Friday, August23, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Progress Village, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:02AMSunset 8:02PM Friday August 23, 2019 6:39 PM EDT (22:39 UTC) Moonrise 12:00AMMoonset 1:01PM Illumination 41% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 23 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ830 Tampa Bay Waters- 301 Pm Edt Fri Aug 23 2019
Tonight..Northeast winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Isolated Thunderstorms early in the evening.
Saturday..North winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Isolated Thunderstorms late in the morning. Scattered Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Saturday night..Northeast winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Isolated Thunderstorms in the evening.
Sunday..North winds around 5 knots then becoming northwest in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters smooth. Isolated Thunderstorms late in the morning. Scattered Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Sunday night..West winds around 5 knots then becoming south around 5 knots after midnight. Bay and inland waters smooth. Scattered Thunderstorms.
Monday..Southwest winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Scattered Thunderstorms.
Monday night..Southwest winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Isolated Thunderstorms in the evening, then scattered Thunderstorms after midnight.
Tuesday..West winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Scattered Thunderstorms.
Tuesday night..West winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Scattered Thunderstorms.
Wednesday..West winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Scattered Thunderstorms.
GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 301 Pm Edt Fri Aug 23 2019
Synopsis.. A weak inverted trough will move northwest into the eastern gulf of mexico tonight and into the weekend, with light northerly winds Saturday and Sunday turning to westerly and southwesterly by Sunday night. Winds and seas will generally remain below headline criteria, although daily Thunderstorms will produce locally hazardous boating conditions.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Progress Village, FL
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location: 27.88, -82.45     debug


Area Discussion for - Tampa Bay, FL
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Fxus62 ktbw 231900
afdtbw
area forecast discussion
national weather service tampa bay ruskin fl
300 pm edt Fri aug 23 2019

Short term mid term (tonight-Sunday)
The weak area of low pressure along the southeast florida coast is
expected to drift northwest and north over the peninsula tonight
and Saturday and then turn northeast out into the atlantic ocean
Saturday night and Sunday. On this general track most of the
forecast area will remain on the west and therefore drier side of
the system.

For the rest of this afternoon and evening scattered showers and a
few thunderstorms will continue to move west and southwest across
the region. Then overnight into early Saturday morning some
isolated to scattered convection will continue over the eastern
gulf waters, but most of the showers and storms will remain along
the east coast with a few showers possibly moving into highlands
and eastern polk counties. For the remainder of Saturday current
indications are that we'll see a similar scenario to today with
scattered showers and a few thunderstorms developing and moving
southwest across the region. During Saturday night and Sunday it
looks like some drier air will spread into the area which could
limit the convective coverage on Sunday, but models are offering
differing solutions so for now have continued with the scattered
pops, except numerous over the interior, during the afternoon and
early evening. Main concern with the showers and thunderstorms
will be locally heavy rainfall, but with the convection moving
rather quickly rainfall amounts will be limited and the overall
current forecast track of the low would keep the heaviest rainfall
east and south of our area.

Long term (Sunday night-next Friday)
At the start of the period Sunday night, the low pressure system
currently in the headlines will be located off the southeast
coast. Regardless of tropical development by this time, the
surface low will be pulling off to the northeast away from the
florida peninsula. The departing system will create southwest flow
on Monday and with pwat around 2 inches expect morning
showers thunderstorms gradually migrating inland throughout the
day. Through mid week, west to northwest flow will be countered by
broad cyclonic flow and ample moisture, allowing for rather
sporadic rain chances each day. By Thursday into Friday, a
tropical upper tropospheric trough (tutt) will be moving westward
across cuba. While this upper level feature will be well to our
south, some enhancement at the lower levels may induce a weak area
of low pressure along a frontal boundary and bring an increase in
pops as we end the work week. Otherwise, temperatures will be near
average for this time of year but daily cloud cover and
precipitation activity will dictate temperatures by a few degrees.

Aviation
Scattered showers and thunderstorms will continue to cause some
MVFR local ifr conditions, otherwise mainlyVFR conditions are
expected during the next 24 hours. Northeast winds at 6 to 10
knots this afternoon will diminish to around 5 knots or less
tonight then increase back to 6 to 10 knots by late Saturday
morning. Winds could be briefly higher near convection with gusts
up to 25 knots possible.

Marine
A northeast to north flow will persist into Sunday then shift to a
more west to southwest early next week as a weakening front moves
into the southeast states. Winds and seas will remain below
headline criteria, although daily thunderstorms will produce
locally hazardous boating conditions.

Fire weather
Abundant low level moisture will keep relative humidity values
above critical levels through the period with no red flag
conditions expected. No significant fog is expected.

Preliminary point temps pops
Tpa 78 92 79 92 10 40 20 30
fmy 76 92 78 92 20 50 30 50
gif 76 93 77 94 20 50 20 50
srq 77 92 78 92 20 40 20 30
bkv 74 93 75 94 10 40 20 40
spg 79 91 80 92 10 40 20 30

Tbw watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Gulf waters... None.

Short term mid term aviation marine fire weather... Close
long term decision support... Norman


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
MCYF1 3 mi52 min 85°F
TPAF1 - 8726694 - TPA Cruise Terminal 2, Tampa, FL 4 mi52 min N 5.1 G 7
TSHF1 - 8726667 - East Bay Causeway, FL 4 mi52 min NNE 5.1 G 8.9
OPTF1 - 8726607 - Old Port Tampa, FL 6 mi52 min NNE 6 G 8 88°F 87°F1014.1 hPa
GCTF1 8 mi58 min 87°F 1014 hPa75°F
SAPF1 - 8726520 - St. Petersburg, FL 12 mi52 min NE 12 G 13 90°F 89°F1014.4 hPa
CLBF1 16 mi106 min E 4.1 G 8 91°F 1012.6 hPa
MTBF1 17 mi58 min ENE 11 G 15 87°F 1014.2 hPa75°F
PMAF1 18 mi52 min 88°F 90°F1013.7 hPa
CWBF1 - 8726724 - Clearwater Beach, FL 21 mi58 min N 8 G 8.9 85°F 89°F1014.5 hPa
FHPF1 - Fred Howard Park, FL 26 mi106 min N 11 G 13 87°F 1014.5 hPa
42098 32 mi40 min 88°F2 ft
ARPF1 - APK - Aripeka, FL 40 mi106 min NNW 2.9 G 8 92°F 1013.7 hPa

Wind History for Seabulk, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Tampa, Peter O Knight Airport, FL2 mi45 minENE 610.00 miOvercast88°F75°F66%1013.9 hPa
Macdill Air Force Base, Fl., FL4 mi44 minNE 510.00 miFair87°F74°F67%1014.2 hPa
Tampa, Tampa International Airport, FL8 mi47 minNNE 610.00 miMostly Cloudy89°F73°F59%1014.1 hPa
Albert Whitted Airport, FL12 mi47 minENE 1310.00 miPartly Cloudy89°F75°F65%1013.3 hPa
St. Petersburg/Clearwater Airport, FL13 mi47 minN 710.00 miFair88°F75°F68%1014 hPa
Plant City, Plant City Municipal Airport, FL17 mi45 minNNE 710.00 miFair90°F75°F63%1014.9 hPa
Lakeland Regional, FL24 mi50 minENE 810.00 miPartly Cloudy88°F73°F62%1014.2 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KTPF

Wind History from TPF (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE8E9SE8E7SE8--E3--E3NE3CalmCalmNE4NE3NE4NE5NE8E7N4N6NE7NE10NE9NE8
1 day agoSW5SW3NW6SE7CalmE3----E3CalmCalmE3--E3CalmSE4CalmCalmS3N3N4E3E6E6
2 days agoW3NW4CalmCalm----------E4--E3E4E3--SE8SE8SE8SE7SE4SE4SE7S6SW5

Tide / Current Tables for Hillsborough Bay, Tampa Bay, Tampa Bay, Florida
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Hillsborough Bay
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:26 AM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 01:19 AM EDT     1.86 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:03 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 07:22 AM EDT     2.75 feet High Tide
Fri -- 10:58 AM EDT     Last Quarter
Fri -- 02:01 PM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 03:31 PM EDT     0.88 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 08:00 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 09:45 PM EDT     1.90 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.91.91.922.22.52.62.72.72.62.31.91.61.310.90.911.31.51.71.91.92

Tide / Current Tables for Old Tampa Bay Entrance (Port Tampa), Florida Current
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Old Tampa Bay Entrance (Port Tampa)
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:03 AM EDT     -0.53 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 12:26 AM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 02:30 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 05:37 AM EDT     0.83 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 07:04 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:20 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 10:58 AM EDT     Last Quarter
Fri -- 12:01 PM EDT     -0.95 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 02:01 PM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 04:56 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 07:54 PM EDT     0.62 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 08:00 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 11:17 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0.5-0.4-0.20.20.50.80.80.60.2-0.3-0.6-0.9-0.9-0.9-0.7-0.5-0.300.30.60.60.50.40.1

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Tampa Bay, FL (18,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Tampa Bay Area, FL
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Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.