Wednesday, June3, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Goulding, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 5:45AMSunset 7:48PM Wednesday June 3, 2020 9:11 PM CDT (02:11 UTC) Moonrise 5:41PMMoonset 4:09AM Illumination 96% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 13 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ634 Pensacola Bay System- 405 Pm Cdt Wed Jun 3 2020
Tonight..South winds 3 to 8 knots becoming light. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday..Winds light becoming south 5 to 10 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday night..South winds 3 to 8 knots becoming light. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Friday..Winds light becoming south 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Friday night..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Saturday..East winds 8 to 13 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots. Waves around 3 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then showers and Thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.
Saturday night..East winds 18 to 23 knots. Waves around 3 feet. Showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday..Southeast winds 18 to 23 knots. Waves around 3 feet. Showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday night..Southeast winds 18 to 23 knots. Waves 1 to 3 feet. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
Monday..South winds 13 to 18 knots. Waves 1 to 3 feet. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
Monday night..South winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 2 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 405 Pm Cdt Wed Jun 3 2020
Synopsis..Light to occasionally moderate southeasterly winds prevail through Friday then increase Friday night into Saturday as tropical storm cristobal advances northward across the gulf towards the coast of louisiana. A small craft advisory will likely be needed Friday night through the weekend. Please refer to the national hurricane center for the latest advisory on cristobal.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Goulding, FL
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location: 30.4, -87.21     debug


Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
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FXUS64 KMOB 040005 AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 705 PM CDT Wed Jun 3 2020

AVIATION. 06Z issuance . VFR conditions will prevail through this evening, except near thunderstorms where lower cig/vis are expected. Storms will taper off after sunset with showers lingering over the Gulf waters through the late evening hours. Southerly winds become light overnight. Patchy fog is possible across southeast Mississippi and portions of southwest Alabama for a few hours in the morning with MVFR conditions briefly possible. Southeasterly winds around 10 knots expected by Thursday afternoon with another round of showers and storms. 07/mb

PREV DISCUSSION. /issued 608 PM CDT Wed Jun 3 2020/

NEAR TERM UPDATE /Now Through Thursday/ . Convection generally wanes this evening following the loss of daytime heating. A few showers and perhaps some rumbles of thunder will linger offshore and right along the coast overnight tonight, so maintained low-end PoPs (20-30%) in those areas. With shortwave troughing persisting aloft, expecting a scattered to numerous shower and thunderstorm coverage once again on Thursday. A general diurnal trend will continue as convection forms offshore and along the coast in the morning and spreads inland throughout the day. With deep-layer flow remaining weak, storm motion will be slow and primarily dependent upon cold pool surges and initiating boundary movement. Could see some isolated instances of minor flooding in locations that see higher rainfall totals, similar to the past few days. However, given the antecedent drought conditions and spotty nature of these higher totals, the overall flood threat remains low enough to avoid a watch issuance at this time.

Temperatures remain in the upper 60s to low 70s tonight and reach the mid to upper 80s on Thursday. A High Rip Current Risk remains in effect for all area beaches throughout the period. /49

SHORT TERM /Thursday night Through Saturday night/ . Our forecast area will remain located within a weakness aloft late this week between a large ridge of high pressure over the southern Rockies into far west TX/northern MX and another stretching over the southwest Atlantic. Deep layer moisture remains plentiful with precipitable water values mostly ranging from 1.7 to as high as 2.0 inches over our region. As mentioned last night, these high PWAT values are between 1 and 2 standard deviations above the means. An unsettled pattern will continue through Friday night. Scattered to numerous showers and storms will likely develop again during the day Friday and given the degree of environmental moisture, rain rates could be heavy at times in better developed storms which may lead to instances of isolated flooding of lower lying, poorly drained areas.

To our south, trapped in weak steering currents on the southern portion of the upper level weakness mentioned earlier, is Tropical Storm Cristobal which will continue to drift near the western Yucatan Peninsula coast through early Friday. A more northerly motion toward the adjacent Bay of Campeche/southern Gulf is expected Friday afternoon into late Friday night.

Highs Friday will range in the mid to upper 80s. Lows stay warm and muggy through the period with mostly upper 60s to lower 70s and in the lower to mid 70s along the immediate coast.

The latest NHC forecast indicates that Tropical Storm Cristobal will maintain a continued northward motion into the west central Gulf Saturday into Saturday night. A large plume of deep layer moisture will spread northward across the central Gulf on the eastern side of this feature, with rich tropical moisture approaching coastal portions of the CWA Saturday into Saturday night. Showers and storms will be most numerous near the coast on Saturday/Saturday night, though scattered coverage is also expected inland. Bands of heavy rainfall will be possible near the coast, especially from late Saturday afternoon into Saturday night, and the latest coordinated rainfall forecast indicates potential for 2-3" of rain with locally higher amounts possible during this time frame. This will be beneficial rainfall in drought-stricken areas, but will need to monitor for heavy rates potentially leading to flooding of urban/low lying areas.

Increased swell will maintain a high risk of strong/frequent rip currents along the beaches through the short term period. High surf may also become an increasing concern. /21

EXTENDED TERM /Sunday Through Wednesday/ . Cristobal is forecast to continue a northward motion toward the northwest/north central Gulf coast region Sunday into Sunday night. The latest NHC forecast track favors a deeply moist southerly flow across our forecast area on the eastern periphery of the storm Sunday and Sunday night, which will maintain high rain chances across our region. Some rainfall could continue to be heavy, especially near the coast. Increased swell could also favor high surf along local beaches Sunday and possibly coastal flooding around the time of high tide Sunday morning. The system looks to move inland on Monday and could eventually become absorbed into a trough through early to mid next week. A moist pattern looks to prevail over our region, so we will keep a good chance of showers/storms in the forecast through Wednesday.

Key take-aways for Cristobal in our area at this time include:

- Our highest confidence is in the threat of dangerous high surf and rip currents.

- At least minor coastal flooding looks likely this weekend, particularly around the time of high tide on Sunday. If the storm tracks closer to the area, then the threat of storm surge would increase.

- Heavy rainfall will be possible, and amounts will ultimately be dependent on the track of the storm. The heaviest rain is expected to fall in areas that are still in drought, so urban and low lying areas currently appear most susceptible to flooding.

- Confidence on wind impacts remain low at this time (again will be dependent on storm intensity, location, and track). /21

MARINE . Light to occasionally moderate onshore flow continues through Friday before increasing Friday night into the weekend as Tropical Storm Cristobal advances northward across the Gulf of Mexico towards the Louisiana coast. A Small Craft Advisory will likely be needed Friday night through the weekend for the building winds and seas. Please refer to the National Hurricane Center for the latest advisory on Cristobal. /49

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. AL . High Rip Current Risk through late Sunday night for ALZ265-266.

FL . High Rip Current Risk through late Sunday night for FLZ202-204- 206.

MS . None. GM . None.

This product is also available on the web at: http://weather.gov/mob


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 0 mi54 min SSE 4.1 G 5.1 79°F 84°F1015.3 hPa
PPTA1 20 mi72 min 80°F 1015.9 hPa (+0.7)
42012 - Orange Beach AL Buoy 29 mi42 min E 7.8 G 9.7 78°F 81°F1015.6 hPa74°F
BSCA1 - Bon Secour, AL 33 mi102 min SSW 5.1 79°F 1014.9 hPa
WBYA1 33 mi54 min 85°F
WKXA1 - Weeks Bay Reserve, AL 33 mi87 min 79°F 1015 hPa72°F
MBLA1 - Middle Bay Light, AL 43 mi192 min SE 9.9 79°F 1013.9 hPa (-0.7)
MHPA1 - Meaher Park, AL 43 mi102 min SSW 1.9 80°F 1014.9 hPa
FMOA1 - 8734673 - Fort Morgan, AL 45 mi60 min SSW 1.9 G 2.9 78°F 1015.2 hPa
DPIA1 - Dauphin Island, AL 47 mi72 min SSW 2.9 G 4.1 78°F 1015.1 hPa (+0.6)
MBPA1 47 mi54 min 78°F 72°F
PTOA1 47 mi54 min 79°F 71°F
MCGA1 - 8736897 - Coast Guard Sector Mobile, AL 48 mi54 min WSW 2.9 G 5.1 89°F 83°F1015.6 hPa
OBLA1 - 8737048 - Mobile State Docks, AL 49 mi54 min 79°F 81°F1015.5 hPa

Wind History for Pensacola, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Pensacola - Pensacola International Airport, FL5 mi19 minN 010.00 miFair77°F69°F77%1015.2 hPa
Pensacola Naval Air Station, FL7 mi76 minSSE 910.00 miMostly Cloudy79°F71°F77%1014.9 hPa
Milton, Whiting Field South, FL23 mi16 minN 010.00 miMostly Cloudy73°F69°F87%1014.1 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KPNS

Wind History from PNS (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE4SE6E4NE3CalmNE4CalmNE4CalmCalmE4E5E54W9NW7NW3S4CalmSE5SE8SE14SE8Calm
1 day agoCalmSE3E7E5E6E4E6E7E6E8E8E8E8SE10SE10SE12
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2 days agoN7N7N6N7N6N5N5N54NE4NE9NE7NE6NE7SE8S9S9S12SE10S9S6S6S6S7

Tide / Current Tables for Pensacola, Florida
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Pensacola
Click for Map
Wed -- 04:09 AM CDT     Moonset
Wed -- 05:46 AM CDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 09:38 AM CDT     1.38 feet High Tide
Wed -- 05:40 PM CDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 07:47 PM CDT     Sunset
Wed -- 08:28 PM CDT     -0.19 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.30.40.50.70.80.91.11.21.31.41.41.31.210.80.60.40.2-0-0.1-0.2-0.2-0.1-0

Tide / Current Tables for Fishing Bend, Santa Rosa Sound, Florida
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Fishing Bend
Click for Map
Wed -- 04:08 AM CDT     Moonset
Wed -- 05:46 AM CDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 10:19 AM CDT     1.51 feet High Tide
Wed -- 05:40 PM CDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 07:47 PM CDT     Sunset
Wed -- 09:19 PM CDT     -0.21 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.30.40.50.60.80.91.11.21.41.51.51.51.41.31.10.80.60.30.1-0-0.2-0.2-0.2-0.1

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Mobile/Pensacola, FL (22,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Northwest Florida
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.