Wednesday, December11, 2019
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Marine Weather and Tides
Panacea, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:22AMSunset 5:38PM Wednesday December 11, 2019 8:31 PM EST (01:31 UTC) Moonrise 5:27PMMoonset 6:40AM Illumination 100% Phase: Full Moon; Moon at 15 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ730 Apalachee Bay Or Coastal Waters From Keaton Beach To Ochlockonee River Fl Out To 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Suwannee River To Keaton Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- 800 Pm Est Wed Dec 11 2019
.small craft advisory in effect through Thursday afternoon...
Rest of tonight..Northeast winds 20 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant period 3 seconds. Protected waters choppy. Slight chance of showers.
Thursday..Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant period 2 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop. Slight chance of showers.
Thursday night..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant period 2 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop. Chance of showers in the evening, then showers likely after midnight.
Friday..Southeast winds 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 2 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Rain showers and isolated Thunderstorms in the morning, then rain showers likely in the afternoon.
Friday night..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant period 3 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Showers likely.
Saturday..West winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Protected waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers in the morning.
Saturday night..North winds 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Protected waters a light chop.
Sunday..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southeast 5 to 10 knots early in the afternoon, then becoming light and variable winds late in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Protected waters smooth.
Sunday night..East winds 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Protected waters a light chop.
Monday..Southeast winds 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Protected waters a light chop.
GMZ700 Synopsis For The Suwannee River To Okaloosa-walton County Line Out To 60 Nm 800 Pm Est Wed Dec 11 2019
Synopsis.. Strong northeasterly winds will continue through Thursday as strong high pressure remains in place along the eastern seaboard. Conditions should improve by Friday into Saturday as weak low pressure develops over the gulf and the gradient weakens. A small craft advisory will remain in place into Thursday. Increasing onshore flow will return by late in the weekend ahead of the next cold front.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Panacea, FL
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location: 29.9, -84.41     debug


Area Discussion for -
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FXUS62 KTAE 120059 AFDTAE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 759 PM EST Wed Dec 11 2019

NEAR TERM [Through Tonight].

The cold front that moved through last night is well to our south with north-northeast winds in its wake. However, clouds and rain continue to move along lingering lift. Although there has been a slight increase in dew points this evening, the rain is going to be very light once it reaches the ground, if it does at all. Had a hard time with the POPs tonight give the chance we don't see any accumulation. But don't be surprised to see a few sprinkles overnight and into the early morning hours. Cooling tonight will be more exaggerated in southern Alabama/Georgia due to relatively less cloud coverage. Lows in the northern portion of the CWA will dip in to the low 40s with the southern areas remaining a little warmer only reaching the mid to upper 40s. Fog is not a concern for the area as it has been the last few nights.

PREV DISCUSSION [609 PM EST].

SHORT TERM [Thursday Through Friday Night]. Unsettled weather pattern will remain in place through Friday as the next set up shortwaves move through the base of the broad trough over the eastern CONUS. A strong 1040mb high over New England will keep northeast flow in place across the forecast area as weak low pressure develops over the Gulf ahead of the next shortwave. Expect isentropic lift to increase by Thursday evening with rain spreading across much of the area. There is still uncertainty as to how deep the low pressure gets and where exactly it tracks. However, it currently appears that the warm sector is unlikely to make it very far inland, limiting the risk for any strong to severe storms with this system. However, the rain alone will be beneficial with a widespread 1 to 2 inches possible.

With plenty of clouds and the northeasterly low-level flow, temperatures will remain below normal Thursday afternoon. Temperatures will be a few degrees warmer Friday afternoon as the wedge of high pressure breaks down.

LONG TERM [Saturday Through Wednesday]. Seasonal temperatures and drier conditions are expected over the weekend as the Friday system exits to the northeast. However, another round of rain is likely by early next week as another cold front approaches.

AVIATION. [Through 00Z Friday]

Very light rain showers continue across the area and will break briefly overnight before returning Thursday afternoon. Winds shift to the northeast and could remain elevated, 10-15 knots, through the TAF period. CIG heights are around 2500-3500 but may drop below that towards the very end of the TAF period.

MARINE. Strong northeasterly winds will continue through Thursday as strong high pressure remains in place along the eastern seaboard. Conditions should improve by Friday into Saturday as weak low pressure develops over the Gulf and the gradient weakens. A Small Craft Advisory will remain in place into Thursday. Increasing onshore flow will return by late in the weekend ahead of the next cold front.

FIRE WEATHER. No fire weather concerns.

HYDROLOGY. Light rain overnight into Thursday will generally be less than a tenth of an inch. Heavier rain is expected Thursday night through early Saturday, with amounts of 1 to 2 inches expected. This should not cause any issues on area rivers and streams.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT.

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS.

Tallahassee 50 62 51 67 54 / 20 30 70 80 50 Panama City 48 61 52 68 56 / 30 30 80 80 50 Dothan 42 54 46 60 50 / 20 40 80 80 50 Albany 44 56 47 60 52 / 20 50 80 80 60 Valdosta 48 62 51 65 55 / 20 30 70 80 60 Cross City 53 71 56 71 57 / 10 20 50 70 70 Apalachicola 50 63 55 68 58 / 30 20 80 80 50

TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . High Rip Current Risk until 1 AM EST Thursday for Coastal Franklin.

GA . None. AL . None. GM . Small Craft Advisory until 1 PM EST Thursday for Apalachee Bay or Coastal Waters From Keaton Beach to Ochlockonee River FL out to 20 Nm-Coastal waters from Suwannee River to Keaton Beach FL out 20 NM.

Small Craft Advisory until 1 AM EST /midnight CST/ Friday for Coastal Waters From Ochlockonee River to Apalachicola Fl out to 20 Nm-Coastal waters from Mexico Beach to Apalachicola FL out 20 NM-Coastal waters from Mexico Beach to Okaloosa Walton County Line FL out 20 NM-Waters from Suwannee River to Apalachicola FL from 20 to 60 NM-Waters from Apalachicola to Mexico Beach FL from 20 to 60 NM- Waters from Mexico Beach to Okaloosa Walton County Line FL from 20 to 60 NM.



NEAR TERM . LN SHORT TERM . Camp LONG TERM . Camp AVIATION . LN MARINE . Camp FIRE WEATHER . Camp HYDROLOGY . Camp


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
SHPF1 - SHP - Shell Point, FL 13 mi98 min NNE 8.9 G 13 51°F 1027.4 hPa
APXF1 - Apalachicola Reserve, FL 26 mi107 min NE 15 1028 hPa
APCF1 - 8728690 - Apalachicola, FL 33 mi44 min NE 12 G 19 51°F 62°F1028 hPa
SGOF1 - Tyndall AFB Tower C (N4), FL 41 mi32 min NE 31 G 34 55°F 1026.6 hPa (+0.8)51°F
KTNF1 - Keaton Beach, FL 44 mi32 min NNE 8.9 G 11 56°F 1027.6 hPa (+1.3)50°F

Wind History for Apalachicola, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Tallahassee - Tallahassee International Airport, FL35 mi39 minNNE 610.00 miOvercast50°F44°F80%1028.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KTLH

Wind History from TLH (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS3CalmNW13N11
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1 day agoSE3SE3CalmSE4SE5CalmCalmCalmCalmSE4E3SE4S4S11S11S7S11S12
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2 days agoE8E11E11E11SE9SE8E7SE5SE7E6SE5E4SE3SE7S13
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Tide / Current Tables for Alligator Point, St. James Island, Florida
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Alligator Point
Click for Map
Wed -- 12:21 AM EST     2.51 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:40 AM EST     Moonset
Wed -- 07:22 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 07:46 AM EST     -0.46 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 02:01 PM EST     2.41 feet High Tide
Wed -- 05:27 PM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 05:38 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 07:32 PM EST     0.87 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.52.52.21.71.10.5-0-0.4-0.5-0.20.311.72.22.42.321.51.10.90.91.21.62.1

Tide / Current Tables for Turkey Point, FSU Lab, Florida
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Turkey Point
Click for Map
Wed -- 12:18 AM EST     3.07 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:40 AM EST     Moonset
Wed -- 07:23 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 07:28 AM EST     -0.22 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 02:14 PM EST     2.73 feet High Tide
Wed -- 05:27 PM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 05:38 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 07:15 PM EST     1.65 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.132.72.11.40.70.1-0.2-0.20.10.71.422.52.72.72.42.11.81.71.71.92.32.8

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for (20,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Tallahassee, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.