Tuesday, June15, 2021
Privacy Policy
L-36.com

Marine Weather and Tides
Panacea, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:33AMSunset 8:42PM Tuesday June 15, 2021 12:38 AM EDT (04:38 UTC) Moonrise 10:08AMMoonset 11:56PM Illumination 26% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 5 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
GMZ730 Apalachee Bay Or Coastal Waters From Keaton Beach To Ochlockonee River Fl Out To 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Mexico Beach To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Mexico Beach To Apalachicola Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Ochlockonee River To Apalachicola Fl Out To 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Suwannee River To Keaton Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- 903 Pm Edt Mon Jun 14 2021 /803 Pm Cdt Mon Jun 14 2021/
Rest of tonight..West winds 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 3 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant period 3 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday night and Wednesday..West winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday night..West winds 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday..West winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant period 5 seconds. Protected waters a light chop.
Thursday night..South winds 10 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Dominant period 6 seconds. Protected waters a light chop.
Friday and Friday night..South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet with occasional seas up to 8 feet. Dominant period 8 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Saturday..South winds 15 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet with occasional seas up to 8 feet. Protected waters a moderate chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
GMZ700 Synopsis For The Suwannee River To Okaloosa-walton County Line Out To 60 Nm 903 Pm Edt Mon Jun 14 2021
Synopsis.. The main marine concern through much of the work week will be Thunderstorms, where locally strong wind gusts and seas will be possible in their vicinity. Beyond Thursday, offshore waters may start to feel the peripheral affects of a tropical disturbance that is currently in the bay of campeche. This system will likely lead to long-period swells, advisory/cautionary wave heights, and increased Thunderstorm chances from the southwest as soon as late Thursday and early Friday. Poor boating conditions are likely to stay in place through the entire weekend.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Panacea, FL
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 29.9, -84.41     debug


Area Discussion for -
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
FXUS62 KTAE 150119 AFDTAE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 919 PM EDT Mon Jun 14 2021

UPDATE.

We saw much less convection today due to drier air in the mid levels. The 00z KTAE sounding showed a PWAT of 1.30". Most convection that formed along the sea breeze front diminished rather quickly. A few storms that dropped down into our GA and AL zones were briefly strong with sub-severe winds. Some convection remains over those zones but should diminish later this evening.

PREV DISCUSSION [739 PM EDT].

NEAR TERM [Through Tuesday].

This evening's shower and thunderstorm activity will focus in two areas - pinned closer to the Western FL Panhandle coast into the greater Big Bend area due to northerly low-level flow, and moving southward into portions of GA and Southeast AL this evening. The greatest coverage will focus in the far Southeast FL Big Bend w/ PoPs of 60-70 pct, quickly tapering off to 20-30 pct elsewhere in the Western FL Panhandle and Big Bend. Further north, PoPs will be confined mainly to the northern half of the AL/GA counties, with the highest values of 40-50 pct from northern Coffee County east to northern Worth County. Given the inverted-v/caret sounding profiles with Downdraft CAPE around 1k J/Kg, gusty winds to 40 mph will be the main concern with more robust, descending cores.

On Tuesday, a mid-level shortwave in the northwest flow aloft will induce a southward moving surface trough over the area. Initially, this regime will favor sea-breeze showers and thunderstorms being aligned similar to Monday (close to the Western FL Panhandle coast into the greater Big Bend area). But additional activity should develop north of I-10 into portions of Southeast AL and GA, then move southward. Sounding profiles indicate greater dry air aloft, so coverage may be limited, depending on how efficiently moisture is pooled. Of concern is that the environment is more favorable for downbursts compared to Monday, in addition to mid-level winds being above climatology. Some storms could be strong to severe with gusty winds the primary threat, and perhaps small hail.

Temperatures tonight and Tuesday will be near seasonal levels.

SHORT TERM [Tuesday Night Through Thursday Night].

A dry couple of days through mid week are expected as an upper level trough remains quasi-stationary across the Mid-Atlantic states through Thursday. Overall A trailing frontal boundary from the previous upper level cut-off low that is still currently over our region is expected to be draped across the Florida Peninsula through the end of the week. This has created a rather diffluent pattern aloft across the coastal regions. This will lead to the potential for afternoon showers and thunderstorms across the Florida Big Bend. This upper level diffluence coupled with a very prominent PW boundary will lead to a sharp cut-off in storm activity for both Wednesday and Thursday. PW values will be less than an inch across the Florida/Georgia border and points north and west. A tight gradient of PW will be evident just south of the previously discussed area, with values climbing to near 1.5 inches in the extreme southeast Big Bend. High temperatures will climb into the low to mid 90s for both Wednesday and Thursday, and lows will drop into the low 70s both evenings.

LONG TERM [Thursday Through Monday].

A slightly more convoluted pattern is expected in the long term, with the potential for some periphery impacts from the current tropical disturbance in the Bay of Campeche. At this time, as of the 2pm EDT advisory from the National Hurricane Center, the system has a high chance (70%) of developing in the next 5 days. This system regardless of formation is expected to advect copious amounts of moisture into the northern Gulf coast states, with the potential for PW values to exceed 2 inches across the region. This will likely lead to the potential for a wet weekend across the region, depending on the approach of the expected disturbance. Along with heavy rainfall, elevated seas/surf, as well as a high rip current risk can be expected at all area beaches and marine zones starting late this week. It's still too early to discuss track and impacts in depth; however, with the system expected to move northward, and copious amounts of moisture to be advected northward into our region, the potential for heavy rainfall is something that should be closely monitored in the coming days. Overall high temperatures in the extended will drop slightly to the low 90s to upper 80s as moisture moves into the region. Low temperatures; however, will likely remain in the low 70s for much of the region.

AVIATION. [Through 00Z Wednesday]

Only widely scattered showers and thunderstorms were noted around the region today due to a much drier layer of air aloft. We expect an increase in convection Tuesday afternoon, especially at or near ECP, TLH and VLD as a front drops down from the north. Thus, went with tempo groups generally in the 18-22z time frame for those terminals. Went with Prob30 groups for DHN and ABY. Some of the storms Tuesday afternoon/evening may become strong to severe.

MARINE.

The main marine concern through much of the work week will be thunderstorms, where locally strong wind gusts and seas will be possible in their vicinity. Beyond Thursday, offshore waters may start to feel the peripheral affects of a tropical disturbance that is currently in the Bay of Campeche. This system will likely lead to long-period swells, advisory/cautionary wave heights, and increased thunderstorm chances from the southwest as soon as late Thursday and early Friday. Poor boating conditions are likely to stay in place through the entire weekend.

FIRE WEATHER.

High dispersions are likely Tuesday afternoon mainly north of I-10, and are possible again on Wednesday afternoon, due to a combination of elevated westerly transport winds and mixing heights. Thunderstorms on Tuesday will be capable of strong outflow winds as well. There are no other fire weather concerns.

HYDROLOGY.

Showers and thunderstorms are possible each day this week, but chances appear greatest in the FL Panhandle and Big Bend through Wednesday. Pockets of heavy rain are possible with some storms. Extreme southeast Dixie County is in a marginal risk (level 1/5) for excessive rainfall on Tuesday. The weekend looks even wetter as we continue to monitor the progress of a tropical disturbance in the Bay of Campeche. A surge in moisture from this system may threaten larger portions of our area with heavy rain this weekend, but it is too soon to determine specifics.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT.

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur (while following all local, state, and CDC guidelines) by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS.

Tallahassee 72 94 73 92 70 / 10 40 20 20 10 Panama City 77 90 76 89 74 / 20 30 20 20 10 Dothan 73 95 71 91 68 / 20 30 20 10 10 Albany 74 98 71 93 68 / 20 20 20 10 10 Valdosta 72 94 71 92 68 / 10 40 30 20 10 Cross City 73 91 73 89 71 / 30 50 30 30 20 Apalachicola 76 89 76 87 74 / 20 30 30 20 20

TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . High Rip Current Risk until midnight EDT /11 PM CDT/ tonight for Coastal Gulf.

GA . None. AL . None. GM . None.

UPDATE . Barry NEAR TERM . LF SHORT TERM . Bunker LONG TERM . Bunker AVIATION . Barry MARINE . Bunker FIRE WEATHER . LF HYDROLOGY . IG3


Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map
Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
SHPF1 - SHP - Shell Point, FL 13 mi105 min W 9.9 G 13 83°F 1012.5 hPa
APXF1 - Apalachicola Reserve, FL 27 mi54 min W 7 81°F 1015 hPa78°F
APCF1 - 8728690 - Apalachicola, FL 33 mi51 min WNW 2.9 G 6 80°F 85°F1014.2 hPa
SGOF1 - Tyndall AFB Tower C (N4), FL 41 mi39 min W 9.9 G 12 81°F 1014.1 hPa (+1.4)77°F
KTNF1 - Keaton Beach, FL 44 mi39 min WSW 9.9 G 11 83°F 1013.6 hPa (+1.6)76°F

Wind History for Apalachicola, FL
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
Last
24hr
NE1
N2
--
N2
N3
--
N5
N5
NE7
NE5
SE3
S7
S7
S7
SW6
G9
SW8
SW6
G9
SW5
G8
SW7
SW5
G8
W6
G9
W3
G7
W2
NW2
G6
1 day
ago
NW3
G6
NW3
W3
G6
NW2
G8
W4
N5
G9
NW3
G9
N4
G7
NW1
G7
N6
G10
N3
G10
N6
G9
NE2
SW7
SW7
G11
SW10
G14
N7
G10
E5
SE6
G9
S2
--
W1
SW1
--
2 days
ago
W6
G10
W4
W4
G8
W6
G9
W3
G12
W6
G10
SW5
G9
W6
G9
W8
G16
W4
G9
W7
G11
W8
G12
W7
G14
NE5
G10
SW8
G12
W8
G12
W4
G8
W4
G10
W2
G6
NW5
G8

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Tallahassee International Airport, FL35 mi46 minSW 510.00 miFair80°F73°F79%1012.9 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KTLH

Wind History from TLH (wind in knots)
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
Last 24hrCalmNE4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmE4E3NE4CalmNE44354N54N7S6S6SW4S6SW5
1 day agoS4W3SW3W3W3NW5NW7W4N6W8SW53NW6NW9N11N10N7NW7E9W6CalmCalmSE5SE3
2 days agoSW4W4SW3W4W5W5W4W6W12W11
G21
NW14W10
G19
NW9S10S8W4W6W4SW8CalmCalmW3SE3Calm

Tide / Current Tables for Alligator Point, St. James Island, Florida
   EDIT   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Alligator Point
Click for Map
Tue -- 12:09 AM EDT     -0.12 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 12:18 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 06:36 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 06:39 AM EDT     2.41 feet High Tide
Tue -- 11:08 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 12:02 PM EDT     1.27 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:16 PM EDT     2.76 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:40 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

12
am
1
am
2
am
3
am
4
am
5
am
6
am
7
am
8
am
9
am
10
am
11
am
12
pm
1
pm
2
pm
3
pm
4
pm
5
pm
6
pm
7
pm
8
pm
9
pm
10
pm
11
pm
-0.1-00.40.91.522.42.42.21.91.61.41.31.41.72.12.52.82.72.421.40.80.4

Tide / Current Tables for Turkey Point, FSU Lab, Florida
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Turkey Point
Click for Map
Tue -- 12:02 AM EDT     0.10 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 12:18 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 06:36 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 07:14 AM EDT     2.72 feet High Tide
Tue -- 11:08 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 11:53 AM EDT     2.10 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:20 PM EDT     2.96 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:40 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

12
am
1
am
2
am
3
am
4
am
5
am
6
am
7
am
8
am
9
am
10
am
11
am
12
pm
1
pm
2
pm
3
pm
4
pm
5
pm
6
pm
7
pm
8
pm
9
pm
10
pm
11
pm
0.10.20.61.11.72.22.62.72.72.52.32.12.12.22.42.62.832.92.72.21.71.10.6

Weather Map
       (on/off)   Help Weather Map
wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: GEOS-West     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Ground Weather Radar Station



Gulf Stream Current



Please read website Cookie, Privacy, and Disclamers by clicking HERE.