Friday, March5, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Palm River-Clair Mel, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:48AMSunset 6:33PM Friday March 5, 2021 11:27 PM EST (04:27 UTC) Moonrise 12:31AMMoonset 11:22AM Illumination 50% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 22 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ830 Tampa Bay Waters- 809 Pm Est Fri Mar 5 2021
Rest of tonight..Northwest winds around 10 knots then becoming east after midnight. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Saturday..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers early in the morning, then showers in the late morning and early afternoon. Showers likely late in the afternoon.
Saturday night..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots increasing to around 20 knots in the late evening and overnight. Bay and inland waters choppy. A chance of showers in the evening.
Sunday..Northeast winds around 20 knots diminishing to 10 to 15 knots in the late morning and afternoon. Bay and inland waters choppy.
Sunday night..Northeast winds around 15 knots. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
Monday..Northeast winds around 15 knots. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
Monday night..Northeast winds around 15 knots. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
Tuesday..East winds around 15 knots. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
Tuesday night..East winds around 15 knots diminishing to 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
Wednesday..East winds around 15 knots. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 809 Pm Est Fri Mar 5 2021
Synopsis..A low pressure storm system will develop in the central gulf tonight and move over the area tomorrow for unsettled weather Saturday and colder temperatures Sunday and into the first part of next week. A small craft advisory has been issued for coastal waters from tarpon springs to suwannee river fl out 20 to 60 nm, and additional advisory to cautionary headlines are likely to follow on subsequent forecast cycles. By mid-week, conditions will be slowly improving with benign weather returning.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Palm River-Clair Mel, FL
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location: 27.91, -82.45     debug


Area Discussion for - Tampa Bay, FL
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FXUS62 KTBW 052354 AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 654 PM EST Fri Mar 5 2021

UPDATE. Mainly pleasant evening and overnight conditions with increasing high clouds and temps not as cool as last night. Conditions change quickly tomorrow as current Arkansas upper low opens tonight and shortwave trough swings through the N Gulf tomoroow. Well advertised surface low pressure system to develop in the Gulf tonight before moving over the area for a showery Saturday. Latest grids and forecasts on track.

AVIATION. VFR conditions continue this evening, tonight into early Saturday with light winds and thickening cirrus shield overhead from the Gulf. An area of low pressure to develop tonight in the Gulf, then move over the FL peninsula tomorrow, bringing widespread showers with widespread MVFR to locally IFR cigs/vsby aft about 15Z through the rest of Saturday afternoon.

Prev Discussion. /issued 253 PM EST Fri Mar 5 2021/

DISCUSSION . Change is on the way for our weather. Today wraps up the conclusion of what has been rather gorgeous conditions, for the most part. A trough axis is propagating SE towards the Gulf Coast. As this occurs, an area of low pressure is expected to generate over the Gulf of Mexico, and then propagate eastward ahead of the upper-level feature into our area tomorrow, leading to unsettled weather for Saturday.

There will be plenty of PVA to work with, and WAA is also taking place on a limited scale. Combined with additional surface convergence from the developing low, there will be plenty of ascent to support showers, and maybe a rumble or two of thunder. Given the organized nature of the system, this will likely lead to on and off rain throughout most of the day areawide, with northern counties seeing the rain and clearing first, and southern counties subsequently seeing it later.

As the trough continues to propagate eastward, and attendant cold front will arrive and clear things out by Sunday. With a northerly wind, a continental high will usher in cooler and drier weather once again to start off the work week. The tighter gradient will favor stronger winds as well, making conditions hazardous for boaters.

Conditions trend towards benign and temperatures slowly moderate through the week as the ridge shifts and winds begin to respond accordingly, slowly bringing moisture and warmer temperatures back. While it will be a little cooler to start, the overall conditions for the work week ahead look to be very nice and pleasant.

MARINE . After a generally pleasant boating day today, marine conditions begin to deteriorate as an area of low pressure brings rain, higher winds, and higher seas into the forecast through the weekend. A Small Craft Advisory has been issued for coastal waters from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 to 60 NM, and additional advisory to cautionary headlines are likely to follow on subsequent forecast cycles. By mid-week, conditions will be slowly improving with benign weather returning.

FIRE WEATHER . Critical RH values are being observed area-wide this afternoon. However, conditions do not otherwise support red flag conditions today, or for the next couple days. Unsettled weather arrives tomorrow as an area of low pressure develops. A cold front will push through on the back side of this system, bringing higher winds and drier conditions once more as this occurs.

Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs. TPA 59 71 53 70 / 10 80 30 0 FMY 60 78 56 76 / 0 80 40 0 GIF 58 71 52 70 / 10 90 40 0 SRQ 59 73 54 73 / 0 80 40 0 BKV 52 69 45 70 / 20 80 30 0 SPG 61 69 55 69 / 10 80 30 0

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . None. Gulf waters . Small Craft Advisory from 7 AM Saturday to 7 AM EST Sunday for Waters from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 to 60 NM.



RD


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
SKCF1 1 mi70 min NNW 5.1 G 8
EBEF1 2 mi58 min 65°F 74°F1015.6 hPa
TSHF1 - 8726667 - East Bay Causeway, FL 2 mi76 min N 4.1 G 5.1
OPTF1 - 8726607 - Old Port Tampa, FL 7 mi58 min N 11 G 12 67°F 73°F1015.9 hPa
GCTF1 10 mi58 min 67°F 54°F
SAPF1 - 8726520 - St. Petersburg, FL 14 mi58 min N 4.1 G 6 65°F 73°F1016.1 hPa
CLBF1 17 mi94 min NNE 1 G 1.9 62°F 1014.8 hPa
MTBF1 19 mi58 min N 9.9 G 11 67°F 1015.4 hPa53°F
PMAF1 20 mi58 min 67°F 69°F1015.5 hPa
CWBF1 - 8726724 - Clearwater Beach, FL 21 mi58 min NNW 12 G 13 68°F 73°F1016.4 hPa
FHPF1 - Fred Howard Park, FL 25 mi94 min N 7 G 8 68°F 1016.2 hPa
42098 34 mi62 min 70°F1 ft
ARPF1 - APK - Aripeka, FL 38 mi154 min NNW 1.9 G 4.1 67°F 1015.6 hPa

Wind History for Seabulk, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Tampa, Peter O Knight Airport, FL0 mi33 minN 510.00 miOvercast63°F52°F68%1016.6 hPa
Macdill Air Force Base, Fl., FL5 mi32 minN 510.00 miFair63°F52°F68%1015.5 hPa
Tampa, Tampa International Airport, FL6 mi35 minN 610.00 miMostly Cloudy62°F52°F70%1016.4 hPa
St. Petersburg/Clearwater Airport, FL13 mi35 minNNW 710.00 miFair64°F54°F70%1016 hPa
Albert Whitted Airport, FL14 mi35 minNNW 910.00 miFair66°F55°F68%1015.2 hPa
Plant City, Plant City Municipal Airport, FL16 mi33 minENE 310.00 miFair59°F50°F72%1016.9 hPa
Lakeland Regional, FL23 mi33 minNNW 510.00 miFair61°F46°F59%1016.3 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KTPF

Wind History from TPF (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN3NW3CalmE6NE5E3NE3NE4E3NE6E3E8E5CalmCalmS5SW8W4W5NW5NW3CalmCalmCalm
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Tide / Current Tables for Hillsborough Bay, Tampa Bay, Tampa Bay, Florida
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Hillsborough Bay
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:31 AM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 01:35 AM EST     -0.51 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:49 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:40 AM EST     1.12 feet High Tide
Fri -- 10:43 AM EST     1.37 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 11:21 AM EST     Moonset
Fri -- 05:58 PM EST     2.69 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:32 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 08:32 PM EST     Last Quarter
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0.2-0.5-0.5-0.300.40.711.11.11.31.41.41.61.82.12.42.62.72.62.31.81.30.8

Tide / Current Tables for Old Tampa Bay Entrance (Port Tampa), Florida Current
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Old Tampa Bay Entrance (Port Tampa)
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:31 AM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 02:56 AM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 05:54 AM EST     0.82 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 06:50 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 09:47 AM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 11:09 AM EST     -0.17 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 11:21 AM EST     Moonset
Fri -- 12:37 PM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 04:17 PM EST     0.86 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 06:33 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 06:59 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 08:32 PM EST     Last Quarter
Fri -- 11:09 PM EST     -1.20 knots Max Ebb
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-1.1-0.8-0.400.50.70.80.70.50.2-0-0.2-0.10.10.40.70.80.80.5-0-0.5-0.9-1.1-1.2

Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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