Sunday, August25, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Goulding, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:20AMSunset 7:21PM Sunday August 25, 2019 12:01 PM CDT (17:01 UTC) Moonrise 1:08AMMoonset 3:26PM Illumination 24% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 25 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ634 Pensacola Bay System- 1023 Am Cdt Sun Aug 25 2019
Rest of today..East winds 3 to 8 knots becoming south 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tonight..South winds 8 to 13 knots diminishing to 3 to 8 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday..South winds 3 to 8 knots becoming southwest 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday night..Southwest winds 8 to 13 knots diminishing to 5 to 10 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
Tuesday..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
Tuesday night..Southwest winds 8 to 13 knots becoming west 5 to 10 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday..West winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday night..Northwest winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday..North winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Thursday night..North winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 1023 Am Cdt Sun Aug 25 2019
Synopsis..Light variable winds over the marine area early this morning will strengthen and become a more southerly by late this afternoon. A light to moderate south to southwest wind is then expected through mid week. A light to moderate northwest to northerly flow is expected to develop late in the week, with seas building slightly through the week. Periods of scattered showers and Thunderstorms will continue over the marine area through the week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Goulding, FL
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location: 30.4, -87.21     debug


Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
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Fxus64 kmob 251145
afdmob
area forecast discussion
national weather service mobile al
645 am cdt Sun aug 25 2019

Discussion Updated for latest aviation discussion below.

Aviation
25 12z issuance...VFR conditions will generally prevail across
the region through the forecast period. Additional scattered to
locally numerous shra tsra are forecast to develop Sunday, with
the best coverage over interior areas, especially western half of
area. More shower and thunderstorm activity expected to continue
tonight vs past several nights, likely increasing in coverage
after midnight and especially toward daybreak Monday. Localized
heavy rainfall, reduced CIGS visibility, frequent lightning, and
brief gusty winds can be expected near stronger convection.

Surface winds primarily southeast to south today, more light and
variable again overnight tonight. 12 ds

Prev discussion issued 457 am cdt Sun aug 25 2019
near term now through Sunday night ... A broad mid level low pressure
circulation out over the gulf just off the coast of central
louisiana early this morning, and associated weak surface
reflection, will lift northeast into central mississippi by late
tonight. Already moist airmass over the region (pwats 2.0 to 2.2
inches) will increase through tonight (pwats 2.2 to 2.4 inches) as
moisture associated with this disturbance pools up south of a weak
stationary boundary stretching generally west to east across
mississippi and alabama. This will provide an increasingly unsettled
weather pattern across the region today, with scattered to locally
numerous showers and thunderstorms developing across much of the
area by late this afternoon. With the mid level dynamics moving into
the region overnight, will likely see continued high rain chances
tonight, especially over western zones. Although generally high
pops are expected both today and tonight, the potential for heavy
rain (while there for the entire near term period) will increase
late tonight into Monday. After coordination with wpc, the entire
area will be under a marginal risk of excessive rainfall tonight,
with a slight risk just to our west. By the very end of the near
term (toward daybreak Monday and into the short term period) much of
our area will also be in a slight risk area for excessive rainfall.

Through tonight, highest rainfall totals will be over the western
third of our forecast area, where 1.0 to 1.5 inches of rainfall will
be possible. Higher rainfall totals are then expected into Monday.

Some localized minor flooding is possible by very late tonight over
our western zones (and then continuing into Monday). With the rain,
clouds and increased moisture daytime temps today will be tempered
somewhat over the west, with highs in the upper 80s. Upper 80s also
expected along the coast, with lower 90s over interior east zones.

Lows tonight in the lower 70s most areas except along the coast
where mid to upper 70s are expected. 12 ds
short term Monday through Tuesday night ... Convection along and
east of upper trof axis is expected to be ongoing from the mid-
south to the central gulf coast Monday morning. A slow eastward
translation of the trof and associated enhanced ascent during the
day Monday brings periods of showers and storms. A deep moist
environment with pwats 2.2 to 2.4 inches feeding in off the gulf
and pooling into the slow moving trof and south of the quasi-
stationary frontal boundary over central al favors the potential
of locally heavy rain. Repeated storm motion over the same areas
may result in an increased potential of flooding over lower lying
and poor drainage areas. The main question is placement of the
heavier rains and considering the uncertainties, as mentioned in
the near term portion, the marginal risk of excessive flooding
rains has been upgraded to a slight risk Monday over much of the
local area. Storm totals could add up to between 2 and 4 inches
with some areas potentially receiving locally higher amounts.

Other impacts from stronger storms will be brief strong wind gusts
and frequent lightning. Severe weather risk remains low Monday
with 0-6 km bulk shear magnitudes 25kts or less. For Tuesday, axis
of upper trof migrates slowly east over the southeast but hangs
back enough to operate on lingering deep layer moisture to keep
the likelihood of showers and storms going. To the north, a large
long-wave trof over the south-central canadian provinces into the
northern high plains maintains a zone where mid level impulses
will track southeastward in a diffluent high level flow over the
deep south. This also supports an enhancement in lift and a
continuation in the unsettled weather potential. A surface front
will also be moving southeastward out of the plains Tuesday.

With clouds and rain, daytime highs look to recover no higher
than the lower half of the 80s Monday. Did make a lower
adjustment on highs for Tuesday given rain chances and cloud
cover. Lows this period hold in the 70s. 10
long term Wednesday through Saturday ... Additional energy dives
southeast into the deep south at the base of long-wave upper trof
which pivots east over the great lakes Wednesday. This brings a
surface front southward into the lower ms river valley. A chance
of showers and storms continues into Wednesday. Front approaches
the coast late Wednesday and is progged to make passage into the
gulf Thursday morning. Chances of rain will lower in the wake of
the frontal passage. The coolest night comes Thursday night with
night-time lows dipping into the mid to upper 60s north of i-10.

Highs in the upper 80s to lower 90s. Rain chances return into the
weekend. 10
marine... Light and somewhat variable winds over the marine area
early this morning will strengthen and become more southerly by
late this afternoon. A light to moderate south to southwest wind
is then expected through mid week. Low pressure developing off the
eastern seaboard will lift northeast through the week, allowing a
weak cool front over the southeastern states to drop down toward
the gulf coast and then offshore into the northeastern gulf by
late week. With this, a light to moderate northwest to northerly
flow is expected. Seas build slightly through the week. Periods of
showers and thunderstorms can be expected over the coastal waters
through the period. 12 ds

Mob watches warnings advisories
Al... None.

Fl... None.

Ms... None.

Gm... None.

This product is also available on the web at:
http: weather.Gov mob


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 0 mi44 min SSE 4.1 G 8 87°F1015.5 hPa
PPTA1 20 mi32 min 87°F 1015.6 hPa
42012 - Orange Beach AL Buoy 29 mi22 min E 12 G 14 84°F 86°F1015.2 hPa78°F
BSCA1 - Bon Secour, AL 33 mi92 min ESE 2.9 85°F 1014.9 hPa
WBYA1 33 mi44 min 86°F
WKXA1 - Weeks Bay Reserve, AL 33 mi77 min 83°F 1015 hPa74°F
MBLA1 - Middle Bay Light, AL 43 mi62 min ESE 8 84°F 1014.9 hPa
MHPA1 - Meaher Park, AL 43 mi32 min S 1.9 85°F 1015.6 hPa
FMOA1 - 8734673 - Fort Morgan, AL 45 mi44 min ESE 12 G 13 84°F 1015 hPa
DPIA1 - Dauphin Island, AL 47 mi62 min ESE 9.9 G 11 84°F 1014.9 hPa (+0.6)
MBPA1 47 mi44 min 86°F 78°F
PTOA1 47 mi44 min 87°F 76°F
MCGA1 - 8736897 - Coast Guard Sector Mobile, AL 48 mi44 min SE 4.1 G 7 87°F 87°F1015.4 hPa
OBLA1 - 8737048 - Mobile State Docks, AL 49 mi50 min 85°F 86°F1015.1 hPa

Wind History for Pensacola, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Pensacola - Pensacola International Airport, FL5 mi69 minESE 710.00 miFair89°F77°F68%1015.3 hPa
Pensacola Naval Air Station, FL7 mi66 minESE 810.00 miA Few Clouds86°F77°F75%1015.3 hPa
Milton, Whiting Field South, FL23 mi66 minSSE 910.00 miA Few Clouds87°F75°F70%1013.8 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KPNS

Wind History from PNS (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr------------------------------------------------
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2 days ago------------------------------------------------

Tide / Current Tables for Pensacola, Florida
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Pensacola
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:08 AM CDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 06:21 AM CDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 06:47 AM CDT     1.68 feet High Tide
Sun -- 03:25 PM CDT     Moonset
Sun -- 06:05 PM CDT     0.11 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:19 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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11.11.31.41.51.61.71.71.61.51.41.210.80.60.40.20.10.10.10.20.30.50.6

Tide / Current Tables for Fishing Bend, Santa Rosa Sound, Florida
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Fishing Bend
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:08 AM CDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 06:21 AM CDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:28 AM CDT     1.85 feet High Tide
Sun -- 03:25 PM CDT     Moonset
Sun -- 06:56 PM CDT     0.12 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:19 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.91.11.31.41.61.71.81.81.81.81.71.51.31.10.80.60.40.20.20.10.20.20.40.5

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Mobile/Pensacola, FL (13,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Northwest Florida
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Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.