Saturday, December7, 2019
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Marine Weather and Tides
Garcon Point, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:31AMSunset 4:49PM Saturday December 7, 2019 1:13 PM CST (19:13 UTC) Moonrise 3:10PMMoonset 3:05AM Illumination 83% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 11 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ634 Pensacola Bay System- 927 Am Cst Sat Dec 7 2019
Rest of today..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots becoming 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Slight chance of showers.
Tonight..Northeast winds 8 to 13 knots becoming east. Waves around 1 foot. Slight chance of showers.
Sunday..East winds 8 to 13 knots becoming southeast. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers.
Sunday night..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south 3 to 8 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers.
Monday..Southwest winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Monday night..South winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Slight chance of showers.
Tuesday..Southwest winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Tuesday night..North winds 15 to 20 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers.
Wednesday..North winds 13 to 18 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of rain.
Wednesday night..Northeast winds 13 to 18 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 927 Am Cst Sat Dec 7 2019
Synopsis..Light to occasionally moderate offshore flow is expected today and tonight. Flow becomes more east to southeasterly and increases Sunday ahead of an approaching cold front. The cold front moves through the area Tuesday with an increasingly strong offshore flow developing in its wake. A small craft advisory will likely be required for portions of the marine area, especially over the gulf waters, by Tuesday night continuing through Wednesday night.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Garcon Point, FL
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location: 30.47, -87.13     debug


Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
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FXUS64 KMOB 071728 AAB AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion . UPDATED National Weather Service Mobile AL 1128 AM CST Sat Dec 7 2019

DISCUSSION. See updated information for land areas and aviation discussion below.

UPDATE. Forecast remains on track this morning. Only had a few minor tweaks in the POPs forecast as showers will likely remain well offshore. BB/03

AVIATION. 18Z issuance . Area wide IFR to low end MVFR ceilings will continue into the afternoon today. With daytime heating, ceilings will slowly rise to MVFR and potentially VFR by the evening. Winds will be around 10 knots out of the north-northeast throughout the forecast. BB/03

PREV DISCUSSION. /issued 607 AM CST Sat Dec 7 2019/

DISCUSSION . Updated for latest aviation discussion below.

AVIATION . 07/12Z issuance . Low end IFR ceilings across the area early this morning should increase to MVFR or VFR by late morning and then continue in that range through tonight. Some isolated to low end scattered showers possible today, especially over the southern half of the forecast area and out over the Gulf waters. Light to occasionally moderate north to northeast winds expected today and tonight. /12

PREV DISCUSSION . /issued 440 AM CST Sat Dec 7 2019/

NEAR TERM /Now Through Saturday night/ . As expected, the mid level shortwave has moved well east of our area and weakened, leaving the weak surface low pressure behind over the northeastern Gulf of Mexico. This low will remain over the northern Gulf through the near term period, but will likely retrograde back to the west a little in response to a surface high pressure ridge that builds southeast just east of the Appalachians, extending well south into southern Georgia and the Florid Big Bend region. This will maintain a somewhat unsettled weather pattern over the forecast area, especially the southern half where we will continue to see some isolated to scattered showers through tonight. With the surface low now to the south of the forecast area, max temperatures today will not be as warm as yesterday, but still mild with highs ranging from the lower 60s northwestern counties to the middle 60s southeastern counties and along the coast. Lows tonight will range from around 50 degrees over the northwest to the mid and upper 50s southeast and coastal areas. /12

SHORT TERM /Sunday Through Monday night/ . Will begin the short term with a weakly defined surface pressure trof progged to be aligned over the MS Sound and the AL/NW Florida Panhandle coastal waters Sunday morning. This feature migrates slowly northwest thru the day Sunday and brings potential of a slight chance PoP over the northwest zones to chance PoPs generally southeast of I-65. The surface trof feature slowly dissipates Sunday night in an evolving synoptic scale southerly flow ahead of next front advancing southeast over the southern plains. East of the weakening trof, a slight chance to chance PoPs is carried along and east of a line from Grove Hill to Gulf Shores AL. Will also mention fog development Sunday night as a more moist southerly low level flow would favor its development. This is also supported in the latest short range ensembles which depict a 40 to 60% probability of late night fog formation Sunday night which carries over to shortly after sunrise Monday.

Upper level storm system over the plains southward into TX ejects eastward Monday night bringing strengthening upper level flow and a stream of deep layer moisture from east TX across the TN valley. Deep moisture intersects a cold front that will also approach our interior southeast MS zones. Approaching ascent along the front and an eastward migration of deeper moisture favors an increase in PoPs over the western zones late Monday night.

Highs and lows moderate thru the period. Highs from the mid to upper 60s interior to around 70 coast Sunday warm into the lower to mid 70s by Monday. Short term overnight lows well above normal. /10

LONG TERM /Tuesday Through Friday/ . Front makes passage across the forecast area Tuesday, crossing the I-65 corridor after the noon hour. An unsettled weather pattern is expected Tuesday with predominant mode of weather continuing to be showers. But with the area on the favored east side of a strong upper level streak ejecting over the Lower MS River Valley and perhaps weak instability, there could be a few storms mixed in Tuesday. Although the front sinks deep into the Gulf Tuesday night, upper level support lags behind enough to maintain a modest PoP. Drier conditions Thursday before PoPs return Friday with approach of next southern stream storm system.

Temperatures trend lower in the wake of the frontal passage Tuesday with cool days and chilly nights Tuesday night, continuing into the remainder of the week. /10

MARINE . Patchy fog over portions of the marine area early this morning, otherwise a light to occasionally moderate offshore flow is expected today and tonight, possibly increasing to Small Craft criteria offshore well offshore tonight. Light to moderate flow becomes more east to southeasterly and increases yet again late Sunday and Sunday night and continues into Monday as a cold front approaches from the west. The cold front moves through the marine area Tuesday with an increasingly strong offshore flow developing in its wake. A Small Craft Advisory will likely be required for portions of the marine area, especially over the Gulf waters by Tuesday night continuing through Wednesday night with small craft exercising caution elsewhere. /12

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. AL . None. FL . None. MS . None. GM . None.

This product is also available on the web at: http://weather.gov/mob


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 6 mi55 min N 5.1 G 8 62°F 60°F1021.5 hPa
PPTA1 26 mi43 min 59°F 1021.7 hPa
42012 - Orange Beach AL Buoy 36 mi33 min N 12 G 16 59°F 67°F1021.5 hPa57°F
WBYA1 37 mi55 min 61°F
WKXA1 - Weeks Bay Reserve, AL 37 mi88 min 59°F 1022 hPa53°F
MHPA1 - Meaher Park, AL 45 mi43 min N 4.1 57°F 1022.4 hPa

Wind History for Pensacola, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Pensacola - Pensacola International Airport, FL4 mi80 minNNE 610.00 miMostly Cloudy64°F55°F73%1021.7 hPa
Pensacola Naval Air Station, FL13 mi2.3 hrsN 810.00 miMostly Cloudy63°F55°F78%1022.2 hPa
Hurlburt Field, FL24 mi78 minN 1010.00 miOvercast62°F55°F78%1021.2 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KPNS

Wind History from PNS (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE6S5SW7CalmCalmCalmNE4N5CalmNE3N7N6N6N6N6N6N6NE7N7NE8N6N9N6N8
1 day agoS6S6S6CalmE3CalmE4E3E3E4CalmNE4E3CalmCalmCalmCalmNE7CalmE6E4E8SE10S8
2 days agoNW6W7NW6N3N5NW4N4CalmCalmNW3NW5N5N4N3N5N4N3N5N4N4CalmCalmS64

Tide / Current Tables for Lora Point, Escambia Bay, Pensacola Bay, Florida
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Lora Point
Click for Map
Sat -- 02:05 AM CST     Moonset
Sat -- 06:32 AM CST     Sunrise
Sat -- 07:41 AM CST     0.38 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 02:09 PM CST     Moonrise
Sat -- 04:47 PM CST     Sunset
Sat -- 09:15 PM CST     1.02 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.80.70.60.50.50.40.40.40.40.40.40.40.40.40.50.50.60.70.80.91111

Tide / Current Tables for Pensacola, Florida
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Pensacola
Click for Map
Sat -- 02:05 AM CST     Moonset
Sat -- 06:32 AM CST     Sunrise
Sat -- 06:38 AM CST     0.31 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 02:10 PM CST     Moonrise
Sat -- 04:47 PM CST     Sunset
Sat -- 08:39 PM CST     0.85 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.60.50.50.40.40.30.30.30.30.30.30.30.40.40.40.50.60.70.70.80.80.80.80.7

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Mobile/Pensacola, FL (14,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Northwest Florida
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.