Wednesday, January22, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Roseland, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:11AMSunset 5:55PM Wednesday January 22, 2020 6:24 PM EST (23:24 UTC) Moonrise 5:22AMMoonset 4:00PM Illumination 5% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 27 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ552 Volusia-brevard County Line To Sebastian Inlet 0-20 Nm- 309 Pm Est Wed Jan 22 2020
.gale warning in effect until 7 pm est this evening...
.small craft advisory in effect from 7 pm est this evening through late Thursday night...
Tonight..Northeast winds 20 to 25 knots with frequent gusts to gale force early this evening, diminishing to 15 to 20 knots. Seas 9 to 12 feet with a dominant period 11 seconds. Rough on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers.
Thursday..East winds 15 to 20 knots diminishing to 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 7 to 10 feet with a dominant period 11 seconds. Choppy on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers.
Thursday night..East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 6 to 9 feet with a dominant period 11 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers.
Friday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 6 to 8 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers.
Friday night..South winds 5 to 10 knots becoming west 10 to 15 knots after midnight. Seas 5 to 7 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers.
Saturday..Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 6 to 8 feet. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters.
Saturday night..Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 5 to 7 feet.
Sunday..Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots diminishing to 5 to 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 feet.
Sunday night..Northwest winds 5 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet. Slight chance of showers.
Monday..North winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Chance of showers.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 309 Pm Est Wed Jan 22 2020
Synopsis..Frequent gusts to gale force expected through this evening. Then pressure gradient will start to relax tonight through Friday as the low offshore of the florida east coast pulls away from the area. However, hazardous seas will remain across the waters. Another cold front is forecast to cross the waters Friday night into Saturday morning veering winds back to northwesterly and continuing poor to hazardous conditions into the weekend.
Gulf stream hazards..Northeast winds around 25 knots with frequent gusts to gale force early this evening. Seas up to 15 to 18 feet. Then winds becoming east-northeast with winds decreasing to 20 to 25 knots late this evening with seas 13 to 15 feet. Seas will likely remain above advisory criteria through Saturday. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Monday, january 20th. 41 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 33 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 26 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 18 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 11 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Roseland, FL
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location: 27.86, -80.45     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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FXUS62 KMLB 222053 AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 353 PM EST Wed Jan 22 2020

DISCUSSION.

Currently-Thursday . Challenging temperature forecast as persistent cloud cover and north-northwest winds are keeping cooler conditions in place, especially across the I-4 corridor. From the Orlando area up through Daytona Beach, temperatures are still in the upper 40s to low 50s in spots. However, Leesburg which has seen a little more sun across NW Lake County this afternoon has reached 60 degrees. Even at the coast, along the I-95 corridor of Brevard County, an offshore flow has kept temps in the 50s. However, along the barrier islands from the Cape southward, winds have switched onshore, with the warmer air over the waters producing temperatures in the 60s beachside! Therefore temps for the remainder of today will be quite variable across east central Florida.

Trend should be for low level onshore flow to continue across the area, with model guidance all suggesting winds should eventually switch onshore along the coast, while inland a more northerly flow will likely dominate. Main takeaway is that temperatures will not be nearly as cold tonight as early this morning. In fact temperatures will either remain pretty steady in the 50s, or potentially become slightly warmer, especially along the coast from the Cape southward if winds become onshore and remain off of the ocean overnight.

Breezy to windy conditions at the surface will subside past sunset, with isolated to scattered showers continuing to move onshore and inland in the elevated low level E/NE flow tonight and into tomorrow. Skies will range from partly to mostly cloudy with easterly flow with highs much warmer in the low 70s over much of the area.

Lingering elevated seas will continue to produce hazardous surf conditions at area beaches through tomorrow, with a High Surf Advisory remaining in effect.

Friday . An upper-level low and associated surface low will move to the east along the Ohio River and drag a cold front into the FL panhandle by the late afternoon/early evening. Out ahead of the front, winds will be light and from the S/SSW allowing temperatures to return to above normal values. With increasing moisture and pre- frontal lift provided by some impulses aloft, some showers are expected to develop during the afternoon, with the higher coverage focused north of Orlando (30% chances north and 20% elsewhere). Models are also showing a sea breeze developing south of Melbourne due to the weak pressure gradient and land/ocean temperature contrast which may also generate additional shower activity in the afternoon. Max temps in the mid 70s for the majority of the area, but the Treasure Coast and Okeechobee could see some upper 70s.

Friday Night-Tuesday (modified previous) . Models are running a bit slower than previously forecast, with the previous mentioned front now expected to reach the forecast area after sunset Friday evening. Even so, available moisture looks to still be limited once the front reaches east central FL, so rain chances hover near 20% Fri night, and a rain free weekend in store. Winds veer westerly overnight Friday and then northwesterly by daybreak Saturday behind fropa. Pocket of dry air will creep in behind as well, with PW near 0.30" Sat/Sun. Northwesterly flow will allow for another round of CAA to enter the area, although will not be as significant as the current cold outbreak. Weekend highs ranging from the low 60s northward to low 70s to the south, with morning lows Sunday in the low to mid 40s, returning to seasonal values Monday in the upper 40s/low 50s. Early next week, models hint at another cold front passage, but only included low end shower chances at this time, with near to slightly below normal temps expected to finish out January.

AVIATION. IFR cigs have developed along the Volusia and northern Brevard coast, with MVFR cigs across much of the rest of the interior. From KMLB southward, conditions have become VFR with tempo MVFR conditions from onshore moving showers. IFR/MVFR conditions where they exist should persist into at least early this evening. As low level flow becomes more onshore, cigs should improve tonight into tomorrow with mainly VFR conditions expected. However, tempo MVFR cig/vis will continue with isolated to scattered onshore moving showers. Gusty north to northeast winds will decrease past sunset.

MARINE.

Tonight-Thursday . Will continue Gale Warning over the entire waters through 7 PM this evening as gusts to gale force will still be possible. Headlines then transition to a Small Craft Advisory as east-northeast winds will gradually diminish to 15 to 20 knots nearshore and 20 to 25 knots offshore, with seas up 12-16 feet. Seas will slowly subside but still remain elevated up to 8 to 11 feet into tomorrow, which will continue to produce hazardous boating conditions across the adjacent Atlantic.

Friday-Saturday . Winds veer southerly to around 10 to 15 knots on Friday, but hazardous seas will remain across the waters, especially offshore. Another cold front will cross the waters Friday night into Saturday morning, bringing another period of northwest winds and rebuilding seas.

Sunday-Monday . Improving conditions as pressure gradient weakens with high pressure building in across the southeastern U.S. Winds will diminish to around 10 knots this period with gradually subsiding seas.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS. DAB 55 69 60 76 / 40 30 20 20 MCO 51 73 59 77 / 20 30 10 20 MLB 55 71 62 77 / 30 30 20 20 VRB 58 74 62 77 / 30 30 30 20 LEE 50 71 58 76 / 10 20 10 20 SFB 52 72 59 77 / 30 30 10 20 ORL 51 72 59 77 / 30 30 10 20 FPR 58 72 60 77 / 30 30 30 20

MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . High Surf Advisory until 7 PM EST Thursday for Coastal Volusia- Indian River-Martin-Northern Brevard-Southern Brevard-St. Lucie.

Wind Advisory until 7 PM EST this evening for Coastal Volusia- Indian River-Martin-Northern Brevard-Southern Brevard-St. Lucie.

Lake Wind Advisory until 7 PM EST this evening for Inland Volusia-Northern Lake-Okeechobee-Orange-Osceola-Seminole- Southern Lake.

AM . Small Craft Advisory from 7 PM this evening to 4 AM EST Friday for Flagler Beach to Volusia-Brevard County Line 0-20 nm- Flagler Beach to Volusia-Brevard County Line 20-60 nm- Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 0-20 nm-Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 20-60 nm-Volusia-Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 0-20 nm-Volusia-Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 20-60 nm.

Gale Warning until 7 PM EST this evening for Flagler Beach to Volusia-Brevard County Line 0-20 nm-Flagler Beach to Volusia-Brevard County Line 20-60 nm-Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 0-20 nm-Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 20- 60 nm-Volusia-Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 0-20 nm-Volusia-Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 20-60 nm.



Weitlich/Combs/Pendergrast/Watson


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
SIPF1 0 mi40 min NE 20 67°F 66°F1017 hPa
41114 - Fort Pierce, FL (134) 25 mi55 min 69°F12 ft
41113 - Cape Canaveral Nearshore, FL (143) 38 mi55 min 65°F6 ft
TRDF1 - 8721604 - Trident Pier, FL 39 mi55 min 59°F 67°F1018.9 hPa
41009 - CANAVERAL 20 NM East of Cape Canaveral, FL 47 mi35 min NE 23 G 29 71°F 76°F14 ft1017.4 hPa55°F
LKWF1 - 8722670 - Lake Worth, FL 89 mi67 min NW 13 G 16

Wind History for Trident Pier, FL
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Vero Beach, Vero Beach Municipal Airport, FL15 mi92 minVar 610.00 miOvercast61°F57°F88%1016.3 hPa
Melbourne International Airport, FL20 mi32 minWNW 113.00 miLight Rain Fog/Mist55°F55°F100%1017.5 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KVRB

Wind History from VRB (wind in knots)
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1 day ago--NW8--------------------NW10NW12NW13
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2 days ago----W6--------------------N11--NW9NW11N11
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Tide / Current Tables for Sebastian Inlet bridge, Indian River, Florida (2)
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Sebastian Inlet bridge
Click for Map
Wed -- 05:21 AM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 06:02 AM EST     2.22 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:12 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 12:14 PM EST     0.10 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 03:59 PM EST     Moonset
Wed -- 05:53 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 06:03 PM EST     2.03 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0.3-0.10.41.11.62.12.22.11.71.20.70.30.10.20.511.51.921.91.510.4-0.1

Tide / Current Tables for Wabasso, Indian River, Florida
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Wabasso
Click for Map
Wed -- 02:27 AM EST     -0.19 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 05:21 AM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 07:12 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 09:03 AM EST     0.25 feet High Tide
Wed -- 03:36 PM EST     -0.18 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 03:59 PM EST     Moonset
Wed -- 05:53 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 09:21 PM EST     0.11 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Melbourne, FL (18,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.