Sunday, February28, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Red Level, AL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:11AMSunset 5:45PM Sunday February 28, 2021 10:39 PM CST (04:39 UTC) Moonrise 8:25PMMoonset 8:21AM Illumination 94% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 17 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ635 Western Choctawhatchee Bay-eastern Choctawhatchee Bay- 857 Pm Cst Sun Feb 28 2021
.dense fog advisory in effect until noon cst Monday...
Rest of tonight..South winds 8 to 13 knots becoming 5 to 10 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Areas of dense fog. Slight chance of showers after midnight.
Monday..Southwest winds 3 to 8 knots with gusts to around 20 knots becoming southeast 8 to 13 knots with gusts to around 20 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Areas of dense fog in the morning. Chance of showers in the morning, then showers likely and slight chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Monday night..Northeast winds 8 to 13 knots increasing to 13 to 18 knots. Gusts up to 25 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Tuesday..Northeast winds 13 to 18 knots becoming southeast 10 to 15 knots. Gusts up to 25 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms in the morning, then showers and chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Tuesday night..South winds 8 to 13 knots becoming west. Gusts up to 20 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms in the evening, then chance of showers after midnight.
Wednesday..Northwest winds 8 to 13 knots with gusts to around 20 knots diminishing to northwest 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Wednesday night..North winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Thursday..North winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Thursday night..North winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Friday..Northeast winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Friday night..North winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves less than 1 foot. Slight chance of showers.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 857 Pm Cst Sun Feb 28 2021
Synopsis..Light to at times moderate onshore flow will continue through Monday. SEa fog is also expected to develop once again this evening and persist through Monday morning. A cold front will move over area waters Monday night, bringing variable flow before winds become moderate to strong out of the east-northeast Monday night into Tuesday. Moderate southerly flow is then expected by Tuesday evening before the passage of a storm system brings a moderate northerly flow for midweek.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Red Level, AL
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location: 31.33, -86.73     debug


Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
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FXUS64 KMOB 010358 AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 958 PM CST Sun Feb 28 2021

NEAR TERM /Now Through Tuesday/. If you were hoping for nice dry weather than skip this section or try a different AFD as the next 48 hours will be marked with several rounds of rain. The main upper level players are a weakening upper trough that will lift out of the great lakes region on Monday, a upper level low ejecting east out of the four corners region, and a substantial upper level high that is quite happy with its current Bahamian vacation. Given the strength of this upper ridge and the two systems to the north, southwesterly flow will continue to drive plentiful Gulf moisture over the area through Tuesday. At the surface, a slow moving cold front adjacent to a weak surface low moving across Wisconsin and into Canada will slowly move in from the northwest on Monday. This boundary will provide a surface focus for precip with light showers and potentially a thunderstorm or two ahead of it. As the front moves south during the afternoon, precip behind the front will taper off but not fully come to a stop with showers and light rain. Overall the upper forcing is well displaced to the north and lifting out of the area, thus a heavy rain threat is not really expected on Monday. By Monday night, the front will move offshore and stall just off the immediate coast. Rain chances will remain elevated right along the coast with lower rain chances inland, but don't worry that will chance on Tuesday.

If you remember there was that upper level low centered over the four corners region. Well it will be its time to shine on Tuesday as the system moves into eastern Oklahoma and Western Arkansas. As the system moves across the region, a weak surface wave/low will develop along the stalled cold front over southern Louisiana and track east along the Gulf Coast. Ahead of this surface low, the stalled boundary will surge northward towards the coast. Showers and a few thunderstorms will likely develop as isentropic ascent increases north of the boundary. Rain will continue as the surface and adjacent upper low move east. Rain will continue into Tuesday night. Now given the rather rich moisture, a slow moving surface focus for precip, and much better synoptic ascent, heavy rainfall could become an issues especially along and north of the surface boundary where overrunning and training storms could lead to localized rainfall issues. Luckily this overlap appears to occur in our far northwestern counties such as Crenshaw, Butler, Wilcox and Monroe counties in Alabama. Historically speaking these areas tend to be a little less vulnerable to flash flooding and given flash flood guidance remains rather high across the area (3 to 4 inches over 3 hours) the main issue would likely be localized nuisance flooding. As a result, areas along and north of highway 84 are under a marginal risk for excessive rainfall. 1 to 3 inches of rainfall could be expected through Tuesday and into Tuesday night. Also late Tuesday afternoon, we will have to watch the surface warm front closely as it approaches the Florida Panhandle. Shear is plentiful in this area given the location of the surface low and upper trough. The question as usual will be if any instability can actually make it onshore during the late afternoon and early evening hours. Given the heavy rainfall expected north of the boundary and decent reinforcing winds, it will likely be difficult for the boundary to make it onshore. Nonetheless, if it does sneak onshore from Pensacola to about Destin a strong storm with damaging winds cannot be ruled out. Unlikely, but we have seen crazier things happen.

The one bit of good news is that we have one more night of dense fog to deal with and then it should be done for the foreseeable future. Areas of dense fog have developed tonight and coastal observations already reflect this. Fog should continue to build northward throughout the night with most of our coastal counties seeing dense fog into the mid-morning hours. Patchy fog with some localized dense fog as far north as highway 84. Fog will mix out by mid-morning except possibly along the immediate coast; however, the increasing rain and approaching front will clear it out for good around noon.

Temperatures will be warm with highs south of the front in the mid 70s. Lows will quickly drop off on Monday night as the front pushes through and northerly winds advect lower dewpoints into the area. Nighttime lows will be in the 50s across the area. Highs on Tuesday will be cooler with highs in the mid 50s to near 60 along the coast. A few coastal locations along the Florida Panhandle could sneak up into the mid 60s if the surface boundary can get north of the coast during the afternoon. Lastly, a high risk of rip currents will continue through Monday. BB/03



MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. AL . Dense Fog Advisory from midnight tonight to 9 AM CST Monday for ALZ261>266.

High Rip Current Risk through Monday afternoon for ALZ265-266.

FL . Dense Fog Advisory from midnight tonight to 9 AM CST Monday for FLZ201>206.

High Rip Current Risk through Monday afternoon for FLZ202-204- 206.

MS . Dense Fog Advisory from midnight tonight to 9 AM CST Monday for MSZ078-079.

GM . Dense Fog Advisory until noon CST Monday for GMZ630>636-650-655.

Small Craft Advisory from 6 PM Monday to 6 PM CST Tuesday for GMZ650-655-670-675.



This product is also available on the web at: http://weather.gov/mob


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 69 mi51 min Calm G 1 69°F 64°F1017.1 hPa
OBLA1 - 8737048 - Mobile State Docks, AL 82 mi51 min 68°F 54°F1016.6 hPa

Wind History for Pensacola, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Andalusia, Andalusia-Opp Municipal Airport, AL17 mi43 minVar 310.00 miOvercast73°F67°F81%1016.6 hPa
Evergreen, Middleton Field, AL18 mi46 minSSW 810.00 miOvercast74°F67°F79%1016.2 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for K79J

Wind History from 79J (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr34CalmS4333CalmCalm--3S5S8
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1 day agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmE3Calm3464S4CalmW46S43S3CalmCalm
2 days agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSE3CalmCalmCalmE34S5SW4--W5SW3CalmSW3S4454CalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Milton, Blackwater River, Pensacola Bay, Florida
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Milton
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:16 AM CST     1.12 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:15 AM CST     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:21 AM CST     Moonset
Sun -- 11:31 AM CST     -0.02 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 05:46 PM CST     Sunset
Sun -- 07:27 PM CST     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.11.11.110.90.70.60.40.20.10-0-0000.10.10.20.20.30.30.40.50.6

Tide / Current Tables for Bay Point, Blackwater River, Pensacola Bay, Florida
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Bay Point
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:59 AM CST     1.12 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:15 AM CST     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:21 AM CST     Moonset
Sun -- 11:11 AM CST     -0.02 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 05:46 PM CST     Sunset
Sun -- 07:26 PM CST     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.11.11.110.90.70.50.30.20.10-0-000.10.10.20.20.20.30.40.50.60.7

Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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