Wednesday, March3, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Sugarmill Woods, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:51AMSunset 6:32PM Wednesday March 3, 2021 5:56 AM EST (10:56 UTC) Moonrise 11:26PMMoonset 9:54AM Illumination 77% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 19 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ850 Coastal Waters From Tarpon Springs To Suwannee River Fl Out 20 Nm- 505 Am Est Wed Mar 3 2021
.small craft exercise caution this morning...
Today..Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots diminishing to 10 to 15 knots in the late morning and afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Bay and inland waters choppy. A chance of showers early in the morning.
Tonight..North winds around 15 knots diminishing to 5 to 10 knots toward morning. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
Thursday..North winds around 10 knots then becoming northwest in the afternoon. Seas 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Thursday night..Northwest winds around 10 knots then becoming northeast after midnight. Seas 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Friday..East winds around 10 knots then becoming northwest late in the afternoon. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Friday night..North winds 5 to 10 knots then becoming northeast late in the evening, then increasing to around 15 knots after midnight. Seas 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers after midnight.
Saturday..Northeast winds around 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers in the morning. A slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Saturday night..Northeast winds around 20 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Bay and inland waters choppy.
Sunday..Northeast winds around 20 knots diminishing to 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Bay and inland waters choppy.
GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 505 Am Est Wed Mar 3 2021
Synopsis.. A frontal boundary across central florida combined with an approaching front will continue to support showers ans isolated Thunderstorms this morning, as well as some patchy fog. Additionally, breezy conditions reaching exercise caution levels with winds staying 15 to 20 knots today. Boating conditions should improve Thursday into Friday, but another storm system will deteriorate them into the weekend.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Sugarmill Woods, FL
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location: 28.72, -82.58     debug


Area Discussion for - Tampa Bay, FL
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FXUS62 KTBW 030854 AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 354 AM EST Wed Mar 3 2021

SHORT TERM (TDY-FRI). A shortwave continues to advect east to northeast, while its associated cold front trails over the Gulf of Mexico, and a frontal boundary stalls across central Florida this morning. This combined with the very moist airmass ahead of it all and southerly flow will support showers through much of today as we remain in the warm sector of this system. Although most of the upper level support stays to our north, isolated thunderstorms will be possible across our northern counties. The lack of instability will prevent any stronger storms to develop. Gusty winds, intermittent heavy downpours, and some lightning are the main threats with this system.

Additionally, southerly flow and moist conditions will also support sea/land fog developing this morning, but should dissipate as the band of rain travels across the area.

Highs today will range from the low 70s to low 80s north/south, but will gradually increase through the week. However, a much drier and clear skies will allow overnight lows to drop 6 to 10 degrees from this morning to Thursday morning. Conditions will feel more comfortable with morning temps in the 40s and 50s, and dewpoints staying in the 50s through the rest of the work week.

LONG TERM (SAT-TUE). A ridge of high pressure will build over the nation's plains and move east into the weekend as a broad area of low pressure slides east on Saturday. This will result in a gradual increase in afternoon temperatures and rainfall chances. Model guidance brings in higher rainfall totals, compared to tonight/Wednesday's frontal passage Saturday into Sunday. Overnight lows will stay in the 40s and 50s in most locations.

The remaining of the period is expected to remain pretty quite with a long stretch of rain free conditions.

AVIATION. Another tough forecast for tonight with intermittent MVFR/IFR conditions prevailing ahead of an approaching front. Once again, there is low confidence of the visibility forecast as guidance and obs aren't really lining up. South to southwesterly winds will prevail and increase after 12Z as frontal boundary moves across TAF sites, but should shift to the north going into the the afternoon and evening. Ceiling are expected to go up and down through the morning as fog and rain develop.

MARINE. A frontal boundary across central Florida combined with an approaching front will continue to support showers ans isolated thunderstorms this morning, as well as some patchy fog. Additionally, breezy conditions near exercise caution levels will be possible today. Boating conditions should improve Thursday into Friday, but another storm system will deteriorate them into the weekend.

FIRE WEATHER. Very moist airmass and southerly flow across the area will prevail ahead of an front expected to move across fire districts today. This will support showers and isolated thunderstorms as the boundary travels across. Behind the frontal passage, relatively drier conditions (min RHs in the 40s) will settle in Thursday and Friday, before another area of low pressure brings in additional chances of showers into the weekend. Winds will shift west to southwest today, but will be north by Thursday. Then, winds will become more easterly going into the weekend. Therefore, no fire weather concerns at this time.

Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs. TPA 72 56 73 55 / 50 0 0 0 FMY 79 58 78 56 / 30 0 0 0 GIF 77 53 76 52 / 50 0 0 0 SRQ 73 55 74 53 / 50 0 0 0 BKV 73 47 74 44 / 40 0 0 0 SPG 72 59 71 59 / 50 0 0 0

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . None. Gulf waters . None.

SHORT TERM/LONG TERM/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER . Delerme DECISION SUPPORT . Close


Weather Reporting Stations
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Wind History for Cedar Key, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Crystal River Airport, FL10 mi61 minSW 810.00 miLight Rain68°F68°F100%1010.5 hPa
Brooksville-Tampa Bay Regional Airport, FL19 mi63 minS 49.00 miLight Rain68°F65°F90%1010.5 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KCGC

Wind History from CGC (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE6E7E6E7E6E4S4CalmW9SW5W6N5NE6E8E5E4CalmE4CalmSE4E3SE5CalmSW5
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Tide / Current Tables for Chassahowitzka, Chassahowitzka River, Florida (2)
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Chassahowitzka
Click for Map
Wed -- 03:47 AM EST     -0.07 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:52 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 08:14 AM EST     0.46 feet High Tide
Wed -- 09:53 AM EST     Moonset
Wed -- 03:33 PM EST     0.09 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:31 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 07:49 PM EST     0.53 feet High Tide
Wed -- 11:26 PM EST     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.20.1-0-0.1-0.100.20.40.50.40.40.30.30.20.10.10.10.20.40.50.50.50.40.4

Tide / Current Tables for Halls River Bridge, Halls River, Florida (2)
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Halls River Bridge
Click for Map
Wed -- 03:43 AM EST     -0.08 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:53 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 08:45 AM EST     0.52 feet High Tide
Wed -- 09:53 AM EST     Moonset
Wed -- 03:29 PM EST     0.10 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:31 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 08:20 PM EST     0.60 feet High Tide
Wed -- 11:26 PM EST     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.20.1-0-0.1-0.100.20.40.50.50.50.40.30.20.10.10.10.20.40.50.60.60.50.4

Weather Map
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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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