Friday, January22, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Warrington, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
8/26/2020 The 7 day forecast is taking about 5 seconds to load but it will eventually load. NOAA is still working on it.
8/18/2020 NOAA continues to have trouble. Wind guest will occasionally be left off graphs. I am working with NOAA to resolve the issue.
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:43AMSunset 5:18PM Friday January 22, 2021 6:59 PM CST (00:59 UTC) Moonrise 1:28PMMoonset 2:21AM Illumination 72% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 10 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ633 Perdido Bay- 407 Pm Cst Fri Jan 22 2021
Tonight..North winds 3 to 8 knots becoming northeast 8 to 13 knots. Waves less than 1 foot. Slight chance of showers.
Saturday..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots becoming east 8 to 13 knots. Waves less than 1 foot. Slight chance of showers.
Saturday night..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves less than 1 foot.
Sunday..East winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southeast 8 to 13 knots. Waves less than 1 foot.
Sunday night..Southeast winds 8 to 13 knots becoming south. Waves less than 1 foot.
Monday..South winds 10 to 15 knots. Gusts up to 20 knots. Waves less than 1 foot. Slight chance of showers in the morning, then chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Monday night..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Waves less than 1 foot. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Tuesday..North winds 3 to 8 knots. Waves less than 1 foot. Chance of showers.
Tuesday night..East winds 3 to 8 knots. Waves less than 1 foot. Chance of showers.
Wednesday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves less than 1 foot. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Wednesday night..Northwest winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves less than 1 foot. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 407 Pm Cst Fri Jan 22 2021
Synopsis..A moderate to occasionally strong to occasionally strong offshore flow will prevail over the marine area tonight through Saturday, becoming more easterly Saturday night and then moderate to strong onshore Sunday through Monday night. A stalled stationary front out over the gulf will maintain scattered showers over the weekend and then another cold front moving in from the west will bring a chance for Thunderstorms to the marine area Monday and Monday night.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Warrington, FL
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location: 30.33, -87.32     debug


Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
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FXUS64 KMOB 222357 AAA AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion . UPDATED National Weather Service Mobile AL 557 PM CST Fri Jan 22 2021

AVIATION. 00Z issuance . Mainly MVFR conditions were present across the local area at issuance. In addition, current radar trends show the persistence of isolated, light showers across the region this evening. As a stalled front along the coast slowly moves offshore tonight, chances of showers will also decrease. Therefore, no rain is anticipated for most areas from late tonight through Saturday. However, there is a slight chance of a few showers right along the coast Saturday afternoon, but most shower activity will be concentrated offshore. The main concern overnight will be low CIGs, down to IFR once again for most areas. Cloud cover will persist through the period, but some recovery of CIGs to high-end MVFR (and even some places to low-end VFR) is expected Saturday afternoon. Northeast winds will generally be around 5 knots overnight. By mid-morning Saturday, winds will shift to be more easterly and range from 5-10 knots. /26

PREV DISCUSSION. /issued 407 PM CST Fri Jan 22 2021/

NEAR TERM UPDATE /Now Through Saturday/ . Deep layer moisture gradually shifting offshore late this afternoon and expect this trend to continue overnight. The latest surface analysis shows that the frontal boundary has slipped down to the coast or just offshore, and model data indicates that the front should drift further offshore tonight. With the boundary drifting offshore and a more northerly flow expected, we do not anticipate another round of sea fog tonight. A lingering small chance for rain will remain along the coast tonight and into Saturday, but most of the rainfall will be over the offshore waters as the frontal boundary stalls offshore. Overall though, a drier airmass with precipitable water values ranging from around 0.75 to 1.25 inches are expected across the area on Saturday (with highest values down near the coast), so no rain is currently in the forecast for most of the area on Saturday. We do expect that post frontal low clouds will remain entrenched across the region tonight and through most of the day on Saturday, however. Lows tonight will be cooler in the wake of the frontal passage with readings generally averaging between 40-45 degrees over interior southeast Mississippi/southwest Alabama and in the upper 40s to lower 50s over southern portions of our region. Highs on Saturday are forecast to range from around 60 degrees to the mid 60s. /12

SHORT TERM /Saturday night Through Monday night/ . An active pattern sets up late this weekend through early next week. A potent shortwave trough in the mid and upper levels pivots into the Desert Southwest on Sunday and lifts into the Plains early on Monday. The area remains in a generally zonal pattern aloft through Sunday, but winds in the mid and upper levels turn southwesterly by Monday. In the lower levels, the front that swept across the area in the near term remains draped across the Gulf on Saturday night. The area briefly dries out through early Sunday. The aforementioned front lifts north out of the Gulf on Sunday as a warm front ahead of the next system. There will likely be a wave of rain showers that move across the western portion of the area on Sunday afternoon and northern portion of the area on Sunday evening as PWATs of 1.5-1.7 inches surge into the area along the front. Meanwhile, a surface low forms over Texas on Sunday and quickly lifts into the Midwest on Monday. Deep southerly flow sets up across the area by Monday afternoon ahead of the cold front draped south of the surface low. The cold front will begin to slide into the area at some point on Monday night. Storms are likely on Monday afternoon and evening ahead of the front, but there remains some uncertainty surrounding the potential for any strong to severe storms in that timeframe. Current model guidance still shows some instability and plenty of bulk shear that would support organized convection. However, lapse rates are sub-optimal and model soundings indicate a warm layer around 800-650mb. For that reason, conditions still appear unfavorable for widespread severe weather.

Rip current risk increases to a MODERATE on Sunday with a HIGH risk likely on Monday. 07/mb

EXTENDED TERM /Tuesday Through Friday/ . The active pattern finally begins to settle down as we head later into the week. Another mid and upper level shortwave trough lifts out of the Desert Southwest on Tuesday and moves into the Plains and Midwest later in the week. Southwesterly flow remains overhead through mid-week in this pattern. In the wake of this shortwave, ridging aloft builds into the Plains and slides east toward our region late in the week with a much drier, northwesterly flow setting-up aloft.

In the lower levels, the cold front that began to push across the region in the short term will likely still be slowly sliding across portions of south central Alabama and northwest Florida on Tuesday morning. Rain chances remain low through the day as the front slides off the coast. The front stalls across the offshore waters through the remainder of the day on Tuesday. The front then begins to quickly lift north toward the coast as a warm front on Tuesday night and lifts north across the area on Wednesday. Deep southerly flow returns with PWATs of 1.5-1.7 inches spreading into the area, especially the southern half of the area. Rain chances begin to increase Tuesday night near the coast before spreading across the entire area through the day on Wednesday. A few rumbles of thunder are possible on Wednesday during the day as the front waffles through the area, but no severe weather is anticipated. Rain will linger through Wednesday night with much drier air filtering into the area as northerly flow sets up on Thursday and Friday.

Temperatures remain mild on Tuesday and Wednesday with cooler temperatures on the way later in the week. Rip current risk will likely remain elevated through at least Tuesday. 07/mb

MARINE . A moderate to occasionally strong to occasionally strong offshore flow will prevail over the marine area tonight through Saturday, becoming more easterly Saturday night and then moderate to strong onshore Sunday through Monday night. A stalled stationary front out over the Gulf will maintain scattered showers over the weekend and then another cold front moving in from the west will bring a chance for thunderstorms to the marine area Monday and Monday night. /12

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. AL . None. FL . None. MS . None. GM . None.

This product is also available on the web at: http://weather.gov/mob


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 8 mi60 min N 2.9 G 4.1 64°F 57°F1015.4 hPa (+1.2)
42012 - Orange Beach AL Buoy 22 mi40 min 3.9 G 5.8 61°F 61°F1015.5 hPa
WBYA1 27 mi60 min 62°F
FMOA1 - 8734673 - Fort Morgan, AL 38 mi60 min N 5.1 G 5.1 61°F 1015.1 hPa (+0.8)
DPIA1 - Dauphin Island, AL 40 mi60 min NW 6 G 6 60°F 1015.2 hPa (+0.9)
MBPA1 43 mi60 min 62°F 62°F
PTOA1 44 mi60 min 63°F 60°F
MCGA1 - 8736897 - Coast Guard Sector Mobile, AL 45 mi60 min NNE 6 G 8 64°F 57°F1015 hPa (+1.8)
OBLA1 - 8737048 - Mobile State Docks, AL 46 mi60 min 62°F 53°F1015.9 hPa (+1.9)

Wind History for Pensacola, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Pensacola Naval Air Station, FL2 mi64 minN 010.00 miOvercast62°F62°F100%1015 hPa
Pensacola - Pensacola International Airport, FL12 mi67 minNNE 610.00 miOvercast64°F60°F87%1014.9 hPa
Jack Edwards Airport, AL19 mi85 minN 010.00 miOvercast62°F61°F97%1014.9 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KNPA

Wind History from NPA (wind in knots)
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SW7SW5SW7SW5--SW4SW8SW6W6N3NE4N4CalmSE4--S3CalmCalm
1 day agoSW3CalmSW3CalmCalmW3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm--CalmSW7SW8SW8SW9SW8SW11
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2 days agoCalmCalmCalm--CalmCalm--CalmCalmN3--NW4NW4N3N9NE5N5SE8S9S8SW9S6SW5S6

Tide / Current Tables for Pensacola Bay Entrance, Pensacola Bay, Florida
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Pensacola Bay Entrance
Click for Map
Fri -- 01:21 AM CST     Moonset
Fri -- 04:27 AM CST     -0.18 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:44 AM CST     Sunrise
Fri -- 12:26 PM CST     Moonrise
Fri -- 05:07 PM CST     0.69 feet High Tide
Fri -- 05:17 PM CST     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0-0.1-0.1-0.2-0.2-0.2-0.2-0.1-000.10.20.30.40.50.60.70.70.70.60.60.50.30.2

Tide / Current Tables for Pensacola, Florida
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Pensacola
Click for Map
Fri -- 01:21 AM CST     Moonset
Fri -- 05:01 AM CST     -0.23 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:44 AM CST     Sunrise
Fri -- 12:26 PM CST     Moonrise
Fri -- 05:16 PM CST     Sunset
Fri -- 06:30 PM CST     0.87 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Ground Weather Radar Station



Gulf Stream Current



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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.