Friday, December6, 2019
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Marine Weather and Tides
Windsor, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:57AMSunset 5:27PM Friday December 6, 2019 4:02 PM EST (21:02 UTC) Moonrise 2:06PMMoonset 1:39AM Illumination 75% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 10 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ572 Volusia-brevard County Line To Sebastian Inlet 20-60 Nm- 258 Pm Est Fri Dec 6 2019
Tonight..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming west 5 knots towards daybreak. Seas 2 feet with a dominant period 5 seconds.
Saturday..Northwest winds 5 knots becoming north 5 to 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period 5 seconds.
Saturday night..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet with a dominant period 5 seconds.
Sunday..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet. Slight chance of showers.
Sunday night..Southeast winds 10 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet.
Monday..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 4 to 5 feet.
Monday night..South winds 10 knots. Seas 4 to 5 feet.
Tuesday..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 5 feet.
Tuesday night..South winds 10 knots becoming southwest 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Seas 4 to 5 feet. Chance of showers.
Wednesday..Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming north 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 feet. Chance of showers.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 258 Pm Est Fri Dec 6 2019
Synopsis..Favorable boating conditions expected through Saturday night as wind remains light and variable and seas continue to subside. A high pressure ridge will build northeast of florida and the adjacent atlantic through the weekend and into early next week, leading to increasing winds and seas.
Gulf stream hazards..None. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Tuesday, december 3rd. 39 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 30 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 23 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 17 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 9 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Windsor, FL
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location: 28.38, -78.93     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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FXUS62 KMLB 061901 AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 201 PM EST Fri Dec 6 2019

DISCUSSION.

Tonight-Saturday . Central Florida will be between two weak areas of low pressure, one off the Carolina coast and one over the Gulf of Mexico, as ridge extends down the eastern U.S. coast. This will lead to a developing and relatively light northeast flow across the area into tomorrow. Into tonight, calm winds and mostly clear skies will allow temperatures to fall off quickly after sunset, with lows in the low to mid 50s. Slight increase in cloud cover expected into late tomorrow, especially north of Orlando, but skies will still be mostly to partly sunny with highs in the mid to upper 70s. Airmass remains dry, with rain chances remaining out of the forecast.

Sat Night-Sunday . A zonal jet pattern will prevail that will push a large high pres ridge over the W Atlc further seaward, allowing a weak frontal boundary to approach from the north. The front is expected to stall and dissipate over central FL by daybreak Sun as the brisk westerly mid/upr lvl flow pattern prevents it from making a clean passage thru the peninsula. Meanwhile, a strong high pressure will build off the Mid Atlc/New England coasts, forcing the H100-H85 mean flow to veer to E Sat night, to the E on Sun, then to the S/SE Sun Night . avg speeds btwn 10-15KTS.

As often happens with dvlpg onshore low lvl flow, a weak inverted trof will develop to our east along the remnants of the frontal boundary. This in turn will tighten the lcl pres grad, allowing winds to freshen to 10-15KTS. Moisture pooling within the low lvl trof will require PoPs to remain in the fcst. However, model guidance fails to indicate much more than 70-80pct mean RH advecting onshore, while maintaining a fairly strong subsidence inversion in the H80-H65 lyr. Isold/sct low-topped shras dvlpg over the Atlc, but precip will be limited to areas north of Sebastian Inlet and Lake-K with QPF largely AOB 0.10".

The dvlpg onshore flow will fully modify the recent cool airmass, especially along the coast, allowing temps to warm to about 5-10F abv climo avgs. Min temps Sat Night in the L/M60s east of I-95 and in the M/U50s to the west. Max temps Sun in the M/U70s. Monday-Thursday . (prev disc) As the surface inverted trough lifts north and up the eastern seaboard, some drier air again moves into east central Florida on Mon-Tues giving us a rain-free forecast. The Atlantic ridge axis becomes re-established across central Florida providing a southerly flow and allowing temperatures to climb into the low 80s.

The next cold front will approach and (possibly) move through the area Tuesday night into Wednesday time frame. The GFS has been consistently showing the front clearing the area, and now the 00Z ECWMF shows a frontal passage as well. There is a little more confidence in this solution now with both models on board. Moisture is not overly impressive with this front, and will advertise 20-30% shower chances during this time with chances decreasing from north to south through the day on Wednesday behind the front. By Wednesday night into Thursday both models have strengthening high pressure building in across the Mid-Atlantic giving us breezy onshore flow and another chance of coastal showers. Max temps low to mid 70s Wednesday and slightly cooler Thursday. Wednesday could be even cooler depending on the amount of lingering cloud cover behind the front. Overnight lows upper 50s to low 60s.

AVIATION. VFR conditions generally expected tonight into tomorrow. Favorable radiational cooling conditions overnight may lead to the development of some patchy shallow ground fog. However, MOS and latest hi-res model guidance not showing any hints of this potential quite yet, and any fog would likely be brief, occurring around daybreak. Will therefore leave any mention out of the TAFs at this time.

MARINE.

Tonight-Saturday . Favorable boating conditions expected, with relatively light and somewhat variable winds around 5-10 knots, becoming northerly into tomorrow. Seas will range from 1-2 feet tonight, potentially increasing up to 3 feet well offshore into late Saturday.

Saturday Night-Sunday . Ridge axis over the eastern seaboard trailing into the Deep South will push seaward as a weak frontal boundary noses its way into central FL and breaks down. Sfc/bndry lyr winds will respond be veering from a gentle to moderate N/NE breeze to a gentle to moderate E/NE breeze Sat night, then a gentle to moderate E breeze Sun, then a light to gentle S/SE breeze Sun night. A long NE fetch will dvlp as the ridge builds seaward, allowing a long swell train to dvlp. Seas building from 2-3FT Sat evng to 3-5FT by midday Sun . up to 6FT in the Gulf Stream. Slgt chc of shras north of Sebastian Inlet.

Monday-Wednesday . (prev disc) A light southerly flow will develop early next week with the surface ridge axis draped across the waters, but persistent northeasterly swell will keep seas 4-5 feet. The next front looks to pass through the waters Tuesday night into early Wednesday with poor to hazardous boating conditions developing behind it with breezy northeasterly winds and building seas.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS. DAB 51 72 62 74 / 0 10 30 30 MCO 53 75 58 77 / 0 0 10 20 MLB 53 76 63 76 / 0 0 10 20 VRB 53 76 63 77 / 0 0 10 10 LEE 51 74 57 76 / 0 10 20 20 SFB 52 74 58 76 / 0 0 20 20 ORL 54 75 58 77 / 0 0 20 20 FPR 53 77 64 77 / 0 0 10 10

MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . None. AM . None.

Weitlich/Bragaw/Leahy/Watson


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
41010 - CANAVERAL EAST 120NM East of Cape Canaveral 42 mi23 min ESE 12 G 16 73°F 61°F
41009 - CANAVERAL 20 NM East of Cape Canaveral, FL 67 mi23 min SSW 7.8 G 12 73°F 77°F1020.6 hPa58°F
TRDF1 - 8721604 - Trident Pier, FL 88 mi45 min ESE 5.1 G 7 74°F 69°F1021.5 hPa

Wind History for Trident Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Cocoa Beach, Cape Canaveral Air Force Station Skid Strip, FL87 mi67 minSSE 810.00 miFair76°F57°F53%1019.9 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KXMR

Wind History from XMR (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNW9N7NW6NW6N4NW4NW3NW5NW3NW4NW5NW4NW5NW5NW5NW5NW4NW3CalmE6S7S6S7S8
1 day agoW8W6W5W5SW4W7W7W8W7W6W7NW6NW4NW7NW6NW7NW7NW8NW8NW8N7N6NW6N7
2 days agoW7NW7CalmSW4W6W6W7W7W5W6W5W4W6W7W9W11NW8NW15NW14NW13NW13NW12W9W9

Tide / Current Tables for Cape Canaveral, Florida
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Cape Canaveral
Click for Map
Fri -- 01:45 AM EST     Moonset
Fri -- 02:59 AM EST     3.40 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:00 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 09:08 AM EST     1.18 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 02:13 PM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 03:10 PM EST     3.51 feet High Tide
Fri -- 05:25 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 09:35 PM EST     0.82 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.32.93.33.43.32.92.31.81.41.21.31.72.22.83.33.53.432.41.81.20.90.91.2

Tide / Current Tables for Cape Canaveral, Florida (2)
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Cape Canaveral
Click for Map
Fri -- 01:45 AM EST     Moonset
Fri -- 02:59 AM EST     3.42 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:00 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 09:07 AM EST     1.15 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 02:13 PM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 03:11 PM EST     3.53 feet High Tide
Fri -- 05:25 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 09:34 PM EST     0.79 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.32.93.33.43.32.92.31.81.31.21.31.72.22.83.33.53.432.41.81.20.80.81.1

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Melbourne, FL (16,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.