Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Hayes, LA
May 2, 2024 12:44 AM CDT (05:44 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 6:26 AM Sunset 7:52 PM Moonrise 2:01 AM Moonset 1:05 PM |
GMZ432 Calcasieu Lake- 930 Pm Cdt Wed May 1 2024
Rest of tonight - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to 20 knots. Lake waters choppy. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms late.
Thursday - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to 25 knots. Lake waters choppy. A chance of Thunderstorms. A chance of showers.
Thursday night - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to 20 knots. Lake waters choppy. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening, then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Friday - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Lake waters choppy. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms, mainly in the morning.
Friday night - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Lake waters choppy.
Saturday - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots, increasing to 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon. Lake waters rough.
Saturday night - Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots, diminishing to around 10 knots after midnight. Lake waters rough.
Sunday - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Lake waters choppy.
Sunday night - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Lake waters choppy.
Monday - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Lake waters choppy.
Monday night - South winds around 15 knots. Lake waters choppy.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
GMZ400 930 Pm Cdt Wed May 1 2024
Synopsis - A brief period of increasing rain chances, winds and seas will take place on Thursday ahead of an approaching shortwave trof. No small craft advisory criteria is anticipated with this disturbance. Otherwise, onshore flow and mild conditions are anticipated through the period.
Area Discussion for - Lake Charles, LA
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FXUS64 KLCH 020437 AFDLCH
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Lake Charles LA 1137 PM CDT Wed May 1 2024
New AVIATION
UPDATE
Issued at 945 PM CDT Wed May 1 2024
The super cell storms just to the northwest of the forecast area this evening look like they have formed into a MCV feature.
However, it doesn't seem to be making much progress toward the forecast area. Other showers and storms are starting to form to the south and southwest of the MCV, so this may be the beginning of the big MCS complex that some guidance is suggesting will form and eventually accelerate to the east as a bow echo feature later tonight into Thursday morning once the upper level energy catches up to it, although there is still some uncertainty as to the exact timing of this feature, how strong it will be, and can it push all the way through the forecast area.
With the uncertainty, will not make any changes to the forecast at this time. It should be noted that there is the low end damaging thunderstorm wind potential if the bow echo does form and accelerate. The heavy rain potential looks to be the bigger concern, from either the high rainfall rates within a severe line or, a slow moving system with moderate rainfall that will produce rain for a longer period, with the rain falling on grounds with low flash flood guidance and that already have high hydrologic flows on drainage basins.
For the marine forecast, did add small craft exercise caution for the zones west of Intracoastal City for sustained winds between 15 and 20 knots and seas nearing 6 feet.
Rua
SHORT TERM
(Tonight through Friday night)
Issued at 345 PM CDT Wed May 1 2024
A more active weather pattern is expected for the short term.
Starting this afternoon a few isolated showers and storms moved through the area, with storms over part of the offshore gulf waters.
Activity of this sort is expected to temporarily taper over the evening, however we will see it ramp up early Thursday morning and continue from there.
Flow aloft will become southwesterly with southerly flow already prevailing at the surface. Ample moisture will pull into the area.
PWATs have (and will continue) to increase with max values shy of the 2 inch mark tomorrow afternoon over parts of SETX and CenLA.
Models do not seem to be handling the system the best, however the general consensus is that scattered to numerous showers and storms will ramp up before daybreak tomorrow with the bulk of the storm system exiting off to the east in the late afternoon hours.
Additional scattered showers will persist behind the main line going into the evening. Another short "quiet" period will occur between that and an additional round of activity that will pick up late tomorrow night into Friday.
Rainfall totals over the period will be in the 1 to 3 inch range with higher amounts possible in some areas. The bulk of the rain, however, is expected to occur tomorrow. Future additional amounts will exacerbate current flooding conditions. As a result, a Flood Watch will be in effect starting early tomorrow morning.
Stigger/87
LONG TERM
(Saturday through next Tuesday)
Issued at 345 PM CDT Wed May 1 2024
A couple of weak disturbances moving overhead in the zonal flow aloft will keep small rain chances in the forecast through the weekend, mainly north of I-10. Overall, this convection looks like it'll be fairly isolated over the local area, with better coverage expected further to our north. Otherwise, the weekend will consist of warm and humid conditions with highs expected to top out in the mid 80s and overnight lows in the upper 60s to low 70s.
Moving into the work week a large mid/upper level trough begins to strengthen over the Rockies while at the surface a cold front/low pressure system will be moving into the Plains. This system will shift east across the north/central Plains through the mid-week time frame, keeping a west to southwest flow overhead aloft. Although the cold front will remain well to our north, the pressure gradient overhead is expected to tighten in response which will bring breezy conditions across the CWA from Mon and beyond. Temperature wise, warming temps are on the horizon, with highs on Mon in the mid to upper 80s warming further into the upper 80s to lower 90s by Wed.
Overnight, lows will generally range from the low to mid 60s.
17
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1132 PM CDT Wed May 1 2024
Not a lot has changed in the thinking for the aviation forecast.
Low clouds will continue to form over the next few hours with MVFR conditions possibly down to IFR conditions.
After 02/11z or so, the forecast will depend on how the MCS develops over Texas and how it moves across the forecast area. At this time will cover this with TEMPO for storms at KBPT by 02/14z and PROB30 at all remaining terminals starting at KLCH/KAEX at 02/15z and starting at KLFT/KARA at 02/16z.
If the storm complex does make it through, expect IFR conditions with low visibility from heavy rainfall along with gusty winds.
Rua
MARINE
Issued at 404 AM CDT Wed May 1 2024
A brief period of increasing rain chances, winds and seas will take place on Thursday ahead of an approaching shortwave trof. No severe or Small Craft Advisory criteria is anticipated with this disturbance. Otherwise, onshore flow and mild conditions are anticipated through the period.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AEX 68 80 67 80 / 20 90 40 80 LCH 72 82 71 81 / 30 60 30 50 LFT 72 85 72 82 / 10 50 20 50 BPT 72 83 71 83 / 60 60 40 40
LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
LA...Flood Watch through Thursday evening for LAZ027>032-141.
TX...Flood Watch through Thursday evening for TXZ180-201-259>262-515- 516.
GM...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Lake Charles LA 1137 PM CDT Wed May 1 2024
New AVIATION
UPDATE
Issued at 945 PM CDT Wed May 1 2024
The super cell storms just to the northwest of the forecast area this evening look like they have formed into a MCV feature.
However, it doesn't seem to be making much progress toward the forecast area. Other showers and storms are starting to form to the south and southwest of the MCV, so this may be the beginning of the big MCS complex that some guidance is suggesting will form and eventually accelerate to the east as a bow echo feature later tonight into Thursday morning once the upper level energy catches up to it, although there is still some uncertainty as to the exact timing of this feature, how strong it will be, and can it push all the way through the forecast area.
With the uncertainty, will not make any changes to the forecast at this time. It should be noted that there is the low end damaging thunderstorm wind potential if the bow echo does form and accelerate. The heavy rain potential looks to be the bigger concern, from either the high rainfall rates within a severe line or, a slow moving system with moderate rainfall that will produce rain for a longer period, with the rain falling on grounds with low flash flood guidance and that already have high hydrologic flows on drainage basins.
For the marine forecast, did add small craft exercise caution for the zones west of Intracoastal City for sustained winds between 15 and 20 knots and seas nearing 6 feet.
Rua
SHORT TERM
(Tonight through Friday night)
Issued at 345 PM CDT Wed May 1 2024
A more active weather pattern is expected for the short term.
Starting this afternoon a few isolated showers and storms moved through the area, with storms over part of the offshore gulf waters.
Activity of this sort is expected to temporarily taper over the evening, however we will see it ramp up early Thursday morning and continue from there.
Flow aloft will become southwesterly with southerly flow already prevailing at the surface. Ample moisture will pull into the area.
PWATs have (and will continue) to increase with max values shy of the 2 inch mark tomorrow afternoon over parts of SETX and CenLA.
Models do not seem to be handling the system the best, however the general consensus is that scattered to numerous showers and storms will ramp up before daybreak tomorrow with the bulk of the storm system exiting off to the east in the late afternoon hours.
Additional scattered showers will persist behind the main line going into the evening. Another short "quiet" period will occur between that and an additional round of activity that will pick up late tomorrow night into Friday.
Rainfall totals over the period will be in the 1 to 3 inch range with higher amounts possible in some areas. The bulk of the rain, however, is expected to occur tomorrow. Future additional amounts will exacerbate current flooding conditions. As a result, a Flood Watch will be in effect starting early tomorrow morning.
Stigger/87
LONG TERM
(Saturday through next Tuesday)
Issued at 345 PM CDT Wed May 1 2024
A couple of weak disturbances moving overhead in the zonal flow aloft will keep small rain chances in the forecast through the weekend, mainly north of I-10. Overall, this convection looks like it'll be fairly isolated over the local area, with better coverage expected further to our north. Otherwise, the weekend will consist of warm and humid conditions with highs expected to top out in the mid 80s and overnight lows in the upper 60s to low 70s.
Moving into the work week a large mid/upper level trough begins to strengthen over the Rockies while at the surface a cold front/low pressure system will be moving into the Plains. This system will shift east across the north/central Plains through the mid-week time frame, keeping a west to southwest flow overhead aloft. Although the cold front will remain well to our north, the pressure gradient overhead is expected to tighten in response which will bring breezy conditions across the CWA from Mon and beyond. Temperature wise, warming temps are on the horizon, with highs on Mon in the mid to upper 80s warming further into the upper 80s to lower 90s by Wed.
Overnight, lows will generally range from the low to mid 60s.
17
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1132 PM CDT Wed May 1 2024
Not a lot has changed in the thinking for the aviation forecast.
Low clouds will continue to form over the next few hours with MVFR conditions possibly down to IFR conditions.
After 02/11z or so, the forecast will depend on how the MCS develops over Texas and how it moves across the forecast area. At this time will cover this with TEMPO for storms at KBPT by 02/14z and PROB30 at all remaining terminals starting at KLCH/KAEX at 02/15z and starting at KLFT/KARA at 02/16z.
If the storm complex does make it through, expect IFR conditions with low visibility from heavy rainfall along with gusty winds.
Rua
MARINE
Issued at 404 AM CDT Wed May 1 2024
A brief period of increasing rain chances, winds and seas will take place on Thursday ahead of an approaching shortwave trof. No severe or Small Craft Advisory criteria is anticipated with this disturbance. Otherwise, onshore flow and mild conditions are anticipated through the period.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AEX 68 80 67 80 / 20 90 40 80 LCH 72 82 71 81 / 30 60 30 50 LFT 72 85 72 82 / 10 50 20 50 BPT 72 83 71 83 / 60 60 40 40
LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
LA...Flood Watch through Thursday evening for LAZ027>032-141.
TX...Flood Watch through Thursday evening for TXZ180-201-259>262-515- 516.
GM...None.
| Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
| LCLL1 - 8767816 - Lake Charles, LA | 15 mi | 56 min | 75°F | 83°F | 29.87 | |||
| BKTL1 | 17 mi | 56 min | 82°F | |||||
| CAPL1 - 8768094 - Calcasieu Pass, LA | 29 mi | 56 min | SSE 18G | 77°F | 77°F | 29.85 | ||
| PORT2 - 8770475 - Port Arthur, TX | 52 mi | 56 min | SE 8.9G | 76°F | 74°F | 29.80 |
toggle option: (graph/table)
Airport Reports
EDIT (hide/show) Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KCWF CHENNAULT INTL,LA | 11 sm | 29 min | SSE 07 | 10 sm | Overcast | 75°F | 72°F | 89% | 29.86 | |
| KLCH LAKE CHARLES RGNL,LA | 12 sm | 40 min | SE 09 | 7 sm | Mostly Cloudy | 75°F | 73°F | 94% | 29.85 | |
| KUXL SOUTHLAND FIELD,LA | 20 sm | 29 min | ESE 06 | 10 sm | Overcast | 77°F | 75°F | 94% | 29.86 |
Mermentau River entrance
Click for Map
Wed -- 02:21 AM CDT Moonrise
Wed -- 03:15 AM CDT -0.03 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:27 AM CDT Last Quarter
Wed -- 06:29 AM CDT Sunrise
Wed -- 11:35 AM CDT 2.86 feet High Tide
Wed -- 12:58 PM CDT Moonset
Wed -- 07:49 PM CDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Wed -- 02:21 AM CDT Moonrise
Wed -- 03:15 AM CDT -0.03 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:27 AM CDT Last Quarter
Wed -- 06:29 AM CDT Sunrise
Wed -- 11:35 AM CDT 2.86 feet High Tide
Wed -- 12:58 PM CDT Moonset
Wed -- 07:49 PM CDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Mermentau River entrance, Louisiana, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 0.7 |
| 1 am |
| 0.4 |
| 2 am |
| 0.1 |
| 3 am |
| -0 |
| 4 am |
| 0 |
| 5 am |
| 0.3 |
| 6 am |
| 0.7 |
| 7 am |
| 1.2 |
| 8 am |
| 1.7 |
| 9 am |
| 2.3 |
| 10 am |
| 2.6 |
| 11 am |
| 2.8 |
| 12 pm |
| 2.8 |
| 1 pm |
| 2.8 |
| 2 pm |
| 2.7 |
| 3 pm |
| 2.6 |
| 4 pm |
| 2.5 |
| 5 pm |
| 2.4 |
| 6 pm |
| 2.4 |
| 7 pm |
| 2.3 |
| 8 pm |
| 2.2 |
| 9 pm |
| 2.1 |
| 10 pm |
| 1.9 |
| 11 pm |
| 1.7 |
Calcasieu Pass
Click for Map
Wed -- 02:22 AM CDT Moonrise
Wed -- 03:11 AM CDT -0.05 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:27 AM CDT Last Quarter
Wed -- 06:30 AM CDT Sunrise
Wed -- 11:37 AM CDT 1.99 feet High Tide
Wed -- 12:59 PM CDT Moonset
Wed -- 06:13 PM CDT 1.22 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:50 PM CDT Sunset
Wed -- 09:06 PM CDT 1.30 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Wed -- 02:22 AM CDT Moonrise
Wed -- 03:11 AM CDT -0.05 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:27 AM CDT Last Quarter
Wed -- 06:30 AM CDT Sunrise
Wed -- 11:37 AM CDT 1.99 feet High Tide
Wed -- 12:59 PM CDT Moonset
Wed -- 06:13 PM CDT 1.22 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:50 PM CDT Sunset
Wed -- 09:06 PM CDT 1.30 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Calcasieu Pass, Lighthouse wharf, Louisiana, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 0.5 |
| 1 am |
| 0.2 |
| 2 am |
| 0 |
| 3 am |
| -0.1 |
| 4 am |
| -0 |
| 5 am |
| 0.2 |
| 6 am |
| 0.5 |
| 7 am |
| 0.8 |
| 8 am |
| 1.2 |
| 9 am |
| 1.6 |
| 10 am |
| 1.8 |
| 11 am |
| 2 |
| 12 pm |
| 2 |
| 1 pm |
| 1.9 |
| 2 pm |
| 1.7 |
| 3 pm |
| 1.5 |
| 4 pm |
| 1.4 |
| 5 pm |
| 1.3 |
| 6 pm |
| 1.2 |
| 7 pm |
| 1.2 |
| 8 pm |
| 1.3 |
| 9 pm |
| 1.3 |
| 10 pm |
| 1.3 |
| 11 pm |
| 1.2 |
Lake Charles, LA,
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