Tuesday, March2, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Sanford, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:47AMSunset 6:26PM Tuesday March 2, 2021 9:00 PM EST (02:00 UTC) Moonrise 10:14PMMoonset 9:10AM Illumination 81% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 19 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ550 Flagler Beach To Volusia-brevard County Line 0-20 Nm- 343 Pm Est Tue Mar 2 2021
.small craft should exercise caution...
Tonight..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots becoming southwest towards daybreak. Seas 4 to 5 feet with a dominant period 8 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers in the evening, then slight chance of showers after midnight.
Wednesday..West winds 15 to 20 knots becoming north in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 feet with a dominant period 8 seconds. Choppy on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms in the morning, then slight chance of showers in the afternoon.
Wednesday night..North winds 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots after midnight. Seas 4 to 6 feet with a dominant period 8 seconds. Choppy on the intracoastal waters.
Thursday..North winds 15 to 20 knots diminishing to 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 feet. Choppy on the intracoastal waters.
Thursday night..North winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters.
Friday..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Friday night..East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Chance of showers.
Saturday..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 feet. Showers and chance of Thunderstorms.
Saturday night..North winds 15 to 20 knots increasing to 20 to 25 knots after midnight. Seas 6 to 8 feet. Chance of showers.
Sunday..North winds 20 to 25 knots diminishing to 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon. Seas 7 to 10 feet. Slight chance of showers.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 343 Pm Est Tue Mar 2 2021
Synopsis..A stalled front is currently positioned just south of cape canaveral, which will lift northward later tonight as a warm front. Tomorrow, a stronger cold front will push through the local waters, increasing winds and seas. High pressure will rebuild over the region through late week. Unfavorable marine conditions are expected this weekend as another low center develops rapidly near the florida peninsula Saturday and moves quickly away to the east late Saturday.
Gulf stream hazards..North winds becoming east into this afternoon around 15 knots north of cape canaveral, increasing up to 20 knots overnight. Seas building to between 6 and 8 feet by this afternoon in this area. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Tuesday, march 2nd. 40 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 28 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 22 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 14 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 8 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Sanford, FL
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location: 28.83, -81.31     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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FXUS62 KMLB 022106 AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 406 PM EST Tue Mar 2 2021

DISCUSSION.

Current-Tonight . Latest afternoon surface analysis keeps the stalled front stretched from Brevard County across Orlando towards the northern Tampa area, with wind observations across the interior showing southwesterly ahead of the boundary and north to northeast behind. An impressive cu field has developed across the state, with visible satellite easily identifying the east coast sea breeze just east of I-95, and the lake shadows from Lake Okeechobee and Kissimmee. Earlier dense stratus that had filtered just north of I-4 has eroded slightly, but still blankets most of north FL, with low ceilings slowly returning across the north. Over the last hour or so, radar has become more active, with isolated pop up showers developing over the interior, moving to the east around 20 mph. While conditions are not in favor of thunder this afternoon, heavy downpours are possible for areas near Orlando towards the Space Coast.

By dusk, high res models initiate additional shower activity along the east coast sea breeze, but should still remain isolated to scattered, with no lightning anticipated. Will keep a 30% chance of showers for Brevard and coastal Volusia prior to midnight, with most activity pushing offshore in the late night to early morning hours. Southwest flow will begin to increase, with the stalled boundary expected to shift northward as a warm front, resulting in higher dewpoints tonight. Expect dense low clouds overnight, but rain chances remaining offshore until just before daybreak. Another night of above normal lows in the low to mid 60s.

Tomorrow . A surface low just south of Louisiana in the Gulf of Mexico will shift towards the western Florida panhandle later tonight, deepening as it exits towards the GA/SC coast by daybreak. While a majority of the highest rain chances remain well to the north of the local area, this system will drag a strong cold front through central FL tomorrow. Models indicating a thin line of showers ahead of the front reaching Lake and Volusia counties by sunrise. Have continued the mention of thunder with this band, although trends do not look in favor of lightning but a few strikes cannot be ruled out, especially towards the early afternoon. Higher rain chances will expand north to south through midday to late afternoon, with coverage at 40-50% for everywhere except the Treasure Coast. Highs slightly lower tomorrow with the influence of the passing front, ranging from the low to mid 70s north of I-4, to the low 80s for the Treasure Coast.

Late Week (previous) . A large area of high pressure initially North of the Grt Lakes will extend drier cooler conds across much of the Eastern seaboard Thu-Fri. Modest north component winds will keep temperatures pleasantly cool locally with highs in the 70s and lows in the 50s. Fri night into Sat another fast-moving plains disturbance crosses into the north gulf region by early Sat. Operational EC and GFS continue to indicate appreciable mid-level forcing along with surface genesis close to the FL peninsula Sat. The forecast continues to show a marked increase in local rain chcs during Sat, along with a chance of strong storms, as the deepening system crosses the state by Sat night.

Extended (previous) . Brisk onshore flow from the Atlc Sunday behind the departing system will produce coastal hazards with rough surf Sunday and Sunday night. High pressure over the Mid-Atlc region will keep temperatures mild to cool with no rain chances expected the early portion of next week.

AVIATION. No change to the current position of the stalled boundary this afternoon, stretching from KMLB to KPIE. Isolated showers have developed along the west coast breeze, with IFR/MVFR cigs possible through the afternoon for interior terminals. Shower activity will continue to move towards the coast through 00Z, with additional showers possible for coastal terminals after an interaction with the east coast sea breeze. Tonight, the boundary will lift northward as a warm front, signaling the potential for low stratus and IFR cigs from 06-12Z. A secondary cold front will push through northern terminals near 12Z, with a line of showers advancing southeast through the afternoon.

MARINE. Tonight-Tomorrow . East winds of 10 to 15 knots will veer southwest overnight, increasing quickly up to 20 knots towards daybreak as a stalled boundary currently south of Cape Canaveral lifts northward as a warm front, with a stronger cold front pushing across the local waters tomorrow. By late tomorrow morning, west winds will veer northerly, continuing to increase 20-25 knots in the offshore waters north of Sebastian Inlet. Seas have been slow to increase today, maintaining at 4-6 ft this afternoon, but will rise to 6-8 ft in the offshore waters by daybreak. Small craft should exercise caution in the nearshore Volusia waters, with an advisory in the offshore waters north of Sebastian Inlet.

Late Week-Weekend (previous) . Nly wind fetch will keep seas elevated especially over the gulf stream and outer waters into Friday, where headlines will be possible for caution. Attention turns to next approaching gulf system late Friday, which will re- develop unfavorable conditions over all the waters during the weekend and to some degree early next week, with stout onshore flow developing behind the departing low center early next week.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS. DAB 61 74 52 72 / 30 50 0 0 MCO 66 77 53 76 / 20 50 0 0 MLB 66 79 56 74 / 30 40 0 0 VRB 66 81 57 74 / 20 40 10 10 LEE 64 76 52 74 / 20 40 0 0 SFB 65 77 52 74 / 20 50 0 0 ORL 67 78 54 75 / 20 50 0 0 FPR 66 83 57 75 / 20 30 10 10

MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . None. AM . Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM EST Thursday for Flagler Beach to Volusia-Brevard County Line 20-60 nm-Volusia-Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 20-60 nm.



SHORT TERM/AVIATION . Smith LONG TERM . Combs/Haley


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
TRDF1 - 8721604 - Trident Pier, FL 48 mi162 min NW 11 G 14 67°F 71°F1016.7 hPa
41009 - CANAVERAL 20 NM East of Cape Canaveral, FL 64 mi150 min NNW 3.9 G 5.8 72°F 76°F1014.4 hPa70°F

Wind History for Trident Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Orlando / Sanford Airport, FL5 mi67 minN 610.00 miOvercast66°F62°F87%1016 hPa
Orlando Executive Airport, FL19 mi67 minNNE 510.00 miOvercast67°F64°F91%1016.4 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KSFB

Wind History from SFB (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNW5NW9NW4N5N9N8NE7N6N5NE4N7N5NE6NE763SE5SW3N6N11N8N7N7N6
1 day agoSE8SE9S5S7S7S7S4S5S4S6SW6S8SW9S9SW9
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2 days agoSE7SE7SE8SE7SE6SE4SE4SE5SE5SE3SE5SE3SE6S11S12SE10S9S10S10S9S6SE9SE8SE6

Tide / Current Tables for Ponce de Leon Inlet (inside), Florida (2)
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Ponce de Leon Inlet (inside)
Click for Map
Tue -- 04:33 AM EST     -0.40 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:47 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:08 AM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 10:23 AM EST     2.51 feet High Tide
Tue -- 04:54 PM EST     -0.54 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:24 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 10:13 PM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 10:56 PM EST     2.55 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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21.30.60-0.3-0.400.71.52.12.52.42.11.50.70.1-0.4-0.5-0.30.31.11.82.42.6

Tide / Current Tables for Ponce de Leon Inlet (inside), Florida
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Ponce de Leon Inlet (inside)
Click for Map
Tue -- 04:30 AM EST     -0.25 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:47 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:08 AM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 10:26 AM EST     2.58 feet High Tide
Tue -- 04:51 PM EST     -0.38 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:24 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 10:13 PM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 10:58 PM EST     2.62 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.11.40.70.1-0.2-0.20.10.81.52.22.52.52.11.50.80.2-0.3-0.4-0.10.41.21.92.42.6

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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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