Friday, August23, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Bradley Junction, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:00AMSunset 7:59PM Friday August 23, 2019 6:45 AM EDT (10:45 UTC) Moonrise 12:00AMMoonset 12:59PM Illumination 46% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 23 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ830 Tampa Bay Waters- 316 Am Edt Fri Aug 23 2019
Today..Northeast winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Isolated Thunderstorms late in the morning. Scattered Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Tonight..East winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Isolated Thunderstorms early in the evening.
Saturday..Northeast winds around 5 knots then becoming north around 10 knots in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Scattered Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Saturday night..Northeast winds around 5 knots. Bay and inland waters smooth. Scattered Thunderstorms in the evening, then isolated Thunderstorms after midnight.
Sunday..East winds around 5 knots then becoming west in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters smooth. Scattered Thunderstorms.
Sunday night..South winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Scattered Thunderstorms.
Monday..Southwest winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Scattered Thunderstorms.
Monday night..Southwest winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Isolated Thunderstorms.
Tuesday..West winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Scattered Thunderstorms.
GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 316 Am Edt Fri Aug 23 2019
Synopsis.. Atlantic ridging will continue to extend across northern florida into the northeastern gulf of mexico today with light southeasterly winds turning onshore with the afternoon sea breeze. A weak inverted trough will move northwest into the eastern gulf of mexico during the weekend, with somewhat variable winds Saturday turning to southerly and southwesterly Sunday through early next week. Winds and seas will generally remain below headline criteria, although daily Thunderstorms will produce locally hazardous boating conditions.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Bradley Junction, FL
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location: 27.84, -82     debug


Area Discussion for - Tampa Bay, FL
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Fxus62 ktbw 230716
afdtbw
area forecast discussion
national weather service tampa bay ruskin fl
316 am edt Fri aug 23 2019

Discussion
Easterly flow regime remains in place across the area today as
atlantic ridge is positioned north of the area. To the southeast,
an inverted trough tropical wave is moving towards the southern
fl peninsula. This will bring deeper moisture over the southern
portion of the forecast area today which will allow for likely
pops across SW florida this afternoon and evening. Across the
nature coast, atmospheric moisture remains lower and thusly rain
chances there should be in the 20-30 percent range. A weak
seabreeze will likely develop and push inland in the vicinity of
the i-75 corridor which could spark some shower and storm
development in this area. Any convection will move west out into
the eastern gulf during the evening hours with skies becoming
mostly clear to partly cloudy overnight. Similar weather is
expected on Saturday with deeper moisture perhaps shifting a bit
further north.

During Sunday and Monday a weakening frontal boundary will drift
into the southeast states with the models developing a weak low,
perhaps tropical in nature, off the florida east coast that moves
northeast away from the region. This pattern will setup a more
south to southwest flow across the area and with ample moisture
remaining in place we'll continue to see unsettled weather with
scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms. As is typical
with this setup the best timing for the convection will be over
the coastal waters and near the coast during the late night and
morning hours then shifting inland during the afternoon and
evening.

Temperatures will run near climatological norms through the
period.

Aviation
Vfr conditions expected through the rest of the morning and into
early afternoon. Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms
are expected to develop during the afternoon, causing brief
periods of MVFR ifr conditions as storms move over individual
terminals.

Marine
Atlantic ridging will continue to extend across northern florida
into the northeastern gulf of mexico today with light southeasterly
winds turning onshore with the afternoon sea breeze. A weak
inverted trough will move northwest into the eastern gulf of
mexico during the weekend, with somewhat variable winds Saturday
turning to southerly and southwesterly Sunday through early next
week. Winds and seas will generally remain below headline
criteria, although daily thunderstorms will produce locally
hazardous boating conditions.

Fire weather
Sufficient low level moisture will keep relative humidity values
above critical levels through the week with no red flag conditions
expected. No significant fog is expected through the period.

Preliminary point temps pops
Tpa 91 78 92 77 40 20 40 20
fmy 91 77 91 76 60 30 50 30
gif 92 76 93 75 50 20 50 20
srq 92 78 92 77 50 20 40 20
bkv 93 75 93 75 40 20 40 20
spg 91 80 91 77 50 20 30 30

Tbw watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Gulf waters... None.

Discussion aviation marine fire weather... 11 mckaughan
decision support... 13 oglesby


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
TSHF1 - 8726667 - East Bay Causeway, FL 23 mi45 min NNE 2.9 G 5.1
MCYF1 23 mi45 min 85°F
TPAF1 - 8726694 - TPA Cruise Terminal 2, Tampa, FL 24 mi45 min N 4.1 G 5.1
GCTF1 28 mi51 min 81°F 1015.5 hPa74°F
OPTF1 - 8726607 - Old Port Tampa, FL 29 mi51 min NE 2.9 G 4.1 80°F 86°F1015.5 hPa
PMAF1 33 mi45 min 77°F 86°F1015.3 hPa (+0.0)
MTBF1 34 mi51 min E 6 G 8 81°F 1015.6 hPa75°F
SAPF1 - 8726520 - St. Petersburg, FL 34 mi45 min ENE 4.1 G 7 81°F 87°F1015.8 hPa (+0.0)
CLBF1 37 mi51 min Calm G 1 78°F 1015 hPa
CWBF1 - 8726724 - Clearwater Beach, FL 45 mi51 min NE 4.1 G 6 80°F 88°F1015.8 hPa
FHPF1 - Fred Howard Park, FL 48 mi111 min E 4.1 G 5.1 79°F 1016.2 hPa

Wind History for East Bay Causeway, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Plant City, Plant City Municipal Airport, FL14 mi70 minN 010.00 miFair75°F75°F100%1016.6 hPa
Bartow Municipal, FL14 mi70 minN 010.00 miFair79°F77°F94%1015.6 hPa
Winter Havens Gilbert Airport, FL20 mi1.9 hrsNNE 410.00 miFair78°F75°F90%1015.3 hPa
Tampa, Peter O Knight Airport, FL24 mi70 minN 010.00 miMostly Cloudy0°F0°F%1015.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KLAL

Wind History from LAL (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmSE4CalmCalmE3N3SE5CalmE4E4--E8E8E6E6--------------N4
1 day agoE4Calm----E4E8CalmCalmE6S6SE3SE4SE11E10E7SE5----------------
2 days agoE3E4E6E6E6SE6SE6SE5SE16
G20
SE3E10--E5E7E5------------------

Tide / Current Tables for Hillsborough Bay, Tampa Bay, Tampa Bay, Florida
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Hillsborough Bay
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:26 AM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 01:19 AM EDT     1.86 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:03 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 07:22 AM EDT     2.75 feet High Tide
Fri -- 10:58 AM EDT     Last Quarter
Fri -- 02:01 PM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 03:31 PM EDT     0.88 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 08:00 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 09:45 PM EDT     1.90 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.91.91.922.22.52.62.72.72.62.31.91.61.310.90.911.31.51.71.91.92

Tide / Current Tables for Shell Point, Tampa Bay, Florida
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Shell Point
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:26 AM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 01:10 AM EDT     1.11 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:04 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 07:23 AM EDT     2.05 feet High Tide
Fri -- 10:58 AM EDT     Last Quarter
Fri -- 02:01 PM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 03:22 PM EDT     0.53 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 08:00 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 09:46 PM EDT     1.42 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.21.11.11.31.51.71.9221.91.71.41.10.80.60.50.60.70.91.11.31.41.41.4

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Tampa Bay, FL (6,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Tampa Bay Area, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.