Saturday, August15, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Garcon Point, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:14AMSunset 7:31PM Saturday August 15, 2020 5:41 AM CDT (10:41 UTC) Moonrise 2:30AMMoonset 5:04PM Illumination 13% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 26 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ634 Pensacola Bay System- 409 Am Cdt Sat Aug 15 2020
Today..West winds 8 to 13 knots becoming southwest. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tonight..West winds 8 to 13 knots becoming northwest 5 to 10 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening, then slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Sunday..Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southwest 8 to 13 knots. Waves less than 1 foot.
Sunday night..West winds 8 to 13 knots becoming northwest 3 to 8 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Monday..Northwest winds 3 to 8 knots becoming west. Waves less than 1 foot. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Monday night..West winds 3 to 8 knots becoming north. Waves less than 1 foot.
Tuesday..Southeast winds 3 to 8 knots. Waves less than 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday night..Southwest winds 3 to 8 knots. Waves less than 1 foot. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday night..South winds 3 to 8 knots. Waves less than 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 409 Am Cdt Sat Aug 15 2020
Synopsis..Surface high pressure currently extending from the southwest atlantic into the central gulf will weaken this weekend as a weak front settles near the coast on Sunday. The front briefly moves offshore Sunday night into Monday morning. The front will weaken and shift back to the north by Tuesday and Wednesday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Garcon Point, FL
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location: 30.47, -87.13     debug


Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
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FXUS64 KMOB 150932 AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 432 AM CDT Sat Aug 15 2020

NEAR TERM UPDATE /Now Through Sunday/. Water vapor imagery shows two shortwaves embedded in the overall trough axis, with one moving into central AL and the other digging into central Mississippi. Additional convection has developed over SE MS and coastal AL early this morning in response. This early morning convection will persist and shift east as we go through the early morning, impacting parts of coastal NW FL early to mid morning. After this morning round of storms, there will be the potential for additional isolated to scattered storms to develop late this morning into afternoon. However, the focus for storms will shift to east of I-65 this afternoon as the trough axis and best deep layer moisture begin to shift east of the area. There will still be plenty of moisture for scattered storms in eastern and coastal parts of the area, but coverage will likely become isolated at best further west into SE MS as precipitable waters less than 1.5" start to move in from the northwest.

A small chance for rain will linger across NW FL this evening, but conditions will quickly dry out late tonight into Sunday as extensive dry mid level air settles over the area. In fact, guidance indicates precipitable waters dropping to 1-1.25" on Sunday. Therefore, a dry day is expected on Sunday and we have removed any mention of rain.

Highs today will range from the upper 80s to lower 90s. While it will be drier on Sunday, highs will climb into the low to mid 90s. Dewpoints will mix out enough to keep heat indices in check on Sunday, topping out in the 100-105 range. 34/JFB

SHORT TERM /Sunday night Through Monday night/. An upper trof over the Eastern States steadily strengthens through the period while a rather strong longwave ridge persists over the western half of the CONUS. A surface trof/weak frontal boundary will be positioned near the coast early Sunday evening which extends to the coast of the Carolinas and a surface low off the New England coast. The surface trof/weak front shifts into the northern Sunday night where it remains through Monday night. While this deep layer northerly flow pattern will promote drier air flowing into the area, model soundings show this is less pronounced roughly along and south of I-65. Have opted to keep in slight chance pops on Monday afternoon roughly along and south of I-65 while otherwise dry conditions are expected. Highs on Monday will be in the lower to mid 90s with afternoon heat index values around 100 up to 105. Lows Sunday night and Monday night range from the lower 70s inland to the mid/upper 70s at the coast. A low risk of rip currents is expected through the period. /29

EXTENDED TERM /Tuesday Through Friday/. On Tuesday and Tuesday night, the axis of the upper level longwave trough that has been hanging out over the eastern half of the country will be just to the east of our forecast area, while a surface front lingers down near the coast or just offshore. By late Wednesday an approaching upper level disturbance dropping down along the western back side of the trough will carve out a shortwave trough to our west. A series of such shortwaves will result in the eventual long wave trough axis returning more to the west of our forecast area by Friday. The surface boundary that was near the coast will weaken and lift inland Thursday and Friday as a deeper onshore flow develops across the area and low level ridging stretches east across the deep south from the Atlantic. Precipitable Water will increase from no more than around 1.25 inches on Tuesday back up to around 1.0-1.9 inches by late Friday. With the lower moisture on Tuesday, expect low end scattered showers and storms at best, but for each day through the remainder of the extended term we expect that coverages will increase and low end likely PoPs will be possible, especially Thursday and Friday. The pattern will be generally diurnally driven, with best chances for rain over the interior during the daytime, more numerous offshore overnight. Highs Tuesday and Wednesday in the upper 80s and lower 90s, and then primarily in the mid and upper 80s Thursday and Friday with the expected increase in cloud cover and PoPs. Lows each night in the upper 60s and lower 70s inland and the mid and upper 70s at the coast. /12

MARINE. Westerly winds have increased to 10-15 kt with gusts 15-20 kts early this morning over the Gulf waters as an upper level disturbance moves across the region. This will build seas up to 3ft over the Gulf waters. Winds and seas will diminish tonight into Sunday. Scattered to numerous storms are expected over the marine waters today. Locally higher wind/waves, torrential downpours, frequent lightning can be expected. Waterspouts are also possible. 34/JFB

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. AL . None. FL . None. MS . None. GM . None.

This product is also available on the web at: http://weather.gov/mob


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 6 mi53 min NNW 2.9 G 5.1 78°F 88°F1013 hPa
PPTA1 26 mi71 min 80°F 1013.5 hPa
42012 - Orange Beach AL Buoy 36 mi41 min W 16 G 19 85°F 1012.8 hPa (-0.8)78°F
WBYA1 37 mi53 min 87°F
WKXA1 - Weeks Bay Reserve, AL 37 mi116 min 74°F 1013 hPa74°F
BSCA1 - Bon Secour, AL 38 mi101 min NW 8 79°F 1012.9 hPa (-1.0)
MHPA1 - Meaher Park, AL 45 mi41 min WSW 1.9 75°F 1014.2 hPa (+0.7)
MBLA1 - Middle Bay Light, AL 47 mi41 min SSW 13 75°F 1013.2 hPa (-0.7)

Wind History for Pensacola, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Pensacola Naval Air Station, FL13 mi1.8 hrsN 010.00 miFair78°F73°F87%1012.8 hPa
Milton, Whiting Field South, FL17 mi1.8 hrsNW 410.00 miFair75°F73°F94%1011.5 hPa
Milton - Whiting Field Naval Air Station North, FL18 mi45 minNW 48.00 miPartly Cloudy73°F72°F96%1011.3 hPa
Hurlburt Field, FL24 mi45 minNNW 410.00 miA Few Clouds76°F73°F91%1012.3 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KPNS

Wind History from PNS (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr------------W4W3W3CalmS3S7W4CalmSW10SW12
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SW12--W16--W9--W3W3
1 day ago------------NE3----N4NE4E4--S8S10----S9----N3N4CalmE3
2 days ago------------NE3--NE7NE7E4NE5--E5--------------------

Tide / Current Tables for Lora Point, Escambia Bay, Pensacola Bay, Florida
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Lora Point
Click for Map
Sat -- 02:30 AM CDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 06:15 AM CDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 09:07 AM CDT     2.07 feet High Tide
Sat -- 05:03 PM CDT     Moonset
Sat -- 07:29 PM CDT     Sunset
Sat -- 08:39 PM CDT     0.04 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.60.811.21.41.61.81.922.121.91.81.61.310.70.50.30.10.100.10.2

Tide / Current Tables for Pensacola, Florida
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Pensacola
Click for Map
Sat -- 02:30 AM CDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 06:16 AM CDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 08:31 AM CDT     1.72 feet High Tide
Sat -- 05:03 PM CDT     Moonset
Sat -- 07:29 PM CDT     Sunset
Sat -- 07:36 PM CDT     0.03 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.60.80.91.11.31.41.61.71.71.71.71.51.41.10.90.60.40.20.1000.10.20.3

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Mobile/Pensacola, FL (6,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Northwest Florida
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.