Monday, April19, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Progress Village, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:59AMSunset 7:58PM Monday April 19, 2021 6:38 PM EDT (22:38 UTC) Moonrise 11:23AMMoonset 12:54AM Illumination 55% Phase: First Quarter Moon; Moon at 8 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ830 Tampa Bay Waters- 234 Pm Edt Mon Apr 19 2021
Tonight..North winds around 5 knots then becoming east after midnight. Bay and inland waters smooth. A slight chance of showers.
Tuesday..East winds around 5 knots then becoming southwest around 10 knots in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Showers with a chance of Thunderstorms.
Tuesday night..Southwest winds around 5 knots then becoming northwest around 10 knots toward morning. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A chance of showers and a slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Wednesday..Northwest winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A slight chance of Thunderstorms in the morning.
Wednesday night..North winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Thursday..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots diminishing to 5 to 10 knots in the late morning and afternoon. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
Thursday night..East winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Friday..Southeast winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Friday night..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots increasing to around 15 knots after midnight. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
Saturday..South winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 234 Pm Edt Mon Apr 19 2021
Synopsis..A quasi-stationary frontal boundary over the south central gulf waters this afternoon will meander about through mid week. Ample moisture and instability combined with the front will support periods of showers and Thunderstorms across the waters tonight through Wednesday with gusty winds, frequent lightning, locally higher seas, and perhaps even a waterspout possible near the strongest storms. During Wednesday a secondary reinforcing cold front will move south through the waters during the day with a slight uptick in winds toward cautionary levels possible Wednesday night into early Thursday in the wake of the front. Pleasant dry boating conditions expected during Thursday and Friday as high pressure builds in over the region.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Progress Village, FL
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location: 27.88, -82.45     debug


Area Discussion for - Tampa Bay, FL
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FXUS62 KTBW 191823 AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 223 PM EDT Mon Apr 19 2021

. Strong to Severe Storms Possible Through Tuesday . . Locally Heavy Rainfall Possible Through Tuesday . . High Risk Of Rip Currents Along Area Beaches Through Tuesday Night .

DISCUSSION. A quasi-stationary front across the south-central Florida peninsula combined with ample moisture, upper level divergence, and weak vort lobes moving across the region within the strong mid level southwest to west wind flow will continue to support an enhanced rainfall potential across the forecast area through mid week with some locally heavy rains possible, especially in areas where the training of storms occur with some minor flooding of low lying and poor drainage areas possible, and much of the forecast area remains in a Marginal Risk for excessive rain through the period.

In the interim though ongoing convection across the region this afternoon should wind down early tonight as impulses aloft move away from the region and overall low level convergence weakens, with mainly partly to mostly cloudy skies expected overnight. Hi- Res CAM guidance for the most part is in agreement with this, but given the presence of the front, abundant moisture in place, and divergence aloft will retain low rain chances (Pops 20-30%) in the forecast for the overnight time frame.

On Tuesday the front combined with ample moisture and additional short wave energy advancing eastward from the Gulf, and good upper level divergence should help to develop numerous showers and storms over the Gulf waters during the pre-dawn hours, with this convection then moving onshore toward sunrise with another day with widespread showers and scattered storms expected with some strong to severe storms possible. In addition the threat for additional heavy rainfall with localized flooding of low lying and poor drainage areas will continue as well. Similar to today considerable cloudiness and elevated rain chances will keep temperatures near seasonal norms with highs in the upper 70s to lower 80s expected area-wide.

During Wednesday a secondary cold front will move into the region during the day. Ongoing showers and storms across central and southern zones during the morning hours will gradually end from north to south during the afternoon as the front and drier air in its wake moves into the forecast area through Wednesday night. In the wake of the front cooler temperatures can be expected with lows Wednesday night falling into the lower to mid 50s across the Nature Coast, and upper 50s to lower 60s central and south. High pressure will build in over the southeastern U.S. and Florida through the end of the week with pleasant dry weather expected during Thursday and Friday with daytime highs remaining near seasonal norms with highs in the lower 80s each day. During next weekend models show another area of low pressure moving across the lower Mississippi valley and Southeastern states, and then up along the mid Atlantic coast with a trailing cold front approaching and moving into the region on Sunday bringing with it increasing chances for showers and storms along and ahead of it. At the moment there are some model timing differences with regards to this frontal passage, so for now will keep inherited low rain chances (Pops 20-40%) in place and wait to see if better model continuity develops in the coming days.

AVIATION. Intervals of MVFR/IFR cigs/vsbys will be possible at the terminals during the next 24 hours as areas of showers and scattered storms continue to move across the region. Outside of the convection VFR is expected. West to northwest winds around 10 knots with higher gusts near TSRA the remainder of this afternoon will become light and variable after 00Z tonight, then becoming southwest to west and increasing to 10 to 12 knots after 15Z on Tuesday with higher gusts in the vicinity of TSRA.

MARINE. A quasi-stationary frontal boundary over the south-central Gulf waters this afternoon will meander about through mid week. Ample moisture and instability combined with the front will support periods of showers and thunderstorms across the waters tonight through Wednesday with gusty winds, frequent lightning, locally higher seas, and perhaps even a waterspout possible near the strongest storms. During Wednesday a secondary reinforcing cold front will move south through the waters during the day with a slight uptick in winds toward Cautionary levels possible Wednesday night into early Thursday. Ongoing scattered showers and storms over the central and southern water Wednesday morning will gradually end from north to south during the afternoon with the frontal passage as drier air moves into the region in the wake of the front, with pleasant dry boating conditions expected to end the week as high pressure builds in over the region.

FIRE WEATHER. A stationary front across the south central Florida peninsula will continue to support elevated rain chances across all of west central and southwest Florida through early Wednesday. The elevated rain chances will keep humidity values well above critical levels through mid week with no Red Flag conditions expected. Drier air will move into the region Wednesday night into Thursday in the wake of a second cold front, but humidity values are forecast to remain above critical levels. Weak 20 foot winds and transport winds will support low dispersions across the region on Tuesday, otherwise no other fire weather concerns are expected.

Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs. TPA 67 76 69 81 / 20 70 40 20 FMY 71 81 71 85 / 30 70 60 60 GIF 66 77 68 83 / 20 80 50 20 SRQ 68 78 68 80 / 20 80 50 30 BKV 61 77 61 82 / 10 70 30 10 SPG 68 76 71 80 / 20 80 50 20

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . High Rip Current Risk through Tuesday evening for Coastal Charlotte-Coastal Hillsborough-Coastal Lee-Coastal Manatee- Coastal Sarasota-Pinellas.

Gulf waters . None.

DISCUSSION/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER . 57/McMichael RADAR . 19/Hurt DECISION SUPPORT . 29/Delerme


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
EBEF1 3 mi57 min 72°F 80°F1012.2 hPa
SKCF1 3 mi63 min NNE 2.9 G 7
TPAF1 - 8726694 - TPA Cruise Terminal 2, Tampa, FL 4 mi57 min NNE 4.1 G 6
TSHF1 - 8726667 - East Bay Causeway, FL 4 mi69 min N 4.1 G 7
OPTF1 - 8726607 - Old Port Tampa, FL 6 mi51 min N 6 G 8.9 71°F 79°F1012.6 hPa
GCTF1 8 mi51 min 72°F 66°F
SAPF1 - 8726520 - St. Petersburg, FL 12 mi51 min NNE 5.1 G 7 73°F 77°F1012.9 hPa
CLBF1 16 mi105 min NNE 2.9 G 6 75°F 1011.6 hPa
MTBF1 17 mi51 min NNE 8 G 9.9 72°F 66°F
PMAF1 18 mi51 min 73°F 78°F1012.3 hPa
CWBF1 - 8726724 - Clearwater Beach, FL 21 mi51 min N 5.1 G 7 72°F 81°F1012.9 hPa
FHPF1 - Fred Howard Park, FL 26 mi105 min NNE 7 G 8.9 71°F 1013 hPa
42098 32 mi43 min 76°F3 ft
ARPF1 - APK - Aripeka, FL 40 mi105 min N 1.9 G 6 74°F 1012.4 hPa

Wind History for Seabulk, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Tampa, Peter O Knight Airport, FL2 mi44 minN 010.00 miOvercast73°F68°F83%1012.9 hPa
Macdill Air Force Base, Fl., FL4 mi43 minNW 310.00 miMostly Cloudy73°F69°F89%1012.1 hPa
Tampa, Tampa International Airport, FL8 mi46 minENE 310.00 miMostly Cloudy73°F64°F74%1012.6 hPa
Tampa, Vandenberg Airport, FL10 mi44 minN 010.00 miMostly Cloudy73°F68°F83%1012.9 hPa
Albert Whitted Airport, FL12 mi46 minNNE 710.00 miFair73°F66°F79%1011.8 hPa
St. Petersburg/Clearwater Airport, FL13 mi46 minVar 310.00 miOvercast73°F67°F81%1012.6 hPa
Plant City, Plant City Municipal Airport, FL17 mi44 minN 310.00 miOvercast73°F66°F78%1013.2 hPa
Lakeland Regional, FL24 mi49 minVar 410.00 miMostly Cloudy75°F66°F74%1012.9 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KTPF

Wind History from TPF (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW9SW7SW7W4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNW3NW3CalmCalmCalmN4NW7N6NE5NE5CalmN4Calm
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Tide / Current Tables for Hillsborough Bay, Tampa Bay, Tampa Bay, Florida
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Hillsborough Bay
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Mon -- 01:54 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 03:02 AM EDT     -0.14 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 07:00 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 12:22 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 06:41 PM EDT     2.58 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:57 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.60.2-0-0.1-0.10.20.50.81.11.41.51.61.61.71.822.22.42.62.62.52.31.91.5

Tide / Current Tables for Old Tampa Bay Entrance (Port Tampa), Florida Current
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Old Tampa Bay Entrance (Port Tampa)
Click for Map
Mon -- 01:54 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 04:27 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 07:01 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:02 AM EDT     0.74 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 12:11 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 12:22 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 12:55 PM EDT     -0.04 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 01:42 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 05:27 PM EDT     0.57 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 07:49 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 07:57 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-1-0.9-0.7-0.4-0.10.20.50.70.70.70.50.20-000.20.40.60.50.3-0.1-0.4-0.7-0.9

Weather Map
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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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