / 10 20 20 60 GIF 75 92 75 91 / 20 60 40 90 SRQ 80 90 79 90 / 20 30 30 70 BKV 75 91 75 91 / 30 50 40 90 SPG 80 91 79 91 / 20 40 40 80

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . None. Gulf waters . None.

UPDATE/AVIATION/MARINE . Norman UPPER AIR . Rude


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PMAF1 9 mi51 min 85°F 1014.2 hPa
MTBF1 11 mi51 min WNW 8.9 G 11 85°F 1014 hPa72°F
CLBF1 17 mi105 min WNW 6 G 11 85°F 1013.1 hPa
GCTF1 18 mi51 min 85°F 1014 hPa73°F
SAPF1 - 8726520 - St. Petersburg, FL 18 mi51 min W 6 G 7 85°F 89°F1014.4 hPa
42098 20 mi43 min 88°F2 ft
OPTF1 - 8726607 - Old Port Tampa, FL 24 mi51 min W 7 G 8 85°F 89°F1014.3 hPa
SKCF1 29 mi99 min W 9.7 G 16
42013 - C10 - Navy-2 30 mi69 min W 7.8 G 9.7 86°F 87°F1014.6 hPa
EBEF1 30 mi81 min 86°F 92°F1013.8 hPa
TPAF1 - 8726694 - TPA Cruise Terminal 2, Tampa, FL 30 mi51 min WSW 1 G 1.9
TSHF1 - 8726667 - East Bay Causeway, FL 30 mi57 min SW 5.1 G 7
VENF1 - Venice, FL 31 mi39 min W 8 G 9.9 85°F 89°F1014.3 hPa (+0.8)75°F
CWBF1 - 8726724 - Clearwater Beach, FL 35 mi51 min W 9.9 G 12 85°F 91°F1014.4 hPa
FHPF1 - Fred Howard Park, FL 46 mi105 min W 8.9 G 12 85°F 1014.3 hPa

Wind History for C-Cut, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Sarasota / Bradenton, Sarasota-Bradenton International Airport, FL8 mi46 minWNW 710.00 miA Few Clouds86°F75°F70%1013.5 hPa
Albert Whitted Airport, FL18 mi46 minW 610.00 miFair85°F75°F72%1013.5 hPa
Macdill Air Force Base, Fl., FL24 mi1.7 hrsWSW 410.00 miFair83°F73°F73%1014.2 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KSRQ

Wind History from SRQ (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW7W7SW7W9W7W8W8W9W7W8W10W9W7W10W12W11W12
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2 days agoNW4N3CalmN4N3CalmCalmCalmNW5W6W6W6W8W9W12W11W11W8NW10W9NW6NW5NW4W6

Tide / Current Tables for Bradenton, Manatee River, Tampa Bay, Florida
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Bradenton
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Sat -- 03:10 AM EDT     1.45 feet High Tide
Sat -- 05:30 AM EDT     1.39 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 05:58 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 06:39 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 11:44 AM EDT     2.78 feet High Tide
Sat -- 08:19 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 08:29 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 08:33 PM EDT     -0.38 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.91.21.41.41.41.41.41.51.82.12.52.72.82.62.31.91.40.80.3-0.1-0.3-0.4-0.20.2

Tide / Current Tables for Tampa Bay (Sunshine Skyway Bridge), Florida Current
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Tampa Bay (Sunshine Skyway Bridge)
Click for Map
Sat -- 12:39 AM EDT     1.62 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 05:55 AM EDT     0.12 knots Min Flood
Sat -- 05:58 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 06:40 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 10:47 AM EDT     1.33 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 01:43 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 06:02 PM EDT     -1.96 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 08:20 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 08:30 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 10:13 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.51.61.30.90.50.20.10.20.50.91.21.31.10.5-0.2-0.9-1.5-1.8-2-1.9-1.5-0.9-0.20.6

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Tampa Bay, FL (0,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Tampa Bay Area, FL
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Gulf Stream Current


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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.