Sunday, September19, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Callaway, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:28AMSunset 6:44PM Sunday September 19, 2021 8:48 PM CDT (01:48 UTC) Moonrise 6:23PMMoonset 5:00AM Illumination 98% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 13 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ750 Expires:202109201330;;879878 Fzus52 Ktae 200046 Cwftae Coastal Waters Forecast For Florida Big Bend And Eastern Panhandle National Weather Service Tallahassee Fl 846 Pm Edt Sun Sep 19 2021 Gulf Coastal Waters From The Mouth Of The Suwannee River To Okaloosa-walton County Line Out To 60 Nm. Seas Are Provided As A Range Of The Average Height Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Waves...along With The Occasional Height Of The Average Highest 1/10 Of The Waves. Gmz730-750-752-755-765-770-772-775-201330- Apalachee Bay Or Coastal Waters From Keaton Beach To Ochlockonee River Fl Out To 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Mexico Beach To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Mexico Beach To Apalachicola Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Ochlockonee River To Apalachicola Fl Out To 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Suwannee River To Keaton Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Mexico Beach To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- Waters From Apalachicola To Mexico Beach Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- Waters From Suwannee River To Apalachicola Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- 846 Pm Edt Sun Sep 19 2021 /746 Pm Cdt Sun Sep 19 2021/
Rest of tonight..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 5 seconds. Protected waters mostly smooth. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 foot. Dominant period 5 seconds. Protected waters mostly smooth. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday night..Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 foot. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters smooth. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Tuesday..North winds around 5 knots becoming west 5 to 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas 1 foot. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters smooth. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Tuesday night..Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 foot. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters mostly smooth. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms through the night.
Wednesday..Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 3 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Wednesday night..North winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters choppy. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms in the evening.
Thursday..North winds 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday night..Northeast winds 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant period 3 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop.
Friday..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Protected waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
GMZ700 Synopsis For The Suwannee River To Okaloosa-walton County Line Out To 60 Nm 846 Pm Edt Sun Sep 19 2021
Synopsis.. Winds are expected to stay just below 10 knots and waves should hold at about 1 to 2 feet through Wednesday. Showers and Thunderstorms will remain possible, before a pattern change occurs Wednesday. A cold front will sweep through the region which shift winds to the north and increase them to 10 to 15 knots. Wave heights will rise in response, with heights peaking around 2 to 4 feet.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Callaway, FL
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location: 30.12, -85.55     debug


Area Discussion for -
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FXUS62 KTAE 200120 AFDTAE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 920 PM EDT Sun Sep 19 2021

UPDATE.

Precipitation continues to pivot westward to the north of I-10 this evening where there are several areas of nuisance, advisory- type flooding. One particular band had rainfall rates near 4"/hr prompting a flash flood warning for parts of Jefferson, Brooks, and Thomas Counties. In Thomasville, a few areas reported water over the road. While precipitation should begin to wind down after midnight, the 00z TAE sounding showed a saturated profile through the column with Preciptable Water of 2.33" and cloud layer winds of only 5 knots, so any additional showers overnight would be very efficient rainfall producers. The flash flood watch remains in effect for the entire area west of I-75 through 8 AM EDT Monday. The only update with this forecast package was to tweak the PoPs slightly in line with current radar and hi-res guidance trends.

PREV DISCUSSION [753 PM EDT].

NEAR TERM [Through Monday].

The radar is quite active this afternoon with scattered to widespread rain being observed, along with some isolated thunderstorms. Expect this to continue through the evening hours , with precip chances winding down tonight. PW values are anonymously high for this time of the year, with this morning's sounding sitting at 2.2 inches. Flow with these storms have been fairly slow as well, which combined with the rain we've seen over the last 3 weeks, could lead to flash flooding. Thus a Flash Flood Watch has been issued for much of the CWA through 12Z tomorrow.

In terms of Monday's forecast, the quasi-stationary upper level trough will start to lift northward. This means we'll have another day or two of renewed precipitation chances with PW values holding steady around 2 inches, keeping the flash flood threat over us. In addition to the rain, high temperatures will rise into the mid to upper 80s and overnight lows will only fall into the low 70s.

SHORT TERM [Monday Night Through Tuesday Night].

An upper level shortwave trough will be passing to our north on Tuesday, although high pressure at the surface will keep the PWAT values around 2 inches and PoPs chances remain elevated around 50-80 percent for the afternoon, with the highest chances in our eastern counties. The High temperatures for Tuesday will be in the upper 80s with morning Lows in the low 70s.

LONG TERM [Wednesday Through Sunday].

A large upper level trough will be approaching from the west and will be dipping down into our CWA on Wednesday. The trough has an associated cold front. Ahead of the front, there is a chance for showers and thunderstorms with PoPs about 40-70 percent, with the higher values to the east. The cold front passage is expected Wednesday evening. Behind the front, light to moderate northerly winds are expected along with much drier air. Dewpoints will fall to the lower 60s/upper 50s Thursday morning and remain within that region for the rest of the term. PoPs after the front will be below 20 percent region wide, except for possible showers on Saturday in the SE Big Bend. High temperatures for Wednesday will be in mid 80s, then the High temps will be in the upper 70s/low 80s through the weekend. Low temperatures will range from the low 60s in our northern counties to the upper 60s along the coast. Friday will be our coolest morning, with temps in the upper 50s for our AL and GA counties. Mornings in the 60s will continue through the weekend.

AVIATION. [Through 00Z Tuesday]

A line of SHRA with embedded TSRA will impact ABY-DHN-VLD through 03-06z with brief restrictions to IFR. Otherwise, all terminals will see cigs lower to IFR/LIFR 07-10z, except closer to 12z at ABY. Renewed SHRA/TSRA will move northeast through the terminals 18-21z. Winds variable in direction around 5 kts thru the period.

MARINE.

Winds are expected to stay just below 10 kt and waves should hold at about 1 to 2 feet through Wednesday. Showers and thunderstorms will remain possible, before a pattern change occurs Wednesday. A cold front will sweep through the region which shift winds to the north and increase them to 10-15 kt. Wave heights will rise in response, with heights peaking around 2-4 feet.

FIRE WEATHER.

The wet weather will continue through tomorrow, with precip chances lingering across the area through Wednesday. A frontal system should move into the region by Thursday which will drastically cut back on rain.. No major fire weather concerns are expected; however, dispersion values will generally be below 30 Monday and Tuesday.

HYDROLOGY.

The complex pattern that has been in place across the region will once again plague the area today. Another round of showers and thunderstorms is expected again today, with a slight risk for excessive rainfall forecast for zones west of the Apalachicola and Chattahoochee rivers. All other areas east of these rivers are in a marginal risk for excessive rainfall. Another 1-2 inches of widespread rainfall is forecast for today, with localized heavier totals once again possible. Saturday saw isolated pockets of 3-4 inches across SE Alabama and SW Georgia, which lead to some flash flooding across these regions. A Flash Flood Watch for most of the CWA is now in effect through tomorrow morning. Given the above, a few flood advisories and flash flood warnings can't be ruled out again for today.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT.

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur (while following all local, state, and CDC guidelines) by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS.

Tallahassee 72 88 73 86 73 / 50 70 30 70 20 Panama City 73 86 74 84 74 / 30 50 30 50 20 Dothan 71 85 72 83 72 / 70 70 20 60 20 Albany 73 85 72 83 72 / 70 70 30 70 20 Valdosta 72 85 73 84 73 / 60 70 30 80 20 Cross City 73 87 74 84 74 / 40 60 40 70 30 Apalachicola 74 85 76 83 75 / 40 50 40 50 20

TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . Flash Flood Watch until 8 AM EDT /7 AM CDT/ Monday for Calhoun- Central Walton-Coastal Bay-Coastal Dixie-Coastal Franklin- Coastal Gulf-Coastal Jefferson-Coastal Taylor-Coastal Wakulla-Gadsden-Holmes-Inland Bay-Inland Dixie-Inland Franklin-Inland Gulf-Inland Jefferson-Inland Taylor-Inland Wakulla-Jackson-Lafayette-Leon-Liberty-Madison-North Walton- South Walton-Washington.

High Rip Current Risk until 2 AM EDT /1 AM CDT/ Monday for Coastal Bay-Coastal Gulf-South Walton.

GA . Flash Flood Watch until 8 AM EDT Monday for Baker-Brooks-Calhoun- Clay-Colquitt-Decatur-Dougherty-Early-Grady-Lee-Miller- Mitchell-Quitman-Randolph-Seminole-Terrell-Thomas-Worth.

AL . Flash Flood Watch until 7 AM CDT Monday for Coffee-Dale-Geneva- Henry-Houston.

GM . None.

UPDATE . LF NEAR TERM . KR SHORT TERM . Montgomery LONG TERM . Montgomery AVIATION . LF MARINE . Montgomery FIRE WEATHER . KR HYDROLOGY . Montgomery


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PACF1 - 8729108 - Panama City, FL 7 mi48 min SSE 1.9 G 1.9 84°F
PCBF1 19 mi48 min ESE 2.9 G 2.9 80°F 83°F1015.3 hPa (+0.7)
APCF1 - 8728690 - Apalachicola, FL 41 mi48 min NE 1 G 1.9 77°F 81°F1015.5 hPa (+0.8)
APXF1 - Apalachicola Reserve, FL 43 mi63 min E 1.9 76°F 1016 hPa75°F

Wind History for Panama City, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Tyndall Air Force Base, FL4 mi52 minN 010.00 miMostly Cloudy79°F75°F86%1014.8 hPa
Panama City - Northwest Florida Beaches International Airport, FL21 mi55 minN 010.00 miPartly Cloudy77°F76°F96%1015.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KPAM

Wind History from PAM (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE4E5E5E5CalmCalmCalmCalmE3E4E3E6E6E6NE5CalmNW6CalmE3S4SW7SW4SW4Calm
1 day agoE3CalmCalmCalmCalmE3E3NE3E3CalmNE3NE3E5NE5E6S8SW4SW9S9S5CalmCalmNE3E3
2 days agoE4SE5SE5SE7SE4E3E4E3E4E4E5SE5E5CalmE5E3CalmS3SE3CalmSE7SE5S4E4

Tide / Current Tables for Laird Bayou, East Bay, St. Andrew Bay, Florida
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Laird Bayou
Click for Map
Sun -- 05:00 AM CDT     Moonset
Sun -- 06:28 AM CDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 11:07 AM CDT     1.91 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:23 PM CDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 06:42 PM CDT     Sunset
Sun -- 09:46 PM CDT     0.70 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.60.70.80.911.21.31.51.61.81.91.91.91.81.71.51.31.110.80.80.70.70.7

Tide / Current Tables for Panama City, St. Andrew Bay, Florida
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Panama City
Click for Map
Sun -- 05:00 AM CDT     Moonset
Sun -- 06:29 AM CDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 09:58 AM CDT     1.64 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:23 PM CDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 06:42 PM CDT     Sunset
Sun -- 08:22 PM CDT     0.60 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.60.70.80.911.21.31.41.51.61.61.61.51.41.31.10.90.80.70.60.60.60.60.7

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