Sunday, August9, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Mims, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:48AMSunset 8:08PM Sunday August 9, 2020 3:47 AM EDT (07:47 UTC) Moonrise 10:52PMMoonset 11:01AM Illumination 72% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 20 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ552 Volusia-brevard County Line To Sebastian Inlet 0-20 Nm- 312 Am Edt Sun Aug 9 2020
Today..South winds 5 knots becoming east in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 feet with a dominant period 8 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tonight..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south after midnight. Seas 2 feet with a dominant period 7 seconds. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters.
Monday..Southwest winds 5 knots becoming southeast in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 feet with a dominant period 7 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Monday night..Southeast winds 10 knots becoming south after midnight. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday..South winds 5 knots becoming southeast in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday night..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday night..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 312 Am Edt Sun Aug 9 2020
Synopsis..High pressure will bring favorable open water boating conditions this weekend into early next week. Isolated showers and Thunderstorms should mainly remain offshore this morning and again into late tonight.
Gulf stream hazards..None. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Sunday, august 9th. 37 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 25 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 19 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 13 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 8 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Mims, FL
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location: 28.64, -80.8     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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FXUS62 KMLB 090709 AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 309 AM EDT Sun Aug 9 2020

DISCUSSION.

Today-Tonight . Subtropical ridge axis will remain across the area today, with weak low level winds persisting. This will allow sea breeze boundaries on both coasts to push well inland this afternoon. PW values around 1.8-2.0 inches will still be sufficient for scattered storm development along and inland of these boundaries, but greatest coverage should still remain near to northwest of the Interstate 4 corridor from late afternoon through early evening where boundary collisions are most likely. Have rain chances ranging from 20-30 percent along the coast up to 40-50 percent from Osceola County northward through Lake and inland Volusia counties. Main storm threats include frequent lightning, wind gusts up to 40-45 mph and locally heavy rainfall up to 2-3 inches due to slow and erratic storm motion. Temps aloft around -7 to -8C at 500mb may also support some small hail with any stronger storms. Convection will then decrease into the evening with any lingering storms or debris cloud light rainfall diminishing toward or just after midnight.

It will be another hot day, especially inland where highs will again reach the mid 90s. Closer to the coast temps should max out around the upper 80s to low 90s due to the sea breeze. The added humidity will produce heat index values up to 100-105 for much of the area, which is typical for this time of year. Temperatures tonight will then fall into the low to mid 70s late.

Monday-Tuesday . Generally light flow pattern expected to begin the week, as east central Florida is sandwiched between high pressure over the GOMEX and the subtropical ridge over the Atlantic. With weaker flow, both the east and west coast seabreezes will develop and push inland, eventually colliding over the interior. Thus, the highest PoPs will be west of I-95, have PoPs 50-60% there and 35-45% along the coast on Monday. Slightly higher PoPs on Tuesday, with a bit stronger east coast seabreeze. PoPs 60-70% across the interior and 45-55% along the coast Tuesday afternoon. After the initial sea breeze collisions, convection will be largely dominated by boundary interactions through the afternoon and into early evening. Afternoon highs in the mid 90s inland, with low 90s along the coast. Lows in the low to mid 70s.

Wednesday onward . By mid week, the western Atlantic ridge axis will shift slightly north of the area. This would bring stronger onshore flow to the area, perhaps decreasing storm coverage over much of the eastern side of the peninsula, with storms focusing on the western side. However, GFS forecast soundings suggest steering flow remaining light and PWATs 1.8+". The ECMWF also remains quite wet. So, have not deviated much from the inherited forecast, with PoPs 50- 60% through the end of the week. The exception is Wednesday, with PoPs 60-70% as the ridge axis begins to move northward late. Highs in the low 90s mid week onward, with morning lows in the mid 70s, except for upper 70s along the coast as onshore flow strengthens.

AVIATION. Mainly VFR. Isolated showers and storms will initially develop along the coast from late morning to early afternoon, becoming scattered across the interior through the afternoon and early evening hours. Greatest chance for storms will be near to northwest of the I-4 corridor from 20-01Z as sea breeze boundaries move inland and collide across the interior. Will keep VCTS for inland TAF sites for now, but any of this activity will be able to produce tempo IFR/MVFR conditions through this evening.

MARINE. Today-Tonight . Isolated showers and storms will be possible over the Gulf Stream waters this morning, mainly south of Sebastian Inlet, and again into late tonight. Otherwise, boating conditions will remain favorable with light S to E/SE winds, becoming easterly into the afternoon and increasing to 5-10 knots as sea breeze forms and moves inland. Seas will remain around 1-2 feet.

Monday-Thursday . The subtropical ridge axis will remain draped across the area through midweek. This will continue favorable boating conditions, with generally light southerly winds each morning, becoming E/SE at 5-10kts in the afternoon as the seabreeze forms. Then, the ridge axis will shift northward beginning late Wednesday, bringing increased onshore flow. Winds then becoming around 10kts. Seas will remain favorable at 1-2ft, with areas of 3ft well offshore on Thursday.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS. DAB 91 75 92 76 / 30 20 40 20 MCO 96 76 94 76 / 40 20 60 20 MLB 90 76 90 76 / 20 10 40 10 VRB 91 75 90 75 / 20 10 40 10 LEE 95 77 95 76 / 50 30 60 20 SFB 96 76 95 76 / 50 30 60 20 ORL 96 76 94 76 / 50 20 60 20 FPR 90 75 91 75 / 20 10 40 10

MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . None. AM . None.

SHORT TERM/AVIATION . Weitlich LONG TERM . Leahy


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
TRDF1 - 8721604 - Trident Pier, FL 19 mi48 min SE 5.1 G 7 82°F 87°F1021.2 hPa (-1.3)
41113 - Cape Canaveral Nearshore, FL (143) 22 mi52 min 85°F1 ft
41009 - CANAVERAL 20 NM East of Cape Canaveral, FL 34 mi38 min S 7.8 G 9.7 84°F 84°F1019.8 hPa79°F
GTXF1 - Guana Tolomato Matanzas Reserve, FL 74 mi63 min SW 1 77°F 1022 hPa76°F

Wind History for Trident Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Cocoa Beach, Cape Canaveral Air Force Station Skid Strip, FL17 mi52 minS 610.00 miFair79°F75°F89%1020.3 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KTIX

Wind History from TIX (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr------------------Calm--CalmCalmE6E6NE8SE5E7NE7E8E8E6E6SE5
1 day ago------------------CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNE5E6E6E5E5E8E8NW14
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2 days ago------------------CalmCalmCalmS4--CalmE5E5SE8SE13SE13SE8NE8CalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Titusville, Indian River, Florida
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Titusville
Click for Map
Sun -- 04:25 AM EDT     3.89 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:49 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 09:44 AM EDT     3.91 feet High Tide
Sun -- 11:29 AM EDT     3.90 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 12:01 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 08:07 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 09:29 PM EDT     3.95 feet High Tide
Sun -- 11:52 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.93.93.93.93.93.93.93.93.93.93.93.93.93.93.93.93.93.93.93.93.93.93.93.9

Tide / Current Tables for Playalinda Beach, Florida
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Playalinda Beach
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:04 AM EDT     3.63 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:23 AM EDT     0.46 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:48 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 12:00 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 12:34 PM EDT     3.48 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:42 PM EDT     0.76 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 08:06 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 11:51 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.63.52.92.21.40.80.50.50.91.62.433.43.43.12.51.91.20.80.81.11.62.33

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Melbourne, FL (3,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.