Monday, May10, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Oak Ridge, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:36AMSunset 8:07PM Monday May 10, 2021 5:19 PM EDT (21:19 UTC) Moonrise 5:05AMMoonset 6:17PM Illumination 1% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 29 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ552 Volusia-brevard County Line To Sebastian Inlet 0-20 Nm- 334 Pm Edt Mon May 10 2021
Tonight..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots becoming west 5 to 10 knots towards daybreak. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period 4 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming east in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 feet with a dominant period 8 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Tuesday night..Southeast winds 10 knots becoming south after midnight. Seas 2 feet with a dominant period 7 seconds. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening.
Wednesday..South winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southeast in the afternoon. Seas 2 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday night..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots becoming northeast after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters. Showers likely and chance of Thunderstorms.
Thursday..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Showers likely and chance of Thunderstorms.
Thursday night..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Friday..North winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Friday night..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet. Slight chance of showers.
Saturday..Northeast winds 15 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 334 Pm Edt Mon May 10 2021
Synopsis..The axis of the atlantic high pressure ridge will sag from central florida into south florida by Wednesday, then collapse Thursday as a cool front sags into central florida and temporarily stalls. A weak low pressure trough will form over the local waters Thursday night and slide east on Friday, resulting in much higher coverage of shores and storms. As the trough moves away from florida, strong high pressure builds north of florida into next weekend. An increasing northeast fetch will cause large swells to build into the local waters from late Thursday into this weekend.
Gulf stream hazards..None. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Sunday, may 9th. 43 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 31 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 25 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 17 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 10 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Oak Ridge, FL
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location: 28.48, -81.44     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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FXUS62 KMLB 102000 AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 400 PM EDT Mon May 10 2021

DISCUSSION.

This evening-Tonight . A ridge extending from the central Atlantic towards the northern Bahamas and south FL/Treasure Coast this afternoon will stay in place for the most part through Tue. The wind flow over east central FL wil continue this afternoon from the southwest across most of the area as the sea breeze tries to move inland, shifting winds from the southeast as it moves westward. As of 3pm, 2 storms were observed on radar with one in particular persisting over Martin county. As the afternoon progresses, additional development is expected across the interior. These showers and storms will be capable of producing heavy rain, gusty winds and occasional lightning strikes. As the night moves in, storms will persist through early night towards the Treasure Coast and dissipate over land before midnight. Partly cloudy skies overnight with lows dropping to the upper 60s-lower 70s.

Tuesday . A similar weather scenario is expected on Tuesday with partly cloudy skies in the morning and sea breeze developing in the afternoon. With a southwest light flow, the sea breeze will push westward beyond the coast late in morning and early afternoon, becoming gusty along the Treasure Coast. PWAT values will increase to near 1.5 inches in the afternoon and coverage of showers and storms is forecast to be higher than today across the interior. These storms will shift to the ENE and reach the coastal waters by late afternoon/early evening. Highs will be able to climb to lower 90s across the interior while coastal areas will stay in the upper 80s/near 90.

Wednesday-Friday . Zonal flow in place over the SE CONUS through Wed will buckle as a trough amplifies over the eastern CONUS Thu, then slides into the western Atlantic Fri. An attendant cool front over the SE CONUS will sag into NOFL Thu, then through central Florida Thu night-Fri as a low pressure wave develops off the ECFL/NEFL coast and then moves off to the ENE by Fri night. As the front moves across the area, precip chances will increase Wed-Wed night (mid- high end SCT) and even moreso Thu (numerous), with higher chances shifting SE across the Treasure Coast on Fri.

One more hot day on tap Wed (L90s/U60s-L70s), then cooler owing to clouds/precip and CAA. For Thu, L80s north/U80s south and U60s-70F for mins. L-M80s/L-M60s inland/U60s coast on Fri.

Saturday-Monday . Zonal flow returns to the area as mid level heights rise in the wake of the departing western Atlantic trough. A large surface high pressure ridge north of Florida will gradually shift eastward with onshore flow veering from NE Sat to east on Sun and ESE to SE on Mon. This will lead to generally dry conditions with a low end threat for showers/few TS across the south Sun-Mon. Max temps will average a few degrees below climo - generally in the L80s (M80s far west interior) with mins in the L-M60s inland and U60s closer to the coast.

AVIATION. KSUA will continue to experience SHRA/TSRA this afternoon as a line of moisture streams over the area. Elsewhere, SHRA/TSRA remain possible through early evening, which can reduce visibilities, produce gusty winds and lightning strikes. Partly cloudy overnight with light and variable winds. After Tue mid morning and as the sea breeze develops, winds will shift from the SE for the coastal sites. SHRA/TSRA possible in the afternoon.

MARINE.

Tonight-Tue . A ridge remaining over the local waters will keep a generally southerly flow this afternoon with a SE flow nearshore as the sea breeze influences remain through early evening. S/SW and light winds tonight and early Tue morning, becoming SE over the nearshore due to the sea breeze. Seas 2-3 ft.

Wednesday-Saturday . Western flank of the Atlantic ridge will hold on for one more day before collapsing Wed night as the cool front reaches NOFL. Wind blow becomes a bit uncertain Thu, depending on where the axis of the developing inverted trough sets up, however speeds should be relatively light regardless. Local flow eventually freshens out of the NE-ENE late Fri-Sat as the trough slides out to the east and high pressure builds to the north.

Wave model guidance depicts a large NE swell building as high as 7ft Fri-Sat due to a lengthening NE fetch over the western Atlantic between the departing trough and strengthening ridge. This would also result in hazardous surf conditions and an increasing threat for dangerous rip currents into this weekend.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS. DAB 69 89 70 90 / 10 30 20 50 MCO 71 93 72 93 / 20 30 10 50 MLB 71 88 72 90 / 20 30 20 50 VRB 70 89 71 90 / 20 30 20 40 LEE 71 92 72 93 / 10 30 0 40 SFB 71 92 72 93 / 10 30 10 50 ORL 73 93 74 93 / 10 30 10 50 FPR 69 89 70 90 / 20 20 10 40

MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . None. AM . None.

Negron/Cristaldi/Combs


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
TRDF1 - 8721604 - Trident Pier, FL 45 mi49 min SE 11 G 15 82°F 81°F1017.2 hPa
41113 - Cape Canaveral Nearshore, FL (143) 48 mi53 min 80°F3 ft
ARPF1 - APK - Aripeka, FL 65 mi145 min W 9.9 G 12 82°F 1017 hPa
TSHF1 - 8726667 - East Bay Causeway, FL 65 mi67 min SSE 9.9 G 14

Wind History for Trident Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Orlando International Airport, FL7 mi26 minVar 510.00 miMostly Cloudy91°F61°F37%1015.4 hPa
Orlando Executive Airport, FL8 mi26 minNW 1110.00 miPartly Cloudy90°F65°F44%1016.2 hPa
Kissimmee Gateway Airport, FL13 mi23 minWSW 810.00 miA Few Clouds91°F63°F39%1016 hPa
Orlando / Sanford Airport, FL23 mi26 minWNW 1310.00 miOvercast84°F64°F51%1015.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KMCO

Wind History from MCO (wind in knots)
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1 day ago5E12E10NE9NE7E6E5E5E4E5CalmE3E3CalmE5SE7SE12SE13SE11
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2 days agoW9
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NW9NW7N7E6S4SE5S3CalmNW3N5N6N8N8N9N12N10NE84NE5CalmN8N53

Tide / Current Tables for Titusville, Indian River, Florida
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Titusville
Click for Map
Mon -- 03:46 AM EDT     3.83 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:02 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 06:35 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 11:16 AM EDT     3.77 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:52 PM EDT     3.84 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:15 PM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 08:04 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.83.83.83.83.83.83.83.83.83.83.83.83.83.83.83.83.83.83.83.83.83.83.83.8

Tide / Current Tables for Canaveral Harbor Entrance, Florida (2)
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Canaveral Harbor Entrance
Click for Map
Mon -- 01:41 AM EDT     0.32 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:01 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 06:34 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 07:34 AM EDT     3.58 feet High Tide
Mon -- 01:51 PM EDT     -0.08 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 07:14 PM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 08:03 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 08:07 PM EDT     3.86 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.90.40.30.71.42.333.53.53.12.41.50.70.1-0.10.20.91.92.83.63.93.73.12.3

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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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