Friday, August14, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Lake Mary, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:52AMSunset 8:06PM Friday August 14, 2020 12:26 PM EDT (16:26 UTC) Moonrise 1:21AMMoonset 3:38PM Illumination 18% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 25 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ550 Flagler Beach To Volusia-brevard County Line 0-20 Nm- 1014 Am Edt Fri Aug 14 2020
This afternoon..South winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southeast early in the afternoon, then increasing to 10 to 15 knots late in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period 7 seconds. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tonight..South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period 4 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening, then slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Saturday..South winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southeast 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period 6 seconds. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Saturday night..South winds 10 to 15 knots becoming southwest 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday night..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south in the afternoon. Seas 2 feet. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
Monday night..South winds 5 knots becoming southwest after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday..Southwest winds 5 knots becoming southeast in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 1014 Am Edt Fri Aug 14 2020
Synopsis..High pressure stretching across the local waters will keep favorable boating conditions into early next week. Isolated to scattered showers and lightning storms over the coastal waters will remain in the forecast. Gusty storm outflows, higher seas, and frequent cloud to water lightning will be possible in the vicinity of any lightning storms approaching the waters from the west.
Gulf stream hazards..None. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Wednesday, august 12th. 40 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 27 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 20 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 11 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 8 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Lake Mary, FL
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location: 28.78, -81.34     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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FXUS62 KMLB 141442 AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 1042 AM EDT Fri Aug 14 2020

DISCUSSION.

Morning satellite-derived precipitable water shows a very moist airmass of 2.0-2.1 inches across much of east central Florida except closer to 1.8 inches across the Treasure Coast. Showers are developing along the Martin coast as of 10 am with the sea breeze already moving inland. Showers should then continue to develop the rest of this morning across the rest of the Treasure Coast counties as the sea breeze pushes onshore with a couple of storms possible by late morning.

By early afternoon, scattered storms will start to develop across the rest of the area both along the east coast and west coast breezes. Coverage will then through the afternoon hours, especially from Osceola county northward once more boundaries start coming together and due to the deeper moisture in place. As the previous forecast mentioned, southwesterly steering flow should allow for storms to push back toward the Brevard and Volusia coasts later in the day.

Only change to inherited to forecast was bumping up high temperatures by a degree or so across along the Volusia coast because of light SSW flow delaying the onset of the sea breeze.

AVIATION. There may be a few brief periods of MVFR ceilings this morning as the cumulus field develops, but otherwise VFR conditions will prevail outside of showers and storms through the TAF period. Similar to yesterday, some showers and possibly a storm could develop from VRB-SUA this morning due to an earlier start to the sea breeze. Going into this afternoon and evening, highest coverage of storms favors the interior terminals as well as DAB/TIX with TEMPO IFR/MVFR restrictions. Storms will gradually diminish after sunset with the loss of daytime heating.

MARINE. Today-tonight . Inherited forecast looks good with buoys showing 1-2 ft seas and light winds this morning. Winds will back this afternoon to around 10 kt with the sea breeze and a brief period of S/SSW winds of 10-15 kt this evening before diminishing to 5-10 kt by sunrise Saturday. Seas of 1-2 ft continuing and perhaps up to 3 ft offshore tonight.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS. DAB 91 75 92 75 / 50 30 60 20 MCO 93 75 94 75 / 60 30 60 20 MLB 91 75 91 76 / 40 20 50 20 VRB 91 74 92 74 / 40 20 40 20 LEE 93 77 93 76 / 60 30 60 20 SFB 94 77 94 76 / 60 30 60 20 ORL 94 77 94 76 / 60 30 70 20 FPR 91 72 92 73 / 40 20 40 10

MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . None. AM . None.

Combs/Negron


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
GTXF1 - Guana Tolomato Matanzas Reserve, FL 61 mi101 min WSW 4.1 87°F 1018 hPa78°F
41009 - CANAVERAL 20 NM East of Cape Canaveral, FL 64 mi36 min SW 3.9 G 5.8 84°F 86°F2 ft1016.7 hPa78°F

Wind History for Trident Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Orlando / Sanford Airport, FL5 mi33 minSSW 610.00 miA Few Clouds91°F73°F56%1016.4 hPa
Orlando Executive Airport, FL16 mi33 minS 610.00 miFair90°F73°F58%1017 hPa
Orlando International Airport, FL24 mi33 minVar 310.00 miPartly Cloudy89°F73°F59%1016.5 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KSFB

Wind History from SFB (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNW7W12N7NE10E4E5CalmSE3SE3E3SE5W4S4S5S4S4S4S5S4S5S5S66SW6
1 day agoCalmSE5CalmS21
G25
S12NE5E3CalmCalmSE3E4CalmCalmSE3CalmCalmCalmE3SE3SE3S8S10S8S9
2 days agoCalm--NW5N8SW5SE7S5S3CalmSW3CalmCalmCalmCalmSW4SW3CalmSW4SW3CalmCalmW4N34

Tide / Current Tables for Ponce de Leon Inlet (inside), Florida
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Ponce de Leon Inlet (inside)
Click for Map
Fri -- 02:18 AM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 04:39 AM EDT     2.16 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:52 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 11:25 AM EDT     0.39 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 04:37 PM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 05:37 PM EDT     2.32 feet High Tide
Fri -- 08:03 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.91.11.51.92.12.121.71.30.90.60.40.40.71.11.622.32.32.11.81.51.10.9

Tide / Current Tables for Ponce de Leon Inlet (inside), Florida (2)
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Ponce de Leon Inlet (inside)
Click for Map
Fri -- 02:18 AM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 04:40 AM EDT     2.07 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:52 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 11:23 AM EDT     0.27 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 04:37 PM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 05:39 PM EDT     2.27 feet High Tide
Fri -- 08:03 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.81.11.41.822.11.91.61.20.80.50.30.30.611.51.92.22.32.11.81.410.8

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Melbourne, FL (12,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.