Saturday, August17, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Indian River Shores, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:52AMSunset 7:59PM Saturday August 17, 2019 8:33 PM EDT (00:33 UTC) Moonrise 8:33PMMoonset 7:34AM Illumination 94% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 17 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ555 SEbastian Inlet To Jupiter Inlet 0-20 Nm- 320 Pm Edt Sat Aug 17 2019
Tonight..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet with a dominant period 9 seconds. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening, then slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Sunday..South winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southeast in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 feet with a dominant period 9 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday night..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday night..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Tuesday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Showers likely and chance of Thunderstorms.
Tuesday night..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday night..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 320 Pm Edt Sat Aug 17 2019
Synopsis..The axis of the atlantic high pressure ridge will lift slowly northward from lake okeechobee to near cape canaveral by Sunday night. As the ridge shifts north of central florida Monday night and Tuesday, an inverted trough will move northwest from the bahamas across east central florida and the adjacent atlantic. Winds wil remain out of the southwest and south through tonight, then become southeast from Sunday through the middle of next week. Scattered offshore moving storms possible through this evening, then threat for storms decreasing Sunday and Monday. Storm coverage will increase again beginning Monday night as the inverted trough approaches and moves across the local waters.
Gulf stream hazards..None. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Friday august 16th. 42 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 31 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 24 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 15 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 9 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Indian River Shores, FL
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location: 27.73, -80.39     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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Fxus62 kmlb 171919
afdmlb
area forecast discussion
national weather service melbourne fl
319 pm edt Sat aug 17 2019

Discussion
Tonight-Sunday... May see some lingering convection mainly along
the coast this evening, but this activity should weaken and push
offshore by midnight. Rain chances continue to decrease slightly
into Sunday as drier air moves in with the slow migration
northward of the subtropical ridge axis into central florida.

Greatest rain chances will exist north of okeechobee county and
the treasure coast where deeper moisture will persist, with pops
ranging from 20-30% along the treasure coast up to 50 percent
northwest of a line from melbourne to lake kissimmee. Skies will
start out partly sunny with highs reaching the low 90s.

Monday... (previous discussion) available moisture drops off
slightly on Monday as the GFS is showing even more drier air
moving in out ahead of a westward-moving inverted trough.

Scattered diurnal convection still expected during the afternoon
along the seabreezes with the eventual collision over the
interior. With some drier air moving in, coverage of showers and
storms shouldn't be as high as Sunday, especially for areas south
of melbourne. Northern interior sections will see the higher
chances with the better moisture and more boundary interactions.

Also, forecast soundings are showing more dry air aloft to entrain
with downdraft CAPE approaching 1000 j kg. So while coverage is
not expected to be as high, storms that do form will have greater
potential for strong wind gusts. Forecast for Monday has rain
chances 20-30% along the coast and 40% interior.

Max temps will be around 90 along the coast and low (possibly some
mid) 90s inland. Lows in the low to mid 70s.

Tuesday-Saturday... (previous discussion) shower and storm chances
increase in the Tuesday Wednesday timeframe as the previously
mentioned inverted trough approaches and moves through bringing
deeper moisture across the area. At the same time, mid-level
low troughing begins to re- establish itself across the NE gulf of
mexico into northern florida providing some additional lift.

Forecast GOES slightly above guidance with 60% areawide on both
Tuesday and Wednesday. By late week into early next weekend,
onshore flow patterns looks to become more established bringing
the higher chances for diurnal showers and storms across the
interior. Forecast has 40-50% chances across the interior and
30-40% along the coast.

Max temps a couple degrees either side of 90. Lows in the mid 70s.

Aviation Sct-nmrs convection fcst thru late aftn early evening.

Thus far, activity has remained rather tame across the i-4 corridor
and this early shower activity may keep additional development here
limited over the remainder of the afternoon and early evening.

Further south slightly later initiation with additional surface
heating will allow for increased coverage intensity of storms. The
ecsb will also provide an additional focus as it ventures inland and
greets convection moving towards the east coast. Activity is moving
northeastward at 20-25 kts. Tempo groups in tafs with brief MVFR in
quicker moving showers storms. Some wind gusts in upwards of 30 to
35 kts locally remain possible. Again, expect the activity to
diminish during the evening.

Marine
Tonight... Winds will be out of the south-southwest around 5-10
knots, with seas 1-2 feet. A few strong offshore moving storms
will be possible, mainly through early evening from the cape
southward.

Sunday-Wednesday... (previous discussion) slightly lower chances
for showers and storms Sunday and Monday before increasing again
on Tuesday and Wednesday. Seas will continue in the 1-2 ft range
nearshore through Tuesday before building to 2-3 ft on Wednesday.

Offshore waters will see generally 2 ft seas (maybe 3 ft well
offshore) through Tuesday before building to 3 ft on Wednesday.

Winds will be S SE on Sunday 10-15 kt, and from Monday-Wednesday
winds will back to ese SE with winds around 10 kt.

Preliminary point temps pops
Dab 73 90 73 90 20 50 40 40
mco 74 92 75 93 20 50 30 40
mlb 75 90 74 89 30 40 30 30
vrb 73 91 73 90 30 30 30 20
lee 74 90 75 92 20 50 20 50
sfb 74 92 74 93 20 50 30 40
orl 75 92 75 93 20 50 30 40
fpr 73 91 74 90 30 30 20 20

Mlb watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Am... None.

Short long term... Weitlich
impact wx radar... .Spratt
aviation... Sedlock


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
SIPF1 10 mi48 min W 6 78°F 77°F1019 hPa
41114 - Fort Pierce, FL (134) 15 mi33 min 84°F1 ft
41113 - Cape Canaveral Nearshore, FL (143) 47 mi33 min 78°F1 ft
TRDF1 - 8721604 - Trident Pier, FL 49 mi45 min SW 1.9 G 2.9 76°F 82°F1019.9 hPa
41009 - CANAVERAL 20 NM East of Cape Canaveral, FL 55 mi43 min W 5.8 G 7.8 78°F 82°F2 ft1018.4 hPa71°F
LKWF1 - 8722670 - Lake Worth, FL 79 mi51 min N 2.9 G 4.1

Wind History for Trident Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Vero Beach, Vero Beach Municipal Airport, FL6 mi3.7 hrsNE 710.00 miThunderstorm79°F72°F79%1017.8 hPa
Fort Pierce, St. Lucie County International Airport, FL16 mi3.7 hrsW 12 G 1910.00 miThunderstorm in Vicinity84°F70°F63%1017.8 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KVRB

Wind History from VRB (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr--CalmNW5--Calm--S3S5--CalmSE3S4--35--E13E11E9SE14NE7----NW5
1 day ago--SW7--S5S5S4--------S4--------SW10SW10SW8SW9--SW7--SE8NW4
2 days agoCalmCalmCalmCalmSW4SW3S4CalmS4S4SW3SW3S5S6SW5S8S6SE12N4NE3Calm------

Tide / Current Tables for Wabasso, Indian River, Florida (2)
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Wabasso
Click for Map
Sat -- 12:41 AM EDT     0.44 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:53 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 07:35 AM EDT     0.11 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 08:34 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 12:53 PM EDT     0.42 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:46 PM EDT     0.07 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 07:58 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 09:33 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.40.40.40.40.30.20.10.10.10.20.20.30.40.40.40.30.30.20.10.10.10.10.20.3

Tide / Current Tables for Vero Beach, Indian River, Florida (2)
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Vero Beach
Click for Map
Sat -- 01:18 AM EDT     0.94 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:53 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 07:52 AM EDT     0.19 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 08:34 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 01:29 PM EDT     0.89 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:57 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 08:03 PM EDT     0.12 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 09:32 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.80.90.90.80.70.50.30.20.20.30.40.60.80.90.90.80.60.50.30.20.10.20.30.5

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Melbourne, FL (20,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.