Friday, December6, 2019
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Marine Weather and Tides
Hackberry, LA

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:55AMSunset 5:16PM Friday December 6, 2019 10:18 AM CST (16:18 UTC) Moonrise 2:06PMMoonset 1:38AM Illumination 73% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 10 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ432 Calcasieu Lake- 318 Am Cst Fri Dec 6 2019
Today..West winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters a light chop.
Tonight..North winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters a light chop.
Saturday..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters a light chop.
Saturday night..East winds around 5 knots. Lake waters smooth.
Sunday..Southeast winds around 5 knots. Lake waters smooth.
Sunday night..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters a light chop.
Monday..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Lake waters choppy. Chance of showers in the afternoon.
Monday night..West winds 10 to 15 knots. Lake waters choppy. Chance of rain showers in the evening, then rain showers likely after midnight.
Tuesday..North winds 10 to 15 knots. Lake waters choppy. Rain showers likely.
Tuesday night..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Lake waters choppy. Chance of rain showers.
GMZ400 Synopsis For Lower Atchafalaya River La To High Island Tx Out 60 Nm Including Sabine And Calcasieu Lakes And Vermilion Bay 318 Am Cst Fri Dec 6 2019
Synopsis.. A cold front will move through the gulf waters tonight. Weak to moderate offshore flow develop. Winds will diminish over the area on Saturday as high pressure ridge moves through the area. Onshore flow will develop Sunday night and strengthen on Monday ahead of approaching front. The front will move through the waters on Tuesday. Moderate to strong offshore flow is expected behind this front.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Hackberry, LA
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location: 29.85, -93.43     debug


Area Discussion for - Lake Charles, LA
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FXUS64 KLCH 061145 AFDLCH

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Lake Charles LA 545 AM CST Fri Dec 6 2019

DISCUSSION. For 12z TAF issuance.

AVIATION. Interesting forecast this morning. Sfc obs show varying amounts of fog ongoing, with the worst conditions currently at KLCH where dense fog is being reported. Visibilities were down below 1/2SM earlier at KBPT, but it appears conditions have improved over the past hour or so over there. All sites should be VFR vsby-wise by 14z or so . at that point, low clouds become the story with all sites MVFR through the remainder of the morning and into the early afternoon. Have initialized KAEX with VCSH as regional 88Ds show spotty light showers ongoing across nrn LA which could sneak swd into cntl LA as the front approaches. Best rain chances are being carried for the Acadiana terminals where high res guidance indicates widely scattered showers beginning mid-morning and lingering through early afternoon when the front sweeps through. Forecast time-height sections indicate another round of low clouds tonight . have capped at MVFR conditions for now.

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PREV DISCUSSION. /issued 314 AM CST Fri Dec 6 2019/

DISCUSSION . Short term . Today through Saturday

Main forecast issue will be POPs over the next 6-12 hours.

Mid and high level clouds continue over the area. Temperatures were mainly in the 50s . except for lower 60s across parts of southeast Texas. Water vapor is showing nicely an upper disturbance moving into the Arklatx area. Widely scattered showers were observed over northern Louisiana and a few showers move through central Louisiana before sunrise. For now, will maintain low POPs over Acadiana this morning. With rain chances ending this morning, prefrontal trough will move through the area. Low level westerly wind component and subsidence will allow for a much warmer afternoon. Temperatures should reach well into the 70s . and could climb into the 80s especially over eastern areas. Cooler air will surge over the area tonight. Lows tonight will be mainly in the 50s. Highs will be in the 60s on Saturday. Dry weather is forecasted but weak upper disturbances will provide mid to upper high level cloudiness.

Long Term . Saturday night through Friday Will maintain dry weather Sunday night as surface ridge slowly moves into the southeast U.S. Upper trough will slowly traverse through the central U.S. early next week. Upper disturbances rotating around this trough and approaching frontal boundary will bring a chance for showers beginning as early as Monday. But it appears best chance will be on Monday night and Tuesday with FROPA. Post frontal rain is expected as 850mb frontal boundary will lag behind surface front.

POPs will be a challenge for Wednesday through Friday. Have opted to follow a model blend forecast with low POPs even some individual models are trending much drier for Wednesday and Thursday. Given a fast upper zonal flow, believe a few showers would be possible with passing short waves.

Temperatures will be near or above normal early next week but will forecast them below normal for mid and late week.

MARINE . At this time, no significant marine hazards are forecasted with cold front over the waters tonight. SCEC conditions may develop offshore tonight but if they occur, will likely last only through early Saturday.

Surface ridge will slowly work through the area this weekend with weak onshore flow developing. May see some modest strengthening of onshore flow on Monday before FROPA, but believe moderate to strong northerly flow will develop after FROPA on Tuesday. Increased marine winds from model blend forecasts as thermal gradient could bring wind gusts offshore to gale force.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS. AEX 76 48 63 44 / 10 0 0 0 LCH 77 52 66 49 / 10 0 0 0 LFT 79 53 66 49 / 20 0 0 0 BPT 76 52 66 50 / 0 0 0 0

LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. LA . None. TX . None. GM . None.


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
CAPL1 - 8768094 - Calcasieu Pass, LA 7 mi48 min WSW 6 G 9.9 67°F 64°F1016.4 hPa
BKTL1 24 mi54 min 70°F
SBPT2 - 8770570 - Sabine Pass North, TX 25 mi48 min WSW 5.1 G 14 71°F 66°F1020.6 hPa
TXPT2 25 mi48 min WSW 8.9 G 13 69°F 64°F1017.5 hPa
PORT2 - 8770475 - Port Arthur, TX 27 mi48 min W 12 G 19 71°F 64°F1018.3 hPa
LCLL1 - 8767816 - Lake Charles, LA 28 mi48 min 68°F 63°F1018.3 hPa
SRST2 - Sabine Pass, TX 34 mi18 min W 11 G 15 69°F 1019.2 hPa (+1.1)69°F

Wind History for Calcasieu Pass, LA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Southland Field, LA20 mi43 minSW 610.00 miMostly Cloudy70°F69°F100%1019 hPa
Lake Charles Regional Airport, LA22 mi25 minWSW 710.00 miMostly Cloudy72°F68°F87%1019.4 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KUXL

Wind History from UXL (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE6SE7SE7S7S13SE11SE6SE5SE6SE7SE9SE9SE9SE5SE4SE5SE4S5CalmCalmCalmCalmS3SW6
1 day agoNE5NE4CalmCalmN3N4N5N4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmE3E3E5
2 days agoS4S6S6S9S9S9S9S4SE4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmN3CalmN4N4

Tide / Current Tables for Calcasieu Pass, Lighthouse wharf, Louisiana (2)
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Calcasieu Pass
Click for Map
Fri -- 01:38 AM CST     Moonset
Fri -- 05:43 AM CST     0.76 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:54 AM CST     Sunrise
Fri -- 10:30 AM CST     1.34 feet High Tide
Fri -- 02:05 PM CST     Moonrise
Fri -- 04:28 PM CST     0.98 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 05:13 PM CST     Sunset
Fri -- 10:01 PM CST     1.64 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.51.31.110.80.80.80.811.21.31.31.31.21.11111.11.21.41.61.61.6

Tide / Current Tables for Calcasieu Pass, Lighthouse wharf, Louisiana
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Calcasieu Pass
Click for Map
Fri -- 01:38 AM CST     Moonset
Fri -- 05:40 AM CST     0.53 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:54 AM CST     Sunrise
Fri -- 11:49 AM CST     1.34 feet High Tide
Fri -- 02:05 PM CST     Moonrise
Fri -- 05:01 PM CST     0.84 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 05:13 PM CST     Sunset
Fri -- 11:10 PM CST     1.70 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.61.41.20.90.70.60.50.60.811.21.31.31.31.210.90.80.911.21.41.61.7

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Lake Charles, LA (11,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Lake Charles, LA
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Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.