Wednesday, August21, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
West Melbourne, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:54AMSunset 7:56PM Wednesday August 21, 2019 7:09 AM EDT (11:09 UTC) Moonrise 10:42PMMoonset 11:03AM Illumination 67% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 21 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ552 Volusia-brevard County Line To Sebastian Inlet 0-20 Nm- 352 Am Edt Wed Aug 21 2019
Today..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period 9 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tonight..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period 9 seconds. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers after midnight.
Thursday..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period 9 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Thursday night..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters.
Friday..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Friday night..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Saturday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
Saturday night..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday..South winds 5 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 352 Am Edt Wed Aug 21 2019
Synopsis..The atlantic ridge axis will remain across the north half of florida and the adjacent atlantic waters into the weekend. This will result in a light to gentle southeasterly breeze. Winds back to a more southerly into the weekend as another inverted surface trough approaches and moves across the waters.
Gulf stream hazards..None. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Monday august 19th. 40 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 26 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 21 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 13 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 8 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near West Melbourne, FL
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location: 28.04, -80.61     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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Fxus62 kmlb 210730
afdmlb
area forecast discussion
national weather service melbourne fl
330 am edt Tue aug 20 2019

Discussion
Today-tonight...

subtropical ridge axis near the fl ga border will interact with a
mid upr lvl low over the fl straits to generate a deep and somewhat
brisk E SE flow acrs the fl peninsula. This will promote the
formation of the east coast sea breeze by late morning and push it
well inland by early aftn. In contrast, the west coast sea breeze
will be pinned west of the i-75. Late aftn merger of the two will
occur over west central fl, as will the bulk of today's round of
diurnal convection.

Upstream, low and mid lvl moisture lvls north of the bahamas bank
rather meager with h100-h70 mean rh hovering arnd 70pct and h85-h50
avg dewpoint depressions btwn around 7c. There is a small h85-h50
vort lobe noted just north of the NRN bahamas, but accompanying
omega fields are weak at best. Furthermore, a sharp tutt axis
extends from cuba to bermuda, placing the fl peninsula on its
descending left flank. Mid lvl thermal profile is unimpressive with
h70 temps btwn 8-9c, h50 temps btwn -6c -7c, yielding lapse rates
btwn 5.5-6.0c km.

Low end precip chances today given the lack of moisture, deep E se
flow, and limited dynamic support: interior counties btwn 30-40pct,
coastal counties arnd 20pct. Precip should be done arnd sunset, but
will need to keep slgt chc of shras in for the space and treasure
coasts given the strength and depth of the onshore flow. The low
rain cloud cover will result in warmer than avg temps today...

u80s l90s along the coast, l m90s interior. Onshore flow will keep
mins temps a few degs abv avg... M u70s.

Thursday...

dry air upstream of an approaching tropical wave will result in
lower rain chances across east central florida on Thursday. The
850mb-500mb mean relative humidity is forecast to be less than 50
percent, which is not conducive for deep convection. This is also
supported by a majority of guidance members, many showing less than
10 percent chance of rain across our area. For consistency and
uncertainty kept most of the area in a 20 percent chance of
showers storms in the afternoon, and areas along the space and
volusia county coasts staying mostly dry. Highest rain chances will
be along the southern treasure coast. Temperatures will climb
quickly through the day due to mostly clear skies, afternoon highs
are forecast to reach the low to mid 90s.

Friday-Tuesday...

the atlantic ridge axis over the northern fl peninsula continues
meandering in that area as a tropical wave begins to move over
southern fl peninsula. This wave ushers in a moist airmass allowing
for scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms to develop each
day, including during the overnight hours. East winds will veer
southeasterly then more southerly by Sunday, and the east coast sea
breeze is forecast to develop each day. The many expected boundary
and sea breeze collisions with ample moisture will result in above
normal rain chances this weekend with 50-70 percent across much of
the area.

By Monday, the low-level flow veers southwesterly as a weak upper
trough and surface frontal boundary make their way across the
southeast, diminishing the influence of the atlantic ridge, and
absorbing the remnants of the easterly wave. This pattern will favor
boundary collisions on the eastern half of the peninsula during the
mid to late afternoon. Meaning rain chances will remain high into
the start of next week.

Generally, afternoon high temperatures are forecast in the low 90s,
and overnight temps in the low to mid 70s. Some storms could produce
locally heavy rainfall of 1-3 inches resulting in minor flooding in
areas that have seen significant rainfall already this month.

Aviation Thru 22 12z.

Sfc winds: thru 21 12z... E SE 3-6kts. Btwn 21 12z-21 15z... Bcmg E se
7-11kts. Btwn 22 00z-22 03z... Bcmg E SE 3-6kts.

Vsbys wx cigs: thru 21 12z... Coastal sites slgt chc MVFR shras. Btwn
21 12z-21 16z... Coastal sites slgt chc MVFR shras ifr tsras. Btwn
21 16z-21 20z... Interior sites chc MVFR shras ifr tsras... Coastal
sites slgt chc MVFR shras ifr tsras. Btwn 21 20z- 21 24z... Interior
sites... Chc MVFR shras ifr tsra.

Marine
Today-tonight... Favorable boating conds as the bermuda ridge axis
positioned near the fl ga border generates a light to gentle E se
breeze acrs the LCL atlc. Seas AOB 2ft nearshore and 2-3ft offshore.

Isold shras tsras.

Thursday-Sunday... Generally favorable boating conditions will
persist through this weekend. Thursday will be a mostly dry day with
east winds around 10-15 knots and seas 2-3 feet. Rain chances
increase on Friday and into the weekend as a tropical wave
approaches the area. Expect scattered to numerous showers and
thunderstorms over the nearshore atlantic waters. A few of these
storms may produce wind gusts in excess of 34 knots.

Preliminary point temps pops
Dab 90 75 87 76 10 10 20 10
mco 92 74 91 74 40 10 30 10
mlb 90 78 87 76 10 20 20 10
vrb 89 74 87 77 10 20 20 10
lee 93 75 91 74 40 10 30 10
sfb 91 74 91 74 30 10 30 10
orl 92 75 91 74 40 10 30 10
fpr 89 74 87 77 10 20 20 10

Mlb watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Am... None.

Short term aviation... Bragaw
long term impact wx... Rodriguez


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
SIPF1 15 mi39 min SSW 1 80°F 80°F1019 hPa
41113 - Cape Canaveral Nearshore, FL (143) 25 mi39 min 82°F2 ft
TRDF1 - 8721604 - Trident Pier, FL 26 mi51 min E 1.9 G 1.9 78°F 82°F1020.1 hPa
41009 - CANAVERAL 20 NM East of Cape Canaveral, FL 39 mi39 min E 3.9 G 3.9 83°F 84°F1018.5 hPa73°F
41114 - Fort Pierce, FL (134) 40 mi39 min 83°F2 ft
TPAF1 - 8726694 - TPA Cruise Terminal 2, Tampa, FL 97 mi57 min ENE 2.9 G 4.1

Wind History for Trident Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Melbourne International Airport, FL5 mi76 minN 010.00 miFair78°F73°F87%1018.3 hPa
Cocoa - Patrick Air Force Base, FL13 mi73 minN 010.00 miFair80°F79°F99%1018.7 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KMLB

Wind History from MLB (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS4S5SE9SE10E12SE15SE12SE13
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SE11E10E9E9E6E7E5E7E5SE4E5CalmCalmCalmCalmNW3
1 day agoCalmN7N7NE7NE8N7E10E8E10E8E9E10E8E9E9SE7SE5CalmCalmN3NE5E5SE6SE6
2 days agoCalmW3SW5W35E7E8E9E11SE11SE10SE9SE8SE5SE5CalmNW7NW3W3CalmCalmCalmCalmNE3

Tide / Current Tables for Canova Beach, Florida
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Canova Beach
Click for Map
Wed -- 06:12 AM EDT     0.48 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:55 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 12:02 PM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 12:21 PM EDT     3.42 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:33 PM EDT     0.82 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:55 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 11:41 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.53.22.721.30.70.50.61.11.82.53.13.43.432.41.81.20.90.91.21.82.43

Tide / Current Tables for Micco, Indian River, Florida
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Micco
Click for Map
Wed -- 01:55 AM EDT     0.33 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:55 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 08:57 AM EDT     0.18 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 12:02 PM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 02:28 PM EDT     0.32 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:54 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 09:18 PM EDT     0.31 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 11:41 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.30.30.30.30.30.30.20.20.20.20.20.20.30.30.30.30.30.30.30.30.30.30.30.3

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Melbourne, FL (7,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.