Sunday, July5, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Callaway, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 5:45AMSunset 7:49PM Sunday July 5, 2020 3:44 PM CDT (20:44 UTC) Moonrise 8:34PMMoonset 6:02AM Illumination 100% Phase: Full Moon; Moon at 15 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ750 Expires:202007060900;;368680 Fzus52 Ktae 051914 Cwftae Coastal Waters Forecast For Florida Big Bend And Eastern Panhandle National Weather Service Tallahassee Fl 314 Pm Edt Sun Jul 5 2020 Gulf Coastal Waters From The Mouth Of The Suwannee River To Okaloosa-walton County Line Out To 60 Nm. Seas Are Provided As A Range Of The Average Height Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Waves...along With The Occasional Height Of The Average Highest 1/10 Of The Waves. Gmz730-750-752-755-765-770-772-775-060900- Apalachee Bay Or Coastal Waters From Keaton Beach To Ochlockonee River Fl Out To 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Mexico Beach To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Mexico Beach To Apalachicola Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Ochlockonee River To Apalachicola Fl Out To 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Suwannee River To Keaton Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Mexico Beach To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- Waters From Apalachicola To Mexico Beach Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- Waters From Suwannee River To Apalachicola Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- 314 Pm Edt Sun Jul 5 2020 /214 Pm Cdt Sun Jul 5 2020/
Tonight..Southwest winds 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
Monday..Southwest winds 15 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop. Showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday night..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters a light to moderate chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday..West winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters a light to moderate chop. Showers and Thunderstorms likely in the morning, then chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Tuesday night..West winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters a light to moderate chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday through Friday..West winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Protected waters a light to moderate chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
GMZ700 Synopsis For The Suwannee River To Okaloosa-walton County Line Out To 60 Nm 314 Pm Edt Sun Jul 5 2020
Synopsis..As weak low pressure develops north of the coast, onshore winds will increase to moderate levels from tonight into Tuesday, but stay below cautionary levels. Winds will be westerly beginning Tuesday through the rest of the work week, occasionally increasing to near 15 knots in the afternoon sea breeze.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Callaway, FL
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location: 30.12, -85.55     debug


Area Discussion for -
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FXUS62 KTAE 051905 AFDTAE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 305 PM EDT Sun Jul 5 2020

NEAR TERM [Tonight through Monday].

An upper low is dipping into the Gulf of Mexico with the low moving across the CWA tonight and will generally open up into a broad trough through Monday. PW values will be over two inches through the near term, close to 2.2 inches on Monday. What this really adds up to is the combined lift from the upper low and the deep layer moisture will lead to scattered to widespread showers the rest of the afternoon, diminishing a bit overnight and then widespread again on Monday. They should develop like they did today; mostly offshore before the land heats up with sunrise and the storms eventually moving onshore and developing across the region. Although shear is low and overall column winds are low, the upper low will keep the storms moving, in a broad counter clockwise motion. This will hopefully limit the flooding. However, the widespread nature of these storms will give most areas a heavy rainfall and areas that see this many times could see flash flooding. The highest concerns seem to be near the coast, especially in southern Gulf/Franklin Counties. We will have to monitor that. The threat of severe storms seems low but cannot rule out a storm with a 30-40MPH wind gust.

Highs tomorrow will be cooler, in the lower to mid 80s with lows in the lower 70s.

SHORT TERM [Monday night through Tuesday night].

The upper low and its associated surface system will move very slowly from our vicinity off to the northeast during this period. The Euro remains deep than the GFS and other models with both features. However, that doesn't impact the forecast too much. There will still be plenty of high PW and remnant boundaries across the region. Therefore, convective coverage will remain high with PoPs categorical in most areas on Tuesday. Severe weather parameters will not be all that impressive with the primary concern being flooding rain. See the hydro discussion below for more details. The abundant showers will keep temps from reaching 90 in most areas on Tuesday.

LONG TERM [Wednesday Through Sunday].

Through the mid week period, the surface low will finally reach the Southeast U.S. Atlantic Coast, where they will need to monitor for possible tropical or sub-tropical development. Locally, winds will back to westerly with a slightly drier air mass arriving. This will slightly decrease PoPs by the end of the week, but there will still be plenty of showers and storms each day. The decreased coverage will allow temps to creep back into the 90s again. Heat indices will approach 105 across our Florida zones on Thursday and we may challenge heat advisory criteria in these areas Friday and Saturday.

AVIATION. [Through 18Z Monday]

Tricky TAF forecast this period due to nearly widespread showers and thunderstorms expected this afternoon and Monday afternoon, making it difficult to pinpoint when a thunderstorm will impact a terminal. Kept SHRA or VCSH at most terminals through the period with TSRA chances highest this afternoon and late morning/early afternoon on Monday and that was handled either in a prevailing group or PROB30 for Monday. CIGS will likely drop to IFR/low MVFR again tonight, especially in between the rain breaks and will drop if a thunderstorm impacts a terminal.

MARINE.

As weak low pressure develops north of the coast, onshore winds will increase to moderate levels from tonight into Tuesday, but stay below cautionary levels. Winds will be westerly beginning Tuesday through the rest of the work week, occasionally increasing to near 15 knots in the afternoon sea breeze.

FIRE WEATHER.

There are no fire weather concerns at least for the next several days.

HYDROLOGY.

The Weather Depiction Center (WPC) official QPF shows widespread three-day total from today through Tuesday of 1.5 to 2.5 inches. Localized areas could see double those totals and considering the rather low flash flood guidance, WPC has all or parts of the area under a marginal risk for excessive rainfall each day during this period. The rivers are in pretty good shape with only the Ochlockonee at Thomasville above action stage (and receding). The Flint at Lake Blackshear is right at action stage. While rises are forecast downstream on the Ochlockonee, no flooding is forecast at this time.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT.

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur (while following all local, state, and CDC guidelines) by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS.

Tallahassee 74 84 73 89 73 / 70 80 50 80 30 Panama City 78 85 77 87 77 / 60 80 70 80 40 Dothan 72 83 72 84 72 / 30 80 60 90 40 Albany 74 85 73 86 73 / 30 80 60 90 40 Valdosta 73 84 73 86 73 / 40 80 40 90 30 Cross City 74 87 73 89 74 / 60 80 50 60 30 Apalachicola 79 85 76 87 77 / 70 80 60 70 40

TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . None. GA . None. AL . None. GM . None.

NEAR TERM . LN SHORT TERM . Wool LONG TERM . Wool AVIATION . LN MARINE . Wool FIRE WEATHER . Barry HYDROLOGY . Wool


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PACF1 - 8729108 - Panama City, FL 7 mi57 min SSW 6 G 8 81°F
PCBF1 19 mi57 min SW 7 G 8 80°F 83°F1013.2 hPa
APCF1 - 8728690 - Apalachicola, FL 41 mi57 min SW 4.1 G 5.1 82°F 85°F1013.6 hPa
APXF1 - Apalachicola Reserve, FL 42 mi120 min WNW 1.9 1015 hPa

Wind History for Panama City, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Tyndall Air Force Base, FL4 mi49 minNW 510.00 miA Few Clouds84°F72°F68%1012.8 hPa
Panama City - Northwest Florida Beaches International Airport, FL21 mi52 minS 910.00 miPartly Cloudy84°F73°F70%1013.4 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KPAM

Wind History from PAM (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW11W12SE7NW7S4S3W3SW3SE4S3S4SE3S5S4S4SE3SE3CalmW3W9W8W6W6NW5
1 day agoW8NW11NW9NW6NW6N4E5CalmCalmSE6S5S3CalmSE5SE3SE5SE7E5SE4CalmW4W9W11W13
2 days agoN15N15NW16NW14N12N11N10N8N6N6N8N6N7N7NE5NE5NE3E4NW7NW7NW7W8E3W10

Tide / Current Tables for Laird Bayou, East Bay, St. Andrew Bay, Florida
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Laird Bayou
Click for Map
Sun -- 05:46 AM CDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 06:01 AM CDT     Moonset
Sun -- 11:53 AM CDT     2.25 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:47 PM CDT     Sunset
Sun -- 08:33 PM CDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 11:28 PM CDT     -0.41 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0.4-0.3-0.10.10.40.711.31.61.92.12.22.22.221.81.41.10.70.40.1-0.2-0.3-0.4

Tide / Current Tables for Panama City, St. Andrew Bay, Florida
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Panama City
Click for Map
Sun -- 05:46 AM CDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 06:01 AM CDT     Moonset
Sun -- 10:43 AM CDT     1.93 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:47 PM CDT     Sunset
Sun -- 08:34 PM CDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 10:04 PM CDT     -0.35 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0.2-00.20.40.60.91.21.41.61.81.91.91.91.71.51.20.80.50.2-0-0.2-0.3-0.3-0.3

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for (16,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Northwest Florida
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.