Friday, April3, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Ellenton, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:16AMSunset 7:50PM Friday April 3, 2020 7:34 PM EDT (23:34 UTC) Moonrise 2:08PMMoonset 3:12AM Illumination 83% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 11 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ830 Tampa Bay Waters- 206 Pm Edt Fri Apr 3 2020
Tonight..Northwest winds around 10 knots then becoming northeast around 5 knots after midnight. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Saturday..Northeast winds around 5 knots then becoming west around 10 knots in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Saturday night..Northwest winds around 10 knots then becoming north around 5 knots after midnight. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Sunday..East winds around 5 knots then becoming west in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters smooth. A slight chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Sunday night..Northeast winds around 10 knots then becoming east after midnight. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Monday..Southeast winds around 10 knots then becoming south in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A slight chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Monday night..Southeast winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Tuesday..South winds around 10 knots then becoming southwest in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A slight chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Tuesday night..Southwest winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Wednesday..West winds 5 to 10 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 206 Pm Edt Fri Apr 3 2020
Synopsis.. High pressure will support tranquil boating conditions over the gulf waters the next several days with slight seas and east-southeast winds around 10 knots today through Sunday, then southeast to south winds on Monday and Tuesday as surface high pressure sinks south over the region with a weak pressure pattern supporting an onshore sea breeze component developing along the coast each afternoon. A few showers and Thunderstorms are possible early next week. No headlines are expected.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Ellenton, FL
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location: 27.53, -82.48     debug


Area Discussion for - Tampa Bay, FL
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FXUS62 KTBW 031729 AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 129 PM EDT Fri Apr 3 2020

DISCUSSION.

Moisture and warmer temperatures return to the area early next week, with the GFS advertising PWATS as high as 2.0 inches. Even if that is a bit aggressive I think scattered showers and thunderstorms is a good bet for Sunday through Tuesday. Starting Wednesday the chance of rain should be more focused on the north and interior ahead of a series of very weak fronts. I will up pops a bit above the NBM guidance but no where near as high as the 06z and 12z MEX or 00z ECX to at least show a trend.

Otherwise the deep layer ridge over the GOM will build north then flatten out to a more zonal flow. That translates to warm temperatures through the period. The surface pressure pattern will be generally weak with mostly weak high pressure over the area with a series of weak and dying troughs affecting us towards the end of the week.

AVIATION.

We are expecting light winds and VFR conditions the next 30 hours.

MARINE.

Winds increase early in the week, way below advisory criteria. By mid week the winds veer to long fetch onshore. This will increase seas some, but way below criteria. All in all it looks like very nice boating weather.

FIRE WEATHER.

Moisture is slowly increasing, still we will see patchy areas with marginally low humidities today. Light winds will keep any warnings at bay. Humidities increase a bit more on Saturday. and early next week.

Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs. TPA 63 85 66 83 / 0 0 0 20 FMY 65 84 67 84 / 0 0 0 30 GIF 59 88 63 82 / 0 0 0 30 SRQ 64 83 66 82 / 0 0 0 20 BKV 56 86 60 84 / 0 0 0 30 SPG 65 84 67 83 / 0 0 0 20

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . None. Gulf waters . None.

DISCUSSION/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER . 04/Sobien DECISION SUPPORT . 25/Davis


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PMAF1 9 mi46 min 74°F 81°F1014.2 hPa
MTBF1 11 mi46 min NW 12 G 13 74°F 1014.3 hPa60°F
GCTF1 17 mi46 min 77°F 1013.9 hPa60°F
CLBF1 18 mi100 min WNW 7 G 13 76°F 1013.1 hPa
SAPF1 - 8726520 - St. Petersburg, FL 18 mi46 min WNW 7 G 11 77°F 79°F1014.1 hPa
OPTF1 - 8726607 - Old Port Tampa, FL 23 mi46 min NW 13 G 16 75°F 78°F1014.2 hPa
42098 24 mi34 min 76°F1 ft
MCYF1 27 mi46 min 82°F
TPAF1 - 8726694 - TPA Cruise Terminal 2, Tampa, FL 28 mi46 min WNW 1.9 G 4.1
TSHF1 - 8726667 - East Bay Causeway, FL 28 mi52 min W 7 G 12
VENF1 - Venice, FL 32 mi34 min WSW 11 G 13 75°F 79°F1014.1 hPa (+0.8)64°F
42013 - C10 - Navy-2 34 mi124 min SW 7.8 G 9.7 74°F 75°F1014.3 hPa
CWBF1 - 8726724 - Clearwater Beach, FL 36 mi52 min NW 9.9 G 12 73°F 78°F1014.6 hPa
FHPF1 - Fred Howard Park, FL 46 mi100 min NW 9.9 G 13 75°F 1014.9 hPa

Wind History for C-Cut, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Sarasota / Bradenton, Sarasota-Bradenton International Airport, FL10 mi41 minW 910.00 miFair76°F64°F67%1013.7 hPa
Albert Whitted Airport, FL18 mi41 minW 710.00 miFair77°F57°F52%1013.4 hPa
Macdill Air Force Base, Fl., FL23 mi38 minNNW 710.00 miFair75°F59°F59%1014.2 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KSRQ

Wind History from SRQ (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr----N4N5N5NE4E5E4NE5NE5N4NE3NE3E4E7E10E5E9W10SW10W11W12W10W9
1 day agoNW9NW10N9N7NE4NE5E8E6NE5E4E4NE4NE4NE6E96E33W10W14W13W15----
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Tide / Current Tables for Redfish Point, Manatee River, Tampa Bay, Florida
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Redfish Point
Click for Map
Fri -- 04:11 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 06:00 AM EDT     -0.34 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:17 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 01:14 PM EDT     1.32 feet High Tide
Fri -- 03:08 PM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 05:05 PM EDT     1.30 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:48 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 10:09 PM EDT     1.89 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.310.60.3-0-0.3-0.3-0.200.40.81.11.21.31.31.31.31.31.31.51.71.81.91.8

Tide / Current Tables for Port Manatee, Tampa Bay, Florida Current
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Port Manatee
Click for Map
Fri -- 02:40 AM EDT     -1.00 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 04:12 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 06:44 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 07:18 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 10:30 AM EDT     1.00 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 03:07 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 03:08 PM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 04:18 PM EDT     -0.09 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 05:27 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 07:49 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 08:46 PM EDT     0.48 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 11:37 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0.6-0.8-1-1-0.9-0.7-0.30.10.50.8110.80.50.20-0.1-0.10.10.30.40.50.40.2

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Tampa Bay, FL (19,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Tampa Bay Area, FL
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Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.