Friday, December13, 2019
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Marine Weather and Tides
Fern Park, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:07AMSunset 5:31PM Friday December 13, 2019 2:18 AM EST (07:18 UTC) Moonrise 7:03PMMoonset 8:25AM Illumination 98% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 16 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ550 Flagler Beach To Volusia-brevard County Line 0-20 Nm- 1007 Pm Est Thu Dec 12 2019
.small craft advisory in effect until 10 am est Friday...
Tonight..East winds 15 to 20 knots becoming southeast 10 to 15 knots after midnight. Seas 7 to 10 feet with a dominant period 9 seconds. Choppy on the intracoastal waters. Rain through late evening, becoming a chance of showers after midnight.
Friday..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 5 to 7 feet with a dominant period 9 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Friday night..South winds 10 to 15 knots becoming southwest 15 to 20 knots after midnight. Seas 4 to 6 feet with a dominant period 9 seconds. Choppy on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers.
Saturday..Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots becoming west 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 feet. Choppy on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers in the morning.
Saturday night..Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters.
Sunday..North winds 5 to 10 knots becoming northeast 5 knots in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Sunday night..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet.
Monday..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet.
Monday night..South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Slight chance of showers.
Tuesday..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Chance of showers.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 1007 Pm Est Thu Dec 12 2019
Synopsis..A slow moving warm front over central florida will push into north florida overnight as a low pressure system forms over the northern gulf of mexico and moves into the deep south. The next cool front will swing through the local atlantic on Saturday. High pressure behind the front will quickly push offshore, so winds will quickly veer onshore by Monday.
Gulf stream hazards..Northeast to east winds 20 to 25 knots and seas 8 to 11 feet. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Wednesday, december 11th. 44 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 30 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 28 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 21 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 12 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Fern Park, FL
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location: 28.63, -81.35     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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FXUS62 KMLB 130225 AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 925 PM EST Thu Dec 12 2019

UPDATE.

Minimal changes were made to the forecast this evening. Showers will continue over the next few hours, after rainfall records at Vero Beach, Fort Pierce and Melbourne were shattered earlier this afternoon. Coverage will begin to decrease from south to north after midnight, as the warm front lifts north through the area. Showers will continue offshore, but inland areas won't see rain chances increase again until late tomorrow morning. Overnight lows will only drop into the mid to upper 60s tonight, nearly 10-15 degrees above normal for mid December.

AVIATION. Stalled boundary across Lake Okeechobee will slowly begin to lift northward overnight as a warm front ahead of another approaching system from the northwest. Forecast thru TAF period continues to be messy, with IFR cigs and persistent SHRA impacting most terminals this evening. As the front lifts northward later this evening, the rain shield will begin to clear KSUA to KVRB first by 06-08Z, then northern areas after 08Z. Stout onshore flow of 10-15 kts will diminish and become southeasterly tonight, veering to the southwest early tomorrow. A weak low will push across the northern FL peninsula tomorrow, increasing rain chances as well as the potential for iso TSRA, although confidence is too low to include TS mention at this time.

MARINE.

Some changes were made to match the forecast with current trends. Seas are currently 9-12 ft and will diminish through the overnight, becoming 5-8 ft by sunrise. Winds remain gusty, with sustained winds 20-25 kts from the east. These will also start to trend downward, becoming east/southeast at 10-15 kts by early morning. A Small Craft Advisory is in effect for all coastal zones until 10 AM Friday. Hazardous boating conditions will continue through Friday afternoon for offshore zones.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS. DAB 68 77 63 75 / 70 40 50 30 MCO 65 80 65 77 / 40 30 40 30 MLB 69 80 65 80 / 60 40 40 30 VRB 68 79 63 80 / 60 40 40 30 LEE 65 79 65 75 / 40 30 50 30 SFB 65 81 64 77 / 50 30 50 30 ORL 65 80 65 77 / 40 30 40 30 FPR 68 79 63 81 / 50 40 40 20

MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . High Surf Advisory until 10 AM EST Friday for Coastal Volusia- Indian River-Martin-Northern Brevard-Southern Brevard-St. Lucie.

AM . Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM EST Friday for Flagler Beach to Volusia-Brevard County Line 0-20 nm-Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 0-20 nm-Volusia-Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 0-20 nm.

Small Craft Advisory until 3 PM EST Friday for Flagler Beach to Volusia-Brevard County Line 20-60 nm-Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 20-60 nm-Volusia-Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 20-60 nm.



Leahy/Blottman/Smith


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
TRDF1 - 8721604 - Trident Pier, FL 43 mi48 min E 8 G 11 72°F 71°F1020.2 hPa
41113 - Cape Canaveral Nearshore, FL (143) 46 mi18 min 72°F5 ft
41009 - CANAVERAL 20 NM East of Cape Canaveral, FL 62 mi28 min E 21 G 27 75°F 77°F10 ft1019.1 hPa68°F
GTXF1 - Guana Tolomato Matanzas Reserve, FL 71 mi93 min ESE 7 70°F 1022 hPa67°F

Wind History for Trident Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Orlando Executive Airport, FL6 mi25 minSE 610.00 miLight Rain70°F68°F93%1019.3 hPa
Orlando / Sanford Airport, FL12 mi25 minESE 47.00 miLight Rain70°F68°F93%1018.7 hPa
Orlando International Airport, FL14 mi25 minE 66.00 miLight Rain Fog/Mist70°F66°F90%1018.8 hPa
Kissimmee Gateway Airport, FL24 mi22 minESE 510.00 miMostly Cloudy69°F68°F96%1019.2 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KORL

Wind History from ORL (wind in knots)
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1 day agoS6CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmN3CalmN10N11NE10NE12N15
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2 days agoCalmCalmCalmSE3CalmCalmS6S5S9S9S9S11S9S9S4S3SE4CalmCalmS8S5S3S7S5

Tide / Current Tables for Titusville, Indian River, Florida
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Titusville
Click for Map
Fri -- 04:25 AM EST     3.99 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:06 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:23 AM EST     Moonset
Fri -- 11:33 AM EST     3.92 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 05:27 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 07:01 PM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 07:36 PM EST     3.98 feet High Tide
Fri -- 11:49 PM EST     3.97 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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4444444443.93.93.93.93.93.93.944444444

Tide / Current Tables for Ponce de Leon Inlet (inside), Florida
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Ponce de Leon Inlet (inside)
Click for Map
Fri -- 02:40 AM EST     0.01 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:08 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:24 AM EST     Moonset
Fri -- 08:54 AM EST     2.93 feet High Tide
Fri -- 03:14 PM EST     0.45 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 05:27 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 07:00 PM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 08:56 PM EST     2.70 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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10.40.100.30.91.62.32.82.92.72.31.71.10.70.50.50.91.52.12.52.72.52

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Melbourne, FL (2,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.