Wednesday, January22, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Goulding, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:43AMSunset 5:17PM Wednesday January 22, 2020 3:17 AM CST (09:17 UTC) Moonrise 5:56AMMoonset 4:21PM Illumination 8% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 27 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ634 Pensacola Bay System- 308 Am Cst Wed Jan 22 2020
Today..Northeast winds 8 to 13 knots diminishing to 3 to 8 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Tonight..Northeast winds 3 to 8 knots becoming east 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Slight chance of showers after midnight.
Thursday..East winds 8 to 13 knots becoming southeast 10 to 15 knots. Gusts up to 20 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers in the morning, then showers likely and slight chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Thursday night..Southeast winds 8 to 13 knots with gusts to around 20 knots becoming west 5 to 10 knots. Waves around 2 feet. Showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms in the evening, then chance of showers after midnight.
Friday..Northwest winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Slight chance of showers in the morning.
Friday night..Northwest winds 8 to 13 knots becoming 5 to 10 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Saturday..Northwest winds 3 to 8 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Saturday night..North winds 3 to 8 knots. Waves less than 1 foot.
Sunday..Northeast winds 3 to 8 knots. Waves less than 1 foot. Slight chance of showers.
Sunday night..North winds 3 to 8 knots. Waves less than 1 foot. Slight chance of showers.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 308 Am Cst Wed Jan 22 2020
Synopsis..A light to moderate east to northeast wind flow will continue to decrease today as surface high pressure shifts east of the area. Increasing onshore flow and building seas again expected late tonight and Thursday as another cold front approaches from the west. This front will advance eastward across the gulf coast late Thursday night into Friday morning, followed by a light to moderate northwest to north wind flow through the remainder of the week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Goulding, FL
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location: 30.4, -87.21     debug


Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
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FXUS64 KMOB 220542 CCB AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion . UPDATED National Weather Service Mobile AL 1138 PM CST Tue Jan 21 2020

DISCUSSION. See updated information for land areas and aviation discussion below.

NEAR TERM (Wednesday through Wednesday night). An upper level shortwave trough will slowly move east over the Plains, as an upper level ridge over the Mississippi River shifts east to over the East Coast. Low level high pressure stretching southwest over the Appalachians shifts east to over the Eastern seaboard in response, shifting low level flow from north/northeast to easterly, and easing the cool and dry northerly flow over the Southeast.

For Wednesday, upper level shortwave energy embedded in the flow ahead of the upper trough begins to move over the Mississippi River to over the Southeast, bringing increasing mid/upper level cloud cover to the forecast area and surrounding area later in the day Wednesday into Wednesday night. Subsidence from the upper level ridge and decreasing cool northerly flow will be tempered by the insolation reducing thickening cloud deck, but am still expecting a warmer day Wednesday then Tuesday. High temperatures topping out in the 50 to 55 degree range are expected.

Wednesday night, as low level flow become easterly, increasing isentropic upglide will bring an increasingly thicker cloud deck to the forecast area, with light rainshowers beginning to encroach over the forecast area from the west after midnight. Have went on the warm side of guidance, with the thickening cloud cover expected to help limit overnight radiational cooling. Low temperatures around seasonal expected, ranging from the upper 30s inland to the 40-45 degree range along the I-10 corridor to the coast. /16

AVIATION. 06Z issuance . VFR conditions expected through the forecast under increasing mid/upper level clouds. North winds around 5 knots will transition to northeasterly around 10 knots Wednesday, then easterly around 5 knots as surface high pressure passes north of the region. /16

PREV DISCUSSION. /issued 601 PM CST Tue Jan 21 2020/

DISCUSSION . See updated information for land areas and aviation discussion below.

NEAR TERM UPDATE(TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT) . A cold and very dry airmass has moved over the Southeast in the wake of the passage of an upper shortwave trough over the region. Low level high pressure that has moved over the Mississippi River Valley will shift east as an upper ridge over the Plains shifts east over the Mississippi River Valley, maintaining the cool and dry flow over the region. Another night of at/below freezing temperatures are expected across the forecast area tonight. Low temperatures ranging from the mid 20s over most of the area to around 30/low 30s along the coast are expected.

Wednesday into Wednesday night, the low level ridge continues to shift east, shifting low level flow to more easterly by the end of the day Wednesday, easing the cold northerly flow over the Southeast. An approaching upper level trough and preceding pieces of shortwave energy will bring increasing mid/upper level cloud cover, helping to temper daytime heating. The shift in low level flow combined with increasing upper subsidence as the upper ridge passes will be tempered somewhat by the increase in cloud cover, but a warmer day is expected Wednesday as compared to today. High temperatures in the 50-55 degree range are expected.

The upper shortwave trough/pieces of shortwave energy will move east over the Plains and Mississippi River through Wednesday night, with the increasing cloud cover tempering overnight cooling. Low temperatures ranging from the upper 30s inland to around 40 along the coast expected. /16

AVIATION . 00Z issuance . VFR conditions expected through the forecast. Northerly flow around 10 knots this evening will ease to around 5 knots over the area as it transitions to northeast to easterly overnight. Winds will continue to shift to east to southeast Wednesday as they rise back to around 10 knots. /16

PREV DISCUSSION . /issued 323 PM CST Tue Jan 21 2020/

NEAR TERM /Now Through Wednesday/ . A very dry deep layer airmass will continue to spread into our region through this evening along northwesterly flow aloft between a departing trough of low pressure near the southeast U.S. coast and a building ridge over the Plains and Mississippi Valley region. A cold surface ridge of high pressure will also continue to build southward into the area overnight. Clear skies are expected through this evening. Another freeze is expected to impact much of the region again tonight, and overnight lows are expected to range from the lower to mid 20s over much of our interior, and in the upper 20s to lower 30s closer to the coast.

A deep layer dry and subsident airmass will persist into Wednesday as the upper level ridge builds eastward over the forecast area. However, high clouds should begin to increase in coverage through Wednesday afternoon as the upper ridge shifts east of our region and as flow aloft transitions more southwesterly ahead of the next trough of low pressure moving across the Plains states. The surface ridge of high pressure also continues to shift toward the Eastern Seaboard Wednesday through Wednesday night, allowing surface flow to become more easterly across our region. High temperatures should modify into the lower 50s Wednesday afternoon. Deep layer moisture may tend to increase over western parts of our CWA late Wednesday night as the trough axis approaches the Mississippi Valley region. The increased moisture and perhaps some weak isentropic ascent could allow for the development of a few showers over our western zones late Wednesday night. Overnight lows will range from the mid to upper 30s inland to the lower to mid 40s over southern portions of the area. /21

SHORT TERM /Wednesday night Through Friday night/ . High pressure will rapidly move east as a shortwave digs across the plains states Wednesday night. An associated area of low pressure and trailing cold front will approach the area on Thursday bringing increasing rain chances. Rain chances will end from west to east Thursday night into Friday morning as the cold front moves east of the area. The lack of significant return flow ahead of the system will limit the heavy rain and thunderstorm threat. Any storms will likely be confined to the marine area. Temps will gradually moderate through period. /13

LONG TERM /Saturday Through Tuesday/ . High pressure will build into the region on Saturday. Meanwhile, an upper level shortwave will quickly traverse the northern Gulf Saturday night into Sunday, bringing an increase in clouds and possibly a few showers to the offshore marine area. Early next week an upper ridge is expected to build across the eastern states with temps returning to above normal levels. /13

MARINE . A moderate to strong northerly flow will continue over the marine area through this evening as surface high pressure continues to build southward across the region. The flow gradually becomes northeasterly to easterly late tonight into Wednesday as the surface ridge shifts to the east of the area. We will maintain a Small Craft Advisory for offshore marine zones 20-60 nm out, where northerly winds will continue to average near 20 knots through late tonight. Small craft exercise caution headlines will be needed over the nearshore waters as well as Lower Mobile Bay and the Mississippi Sound, where speeds of 15-20 knots will continue. A low pressure system and associated cold front still looks to advance eastward across the Gulf Coast late Thursday into Friday morning. Another round of rain showers will accompany this system, a few of which could contain locally heavy rainfall over the marine area Thursday night. Offshore flow and drier weather will return Friday through the weekend. /21

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. AL . None. FL . None. MS . None. GM . Small Craft Advisory until 3 AM CST Wednesday for GMZ670-675.



This product is also available on the web at: http://weather.gov/mob


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 0 mi47 min NNE 4.1 G 12 36°F 1028.4 hPa
PPTA1 20 mi47 min 35°F 1028.8 hPa
42012 - Orange Beach AL Buoy 29 mi27 min NE 18 G 23 43°F 62°F4 ft1028.4 hPa31°F
WBYA1 33 mi47 min 52°F
WKXA1 - Weeks Bay Reserve, AL 33 mi92 min 31°F 1029 hPa24°F
MHPA1 - Meaher Park, AL 43 mi47 min NNE 2.9 33°F 1029.5 hPa
FMOA1 - 8734673 - Fort Morgan, AL 45 mi47 min ENE 20 G 23 37°F 1028.4 hPa
DPIA1 - Dauphin Island, AL 47 mi77 min NE 20 G 23 38°F 1028.7 hPa (-1.3)
MBPA1 47 mi47 min 38°F 27°F
PTOA1 47 mi47 min 35°F 23°F
MCGA1 - 8736897 - Coast Guard Sector Mobile, AL 48 mi47 min NE 8 G 12 47°F 54°F1029.4 hPa
OBLA1 - 8737048 - Mobile State Docks, AL 49 mi53 min 35°F 54°F1029.3 hPa

Wind History for Pensacola, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Pensacola - Pensacola International Airport, FL5 mi24 minNNE 710.00 miFair34°F21°F61%1028.5 hPa
Milton, Whiting Field South, FL23 mi3.4 hrsN 610.00 miFair31°F21°F69%1028.4 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KPNS

Wind History from PNS (wind in knots)
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Tide / Current Tables for Pensacola, Florida
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Pensacola
Click for Map
Wed -- 04:55 AM CST     Moonrise
Wed -- 06:44 AM CST     Sunrise
Wed -- 07:40 AM CST     -0.72 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 03:21 PM CST     Moonset
Wed -- 05:16 PM CST     Sunset
Wed -- 09:06 PM CST     1.32 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.80.50.2-0-0.3-0.5-0.6-0.7-0.7-0.7-0.6-0.4-0.3-0.10.10.30.60.811.21.31.31.31.2

Tide / Current Tables for Fishing Bend, Santa Rosa Sound, Florida
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Fishing Bend
Click for Map
Wed -- 04:55 AM CST     Moonrise
Wed -- 06:44 AM CST     Sunrise
Wed -- 08:31 AM CST     -0.79 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 03:21 PM CST     Moonset
Wed -- 05:16 PM CST     Sunset
Wed -- 09:47 PM CST     1.45 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.10.80.50.2-0.1-0.4-0.6-0.7-0.8-0.8-0.7-0.6-0.5-0.3-0.10.20.40.70.91.11.31.41.51.4

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Mobile/Pensacola, FL (4,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Northwest Florida
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Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.