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Marine Weather and Tides Milton, FL Version 3.4

NOTICE 12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed. 10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones. 9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them. 7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

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Sunrise 6:40AM

Sunset 5:22PM

Tuesday January 28, 2020 10:18 PM CST (04:18 UTC)

Moonrise 10:10AM

Moonset 9:53PM

Illumination 17%

NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Milton, FL

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Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL

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FXUS64 KMOB 282321 AAA AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion . UPDATED National Weather Service Mobile AL 521 PM CST Tue Jan 28 2020

DISCUSSION. Updated for latest aviation discussion below.

AVIATION. 00Z issuance . Scattered to numerous showers advancing from the west will shift eastward across the area late tonight into Wednesday. VFR conditions trend gradually lower to IFR/MVFR ceilings during the day on Wednesday. Light and variable winds this evening become easterly 5 to 10 knots overnight, slightly stronger near the coast, then become northeasterly by Wednesday afternoon. /29

PREV DISCUSSION. /issued 322 PM CST Tue Jan 28 2020/

NEAR TERM /Now Through Wednesday night/ . High pressure ridge over the forecast area today will be shifting off to the east tonight as an area of surface low pressure currently over the southern Plains states slides east over southern LA. Models generally consistent in indicating that the low will be over south central or southeastern LA by around 6 AM Wednesday, and then move east-southeast along the MS/AL/FL panhandle coast (or just offshore) during the course of the day.

With this, most of the forecast area will be on the cooler and more stable side of the system as the low and associated warm front will be mainly offshore. The mid/upper level trough associated with this system is expected to be oriented just to the west of the MS River by 6 AM Wednesday, and then moving east across our area during the day on Wednesday. A couple of shortwave disturbances are expected to round the base of the trough, providing some additional dynamics along with the isentropic lifting that will be in place across the region. As the frontal wave of low pressure tracks east over southern Louisiana tonight, PWATS increase to around 1.00" across most of the area by daybreak Wednesday. Rain chances will be low this evening through late tonight, then the increasing isentropic lift (seen in the 290-300K layer) associated with the approaching trough will result in scattered to likely PoPs moving in from the west during the pre-dawn hours Wednesday.

By Wednesday morning, warm front extending out from the weak surface low near the LA coast southeast to near the FL Keys moves slowly north during the day, but is expected to remain mostly offshore. Mid-level lapse rates are expected to range from 6.6 to 7.1°C/KM over the Gulf coast region on Wednesday, which may support isolated rumbles of thunder, but convection looks to be elevated with the warm front remaining positioned to the south. MUCAPE values will remain rather low (generally well below 500 J/KG with SBCAPE values even lower). Therefore only general thunderstorms expected, with no strong to severe storms. Some lingering showers early Wednesday evening, but precipitation is expected to be ending across our area by midnight.

Lows tonight expected to range from the low to mid 40s over inland locations, but closer to 50 degrees along the coast. A little cooler once again on Wednesday with all the clouds and rain expected, with highs mainly in the low to mid 50s over inland areas and upper 50s to lower 60s near and along the coast. /12

SHORT TERM /Thursday Through Friday night/ . Axis of mid-level ridge of high pressure moves over the central Gulf coast Thursday leading to rain-free weather. Upstream, long-wave upper trof sets up over the Plains to close out the week. A lead impulse ejects eastward out of TX Thursday night with enhanced ascent operating on deeper Gulf moisture also spreading east over the Gulf coast bringing an upward trend in PoPs Thursday night into Friday. PoPs to categorical (>80%) Friday. Wave of frontal low pressure over the central Gulf is progged to track eastward with rains tapering off into Friday night. Instability is expected to remain weak with any convection primarily over the open Gulf waters, in closer proximity to the low track.

Daily highs in the upper 50s to lower 60s would be very close to seasonal normals. Overnight lows will be cool but well above what we normally see to close out the month of January. /10

LONG TERM /Saturday Through Tuesday/ . Drier pattern over the weekend with upper trof axis moving eastward over the southeast to off into the west Atlantic. An upper ridge advances east over the area Sunday. Long range global models show next southern stream storm system lifting northeast up across TX and into the Lower MS River Valley Monday. Although energy deamplifies as it lifts up across the OH River Valley Monday night, a potentially active high level southwest flow aloft atop the area suggests a period of unsettled weather early next week.

Surface high pressure over TX Saturday builds east over the Gulf coast Sunday making steady eastward progress off into the southwest Atlantic early next week. As this occurs, an evolving southerly flow early next week causes highs and lows to trend warmer and well above climatology. /10

MARINE . A very progressive pattern continues over the coastal waters this week as a series of low pressure areas move east across or near the marine area. Light east to southeast winds over the marine area late this afternoon through tonight, increasing and shifting from southeast through southwest as an area of low pressure approaches from the west and moves east across the marine area during the day on Wednesday. For now it appears winds and seas will be high end SCEC (winds 15 to 20 knots and gusty with seas offshore up to around 6 feet) with the passage of this system, but we will have to see if future model runs indicate a need for a short duration SCA. Winds and seas will of course be locally higher in and near scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms over the marine area on Wednesday. /12

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. AL . None. FL . None. MS . None. GM . None.

This product is also available on the web at: http://weather.gov/mob

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Weather Reporting Stations

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Stations	Dist	Age	Wind	Air Temp	Water Temp	Waves	Pressure	DewPt
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL	17 mi	48 min	Calm G 1	54°F			1015.9 hPa
PPTA1	36 mi	48 min		60°F			1015.9 hPa
WBYA1	44 mi	48 min			59°F
WKXA1 - Weeks Bay Reserve, AL	44 mi	93 min		47°F			1015 hPa	46°F
42012 - Orange Beach AL Buoy	47 mi	28 min	ESE 16 G 18	64°F	65°F	2 ft	1015.4 hPa	45°F
MHPA1 - Meaher Park, AL	48 mi	48 min	E 1.9	54°F			1015.6 hPa

Wind History for Pensacola, FL

(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help

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SW1 G6

E4 G8

E3 G6

E5 G9

NE2 G6

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Airport Reports

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Airport	Dist	Age	Wind kt	Visibility	Sky/Weather	Temp	DewPt	Humidity	Pressure
Milton, Whiting Field South, FL	7 mi	82 min	ENE 3	10.00 mi	A Few Clouds	47°F	42°F	83%	1014.3 hPa
Milton - Whiting Field Naval Air Station North, FL	8 mi	82 min	N 0	10.00 mi	Partly Cloudy	43°F	39°F	89%	1014.4 hPa
Pensacola - Pensacola International Airport, FL	13 mi	85 min	ENE 5	10.00 mi	Fair	51°F	44°F	77%	1015.4 hPa
Hurlburt Field, FL	22 mi	82 min	N 3	10.00 mi	Fair	45°F	41°F	86%	1015.1 hPa
Pensacola Naval Air Station, FL	23 mi	82 min	N 0	10.00 mi	Partly Cloudy	45°F	44°F	97%	1015.5 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KNDZ

Wind History from NDZ (wind in knots)

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SE10 G16

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Tide / Current Tables for Milton, Blackwater River, Pensacola Bay, Florida

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Tide / Current Tables for Lora Point, Escambia Bay, Pensacola Bay, Florida

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Weather Map

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GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East

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Wind Forecast for Mobile/Pensacola, FL (23,6,7,8)

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Ground Weather Radar Station Northwest Florida

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Gulf Stream Current

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