Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Gainesville, FL
May 2, 2024 5:28 PM EDT (21:28 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:44 AM Sunset 8:08 PM Moonrise 2:16 AM Moonset 1:21 PM |
AMZ454 Expires:202405030900;;502822 Fzus52 Kjax 021843 Cwfjax
coastal waters forecast for northeast florida/southeast georgia national weather service jacksonville fl 243 pm edt Thu may 2 2024
atlantic coastal waters from altamaha sound ga to flagler beach fl out to 60 nm.
seas are provided as a range of the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves, along with the occasional height of the average highest 1/10 of the waves.
amz450-452-454-030900- coastal waters from altamaha sound to fernandina beach fl out 20 nm- coastal waters from fernandina beach to st. Augustine fl out 20 nm- coastal waters from st. Augustine to flagler beach fl out 20 nm- 243 pm edt Thu may 2 2024
Tonight - East winds around 10 knots, becoming southeast late this evening and overnight. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: east 2 feet at 6 seconds. Intracoastal waters light chop.
Friday - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: east 2 feet at 6 seconds. Intracoastal waters light chop.
Friday night - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: southeast 2 feet at 6 seconds. Intracoastal waters light chop.
Saturday - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: southeast 2 feet at 6 seconds. Intracoastal waters light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Saturday night - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: southeast 2 feet at 6 seconds. Intracoastal waters light chop. A slight chance of Thunderstorms in the evening. A slight chance of showers.
Sunday - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots, increasing to 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: southeast 3 feet at 5 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of Thunderstorms. A slight chance of showers in the morning, then a chance of showers in the afternoon.
Sunday night - South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers in the evening.
Monday - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers in the afternoon.
Monday night - South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop.
Tuesday - South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop.
Tuesday night - South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
coastal waters forecast for northeast florida/southeast georgia national weather service jacksonville fl 243 pm edt Thu may 2 2024
atlantic coastal waters from altamaha sound ga to flagler beach fl out to 60 nm.
seas are provided as a range of the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves, along with the occasional height of the average highest 1/10 of the waves.
amz450-452-454-030900- coastal waters from altamaha sound to fernandina beach fl out 20 nm- coastal waters from fernandina beach to st. Augustine fl out 20 nm- coastal waters from st. Augustine to flagler beach fl out 20 nm- 243 pm edt Thu may 2 2024
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
AMZ400 Synopsis For Altamaha Sound Ga To Flagler Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 243 Pm Edt Thu May 2 2024
Synopsis - Stationary high pressure centered well north of the waters will maintain a southeast flow over the waters through the upcoming weekend. Afternoon and evening wind surges are expected today and Friday due to the sea breeze. The high moves eastward Monday. This along with the approach of a weak cold front will yield a more southerly flow over the waters Monday and Tuesday.
Gulf stream -
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of apr 30, 2024 at 1200 utc - .
50 nautical miles east of flagler beach. 54 nautical miles east of saint augustine beach. 61 nautical miles east of jacksonville beach. 81 nautical miles east southeast of st simons island.
this data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of apr 30, 2024 at 1200 utc - .
50 nautical miles east of flagler beach. 54 nautical miles east of saint augustine beach. 61 nautical miles east of jacksonville beach. 81 nautical miles east southeast of st simons island.
this data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.
Area Discussion for - Jacksonville, FL
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FXUS62 KJAX 021812 AFDJAX
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Jacksonville FL 212 PM EDT Thu May 2 2024
New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE
NEAR TERM
Issued at 208 PM EDT Thu May 2 2024
For the latest NE FL and SE GA Daily Key Messages please visit: https:// www.weather.gov/media/jax/briefings/nws-jax-briefing.pdf
Still anticipating development of a few showers, isolated t-storms, with west-coast sea breeze in NW FL peninsula late this afternoon...otherwise clear to partly cloudy skies expected. Continued mention of patchy fog toward dawn
Current low temperature forecast Tonight looks good
with mid 60s inland and around 70 coast.
SHORT TERM
(Friday through Saturday night)
Issued at 208 PM EDT Thu May 2 2024
Low level high pressure ridging will remain stubborn for Friday, which will overall tend to limit convective coverage despite a consistent sea breeze influence and adequate layer moisture.
Though still will expect isolated to widely scattered showers and a few t'storms Friday, mainly around the I-95 corridor similar to today. Convection should wean after sunset, with the potential for some overnight and morning fog once again into Saturday Morning given the pattern in place. Saturday, a rather slow moving mid level shortwave will slide across the general area in the zonal flow aloft, which will result in higher chances of daytime convection compared to Friday. Expecting the highest coverage to be over more inland southeast GA and the Suwannee River area, dropping off further east and southeast as the sea breeze boundary penetrates further inland. Not expecting a severe threat given the flow regime aloft, though a few strong storms cannot be ruled out with MLCAPE near or slightly above 1000 J/kg.
Temperatures will be very warm once again Friday, especially inland with the onshore flow quickly affecting areas approaching the coast. Upper 80s to around 90 inland, with low to mid 80s approaching the coast east of I-95. With the higher coverage of showers and t'storms Saturday, highs will be overall lower - in the mid to upper 80s inland and low 80s at the coast.
LONG TERM
(Sunday through next Thursday)
Issued at 208 PM EDT Thu May 2 2024
Generally onshore flow with surface high pressure sitting well offshore in the Atlantic should continue overall diurnal convection chances for the end of the weekend, and likely into the start of next week. Guidance also continues to move a weak impulse across the general area around Monday to Tuesday, though confidence is still lower than usual as the placement and magnitude of the shortwave remains in question. High pressure ridging builds further westward into the Gulf of Mexico by the middle of next week as a high pressure ridge also builds aloft.
Therefore, an overall increasingly dry and warmer trend should coincide for this period, possibly approaching record highs by Wednesday and/or Thursday.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1223 PM EDT Thu May 2 2024
VFR next 24 hrs. An isolated SHRA/TSRA is possible late this afternoon, but think better coverage will be well W of TAF sites, so did not include in 18z TAFs. Sfc wind will be E to ESE 8-12kts this afternoon, decreasing to less than 6 kts Tonight and Friday morning.
MARINE
Issued at 208 PM EDT Thu May 2 2024
Stationary high pressure centered well north of the waters will maintain a southeast flow over the waters through the upcoming weekend. Afternoon and evening wind surges are expected today and Friday due to the sea breeze. The high moves eastward Monday. This along with the approach of a weak cold front will yield a more southerly flow over the waters Monday.
Rip Currents: Moderate through Friday.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AMG 65 90 67 85 / 10 10 20 60 SSI 69 82 69 81 / 0 0 10 30 JAX 66 87 66 85 / 0 0 10 30 SGJ 68 84 66 84 / 0 0 0 30 GNV 65 90 64 87 / 10 10 0 50 OCF 65 90 66 89 / 10 10 0 40
JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
GA...None.
AM...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Jacksonville FL 212 PM EDT Thu May 2 2024
New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE
NEAR TERM
Issued at 208 PM EDT Thu May 2 2024
For the latest NE FL and SE GA Daily Key Messages please visit: https:// www.weather.gov/media/jax/briefings/nws-jax-briefing.pdf
Still anticipating development of a few showers, isolated t-storms, with west-coast sea breeze in NW FL peninsula late this afternoon...otherwise clear to partly cloudy skies expected. Continued mention of patchy fog toward dawn
Current low temperature forecast Tonight looks good
with mid 60s inland and around 70 coast.
SHORT TERM
(Friday through Saturday night)
Issued at 208 PM EDT Thu May 2 2024
Low level high pressure ridging will remain stubborn for Friday, which will overall tend to limit convective coverage despite a consistent sea breeze influence and adequate layer moisture.
Though still will expect isolated to widely scattered showers and a few t'storms Friday, mainly around the I-95 corridor similar to today. Convection should wean after sunset, with the potential for some overnight and morning fog once again into Saturday Morning given the pattern in place. Saturday, a rather slow moving mid level shortwave will slide across the general area in the zonal flow aloft, which will result in higher chances of daytime convection compared to Friday. Expecting the highest coverage to be over more inland southeast GA and the Suwannee River area, dropping off further east and southeast as the sea breeze boundary penetrates further inland. Not expecting a severe threat given the flow regime aloft, though a few strong storms cannot be ruled out with MLCAPE near or slightly above 1000 J/kg.
Temperatures will be very warm once again Friday, especially inland with the onshore flow quickly affecting areas approaching the coast. Upper 80s to around 90 inland, with low to mid 80s approaching the coast east of I-95. With the higher coverage of showers and t'storms Saturday, highs will be overall lower - in the mid to upper 80s inland and low 80s at the coast.
LONG TERM
(Sunday through next Thursday)
Issued at 208 PM EDT Thu May 2 2024
Generally onshore flow with surface high pressure sitting well offshore in the Atlantic should continue overall diurnal convection chances for the end of the weekend, and likely into the start of next week. Guidance also continues to move a weak impulse across the general area around Monday to Tuesday, though confidence is still lower than usual as the placement and magnitude of the shortwave remains in question. High pressure ridging builds further westward into the Gulf of Mexico by the middle of next week as a high pressure ridge also builds aloft.
Therefore, an overall increasingly dry and warmer trend should coincide for this period, possibly approaching record highs by Wednesday and/or Thursday.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1223 PM EDT Thu May 2 2024
VFR next 24 hrs. An isolated SHRA/TSRA is possible late this afternoon, but think better coverage will be well W of TAF sites, so did not include in 18z TAFs. Sfc wind will be E to ESE 8-12kts this afternoon, decreasing to less than 6 kts Tonight and Friday morning.
MARINE
Issued at 208 PM EDT Thu May 2 2024
Stationary high pressure centered well north of the waters will maintain a southeast flow over the waters through the upcoming weekend. Afternoon and evening wind surges are expected today and Friday due to the sea breeze. The high moves eastward Monday. This along with the approach of a weak cold front will yield a more southerly flow over the waters Monday.
Rip Currents: Moderate through Friday.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AMG 65 90 67 85 / 10 10 20 60 SSI 69 82 69 81 / 0 0 10 30 JAX 66 87 66 85 / 0 0 10 30 SGJ 68 84 66 84 / 0 0 0 30 GNV 65 90 64 87 / 10 10 0 50 OCF 65 90 66 89 / 10 10 0 40
JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
GA...None.
AM...None.
Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
BKBF1 | 46 mi | 59 min | E 9.9G | 81°F | 29.93 | |||
SAUF1 - St. Augustine, FL | 56 mi | 29 min | E 11G | 76°F | 77°F | 29.95 | 76°F | |
GTXF1 - Guana Tolomato Matanzas Reserve, FL | 57 mi | 104 min | E 8 | 79°F | 30.01 | 71°F |
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Airport Reports
EDIT (hide/show)  Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
KGNV GAINESVILLE RGNL,FL | 2 sm | 35 min | ESE 04 | 10 sm | Mostly Cloudy | 90°F | 63°F | 41% | 29.93 |
Tide / Current for Buffalo Bluff, St. Johns River, Florida (3)
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Buffalo Bluff
Click for Map
Thu -- 03:13 AM EDT Moonrise
Thu -- 06:06 AM EDT 0.23 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:43 AM EDT Sunrise
Thu -- 11:22 AM EDT 0.96 feet High Tide
Thu -- 02:18 PM EDT Moonset
Thu -- 07:00 PM EDT 0.14 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 08:04 PM EDT Sunset
Thu -- 11:56 PM EDT 0.90 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Thu -- 03:13 AM EDT Moonrise
Thu -- 06:06 AM EDT 0.23 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:43 AM EDT Sunrise
Thu -- 11:22 AM EDT 0.96 feet High Tide
Thu -- 02:18 PM EDT Moonset
Thu -- 07:00 PM EDT 0.14 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 08:04 PM EDT Sunset
Thu -- 11:56 PM EDT 0.90 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Buffalo Bluff, St. Johns River, Florida (3), Tide feet
12 am |
0.8 |
1 am |
0.7 |
2 am |
0.6 |
3 am |
0.5 |
4 am |
0.3 |
5 am |
0.3 |
6 am |
0.2 |
7 am |
0.3 |
8 am |
0.4 |
9 am |
0.7 |
10 am |
0.9 |
11 am |
1 |
12 pm |
1 |
1 pm |
0.9 |
2 pm |
0.8 |
3 pm |
0.6 |
4 pm |
0.4 |
5 pm |
0.3 |
6 pm |
0.2 |
7 pm |
0.1 |
8 pm |
0.2 |
9 pm |
0.4 |
10 pm |
0.7 |
11 pm |
0.8 |
Buffalo Bluff
Click for Map
Thu -- 03:13 AM EDT Moonrise
Thu -- 05:39 AM EDT 2.82 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:43 AM EDT Sunrise
Thu -- 12:06 PM EDT 3.65 feet High Tide
Thu -- 02:18 PM EDT Moonset
Thu -- 06:38 PM EDT 2.80 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 08:04 PM EDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Thu -- 03:13 AM EDT Moonrise
Thu -- 05:39 AM EDT 2.82 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:43 AM EDT Sunrise
Thu -- 12:06 PM EDT 3.65 feet High Tide
Thu -- 02:18 PM EDT Moonset
Thu -- 06:38 PM EDT 2.80 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 08:04 PM EDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Buffalo Bluff, St. Johns River, Florida, Tide feet
12 am |
3.6 |
1 am |
3.5 |
2 am |
3.2 |
3 am |
3 |
4 am |
2.9 |
5 am |
2.8 |
6 am |
2.8 |
7 am |
2.9 |
8 am |
3.1 |
9 am |
3.3 |
10 am |
3.6 |
11 am |
3.6 |
12 pm |
3.7 |
1 pm |
3.6 |
2 pm |
3.4 |
3 pm |
3.2 |
4 pm |
3 |
5 pm |
2.9 |
6 pm |
2.8 |
7 pm |
2.8 |
8 pm |
2.9 |
9 pm |
3.2 |
10 pm |
3.4 |
11 pm |
3.5 |
Jacksonville, FL,
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