Monday, March1, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Cocoa, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:46AMSunset 6:24PM Monday March 1, 2021 9:11 PM EST (02:11 UTC) Moonrise 9:07PMMoonset 8:32AM Illumination 88% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 18 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ552 Volusia-brevard County Line To Sebastian Inlet 0-20 Nm- 307 Pm Est Mon Mar 1 2021
Tonight..West winds 5 to 10 knots becoming northwest after midnight, then becoming north 10 to 15 knots towards daybreak. Seas 3 to 4 feet with a dominant period 9 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers.
Tuesday..East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet with a dominant period 9 seconds. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers.
Tuesday night..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots becoming southwest after midnight. Seas 4 to 6 feet with a dominant period 8 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers.
Wednesday..Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots becoming west in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 feet. Choppy on the intracoastal waters. Showers likely and chance of Thunderstorms.
Wednesday night..Northwest winds 15 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Thursday..North winds 15 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters.
Thursday night..North winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet.
Friday..Northeast winds 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet.
Friday night..East winds 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Chance of showers.
Saturday..East winds 10 to 15 knots becoming northeast in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 307 Pm Est Mon Mar 1 2021
Synopsis..An atlantic high pressure ridge will move away from the local waters as a cool front sags into north and central florida tonight. The front will briefly stall on Tuesday, then lift back north of central florida Tuesday night. A stronger front will push across the area on Wednesday, followed by high pressure rebuilding into central florida through late week. Rain chances increasing tonight into Wednesday night.
Gulf stream hazards..None. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Sunday, february 28th. 40 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 28 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 22 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 14 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 8 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Cocoa, FL
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location: 28.4, -80.91     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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FXUS62 KMLB 012048 AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 348 PM EST Mon Mar 1 2021

DISCUSSION.

Tonight-Tue . The high pressure that has brought dry conditions and warm temperatures in the last few days will retreat from the local area tonight. A cold front extending from the NE U.S. towards the gulf coast states will push to the south tonight. The ridge across south FL will then be displaced and the front will reach the Cape latitude on Tue. And it will stay there for the rest of the day. PWAT values will remain in the same range through the period, around 1.4 inches up north and 1.15 inches down south. Rainfall activity is expected to start tonight as the late east coast sea breeze collides with the west and northwest wind flow producing showers along the coast and bringing them to the Atlantic waters. As the front reaches the Cape and Orange county on Tue morning, light showers will linger across east central FL expanding in coverage in the afternoon towards the northern counties north of Orange and Brevard counties. This is a generally an idea of location and timing for showers as the front moves south, lingers then starts to lift north.

Temps tonight will be able to drop a few degrees lower than this morning, reaching the lower to mid 60s. Then on Tue, since the front won't cross or move southward of the local area, the temps gradient will be big. Lower 80s from Orange-Cape Canaveral southward, mid-upper 70s for Lake, Seminole and northern Brevard and lower 70s for northern Volusia.

Tue night-Thursday . Ridging aloft centered over the Caribbean begins to erode late Tuesday and into Wednesday with the approach of an upper disturbance tracking across the southern MS Valley towards the coastal Carolinas through midweek. Locally, central FL will be positioned in the warm sector behind a warm front lifting over north FL early Wednesday. This will keep lingering shower mentions in the forecast overnight and during the pre-dawn hours especially along the coast as onshore winds veer rapidly southwest ahead of the system. At the surface, models are in very close agreement with a closed low developing in the Gulf prior to daybreak Wednesday, moving onshore over the FL Big Bend and quickly exiting the area off the North FL/South GA coast by sunrise. Even though a bulk of available moisture will ride just north of the forecast area, PW increase to over 1.50" and thus rain chances rise to 50-60% through midday, mainly north of Orlando and Cape Canaveral. Adequate forcing from the upper disturbance will support thunder on Wednesday, lasting into the afternoon as a trailing cold front passes through the area. A few storms could be strong during the day, with frequent lightning and gusty winds the main concerns. Southwest to west winds will veer northerly by dusk, with showers coming to a close as the stronger cold front passes through.

Thursday will be much different, with drier air and building high pressure over MS leading to no mentionable rain chances and noticeably cooler and pleasant temps. Temperatures Wednesday morning drop to the mid to upper 60s, with afternoon highs greatly influenced by the position of the cold front and cloud cover. Temps only reaching the mid to upper 70s north of Orlando, but will soar to the mid 80s for the Treasure Coast and Lake O vicinity. A rapid decline is expected after sunset Wednesday, with lows bottoming out in the 50s Thursday morning, with seasonal values in the 70s by Thursday afternoon.

Long term . (Modified previous discussion) High pressure initially North of the Grt Lakes will extend a period of drier cooler air across much of the SE states at the end of the work week. North component winds will keep temperatures pleasantly cool with highs in the 70s and lows in the 50s. The forecast becomes more challenged late Fri into Sat as another fast-moving plains disturbance crosses into the north gulf region early Sat. Early depictions from operational EC and GFS both show a notable increase in local rain chcs during Sat, along with a chance of storms as an energetic, deepening gulf system is shown with an early degree of consensus crossing the state during the upcoming weekend. Have increased the PoPs on Sat a bit to go with the guidance shift. Slightly cooler and drier for the rest of the weekend with highs in the low-70s or upper- 60s and lows in the 50s or low-60s.

AVIATION. VFR this afternoon with SW/W winds. Then isolated VCSH possible mainly for the northern and coastal terminals this evening. After midnight, low cigs (MVFR) were included and these will linger through at least Tue morning with winds veering from the NW/N/NE from KISM northward and variable from KMLB to KSUA. Brief shower activity will expand for the rest of the terminals on Tue.

MARINE.

Tonight-Tue . A cold front will approach the local Atlantic waters late tonight and linger across the Cape on Tue. Winds will increase mainly for the waters east of Volusia and a Small Craft Advisory has been issued for Tue morning. Then seas will build and the advisory will expand for the nearshore Volusia and offshore Brevard waters on Tue afternoon with seas of 6-8 ft and winds 18-21 kt.

Wednesday-Friday . Approaching upper disturbance and surface low pressure will cross just north of the local waters early Wednesday, with a strong cold front passage expected later in the day. Onshore winds 15-20 knots (near 20 knots offshore Volusia) will veer southwest by midday Wed, shifting northerly through the evening. Hazardous seas of 5-6 ft nearshore and up to 8 ft offshore for zones north of Sebastian Inlet, with a Small Craft Advisory in effect through early Wednesday afternoon. Behind the cold front, seas will improve slightly, becoming 4-6 ft and winds reducing to 15 knots.

CLIMATE. List of low temperatures observed (Low Obs) this morning and the warm low and high record temperatures for today, March 1.

Low Warm Low High Obs Records Records Daytona Beach 70 66 2017 86 2018 Leesburg 71 69 2018 87 2017 Sanford 71 71 2007 88 2012 Orlando 68 68 1913 90 1918 Melbourne 70 71 2007 89 2018 Vero Beach 70 74 1997 88 2018 Ft. Pierce 67 71 2007 89 1913

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS. DAB 64 72 64 77 / 20 50 40 60 MCO 66 80 65 79 / 20 40 20 50 MLB 67 80 66 82 / 20 40 20 50 VRB 67 82 65 85 / 20 30 20 30 LEE 65 76 66 77 / 20 40 20 50 SFB 66 77 65 79 / 20 50 20 60 ORL 68 79 67 80 / 20 40 20 50 FPR 66 83 65 85 / 20 30 20 30

MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . None. AM . Small Craft Advisory from 1 PM to 7 PM EST Tuesday for Flagler Beach to Volusia-Brevard County Line 0-20 nm.

Small Craft Advisory from 1 PM Tuesday to 1 PM EST Wednesday for Volusia-Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 20-60 nm.

Small Craft Advisory from 7 AM Tuesday to 1 PM EST Wednesday for Flagler Beach to Volusia-Brevard County Line 20-60 nm.



Negron/Smith/Haley


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
TRDF1 - 8721604 - Trident Pier, FL 17 mi54 min SSE 6 G 8.9 72°F 73°F1018.1 hPa
41113 - Cape Canaveral Nearshore, FL (143) 20 mi46 min 71°F2 ft
41009 - CANAVERAL 20 NM East of Cape Canaveral, FL 39 mi32 min S 14 G 18 75°F 75°F1016.6 hPa74°F
SIPF1 45 mi42 min 73°F 75°F1018 hPa
TPAF1 - 8726694 - TPA Cruise Terminal 2, Tampa, FL 87 mi54 min S 8.9 G 11

Wind History for Trident Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Titusville, FL10 mi25 minN 07.00 miPartly Cloudy75°F72°F89%1017.6 hPa
Cocoa Beach, Cape Canaveral Air Force Station Skid Strip, FL19 mi16 minS 610.00 miFair73°F70°F90%1017.6 hPa
Cocoa - Patrick Air Force Base, FL20 mi16 minS 510.00 miFair74°F66°F78%1017.7 hPa
Orlando International Airport, FL22 mi19 minWSW 510.00 miPartly Cloudy77°F67°F71%1017.4 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KTIX

Wind History from TIX (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr------------------S3SW3SW4SW8SW9SW9
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W5W5W5W5W55CalmCalm
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2 days ago------------------S4S4S8S8SE11SE13--SE11SE12SE12SE12SE8SE6SE8SE6

Tide / Current Tables for Canaveral Harbor Entrance, Florida
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Canaveral Harbor Entrance
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Mon -- 02:45 AM EST     -0.46 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:46 AM EST     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:30 AM EST     Moonset
Mon -- 09:04 AM EST     4.40 feet High Tide
Mon -- 03:09 PM EST     -0.37 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:22 PM EST     Sunset
Mon -- 09:05 PM EST     Moonrise
Mon -- 09:28 PM EST     4.39 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.70.6-0.3-0.400.91.93.144.44.13.32.31.10.1-0.4-0.20.51.52.63.74.34.33.7

Tide / Current Tables for Titusville, Indian River, Florida
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Titusville
Click for Map
Mon -- 06:10 AM EST     4.10 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:47 AM EST     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:31 AM EST     Moonset
Mon -- 12:16 PM EST     4.06 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:23 PM EST     Sunset
Mon -- 07:22 PM EST     4.13 feet High Tide
Mon -- 09:06 PM EST     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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4.14.14.14.14.14.14.14.14.14.14.14.14.14.14.14.14.14.14.14.14.14.14.14.1

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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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