Sunrise 6:15 AM   Sunset 7:32 PM Moonrise 10:31 PM   Moonset 7:43 AM

  Print   HELP   Reset   Save   Recall

GMZ532 Mississippi Sound- 355 Am Cdt Fri Apr 26 2024
.small craft advisory in effect from this afternoon through Sunday morning - .
Today - Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots with gusts up to 25 knots. Waves 2 to 4 feet. Tonight - Southeast winds 20 to 25 knots. Waves 3 to 4 feet. Saturday - Southeast winds 20 to 25 knots, diminishing to 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon. Waves 4 to 5 feet. Saturday night - Southeast winds 25 to 30 knots, diminishing to 20 to 25 knots after midnight. Waves 4 to 5 feet. Sunday - Southeast winds 25 to 30 knots, diminishing to 20 to 25 knots in the afternoon. Waves 4 to 5 feet. Sunday night - Southeast winds 25 to 30 knots, diminishing to 20 to 25 knots after midnight. Waves 4 to 5 feet. Monday - Southeast winds 20 to 25 knots, diminishing to around 15 knots in the afternoon. Waves 3 to 4 feet. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Monday night - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Waves 2 to 3 feet. Tuesday - Southeast winds around 10 knots. Waves around 2 feet. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Tuesday night - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves around 2 feet.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.

GMZ500 355 Am Cdt Fri Apr 26 2024
Synopsis for pascagoula to atchafalaya river out 60 nm -
with high pressure well off to our northeast and a deepening surface low along the lee side of the rockies is leading to a tightening of the pressure gradient across the coastal waters. A second surface low will develop tomorrow and deepen as it moves across the plains and into the upper mississippi valley Sunday. In addition the high in the atlantic will slide south and become centered east of the carolinas. This will keep if not strengthen the gradient across the area leading to additional strong southeast winds. This alone will keep small craft advisory conditions in place beginning today and through the weekend but with 72 to maybe 96 hours of persistent southeast winds there will be a large fetch across the gulf with seas likely higher than typical for the winds we will see. It will also lead to some coastal flooding concerns.

FXUS64 KMOB 261141 AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 641 AM CDT Fri Apr 26 2024

New AVIATION

AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 641 AM CDT Fri Apr 26 2024

Patchy to areas of fog have developed across portions of the western FL panhandle and south central AL early this morning with visibility locally reduced to IFR to LIFR thresholds. Observations from KMOB/KBFM/KJKA/KPNS are currently reporting good visibility as of 1130Z. Patchy fog should lift by around 13-14Z. VFR is expected to prevail today. Southeasterly winds will increase to 10-15 knots with some gusts over 20 knots across most of the region late this morning into this afternoon. /21

PREV DISCUSSION
/issued 523 AM CDT Fri Apr 26 2024/

New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE

NEAR AND SHORT TERM...
(Now through Sunday night)
Issued at 523 AM CDT Fri Apr 26 2024

Upper level ridging continues to build eastward across the north central Gulf Coast region early this morning, while a surface ridge of high pressure extends along much of the Eastern Seaboard.
Skies have generally been mostly clear through the night, but satellite imagery shows increasing high level cloud cover spreading into MS. Patchy fog has developed across portions of south central AL and the western FL panhandle, with the lowest visibilities of 1/4 to 1/2 mile impacting Crestview and Eglin Duke Field as of 430 AM CDT. Patchy fog will linger for a few more hours before lifting around or after sunrise.

The upper level ridge axis will slowly advance eastward from the north central Gulf Coast region and Tennessee Valley to across the eastern and southeastern U.S. late tonight into Saturday. The mid to upper level flow pattern will transition southwesterly across our forecast area through the weekend behind the advancing ridge axis and also well ahead of an upper level trough that will slowly move from the Rocky Mountains and into the Plains. Deep layer subsidence underneath the ridge axis will keep the weather dry across our area through the weekend. The MSLP gradient will increase over our region this weekend between surface ridging over the western Atlantic/Eastern Seaboard and low pressure over the Plains. Breezy southeasterly winds will prevail over our forecast area through the weekend with speeds of 10-20 mph and gusts up to 25-35 mph possible. Temperatures will remain warm with afternoon highs ranging in the lower to mid 80s over inland locations and in the mid 70s to near 80 degrees along the coast each day today through Sunday. Lows remain mild in the upper 50s to lower 60s over inland locations and in the mid 60s to near 70 degrees along the immediate coast and beaches.

For beach interests: The rip current risk starts off LOW this morning, but will ramp up to a MODERATE risk tonight followed by a HIGH risk of dangerous rip currents this weekend into early next week given the persistent southeasterly flow and increasing swell.
Confidence continues to increase that surf will also build along the Alabama and western Florida panhandle beaches this weekend, with surf breakers up to 4-7 feet possible Saturday night through Sunday night. A High Surf Advisory may be issued later today or tonight if confidence in these trends continues to increase. /21

LONG TERM...
(Monday through Thursday)
Issued at 523 AM CDT Fri Apr 26 2024

No significant changes were made to the extended forecast. A shortwave trough within southwesterly flow aloft will translate from the ArkLaTex vicinity early Monday morning to across the Lower Mississippi and Tennessee Valley Monday afternoon into Monday night. Moisture and ascent ahead of this feature may become sufficient to aid in the development of isolated to scattered shower and thunderstorm activity across southeast MS and portions of southwest AL Monday afternoon and evening. Another shortwave impulse arrives by Tuesday with another potential for isolated to scattered convection over this same general area again on Tuesday.
Upper level ridging may otherwise tend to build back over the forecast area Wednesday and Thursday, keeping generally dry weather conditions in the forecast both days. Warm temperatures will prevail through the week, with highs mostly in the 80s and lows mostly in the upper 50s to lower 60s inland and in the mid 60s to near 70 degrees along the immediate coast and beaches. /21

MARINE...
Issued at 523 AM CDT Fri Apr 26 2024

Southeasterly flow will increase over the marine area late this week and especially into the upcoming weekend. A Small Craft Advisory has been issued for much of the marine area from Saturday morning through late Sunday night as southeasterly winds average between 15-25 kt with gusts up to around 30 kt. Seas also look to build to 6-9 ft over the Gulf waters Saturday night into Sunday.
/21

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Mobile 83 66 82 66 81 65 82 64 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 Pensacola 79 67 78 68 78 67 79 65 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Destin 78 68 79 68 78 68 79 66 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Evergreen 85 61 84 61 85 59 86 59 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 Waynesboro 86 63 84 63 85 61 85 62 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 30 20 Camden 85 62 83 62 83 60 85 60 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 Crestview 85 61 84 61 85 59 84 58 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...High Rip Current Risk from Saturday morning through late Monday night for ALZ265-266.

FL...High Rip Current Risk from Saturday morning through late Monday night for FLZ202-204-206.

MS...None.
GM...Small Craft Advisory from 7 AM Saturday to 4 AM CDT Monday for GMZ630>634-650-655-670-675.

toggle option: (graph/table)

Gulfport
Click for Map
Fri -- 06:17 AM CDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 07:44 AM CDT     Moonset
Fri -- 12:29 PM CDT     1.96 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:31 PM CDT     Sunset
Fri -- 10:07 PM CDT     -0.07 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 10:30 PM CDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Gulfport, Gulfport Harbor, Mississippi, Tide feet

Biloxi
Click for Map
Fri -- 06:16 AM CDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 07:43 AM CDT     Moonset
Fri -- 11:58 AM CDT     2.06 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:30 PM CDT     Sunset
Fri -- 10:29 PM CDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 11:23 PM CDT     -0.48 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Biloxi, Biloxi Bay, Mississippi, Tide feet

Full Color Weather Map

Link to Loop


Other links: GEOS-West     Contential US     Full GOES-East

Mobile, AL,