Sunday, January17, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Oak Hill, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
8/26/2020 The 7 day forecast is taking about 5 seconds to load but it will eventually load. NOAA is still working on it.
8/18/2020 NOAA continues to have trouble. Wind guest will occasionally be left off graphs. I am working with NOAA to resolve the issue.
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:16AMSunset 5:51PM Sunday January 17, 2021 5:13 AM EST (10:13 UTC) Moonrise 10:31AMMoonset 10:20PM Illumination 16% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 4 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ550 Flagler Beach To Volusia-brevard County Line 0-20 Nm- 342 Am Est Sun Jan 17 2021
Today..West winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet with a dominant period 9 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Tonight..West winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period 3 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Monday..Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period 4 seconds. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters.
Monday night..North winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Tuesday..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Tuesday night..Northeast winds 5 knots becoming north after midnight. Seas 1 to 2 feet.
Wednesday..North winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 feet.
Wednesday night..North winds 5 to 10 knots becoming northwest after midnight. Seas 1 to 2 feet.
Thursday..West winds 5 knots becoming south in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 feet.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 342 Am Est Sun Jan 17 2021
Synopsis..An offshore west to northwest flow will continue through Sunday night. A reinforcing cool front will cross the waters early Monday. High pressure will build over the local atlantic waters Tuesday and Wednesday resulting in decreasing winds and seas.
Gulf stream hazards..None. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Saturday, january 16th. 41 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 32 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 26 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 17 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 12 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Oak Hill, FL
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location: 28.9, -80.86     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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FXUS62 KMLB 170816 AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 316 AM EST Sun Jan 17 2021

DISCUSSION. Today-Tonight . It will be a cold start to the day, with patchy to areas of frost possible around daybreak, mainly across northern Lake and inland Volusia counties where some observations have shown temperatures have fallen as low as the mid 30s already. A Frost Advisory continues for this area through 8 AM this morning. Through the remainder of the day, cloud deck over west central Florida is expected to spread eastward in the low level westerly flow, with higher cloud deck expanding across the area later into the afternoon. This will lead to mostly cloudy skies, and keep temperatures cooler than normal, with highs in the low to mid 60s. Hi-res model guidance indicating some light precip occurring with higher cloud deck southeast of I-4 from late afternoon into the evening. However, any radar returns will most likely remain virga, as model soundings show a significant dry layer between 850-500mb which will help evaporate any of this precip before it reaches the ground.

Skies should remain mostly cloudy overnight, with temperatures not quite as cold as this morning. However, it will still be chilly with lows ranging from the the low to mid 40s across much of the area, except low 50s across Martin County.

Mon-Wed . Passage of a dry front early Monday will be largely unnoticeable aside from some higher clouds. a re-enforcing supply of dry cooler air across the area will keep cooler than normal readings in place as highs only remain in the M60s to around 70 and lows drop into the M-U30s inland and 40s along the central and southern coasts overnight. High pressure will remain the dominant feature across the SE states and FL through midweek. expect dry conditions with a slow warming trend.

Extended . Ridging begins to flatten near the FL peninsula with a zonal pattern across the southern tier of the Conus generally allowing for mild and stable conditions. No mentionable chc of pcpn will be included in the forecast through the remainder of the workweek with near to slightly above normal temperatures forecast the latter half of the upcoming week.

AVIATION. Cloud deck over west central Florida is expected to spread westward across the area through the day, with VFR cigs around 3500-4000 ft expected into the afternoon and into tonight. Winds will remain rather light, only increasing out of the west this afternoon to around 5-9kts.

MARINE. Today-Tonight . Westerly flow will weaken to around 5-10 knots nearshore and up to 10-15 knots today, with seas falling from 2-4 feet this morning, to 1-3 feet this afternoon. Deteriorating boating conditions then expected into tonight, as a reinforcing cold front approaches and begins to move into the waters late tonight. This will increase westerly flow up to 15-20 knots offshore after midnight, building seas up to 4-5 feet.

Mon-Thu . West-NW winds will increase temporarily Mon as a dry front moves offshore the SE US coast. Headlines may be required for winds around 15 to 20 kts over the outer waters. High pressure will orient closer to the area Tue, bringing lighter winds. Favorable conditions are expected through midweek as dominant high pressure brings winds generally 10 kts or less and seas 2 to 3 ft through the period.

FIRE WEATHER. The upcoming week will be dry with a slow warming trend from the morning cool temperatures beginning on Tuesday. RH values in the 40s this afternoon will become even drier Monday and Tuesday (in the M-U 30s after the passage of a dry front. Near critical conditions will be expected Monday although winds will remain below warning criteria.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS. DAB 61 43 65 38 / 0 0 0 0 MCO 62 47 69 42 / 0 0 0 0 MLB 64 45 70 40 / 0 10 0 0 VRB 65 46 69 43 / 0 10 0 0 LEE 61 45 65 42 / 0 0 0 0 SFB 62 45 68 42 / 0 0 0 0 ORL 63 48 67 44 / 0 0 0 0 FPR 65 45 69 40 / 0 10 0 0

MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . Frost Advisory until 8 AM EST this morning for Inland Volusia- Northern Lake.

AM . None.



SHORT TERM/AVIATION . Weitlich LONG TERM . Pendergrast


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
TRDF1 - 8721604 - Trident Pier, FL 36 mi56 min 48°F 64°F
41113 - Cape Canaveral Nearshore, FL (143) 39 mi48 min 63°F1 ft
41009 - CANAVERAL 20 NM East of Cape Canaveral, FL 45 mi44 min WNW 12 G 16 55°F 73°F1015.9 hPa47°F
GTXF1 - Guana Tolomato Matanzas Reserve, FL 56 mi89 min Calm 35°F 1017 hPa34°F

Wind History for Trident Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Daytona Beach International Airport, FL22 mi21 minN 010.00 miFair38°F36°F93%1016.6 hPa
Orlando / Sanford Airport, FL22 mi21 minN 010.00 miFair42°F38°F85%1016.5 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KEVB

Wind History from EVB (wind in knots)
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1 day ago----------------CalmCalmS4S7S6S10SW8SW8SW13SW10SW8SW7W7NW14
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2 days ago----------------NW5W4W5NW5NW5N6NE6NE4NE4E6E4SE4S3CalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Ponce de Leon Inlet (inside), Florida
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Ponce de Leon Inlet (inside)
Click for Map
Sun -- 05:17 AM EST     0.02 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:18 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 10:31 AM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 11:18 AM EST     2.35 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:49 PM EST     0.12 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 05:49 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 10:21 PM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 11:39 PM EST     2.15 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.11.71.20.70.200.10.411.62.12.32.321.510.50.20.10.30.71.31.82.1

Tide / Current Tables for Ponce de Leon Inlet (inside), Florida (2)
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Ponce de Leon Inlet (inside)
Click for Map
Sun -- 05:18 AM EST     -0.10 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:18 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 10:31 AM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 11:18 AM EST     2.30 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:49 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 05:50 PM EST     0.01 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 10:21 PM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 11:40 PM EST     2.09 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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21.61.10.60.1-0.1-00.30.91.522.32.21.91.50.90.40.100.20.61.21.72

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Ground Weather Radar Station




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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.