Saturday, August17, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Callaway, FL

Version 3.4
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7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
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Sunrise 6:09AMSunset 7:23PM Saturday August 17, 2019 8:54 AM CDT (13:54 UTC) Moonrise 8:56PMMoonset 7:54AM Illumination 96% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 17 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ750 Coastal Waters From Mexico Beach To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Mexico Beach To Apalachicola Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Mexico Beach To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- Waters From Apalachicola To Mexico Beach Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- 149 Am Cdt Sat Aug 17 2019
.small craft exercise caution...
Today..Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Dominant period 6 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop. Showers and chance of Thunderstorms.
Tonight..Southwest winds 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Dominant period 6 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening, then showers and Thunderstorms likely after midnight.
Sunday..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 feet. Dominant period 5 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then showers and Thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.
Sunday night..West winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Dominant period 6 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Showers and Thunderstorms likely in the evening, then showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Monday..West winds 10 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Dominant period 6 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
Monday night..West winds 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Protected waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening, then showers and Thunderstorms likely after midnight.
Tuesday..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Protected waters a light chop. Showers and Thunderstorms likely in the morning, then chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Tuesday night..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Protected waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Protected waters mostly smooth. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
GMZ700 Synopsis For The Suwannee River To Okaloosa-walton County Line Out To 60 Nm 249 Am Edt Sat Aug 17 2019
Synopsis.. Winds remain elevated through tonight, around 15 to 20 knots, which will increase seas to 3 to 4 feet. Seas may occasionally hit 6 feet, especially in the waters east of apalachicola. Winds start to decrease Sunday with 10 to 15 knots expected through the first of the week. Seas will decrease as well to 2 to 3 feet. The end of the week will see winds less than 10 knots and seas less than 2 feet. Scattered to numerous showers and Thunderstorms are expected over the waters through the week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Callaway, FL
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location: 30.12, -85.55     debug


Area Discussion for -
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Fxus62 ktae 171007
afdtae
area forecast discussion
national weather service tallahassee fl
607 am edt Sat aug 17 2019

Heavy rain to continue across the southeast big bend...

Aviation
[through 12z Sunday] early morning patchy fog and low ceilings
will dissipate withVFR conditions expected by mid-morning.

Scattered afternoon showers and thunderstorms are expected around
ecp, tlh, and vld.

Prev discussion [249 am edt]
Near term [through today]
There is not a whole of change in the overall pattern compared to
yesterday, which means another round of heavy rain is expected
across the southeast big bend, particularly along the dixie and
taylor county coasts. A plume of deep tropical moisture will remain
in place across the southeast big bend with southwesterly surface
flow increasing surface convergence along the coast. In addition, an
upper level vort MAX will also remain in place across the area.

Steering flow will remain weak, so convection will be slow moving
again today. With precipitable water values well over 2 inches,
storms will be efficient rainfall producers. The threat of flooding
across the southeast big bend will continue with a flood watch
remaining in effect. Elsewhere, a weak surface frontal boundary to
the northwest will dissipate, and rain chances will be lower the
farther northwest one GOES due to a drier airmass. High
temperatures will be warmest across southeast alabama and adjacent
southwest georgia with less cloud cover, likely reaching the mid
90s. Meanwhile, areas across the southeast big bend will likely
only reach the lower 80s with clouds and periods of heavy rain
expected.

Short term [tonight through Monday night]
A wet pattern remains in place as a weak trough lingers over the big
bend with weak shortwaves riding along it aloft. This is also
helping to keep a steady stream of moisture moving in along west-
southwesterly flow over the gulf. With just enough isentropic lift
on the boundary, showers and thunderstorms continue in the big
bend basically through Monday night. There will be some loss of
coverage each evening.

Outside of the big bend, a weak mid level and even surface low will
form right over the CWA late tonight and into Sunday morning. This
will cause the showers storms over the water to spread inland
earlier than normal on Sunday. This low lingers and slowly moves
northeast through Monday. This keeps numerous to widespread showers
and thunderstorms in the forecast areawide both days. The loss of
daytime heating each night will lessen coverage but scattered
storms will still be possible.

There is a gradient in moisture from the big bend (higher) to SE al
(lower) which may impact the strength of storms both afternoons.

Mid level dry air is present outside the big bend leading to
higher dcape and better CAPE profiles. Meanwhile, in the
southeast, soundings are saturated with high pw values. Any
possibility of stronger storms would be in areas north and west of
tallahassee due to these profiles.

Highs will generally be in the upper 80s with lows in the lower
70s.

Long term [Tuesday through Saturday]
A rinse and repeat of the short term is expected for the rest of the
week. The weak upper low mentioned above will move into ga but drag
a convergence boundary south and west, running parallel to the
coast. This will continue the southwesterly flow of moisture into
the local area. Although everyone won't get rain each day as exact
locations of higher pops is hard to determine right now,
scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms should be expected
each day. Highs remain in the upper 80s with lows in the lower
70s.

Marine
Winds remain elevated through tonight, around 15 to 20 knots,
which will increase seas to 3 to 4 feet. Seas may occasionally
hit 6 feet, especially in the waters east of apalachicola. Winds
start to decrease Sunday with 10 to 15 knots expected through the
first of the week. Seas will decrease as well to 2 to 3 feet. The
end of the week will see winds less than 10 knots and seas less
than 2 feet. Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms are
expected over the waters through the week.

Fire weather
Red flag conditions are not expected for the next several days with
relative humidity values remaining above critical levels.

Hydrology
A flood watch remains in effect for dixie, taylor, and lafayette
counties. A coastal flood advisory also remains in effect for the
dixie county coast for minor inundation from the gulf due to
increasing and persistent southwesterly flow. Inundation of 1 to 2
feet appears possible around high tide this afternoon.

The storm total rainfall via radar estimates and rain gauges shows a
swath of 8 to 12 inches of rain has fallen since Thursday from
suwannee up to steinhatchee. Forecast additional rainfall from the
wpc for this area is for an additional 2 to 4 inches of rain through
tonight with locally higher amounts likely. With the saturated
conditions, flooding remains a concern in these areas. Therefore,
the flood watch was extended through 12z Sunday.

Spotter information statement
Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always
encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they
occur by calling the office or tweeting us @nwstallahassee.

Preliminary point temps pops
Tallahassee 91 73 87 72 88 60 50 70 50 70
panama city 89 76 86 75 86 50 60 70 70 60
dothan 96 73 91 72 89 10 20 70 20 60
albany 97 74 92 74 90 20 20 60 20 60
valdosta 89 72 86 71 88 60 40 70 50 60
cross city 82 73 85 73 85 100 80 70 60 60
apalachicola 86 77 85 75 86 80 70 70 70 70

Tae watches warnings advisories
Fl... Flood watch through Sunday morning for coastal dixie-coastal
taylor-inland dixie-inland taylor-lafayette.

Coastal flood advisory until 8 pm edt this evening for coastal
dixie.

High rip current risk through late Sunday night for coastal
franklin-coastal gulf.

Ga... None.

Al... None.

Gm... None.

Near term... Dvd
short term... Ln
long term... Ln
aviation... Dvd
marine... Ln
fire weather... Dvd
hydrology... Dvd


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PACF1 - 8729108 - Panama City, FL 7 mi55 min SSW 8 G 9.9 87°F
PCBF1 19 mi55 min SW 7 G 8.9 85°F 87°F1015.5 hPa (+1.4)
APCF1 - 8728690 - Apalachicola, FL 41 mi55 min SW 7 G 12 85°F 87°F1015.8 hPa (+1.1)
APXF1 - Apalachicola Reserve, FL 42 mi70 min SW 5.1 1016 hPa

Wind History for Panama City, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Tyndall Air Force Base, FL4 mi2 hrsSSW 910.00 miFair83°F75°F78%1014.5 hPa
Panama City - Northwest Florida Beaches International Airport, FL21 mi2 hrsSSW 310.00 miPartly Cloudy81°F77°F88%1015.1 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KPAM

Wind History from PAM (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW4--W9W9W10SW10CalmSW6SW9S10S8S7SW10--S10----SW10SW10SW8SW9SW7SW9SW8
1 day agoE3NE3E3W6SW8SW10SW13SW14SW8----Calm--NE3SE3S4--SE3--CalmCalmCalm----
2 days agoCalmS4SW7SW9SW10S11SW11SW10W9W10CalmNE3E5CalmE3CalmCalmCalmNE3N4NE3E3E3NE4

Tide / Current Tables for Laird Bayou, East Bay, St. Andrew Bay, Florida
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Laird Bayou
Click for Map
Sat -- 06:10 AM CDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 07:53 AM CDT     Moonset
Sat -- 01:35 PM CDT     1.70 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:21 PM CDT     Sunset
Sat -- 08:55 PM CDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 11:47 PM CDT     0.64 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.50.50.60.60.70.80.911.11.31.41.51.61.71.71.61.51.41.21.10.90.80.70.7

Tide / Current Tables for Panama City, St. Andrew Bay, Florida
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Panama City
Click for Map
Sat -- 06:10 AM CDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 07:54 AM CDT     Moonset
Sat -- 12:26 PM CDT     1.46 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:22 PM CDT     Sunset
Sat -- 08:56 PM CDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 10:23 PM CDT     0.55 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.50.50.60.60.70.80.911.11.21.31.41.51.41.41.31.210.90.70.60.60.60.6

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for (9,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Northwest Florida
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Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.