Tuesday, December10, 2019
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Marine Weather and Tides
Bayou La Batre, AL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:38AMSunset 4:55PM Tuesday December 10, 2019 4:14 AM CST (10:14 UTC) Moonrise 4:59PMMoonset 5:57AM Illumination 98% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 13 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ632 Expires:201912102130;;132775 Fzus54 Kmob 100942 Cwfmob Coastal Waters Forecast National Weather Service Mobile Al 342 Am Cst Tue Dec 10 2019 Gulf Coastal Waters Okaloosa Walton County Line To Pascagoula Out 60 Nm Seas Are Given As Significant Wave Height...which Is The Average Height Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Waves. Individual Waves May Be More Than Twice The Significant Wave Height. Winds And Seas Will Be Higher In And Around Thunderstorms. Gmz631-632-102130- Southern Mobile Bay-mississippi Sound- 342 Am Cst Tue Dec 10 2019
.dense fog advisory in effect until noon cst today...
.small craft advisory in effect from this evening through late Thursday night...
Today..South winds 8 to 13 knots becoming northwest 10 to 15 knots with gusts to around 20 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Areas of dense fog. Scattered showers in the morning. Periods of showers in the afternoon.
Tonight..North winds 15 to 20 knots becoming northeast 20 to 25 knots. Gusts up to 30 knots. Waves 1 to 2 feet. Rain.
Wednesday..Northeast winds 20 to 25 knots diminishing to 18 to 23 knots. Gusts up to 30 knots. Waves 1 to 3 feet. Showers likely in the morning, then chance of showers in the afternoon.
Wednesday night..Northeast winds 18 to 23 knots becoming east. Gusts up to 30 knots. Waves around 2 feet. Slight chance of showers.
Thursday..East winds 18 to 23 knots. Waves around 2 feet. Chance of showers.
Thursday night..East winds 18 to 23 knots diminishing to 13 to 18 knots. Gusts up to 25 knots. Waves 1 to 2 feet. Showers likely.
Friday..Northeast winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Showers likely.
Friday night..North winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers.
Saturday..West winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Saturday night..Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 342 Am Cst Tue Dec 10 2019
Synopsis..Areas of marine fog will likely be dense over mobile bay and adjacent near shore waters this morning. Light to moderate onshore flow persists through this afternoon. Frontal passage brings wind shift, which increases in strength across the marine area tonight. Winds become northeast to east and will remain moderate to strong into mid week as a strong high pressure system expands across the eastern states. Unsettled weather pattern continues through Friday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Bayou La Batre, AL
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location: 30.37, -88.28     debug


Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
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FXUS64 KMOB 100538 AAC AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion . UPDATED National Weather Service Mobile AL 1138 PM CST Mon Dec 9 2019

DISCUSSION. Updated for latest aviation discussion below.

AVIATION. 06Z issuance . at 05z, IFR conditions were noted over Mobile County, Al, with MVFR to VFR conditions noted elsewhere. Through 12z, the IFR conditions are expected to spread, mainly north and west, along with increasingly interspersed patches of LIFR conditions. IFR to low end MVFR conditions are expected over the rest of the forecast area. A general southerly flow around 5 knots or less is expected through the rest of the night.

Conditions are expected to rise into low to mid MVFR levels after sunrise. A strong cold front will cross the area Tuesday afternoon into Tuesday evening, with south to southwesterly winds around 10 knots ahead of the front becoming northerly around 15 knots behind the front. Light to at times moderate rain is expected ahead and with the cold front. CIGs are expected to drop to low end MVFR to IFR levels with and after the front's passage. /16

PREV DISCUSSION. /issued 1016 PM CST Mon Dec 9 2019/

DISCUSSION . See updated information for land areas below.

UPDATE . A moist southerly flow will persist across our region through early Tuesday morning ahead of an approaching cold front. Visibility sensors indicate that areas of fog are developing around Mobile Bay, where visibility has recently fallen to between 1/4 mile and 1 mile. SREF guidance continues to show high probabilities of visibility dropping to < 1 mile across southern portions of southeast MS and far southwest AL again overnight into early Tuesday morning, while high resolution guidance also is in general agreement with areas of dense fog developing over this portion of this region again late tonight into early Tuesday morning. We have issued a Dense Fog Advisory for Stone, George, Mobile and Baldwin counties from 11 PM to 8 AM, where confidence in areas of dense fog was highest. Later shifts will also need to monitor for dense fog development across portions of the northwest FL panhandle and south central AL. Otherwise, the ongoing forecast was in good shape, with only some minor adjustments made to overnight temperatures and dewpoints based on the latest observed trends. /21

PREV DISCUSSION . /issued 529 PM CST Mon Dec 9 2019/

DISCUSSION . Updated for latest aviation discussion below.

AVIATION . 00Z issuance . General VFR conditions were noted across the area at 23Z with an area of low end MVFR CIGS along and west of Mobile Bay. General low end MVFR conditions are expected to become IFR with local LIFR conditions along and just north of the I-10 corridor as southerly winds over the area weakens to around 5 knots or less. Impact to operations at area TAF sites are possible after 06Z as dense fog forms. Conditions are expected to improve after sunrise to low end MVFR CIGS and VFR VISBYS. A slowing cold front moves south across the area Tuesday, bringing scattered rain showers along with drops in conditions to the IFR/MVFR juncture. The I-20 corridor is expected to be impacted after 21Z Tuesday afternoon. South winds 5 to 10 knots will become northerly around 10 knots as the cold front moves south across the area. /16

PREV DISCUSSION . /issued 410 PM CST Mon Dec 9 2019/

NEAR TERM /Now Through Tuesday/ . A CONUS-wide trough is currently present aloft, with a prominent shortwave over the southwest CONUS. This feature is expected to progress eastward over the southern CONUS tomorrow and towards the southeastern CONUS through midweek. A surface cold front will also approach the region late tonight into early tomorrow, increasing showers from the northwest. Model reflectivity shows showers in the form of a line, with scattered showers ahead of the line, that will move from northwest to southeast over the region through midweek. Model soundings for areas near the coast and even further inland show CAPE values generally between 200 and 700 J/kg Tuesday morning and through the afternoon. Therefore, this combined with frontal forcing will lead to the possibility of a few thunderstorms as the line moves through Tuesday morning and through the afternoon.

The other concern will be the potential for fog development tonight into early tomorrow morning due to southerly flow leading to increased warm and moist air. Some of this fog may become dense towards dawn, particularly for Mobile Bay, Mississippi Sound, and areas surrounding. Model guidance from the SREF and HRRR also supports this. Thus, a Dense Fog Advisory was issued from tonight through mid-morning tomorrow for Mobile Bay and Mississippi Sound areas. Will monitor through the evening to see if the advisory needs to be extended to the land areas as well.

Temperatures will continue to run above seasonal norms tonight, with lows around 60 degrees further inland (SW AL and SE MS) and in the mid 60s along and south of I-65. Highs tomorrow will be in the upper 70s for areas south of I-65, but highs will be lower in the interior SW AL and SE MS due to FROPA. Expecting highs to only reach the mid to upper 60s in this region. /26

SHORT TERM /Tuesday night Through Thursday night/ . A cold front associated with an upper trough over the lower Mississippi River Valley pushes offshore Tuesday night, ushering in a cooler and more stable low-level airmass. Aloft, the upper trough lags to the west, with an unsettled southwest flow continuing and showers lingering across the area throughout the day Wednesday. Rain chances end over inland areas Wednesday night as the upper trough departs to the east, though a slight chance continues right along the coast. Another trough moves east across Texas right on the heels of this one, with southwest flow returning aloft by Thursday night as it approaches the lower Mississippi River Valley. Rain chances increase across the entire area Thursday and Thursday night in response to the impinging trough. /49

LONG TERM /Friday Through Monday/ . The upper trough over the lower Mississippi River Valley continues east across the Deep South during the day Friday. A surface low develops over the northern Gulf as the upper trough takes on a slight negative tilt. The low moves quickly northeast, but in doing so keeps the local area in its northwestern quadrant and firmly entrenched in a cool and stable airmass with daytime temps hovering in the 50s across much of the area. Above the stable surface layer, however, south to southwest flow prevails and enough mid-level instability develops for a chance at some elevated convection mixed in with the showers. Best rain chances Friday and Saturday will be over the eastern half of the area, in closer proximity to the passing surface low and beneath the best region of upper divergence associated with the passing trough. Drier air finally moves into the area Sunday and Monday, with skies clearing and temps climbing back into the 60s. /49

MARINE . Light to moderate onshore flow will persist through tomorrow afternoon. Areas of marine fog may restrict visibility tonight over bays and sounds and adjacent near shore waters. Thus, Dense Fog Advisories may be needed tonight. Winds will then shift from onshore to offshore and increase dramatically across the marine area Tuesday night as a cold front moves east over the region. Thus, a Small Craft Advisory was issued and is in effect from Tuesday night through Friday morning. Moderate to strong easterly flow will then take hold for late week, especially over the open Gulf waters. Light to moderate northwest flow will then follow for the beginning of the weekend. /26

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. AL . High Rip Current Risk through late Tuesday night for ALZ265-266.

Dense Fog Advisory until 8 AM CST Tuesday for ALZ261>266.

FL . High Rip Current Risk through late Tuesday night for FLZ202-204- 206.

MS . Dense Fog Advisory until 8 AM CST Tuesday for MSZ078-079.

GM . Small Craft Advisory from 9 PM Tuesday to 6 AM CST Friday for GMZ631-632-650-655-670-675.

Dense Fog Advisory until 10 AM CST Tuesday for GMZ630>632.



This product is also available on the web at: http://weather.gov/mob


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
GDXM6 - Grand Bay Reserve, MS 7 mi89 min S 4.1 66°F 1017 hPa65°F
CRTA1 - Cedar Point, AL 9 mi74 min S 9.9 67°F 1015.6 hPa
KATA1 - Katrina Cut, AL 9 mi74 min S 11 67°F 1015.9 hPa (+0.0)
DPIA1 - Dauphin Island, AL 14 mi74 min S 8.9 G 11 67°F 1015.6 hPa (+0.0)
PNLM6 - 8741533 - Pascagoula NOAA Lab, MS 15 mi62 min 64°F
MBPA1 15 mi56 min 64°F 64°F
PTBM6 - 8741003 - Petit Bois Island, MS 16 mi62 min S 8 G 8.9 66°F 1015.5 hPa
FMOA1 - 8734673 - Fort Morgan, AL 17 mi62 min S 15 G 16 68°F 1015.6 hPa
MCGA1 - 8736897 - Coast Guard Sector Mobile, AL 23 mi56 min S 4.1 G 5.1 63°F1015.8 hPa
WBYA1 24 mi56 min 65°F
WKXA1 - Weeks Bay Reserve, AL 24 mi89 min 69°F 1016 hPa68°F
PTOA1 25 mi56 min 65°F 64°F
OBLA1 - 8737048 - Mobile State Docks, AL 26 mi62 min 64°F 61°F1015.6 hPa
MHPA1 - Meaher Park, AL 27 mi74 min SSW 2.9 65°F 1016.3 hPa (-0.0)
42067 - USM3M02 27 mi74 min S 7.8 G 7.8 67°F 2 ft1015.2 hPa (+0.0)
PPTA1 39 mi44 min 69°F 1016.3 hPa
42012 - Orange Beach AL Buoy 44 mi34 min S 9.7 G 12 72°F 71°F1016.1 hPa

Wind History for Range A Rear, Port of Pascagoula, MS
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Moss Point - Trent Lott International Airport, MS15 mi22 minVar 39.00 miA Few Clouds71°F68°F90%1015.2 hPa
Mobile, Mobile Regional Airport, AL21 mi19 minSSW 710.00 miOvercast70°F66°F90%1015.3 hPa
Mobile, Mobile Downtown Airport, AL22 mi22 minVar 52.50 miFog/Mist0°F0°F%1015.7 hPa
Sonny Callahan Airport, AL22 mi20 minS 55.00 miFog/Mist66°F66°F100%1015.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KPQL

Wind History from PQL (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmCalmS3S9S9
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1 day agoCalmCalmCalmCalmN3E4S4E7E9E6NE7E5NE4CalmCalmN3CalmCalmSW3CalmCalm4CalmCalm
2 days agoN8N6N9N7N7N9N9N7N8N7N10N8N6N3N3CalmN4N3CalmCalmCalmCalmN3Calm

Tide / Current Tables for Bayou La Batre, Mississippi Sound, Alabama
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Bayou La Batre
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Tue -- 04:57 AM CST     Moonset
Tue -- 06:27 AM CST     -0.27 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:38 AM CST     Sunrise
Tue -- 03:58 PM CST     Moonrise
Tue -- 04:52 PM CST     Sunset
Tue -- 08:10 PM CST     1.45 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.80.50.30.1-0.1-0.2-0.3-0.3-0.2-0.100.20.30.50.60.811.21.31.41.41.41.31.2

Tide / Current Tables for Mobile Bay Entrance, Alabama Current
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Mobile Bay Entrance
Click for Map
Tue -- 03:07 AM CST     -1.58 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 04:56 AM CST     Moonset
Tue -- 06:37 AM CST     Sunrise
Tue -- 08:58 AM CST     0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 03:44 PM CST     1.57 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 03:57 PM CST     Moonrise
Tue -- 04:52 PM CST     Sunset
Tue -- 09:44 PM CST     -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-1-1.3-1.5-1.6-1.5-1.4-1.1-0.8-0.400.40.711.31.41.51.61.51.31.10.80.3-0.1-0.6

Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Mobile/Pensacola, FL (5,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Mobile, AL
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Gulf Stream Current


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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.