Wednesday, August21, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Warrington, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:18AMSunset 7:26PM Wednesday August 21, 2019 10:40 AM CDT (15:40 UTC) Moonrise 11:07PMMoonset 11:33AM Illumination 65% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 21 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ633 Perdido Bay- 1023 Am Cdt Wed Aug 21 2019
Rest of today..East winds 3 to 8 knots becoming southeast 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tonight..Southeast winds 8 to 13 knots diminishing to 3 to 8 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday..East winds 3 to 8 knots becoming south. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday night..South winds 8 to 13 knots becoming southeast 3 to 8 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Friday..Southeast winds 3 to 8 knots becoming south 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
Friday night..South winds 3 to 8 knots becoming light. Waves less than 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Saturday..Southwest winds 3 to 8 knots. Waves less than 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Saturday night..Southwest winds 3 to 8 knots. Waves less than 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday..Southwest winds 3 to 8 knots. Waves less than 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday night..Southwest winds 3 to 8 knots. Waves less than 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 1023 Am Cdt Wed Aug 21 2019
Synopsis..A light southerly wind flow prevails over the marine area as a surface ridge of high pressure continues to stretch from the western atlantic to the central gulf. The best coverage of showers and storms through forecast period will be during the late night and morning hours, with isolated waterspouts possible.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Warrington, FL
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location: 30.33, -87.32     debug


Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
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Fxus64 kmob 211126 aaa
afdmob
area forecast discussion... Updated
national weather service mobile al
626 am cdt Wed aug 21 2019

Discussion Updated for latest aviation discussion below.

Aviation
12z issuance... Expect mostly MVFR toVFR CIGS and visibilities
through 22.12z. Could see brief periods of ifr CIGS mostly in and
around scattered showers and thunderstorms late this morning
through early this evening. Winds will be mostly south at 5 to 10
knots through about 22.00z diminishing to less than 5 knots later
this evening through 22.12z. 32 ee

Prev discussion issued 434 am cdt Wed aug 21 2019
near term now through Wednesday night ... Deep upper ridge stretching
from west to east across much of the deep south and central
plains continues to weaken on the eastern periphery generally from
the north central gulf states to the lower ms river valley mostly
in response to a persistent mid level weak trof that now
stretches from the western carolinas to the lower ms river valley,
including northern and western sections of the forecast area,
shifting slowly west. Deeper moisture is noted generally south and
along the mid level the trof progged to shift west northwest
across western parts of SW al and much of inland SE ms by late
this afternoon and this evening. As noted earlier weak shear and
instability across the region continues resulting in much less
coverage of showers and thunderstorms offshore and along the coast
this morning compared to the last couple of days and will likely
continue through this afternoon and tonight. With this pattern
expect mostly scattered coverage of showers and thunderstorms to
form across the forecast area today possibly becoming numerous at
times over parts of inland southeast ms late this morning through
mid to late afternoon tapering off quickly this evening due to the
limited shear and instability. Latest model soundings support
this reasoning with pwats ranging from 1.8 to 2.0 inches over
eastern and coastal areas and from 2.0 to 2.10 inches to the west
and northwest. Similar to yesterday the biggest concern with the
heavier showers or thunderstorms will be periods of very heavy
rain possibly leading to some nuisance flooding in lower terrain
where drainage is poor. Gusty straight line winds and frequent
cloud to ground lightning will also be possible mainly with some
of the stronger thunderstorms by mid to late afternoon.

A moderate risk for rip currents will continue along the gulf
beaches of al and nwfl through tonight.

Temperatures will continue to be lower compared to last week running
to near of slightly below seasonal norms. Highs today will range
from the upper 80s to the lower 90s generally along and east of the
i-65 corridor, upper 80s to the west and the middle 80s along the
immediate coast. Lows tonight will be near seasonal norms ranging
from the lower 70s for most inland areas and the middle to upper 70s
generally along and south of the i-10 corridor. 32 ee
short term Thursday through Friday night ... An unsettled weather
pattern will remain in place over the region through the short
term period. A surface ridge of high pressure will remain in place
across the area with an accompanying very moist low level airmass
with precipitable water values around 1.8 inches Thursday
increasing to over 2.20 inches by Friday night. A weak upper
level weakness becomes more pronounced through the period as a
shortwave trof develops over the central gulf coast. With this
moist and somewhat unstable pattern, expect scattered to sometimes
numerous showers and thunderstorms to continue each day. Showers
and thunderstorms will be diurnal in nature, starting near the
coast in the morning and spread inland through the late morning
and afternoon hours. Convective coverage will be most numerous
over the land areas during peak daytime heating, and more numerous
offshore during the overnight hours. The upside to the fairly
widespread rain and associated clouds will be that daytime
temperatures will closer to normal, with highs in the upper 80s to
lower 90s. Lows will continue to range from the lower 70s over
inland locations to the mid upper 70s closer to and along the
coast. 12 ds
long term Saturday through Tuesday ... Very little change in the
pattern through the extended range as plenty of deep layer
moisture will continue across the gulf coast with precipitable
water values generally remaining over 2.0 inches. This will
continue the pattern of diurnally driven scattered to locally
numerous showers and thunderstorms each day. 12 ds
marine... A light southerly flow will continue over the marine area
through the remainder of the week with better winds and seas
occurring during the afternoon and early evening hours due to
daytime heating. Seas will generally range from 1 to 2 feet out to
60 nm offshore possibly becoming locally higher with some of the
stronger thunderstorms throughout much of the week. Frequent
lightning strikes and waterspouts will also be possible with some of
the heavier showers or thunderstoms through the forecast period.

Less coverage of showers and thunderstorms can be expected through
fri. 32 ee

Mob watches warnings advisories
Al... None.

Fl... None.

Ms... None.

Gm... None.

This product is also available on the web at:
http: weather.Gov mob


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 8 mi52 min ESE 1 G 2.9 88°F 86°F1019.1 hPa
PPTA1 13 mi70 min 82°F 1019 hPa
42012 - Orange Beach AL Buoy 22 mi40 min E 5.8 G 7.8 83°F 84°F1019 hPa (+1.3)77°F
BSCA1 - Bon Secour, AL 27 mi100 min E 6 82°F 1018.3 hPa (+1.4)
WBYA1 27 mi52 min 84°F
WKXA1 - Weeks Bay Reserve, AL 28 mi115 min 79°F 1018 hPa74°F
FMOA1 - 8734673 - Fort Morgan, AL 38 mi52 min SSE 5.1 G 7 83°F 1018.9 hPa
DPIA1 - Dauphin Island, AL 40 mi40 min SE 6 G 7 82°F 1018.8 hPa (+1.2)
MHPA1 - Meaher Park, AL 40 mi70 min E 2.9 82°F 1019.3 hPa
CRTA1 - Cedar Point, AL 43 mi70 min SE 5.1 84°F 1018.6 hPa
MBPA1 43 mi58 min 81°F 78°F
PTOA1 44 mi52 min 84°F 77°F
MCGA1 - 8736897 - Coast Guard Sector Mobile, AL 45 mi58 min SE 7 G 8.9 85°F 86°F1019 hPa
OBLA1 - 8737048 - Mobile State Docks, AL 46 mi64 min 84°F 86°F1018.8 hPa
KATA1 - Katrina Cut, AL 48 mi70 min SSE 4.1 82°F 1019 hPa

Wind History for Pensacola, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Pensacola Naval Air Station, FL2 mi44 minESE 69.00 miMostly Cloudy85°F79°F82%1019 hPa
Pensacola - Pensacola International Airport, FL12 mi47 minSSE 310.00 miA Few Clouds85°F80°F85%1019 hPa
Jack Edwards Airport, AL19 mi65 minE 310.00 miMostly Cloudy82°F78°F89%1019 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KNPA

Wind History from NPA (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE5S9SE9SE9SE7--CalmCalmN3CalmCalm----------NE3N4NE3Calm----E5E6
1 day agoSE6SE18
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SW15SW8--SW14SW11
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SW8NW5CalmS9------N4CalmCalmCalmCalmSW3CalmCalmSW3S4
2 days ago6SW134SW5SW12SW11
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Tide / Current Tables for Pensacola Bay Entrance, Pensacola Bay, Florida
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Pensacola Bay Entrance
Click for Map
Wed -- 03:07 AM CDT     0.85 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:19 AM CDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 11:32 AM CDT     Moonset
Wed -- 12:57 PM CDT     0.59 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:24 PM CDT     Sunset
Wed -- 11:06 PM CDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.80.80.80.80.80.80.80.80.70.70.60.60.60.60.60.60.60.60.70.70.70.70.80.8

Tide / Current Tables for Pensacola, Florida
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Pensacola
Click for Map
Wed -- 04:30 AM CDT     1.06 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:19 AM CDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 11:32 AM CDT     Moonset
Wed -- 01:31 PM CDT     0.74 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:24 PM CDT     Sunset
Wed -- 11:06 PM CDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.91111.11.1110.90.90.80.80.80.70.70.80.80.80.80.80.90.90.91

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Mobile/Pensacola, FL (11,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Mobile, AL
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Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.