Sunday, December15, 2019
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Marine Weather and Tides
Indian River Shores, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:03AMSunset 5:30PM Sunday December 15, 2019 4:51 AM EST (09:51 UTC) Moonrise 9:06PMMoonset 10:10AM Illumination 86% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 18 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ555 SEbastian Inlet To Jupiter Inlet 0-20 Nm- 349 Am Est Sun Dec 15 2019
Today..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet with a dominant period 9 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Tonight..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with a dominant period 5 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Monday..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 4 to 5 feet with a dominant period 5 seconds. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters.
Monday night..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers.
Tuesday..South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Tuesday night..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots becoming west after midnight. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Chance of showers.
Wednesday..North winds 20 to 25 knots. Seas 5 to 7 feet. Chance of showers.
Wednesday night..North winds 20 to 25 knots. Seas 7 to 10 feet. Slight chance of showers.
Thursday..Northeast winds 20 to 25 knots. Seas 6 to 9 feet. Slight chance of showers.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 349 Am Est Sun Dec 15 2019
Synopsis..High pressure over florida this morning will slide northeast into the atlantic late today through mid week. Light winds will become onshore this afternoon and southeast on Monday. Winds veer to southwest on Tuesday ahead of the the next strong cold front, which will push across central florida late Tuesday night and Wednesday morning, bringing poor to hazardous boating conditions to the local waters.
Gulf stream hazards..None. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Saturday, december 14th. 44 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 30 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 26 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 17 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 11 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Indian River Shores, FL
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location: 27.73, -80.39     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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FXUS62 KMLB 150906 AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 406 AM EST Sun Dec 15 2019

DISCUSSION.

Today-tonight . High pressure center over Florida will slide well E-NE over the Atlantic during the next 24h as a mid level ridge builds across Florida and the Bahamas. Sunny/dry and comfortable today with near normal max temps in the L-M70s north and M-U70s south. Light surface-H85 winds will become SE tonight, allowing mins to moderate several degrees compared to this morning, mainly U50s inland to L60s along the coast.

Mon . High pressure ridge axis slips southward across the FL peninsula as a cold front pushes east across the deep South. Resulting SE wind flow will produce above normal temperatures in the lower 80s with a few mid 80s over the interior counties. While no rain is expected, there will be more clouds as diurnal cumulus field pancakes beneath stout subsidence inversion.

Tue . A large upper trough will develop across the eastern CONUS and both GFS and ECMWF models push another strong cold front into Florida Tue overnight. We will remain in the warm sector on Tue with above normal temps in the low to mid 80s which will approach record highs in a few spots. Additional moisture will be drawn northward ahead of the front on Tue which will modify the dry mid level airmass esp southern sections. Expect boundary collisions to support scattered showers and isolated storms in the aftn with showery precip continuing Tue night as the front pushes across the area. Severe weather is not anticipated.

Wed-Thu . Turning noticeably cooler behind the front with highs struggling to reach 60F across Lake/Volusia counties Wed warming near 70 across the far south. High pressure behind the front will quickly translate east onto the Atlc allowing for a quick return of onshore flow and moderating temps. The coldest morning looks to be Thu with low to mid 40s Volusia and the interior counties and low to mid 50s Brevard-Martin counties.

Fri-Sat . Both GFS and ECMWF show a progressive upper pattern with an upper ridge over the western US forcing a downstream trough over the eastern US. The operational GFS is very aggressive showing a cut-off upper low developing over and to the east of FL while the operational ECMWF has backed off on this solution, now showing a progressive upper trough pushing across the area. Although details are quite different, we should expect another frontal passage during this time frame with at least scattered showers.

AVIATION. There could be some spotty, MIFG/BR around a few of the aerodromes early this morning (09Z-13Z), otherwise VFR/SKC.

MARINE. Today-tonight . Winds of less than 10KT this morning will veer onshore in the afternoon, and then increase out of SE to 10-15KT near shore and 15-18KT well offshore late tonight. Seas 3-4FT tonight, building to 4-5Ft tonight.

Mon-Tue . High pressure quickly pushes seaward into the western Atlc with a trailing ridge axis that pushes down the FL peninsula ahead of the next cold front. As a result, winds will veer out of the southeast and increase near 15 knots Monday and south to southwest Tue. Seas up to 6 ft offshore Monday, 3-5 feet Tue.

Wed-Thu . A cold front is forecast to push across the local Atlc waters Tue night/early Wed followed by an increase in N/NW winds 20-25 knots over the open Atlc. Seas will build quickly to 7-8 feet in the Gulf Stream Wed and then up to 10 feet Wed night as winds veer N/NE and directly oppose the Gulf stream. Winds veer NE Thu with a very gradual decrease in wind speeds and seas. So a Small Craft Advisory will likely be needed for much of the waters this period.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS. DAB 72 57 80 64 / 0 0 0 10 MCO 74 59 83 66 / 0 0 0 10 MLB 76 60 81 68 / 0 0 0 20 VRB 76 61 82 66 / 0 0 10 20 LEE 74 58 81 65 / 0 0 0 10 SFB 74 58 81 64 / 0 0 0 10 ORL 74 59 81 66 / 0 0 0 10 FPR 78 61 81 67 / 0 0 10 20

MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . None. AM . None.



SHORT TERM . Cristaldi LONG TERM . Kelly AVIATION . Cristaldi


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
SIPF1 10 mi37 min NW 6 58°F 56°F1018 hPa
41114 - Fort Pierce, FL (134) 15 mi52 min 76°F3 ft
41113 - Cape Canaveral Nearshore, FL (143) 47 mi52 min 73°F2 ft
TRDF1 - 8721604 - Trident Pier, FL 49 mi52 min NNW 7 G 8.9 58°F 71°F1018.8 hPa (+1.0)
41009 - CANAVERAL 20 NM East of Cape Canaveral, FL 55 mi32 min NNW 9.7 G 16 68°F 77°F1017.8 hPa57°F
LKWF1 - 8722670 - Lake Worth, FL 79 mi52 min NW 9.9 G 12 61°F 76°F1017.8 hPa (+0.8)

Wind History for Trident Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Vero Beach, Vero Beach Municipal Airport, FL6 mi59 minN 09.00 miFair52°F50°F93%1017.1 hPa
Fort Pierce, St. Lucie County International Airport, FL16 mi59 minW 410.00 miFair52°F48°F89%1017.1 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KVRB

Wind History from VRB (wind in knots)
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NW10NW6W11W11W8W11W11NW9NW8NW7W4W5NW5CalmCalmCalmW4Calm
1 day agoSE3E6--SE6SE8SE12S14S9S10S7SW8SW5SW6W6S3S6W4S4S5SW7S7--SW6SW9
2 days agoE11NE10E18
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Tide / Current Tables for Wabasso, Indian River, Florida (2)
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Wabasso
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:20 AM EST     0.45 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:04 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:21 AM EST     -0.04 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 10:10 AM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 01:01 PM EST     0.48 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:28 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 07:56 PM EST     0.12 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 09:05 PM EST     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.40.40.40.30.20.10-0-00.10.20.30.40.50.50.40.30.30.20.10.10.20.20.3

Tide / Current Tables for Vero Beach, Indian River, Florida (2)
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Vero Beach
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:56 AM EST     0.96 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:04 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:38 AM EST     -0.07 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 10:09 AM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 01:37 PM EST     1.03 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:28 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 08:13 PM EST     0.22 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 09:05 PM EST     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.910.90.70.50.30.1-0-0.10.10.30.60.8110.90.80.60.40.30.20.30.40.6

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Melbourne, FL (4,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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