Saturday, July4, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Pine Island, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:36AMSunset 8:32PM Saturday July 4, 2020 1:54 AM EDT (05:54 UTC) Moonrise 7:23PMMoonset 4:56AM Illumination 98% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 13 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ850 Coastal Waters From Tarpon Springs To Suwannee River Fl Out 20 Nm- 820 Pm Edt Fri Jul 3 2020
Rest of tonight..West winds around 15 knots diminishing to 5 to 10 knots in the late evening and overnight. Seas 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. Scattered showers and isolated Thunderstorms.
Saturday..Southwest winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Scattered showers and isolated Thunderstorms in the morning, then scattered Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Saturday night..Southwest winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Scattered Thunderstorms in the evening, then scattered showers and isolated Thunderstorms after midnight.
Sunday..Southwest winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Showers in the morning. A chance of Thunderstorms. Showers likely in the afternoon.
Sunday night..Southwest winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Showers likely and a chance of Thunderstorms.
Monday..Southwest winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Showers in the morning. A chance of Thunderstorms.
Monday night..Southwest winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A chance of Thunderstorms.
Tuesday..Southwest winds around 5 knots then becoming west around 10 knots in the late morning and afternoon. Seas 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A chance of Thunderstorms in the morning, then a slight chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Tuesday night..West winds around 10 knots diminishing to around 5 knots toward morning. Seas 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A slight chance of Thunderstorms after midnight.
Wednesday..West winds around 5 knots increasing to around 10 knots in the late morning and afternoon. Seas 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A slight chance of Thunderstorms.
GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 820 Pm Edt Fri Jul 3 2020
Synopsis.. West-southwest winds generally around 10-15 knots will prevail over the gulf coast waters as high pressure ridges over southern florida. Daily scattered showers and an isolated Thunderstorm will be possible each day with the highest chances north of tarpon springs earlier in the day before more of the activity pushes inland. However, under the current pattern, there exists at least a small chance of showers or storms at any time... Otherwise, no headlines are expected through the period. The main hazards will continue to be associated with higher winds and seas as well as dangerous lightning associated with passing Thunderstorms.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Pine Island, FL
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location: 28.56, -82.66     debug


Area Discussion for - Tampa Bay, FL
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FXUS62 KTBW 040531 AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 131 AM EDT Sat Jul 4 2020

AVIATION. Mostly VFR conditions will hold through the morning hours, although a few showers will be possible moving onshore, and could cause brief flight category restrictions. Thunderstorms will continue to develop during the afternoon, with the highest chances around the Tampa Bay near KTPA, KPIE, KSRQ, and KLAL. Showers and a few thunderstorms will continue to be possible moving onshore around the Tampa Bay area TAF sites into the overnight hours.

Prev Discussion. /issued 742 PM EDT Fri Jul 3 2020/

MARINE . West-southwest winds generally around 10-15 knots will prevail over the gulf coast waters as high pressure ridges over southern Florida. Daily scattered showers and an isolated thunderstorm will be possible each day with the highest chances north of Tarpon Springs earlier in the day before more of the activity pushes inland. However, under the current pattern, there exists at least a small chance of showers or storms at any time . Otherwise, no headlines are expected through the period. The main hazards will continue to be associated with higher winds and seas as well as dangerous lightning associated with passing thunderstorms.

Prev Discussion . /issued 601 PM EDT Fri Jul 3 2020/

UPDATE . For the most part, it's been another early arrival and early departure for convection across West Central and Southwest FL. As we speak, the only active rainfall is across Sumter and Highlands county, but this will soon push east of our area. Somewhat similar to yesterday, the occasional shower and perhaps rumble of thunder will be possible through much of the late evening hours, mostly from the Bay Area northward due to lower PWATs farther south. This is in part to the strong low-level westerly flow advecting warm, moist air over the hot Gulf Waters and enhanced coastal convergence . Trimmed back PoPs across the interior and made minor adjustments through the rest of this evening to account for this thinking.

Some model blends continue to be rather bullish with PoPs as of late and keep afternoon PoPs a bit too high for our western counties. Strong 1000mb-700mb westerly flow will be in place once again tomorrow. With average moisture content this time of year, have opted to blend in Climatological PoPs that represent strong westerly flow. This tunes down rain chances along coastal communities as we head into the evening of the 4th, although scattered to numerous storms are still expected across the interior. Greatest storm coverage, however, will be confined to the eastern half of the peninsula .

Finally, remember that heat can kill. Heat Index values will run between 100-105 degrees tomorrow afternoon so if you are outside for an extended periods of time, please be sure to take precautions to avoid heat related illness.

Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs. TPA 91 80 91 79 / 40 30 80 50 FMY 92 78 92 78 / 20 20 60 20 GIF 92 75 91 75 / 60 40 90 30 SRQ 90 79 90 79 / 30 30 70 50 BKV 91 75 91 74 / 50 40 90 50 SPG 91 79 91 79 / 40 40 80 60

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . None. Gulf waters . None.

AVIATION . Fleming


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
FHPF1 - Fred Howard Park, FL 29 mi120 min W 8.9 G 9.9 85°F 1014.6 hPa
CWBF1 - 8726724 - Clearwater Beach, FL 41 mi54 min WSW 8.9 G 12 85°F 91°F1014.3 hPa (+0.3)
CDRF1 - Cedar Key, FL 44 mi54 min Calm G 1 81°F 1013.8 hPa (+0.7)76°F
TPAF1 - 8726694 - TPA Cruise Terminal 2, Tampa, FL 45 mi54 min SW 4.1 G 6
TSHF1 - 8726667 - East Bay Causeway, FL 45 mi60 min SW 4.1 G 7
EBEF1 46 mi66 min 86°F 95°F1013.8 hPa
SKCF1 46 mi66 min WSW 7.8 G 12
OPTF1 - 8726607 - Old Port Tampa, FL 49 mi54 min W 7 G 8 85°F 89°F1014.2 hPa (+0.3)

Wind History for Clearwater Beach, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Brooksville-Tampa Bay Regional Airport, FL13 mi61 minN 010.00 miPartly Cloudy74°F72°F94%1014.2 hPa
Crystal River Airport, FL22 mi59 minENE 410.00 miPartly Cloudy77°F73°F89%1014.2 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KBKV

Wind History from BKV (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmS4CalmS4S5CalmSW6SW10W4W6W10W11NW10
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1 day agoCalmSE3CalmCalmSE35CalmSW3W10W9W16
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2 days agoSE3CalmCalmS3CalmCalmCalmW3W8SW11
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Tide / Current Tables for Bayport, Florida
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Bayport
Click for Map
Sat -- 02:23 AM EDT     2.91 feet High Tide
Sat -- 05:55 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 06:37 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 07:53 AM EDT     1.40 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 01:18 PM EDT     3.62 feet High Tide
Sat -- 08:22 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 08:32 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 09:16 PM EDT     -0.52 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.82.52.92.92.62.21.81.51.41.62.12.73.33.63.63.22.71.91.10.3-0.2-0.5-0.40.2

Tide / Current Tables for Aripeka, Hammock Creek, Florida
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Aripeka
Click for Map
Sat -- 01:49 AM EDT     2.84 feet High Tide
Sat -- 05:56 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 06:38 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 07:40 AM EDT     1.16 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 12:44 PM EDT     3.54 feet High Tide
Sat -- 08:22 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 08:32 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 09:03 PM EDT     -0.43 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.12.72.82.72.31.81.41.21.21.52.12.93.43.53.32.92.31.60.80.2-0.3-0.4-0.20.5

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Tampa Bay, FL (1,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Tampa Bay Area, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.