Thursday, January21, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Callaway, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
8/26/2020 The 7 day forecast is taking about 5 seconds to load but it will eventually load. NOAA is still working on it.
8/18/2020 NOAA continues to have trouble. Wind guest will occasionally be left off graphs. I am working with NOAA to resolve the issue.
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:36AMSunset 5:11PM Thursday January 21, 2021 9:55 PM CST (03:55 UTC) Moonrise 12:48PMMoonset 1:20AM Illumination 63% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 9 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ750 Coastal Waters From Mexico Beach To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Mexico Beach To Apalachicola Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Ochlockonee River To Apalachicola Fl Out To 20 Nm- Waters From Mexico Beach To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- Waters From Apalachicola To Mexico Beach Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- Waters From Suwannee River To Apalachicola Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- 800 Pm Est Thu Jan 21 2021 /700 Pm Cst Thu Jan 21 2021/
Rest of tonight..Southwest winds 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop.
Friday..West winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant period 5 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop. Chance of showers in the afternoon.
Friday night..North winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant period 5 seconds. Protected waters a light chop.
Saturday..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters a light chop.
Saturday night..East winds 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop.
Sunday..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Protected waters a moderate chop.
Sunday night..Southeast winds 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Protected waters a moderate chop.
Monday..South winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas up to 6 feet. Protected waters choppy. Slight chance of showers in the afternoon.
Monday night..Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas up to 6 feet. Protected waters choppy. Slight chance of showers through the night.
Tuesday..West winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Protected waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers in the afternoon.
GMZ700 Synopsis For The Suwannee River To Okaloosa-walton County Line Out To 60 Nm 800 Pm Est Thu Jan 21 2021
Synopsis.. Light winds and low seas can be expected through this evening. Winds and seas will show a modest increase tonight through Sunday as a cold front approaches and passes through the local waters. A second cold front at the beginning of next week may bring winds that meet advisory criteria.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Callaway, FL
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location: 30.12, -85.55     debug


Area Discussion for -
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FXUS62 KTAE 220057 AFDTAE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 757 PM EST Thu Jan 21 2021

UPDATE.

Based on the latest observations and model data, delayed the onset of likely PoPs by 3-6 hours north of I-10, with the bulk of the precipitation overspreading this area around mid- night. No change to Storm Total Precip with amounts around 1.5 inches when all is said and done Friday evening across the Wiregrass of SE AL. It's possible for this area to shift further south closer to I-10. Regardless, flooding should not be an issue outside of some ponding of water in low-lying areas.

PREV DISCUSSION [700 PM EST].

NEAR TERM [Through Friday].

Cold front will sag southward overnight, ending up just north of the I-10 corridor by Friday morning. While the approaching shortwave will be weakening with time, there will be enough moisture and large- scale lift to support a widespread area of stratiform rain along and north of the front. South of the front, there will be a sharp n-s gradient to the rainfall with minimal rain chances in the SE Big Bend. Temperatures will also vary quite a bit from north to south, with upper 50s/lower 60s in the north to lower 70s in the south. Without any significant instability, thunderstorms are not in the forecast.

SHORT TERM [Friday Night Through Saturday Night].

On Friday evening through the overnight hours, our CWA will be sandwiched between two surface high pressure systems and an upper level ridge will be building to our west as a cold front will be passing south, pushing out the remaining rain from earlier Friday. High temperatures are expected to reach the low 60s on Saturday after starting out in the upper 40s/ low 50s in the morning. Light northerly to northeasterly winds will be present throughout the day.

LONG TERM [Sunday Through Thursday].

The previously mentioned upper level ridge will still be in place over our CWA with the center located in the southern Gulf of Mexico and Caribbean sea. A surface low east of the Rocky Mountains will continue to propagate east. Isolated to scattered light rain showers on Sunday as the Low approaches. The Low center is expected to track to our north into Kentucky. The associated cold front will continue east and may reach our northern counties by Tuesday morning. Although rain can be expected well ahead of the front on Monday into Tuesday. There's still uncertainty with regards to this system but, models agree that the higher potential for rain, and maybe isolated thunderstorms, will be Monday night into Tuesday for the tri-state area with our northern AL and GA counties expecting the highest PoPs; although accumulated rainfall is expected to remain below a quarter inch, at this time. PoPs are currently at around 30-50 percent chance for rain for Monday evening.

An upper level trough originating from the Pacific, reaching southern Missouri by Wed. That is according to GFS, yet the ECMWF disagrees and forecasts an upper level ridge dominating to our south. While they debate the location of the upper level systems, there is agreement that another cold front here at the surface will approach the Tri-State region by late midweek. Rain and thunder may be possible as this system passes through Wednesday into Thursday. PoPs for this system are about 30-40 percent.

Temperatures will be generally trending up with highs reaching the mid 70s in the SE Big Bend and upper 60s/low 70s for the rest of the Tri-State area and lows in the upper 50s area wide.

AVIATION. [Through 00Z Saturday]

Cigs will deteriorate to IFR/LIFR overnight from northwest to southeast for all terminals and persist through the remainder of the period. Rain will follow with reduced vsby NW of ECP.

MARINE.

Light winds and low seas can be expected through this evening. Winds and seas will show a modest increase tonight through Sunday as a cold front approaches and passes through the local waters. A second cold front at the beginning of next week may bring winds that meet advisory criteria.

FIRE WEATHER.

Red flag conditions are not expected for the next several days.

HYDROLOGY.

A cold front approaches this evening with the potential to drop around 1.25 inches of rain along SE Alabama/Florida Panhandle. Rainfall amounts through day 7 remain generally within the 1-2 inch range. Thus, we are not expecting any flooding concerns through the forecast period.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT.

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur (while following all local, state, and CDC guidelines) by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS.

Tallahassee 60 68 52 65 51 / 40 70 10 10 10 Panama City 61 68 53 64 54 / 10 50 10 10 10 Dothan 57 61 46 61 49 / 100 100 10 10 10 Albany 57 61 44 61 46 / 100 100 10 10 10 Valdosta 57 65 50 64 48 / 80 90 20 10 10 Cross City 55 71 56 67 52 / 0 10 10 10 10 Apalachicola 60 69 56 62 55 / 0 20 10 10 10

TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . None. GA . None. AL . None. GM . None.

UPDATE . LF NEAR TERM . Camp SHORT TERM . Montgomery LONG TERM . Montgomery AVIATION . LF MARINE . Montgomery FIRE WEATHER . Camp HYDROLOGY . Montgomery


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PACF1 - 8729108 - Panama City, FL 7 mi61 min SSW 5.1 G 7
PCBF1 19 mi61 min SSW 6 G 7 62°F 60°F1015.7 hPa
APCF1 - 8728690 - Apalachicola, FL 41 mi61 min WSW 6 G 8.9 62°F 55°F1015.9 hPa
APXF1 - Apalachicola Reserve, FL 43 mi70 min SW 6 62°F 1017 hPa58°F

Wind History for Panama City, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Panama City - Northwest Florida Beaches International Airport, FL21 mi62 minSSW 510.00 miOvercast64°F61°F90%1016 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KPAM

Wind History from PAM (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW8S9S7S6S6S5CalmSE5CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmN4N3N6N5SW5W7SW8
1 day agoW8W9W9W7W6W4CalmCalmCalmCalmNE3E3NE5CalmE3E3E3E4E6E5E5E7S10S8
2 days agoW10W6W6W9W8W9W8W12W9W10W10W9W12N11N9N5N4N4N3N4N4CalmNW6W7

Tide / Current Tables for Laird Bayou, East Bay, St. Andrew Bay, Florida
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Laird Bayou
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:20 AM CST     Moonset
Thu -- 05:27 AM CST     -0.05 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:37 AM CST     Sunrise
Thu -- 11:47 AM CST     Moonrise
Thu -- 05:09 PM CST     Sunset
Thu -- 06:26 PM CST     0.87 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.20.10.10-0-0.1-0.1-000.10.10.20.30.40.50.60.70.80.90.90.80.70.60.4

Tide / Current Tables for Panama City, St. Andrew Bay, Florida
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Panama City
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:20 AM CST     Moonset
Thu -- 04:04 AM CST     -0.05 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:37 AM CST     Sunrise
Thu -- 11:48 AM CST     Moonrise
Thu -- 05:10 PM CST     Sunset
Thu -- 05:17 PM CST     0.74 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.10-0-0-0-0-000.10.10.20.30.40.50.60.70.70.70.70.70.60.50.30.2

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Ground Weather Radar Station



Gulf Stream Current



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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.