Sunday, December8, 2019
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Marine Weather and Tides
Eastpoint, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:25AMSunset 4:43PM Sunday December 8, 2019 8:37 PM CST (02:37 UTC) Moonrise 3:33PMMoonset 3:49AM Illumination 92% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 12 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ755 Expires:201912091030;;063016 Fzus52 Ktae 090032 Cwftae Coastal Waters Forecast For Florida Big Bend And Eastern Panhandle National Weather Service Tallahassee Fl 732 Pm Est Sun Dec 8 2019 Gulf Coastal Waters From The Mouth Of The Suwannee River To Okaloosa-walton County Line Out To 60 Nm. Seas Are Provided As A Range Of The Average Height Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Waves...along With The Occasional Height Of The Average Highest 1/10 Of The Waves. Gmz730-755-765-775-091030- Apalachee Bay Or Coastal Waters From Keaton Beach To Ochlockonee River Fl Out To 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Ochlockonee River To Apalachicola Fl Out To 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Suwannee River To Keaton Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Suwannee River To Apalachicola Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- 732 Pm Est Sun Dec 8 2019
Rest of tonight..Southeast winds 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop. Slight chance of rain after midnight.
Monday..South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop. Chance of rain.
Monday night..South winds 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters a light chop.
Tuesday..South winds 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Slight chance of rain in the afternoon.
Tuesday night..South winds 10 knots becoming west early in the morning. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Slight chance of rain in the evening, then chance of rain and slight chance of Thunderstorms after midnight.
Wednesday..Northeast winds 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Protected waters a moderate chop. Rain showers likely and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Wednesday night..Northeast winds 20 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas up to 6 feet. Protected waters choppy. Chance of rain.
Thursday..Northeast winds 20 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas up to 6 feet. Protected waters choppy. Chance of rain.
Thursday night..East winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas up to 6 feet. Protected waters choppy. Chance of rain.
Friday..East winds 15 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Protected waters a moderate chop. Chance of rain.
GMZ700 Synopsis For The Suwannee River To Okaloosa-walton County Line Out To 60 Nm 732 Pm Est Sun Dec 8 2019
Synopsis.. Winds and seas have subsided below advisory levels with cautionary conditions expected to gradually diminish overnight. We will see a couple a relatively good boating days Monday through Tuesday. Tuesday night into Wednesday winds and seas will steadily increase as a cold front moves through the waters with advisory level conditions possible through the wend of the work week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Eastpoint, FL
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location: 29.72, -84.89     debug


Area Discussion for -
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FXUS62 KTAE 082359 AFDTAE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 659 PM EST Sun Dec 8 2019

UPDATE.

POPs were increased west of the Apalachicola and Chattahoochee Rivers for the overnight hours. Otherwise, no significant changes during the evening update.

AVIATION. [Through 00Z Tuesday]

Widespread MVFR CIGs are likely late tonight into the morning hours. IFR conditions are possible at DHN, ABY and VLD, where patchy fog is likely. VFR conditions will return in the late morning hours. There is a slight chance for showers mainly tomorrow morning and afternoon but confidence is low.

PREV DISCUSSION [311 PM EST].

NEAR TERM [Through Tonight].

A split-flow pattern over the MS/TN Valley is resulting in accelerated northerly flow across our western CWA, interacting with a weak trough of low-pressure in the northern Gulf coast. This interaction will produce widespread cloudiness for our area and 30- 50% PoPs for our western waters and Panhandle coast, and AL zones (10-20% around the tri-state area). Overcast skies combined with east-to-southeast, onshore winds will make for somewhat mild low temperatures tonight (mid 50s).

SHORT TERM [Monday Through Tuesday Night].

A warm front will have lifted north of the region by daybreak Monday with a warm moist onshore flow in it's wake. Models show a ribbon of deeper moisture cutting through our CWA. This combined with temps warming into the upper 70s to around 80 Monday will keep slight to low end chance PoPs in the forecast, albeit QPF amounts will be light. A better chance for rain arrives on Tuesday and continues through Tuesday night as a cold front approaches. The best chances for rain will be across our northern and western zones. High temperatures Tuesday will be around 80 which will be our last warm day for at least the remainder of the work week. Lows will be around 60 Monday night and range from near 50 far northwest to the lower 60s across the southeast Big Bend.

LONG TERM [Wednesday Through Sunday].

Reasonable agreement that the cold front will clear the area on Wednesday. There could be a little thunder right along the boundary but most pcpn on Wednesday will just be post-frontal rains due to overrunning. For Wednesday night into Thursday areas of mainly light rain will continue to decrease in coverage but not end completely as the front stalls to our south and moisture rides north into the area. Generally undercut MEX temperatures and went more in line with the NBM as the operational GFS does not look to surge as much cool air in here as looks likely.

Looking at the GFS ensembles and the differences between the ECMWF and the operational GFS it's clear there is very low predictability with the strong wave that will dig into the southern US Fri/Sat. The operational GFS swings a strong negatively tilted upper trough through the deep south which drives a surface low through AL and produces a severe wx setup for the area. Most of the GFS ensemble members, along with the Euro, do not do this hwvr and suggest most of the upper level energy will dive south with the area. This scenario seems most reasonable although the details concerning rain chances becoming increasingly unclear and confidence is low. Will hold onto PoPs into Saturday night and later shifts can assess if we'll need to extend rain chances through Sunday.

MARINE.

Winds and seas will slowly relax this evening with a couple relatively good boating days ahead. Tuesday night into Wednesday winds and seas will steadily increase as a cold front moves through the waters with Advisory level conditions possible through the wend of the work week.

FIRE WEATHER.

Hazardous fire weather conditions are not expected through this week. High dispersions are possible in the afternoon hours. Patchy fog is possible in the morning hours.

HYDROLOGY.

While a period of wet conditions are expected through the next week, rainfall amounts are forecast to be rather low through mid- week. As an upper level wave moves through the Southeast late this week, an inch or two of rain is possible on average across the Tri-State region. For now, flooding is not expected to be a concern.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT.

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS.

Tallahassee 56 77 61 80 59 / 10 30 10 30 50 Panama City 61 75 64 78 57 / 40 40 10 40 60 Dothan 57 76 60 79 51 / 20 30 10 60 60 Albany 56 77 63 80 54 / 10 20 10 50 60 Valdosta 54 79 61 82 60 / 10 10 10 10 40 Cross City 56 78 58 81 63 / 10 10 10 10 40 Apalachicola 61 74 63 76 60 / 40 40 10 40 50

TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . High Rip Current Risk until 4 AM EST Monday for Coastal Franklin.

GA . None. AL . None. GM . Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM CST this evening for Coastal waters from Mexico Beach to Apalachicola FL out 20 NM- Coastal waters from Mexico Beach to Okaloosa Walton County Line FL out 20 NM-Waters from Apalachicola to Mexico Beach FL from 20 to 60 NM-Waters from Mexico Beach to Okaloosa Walton County Line FL from 20 to 60 NM.



UPDATE . McD NEAR TERM . IG SHORT TERM . Barry LONG TERM . Johnstone AVIATION . McD MARINE . Barry FIRE WEATHER . McD HYDROLOGY . Harrigan


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
APCF1 - 8728690 - Apalachicola, FL 5 mi68 min ESE 5.1 G 5.1 64°F 62°F1019.9 hPa
APXF1 - Apalachicola Reserve, FL 5 mi113 min ESE 5.1 1020 hPa
SGOF1 - Tyndall AFB Tower C (N4), FL 22 mi38 min SE 13 G 14 69°F 1019.7 hPa (-0.0)65°F
SHPF1 - SHP - Shell Point, FL 39 mi104 min E 2.9 G 5.1 67°F 1019.7 hPa

Wind History for Apalachicola, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Apalachicola, Apalachicola, FL7 mi45 minESE 610.00 miOvercast66°F62°F87%1019.2 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KAAF

Wind History from AAF (wind in knots)
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1 day agoSE7S5SE3NE3CalmCalmN7NE3CalmNE3N6NE7NE6E5E8E8E7E6E9E6E5NE8NE4E3
2 days agoCalmCalmCalmCalmNE3NE3N3NE3E5E7NE5E4E5E5SE8E7E9E8E5E6E5SE5SE6E5

Tide / Current Tables for Cat Point, Apalachicola Bay, Florida
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Cat Point
Click for Map
Sun -- 03:49 AM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 07:11 AM EST     0.11 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:22 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 01:41 PM EST     1.17 feet High Tide
Sun -- 03:32 PM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 05:40 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 06:30 PM EST     0.77 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.61.51.31.10.80.50.20.10.20.30.60.811.11.21.110.90.80.80.91.11.31.5

Tide / Current Tables for St. George Island, Rattlesnake Cove, Florida
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St. George Island
Click for Map
Sun -- 03:48 AM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 07:03 AM EST     0.13 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:21 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 01:08 PM EST     1.37 feet High Tide
Sun -- 03:32 PM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 05:39 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 06:22 PM EST     0.90 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 11:48 PM EST     1.94 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.81.71.41.10.80.50.20.10.20.40.81.11.31.41.31.21.110.90.91.11.41.71.9

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for (21,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Tallahassee, FL
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Gulf Stream Current


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