Friday, December13, 2019
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Marine Weather and Tides
Milan, GA

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:23AMSunset 5:28PM Friday December 13, 2019 2:37 AM EST (07:37 UTC) Moonrise 7:02PMMoonset 8:40AM Illumination 98% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 16 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Milan, GA
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location: 31.95, -83.02     debug


Area Discussion for - Peachtree City, GA
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FXUS62 KFFC 130635 AFDFFC

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Peachtree City GA 135 AM EST Fri Dec 13 2019


PREV DISCUSSION. /Issued 620 PM EST Thu Dec 12 2019/

.00Z Aviation Forecast Discussion.

SHORT TERM /Tonight through Friday Night/ . Low-level Warm air advection combined with moist S-SW flow have begun to produce scattered showers behind a dense cloud shield that will stay in place throughout the short term period. With a strong warm nose in place and temperatures above freezing only rain is expected, however, dewpoints may be low enough that evaporative cooling could drop temperatures enough in elevations over 2500 feet for an outside chance of freezing rain. Minimal to no impacts are expected, however, given current warm temperatures today warming road surfaces.

Rainfall will be more widespread and heavier tomorrow with the approach of a mid-level shortwave trough bringing positive differential vorticity advection over the area. Some elevated thunderstorms may be possible for central Georgia, but chances are limited. Overall, 1-2 inches could be possible for central and eastern Georgia and 0.5-1 inches possible elsewhere, with locally higher amounts possible. Highs mostly in the mid-40s expected tomorrow area-wide.

Thiem

LONG TERM /Saturday through Thursday/ . Only tweaks to the long term based on the latest guidance.

BDL

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION . The primary trough will be pushing into the forecast area Friday night into Saturday morning as the northern Gulf of Mexico surface low lifts northeast across southern/southeastern Georgia. Widespread rainfall can be expected at least through the first half of the night, though coverage should diminish form west to east through Saturday morning as the trough axis swings northeastward. Based on the expected track of the surface low, slight chance thunder was introduced for the southern reaches of the CWA where sufficient instability will be relegated. At this time, the warm sector will likely primarily be limited south and east of the CWA where SPC has introduced a Day 3 Marginal Risk that brushes our far southeast counties. However, an isolated strong thunderstorm with gusty winds cannot be ruled out in these far southeast counties. Rain will largely come to an end for most of the area Saturday with the exception of a few lingering showers possible in far north Georgia.

Sunday will be bring dry and mild conditions as upper flow becomes zonal ahead of the next wave that will be swinging eastward into the Plains by Monday morning. This will lead to the development of the next surface low and associated cold front that will begin to approach the area by Monday. The ECMWF supports earlier precip arrival with showers increasing especially for north Georgia through Monday afternoon and evening. The cold front will push through the area through the day Tuesday with with high PoPs concentrated as the front progresses southeastward. As PWs increase to around/over 1.5", healthy rainfall totals over 1-1.5" are forecast, specifically in north Georgia.

The cold front will sweep east of the area by Tuesday night with surface high pressure bringing dry and cooler conditions midweek next week.

RW


AVIATION. 06Z Update . IFR to LIFR ceilings with rain expected through this TAF period. Ceilings expected to stay in the 400 to 1000ft range with rain continuing across the area through Sat morning. Winds will stay out of the E to SE in the 06-12kt range. VSBYs will be up and down but stay mainly in the MVFR range. Will see brief periods of VFR and IFR VSBYs but that will be highly dependent on where the stronger showers are through the day.

//ATL Confidence . 06Z Update . Confidence is medium to high on all elements.

01

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS. Athens 44 43 59 40 / 80 80 20 0 Atlanta 45 45 57 40 / 70 80 20 0 Blairsville 48 42 51 34 / 80 80 40 20 Cartersville 48 44 57 38 / 80 80 20 0 Columbus 52 48 63 41 / 80 70 20 0 Gainesville 44 43 56 38 / 80 80 20 5 Macon 49 48 63 40 / 90 70 20 0 Rome 47 45 57 38 / 80 80 20 0 Peachtree City 47 45 59 38 / 80 80 20 0 Vidalia 54 53 66 43 / 80 80 20 0

FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NONE.

SHORT TERM . 01 LONG TERM . RW AVIATION . 01


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Eastman, Heart of Georgia Regional Airport, GA19 mi63 minNNE 32.00 miUnknown Precip42°F41°F97%1025.1 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KEZM

Wind History from EZM (wind in knots)
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1 day agoNW3NW3CalmN6CalmN3N4N5N6NW7N5N4N4CalmCalmCalmNE3NE3NE4NE5NE5E5NE5NE5
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Tide / Current Tables for Buffalo River entrance, Turtle River, Georgia
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Buffalo River entrance
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Fri -- 03:25 AM EST     -0.43 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:16 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:32 AM EST     Moonset
Fri -- 10:05 AM EST     9.51 feet High Tide
Fri -- 04:02 PM EST     -0.02 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 05:24 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 06:57 PM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 10:29 PM EST     7.86 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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5.43.21.1-0.3-0.213.25.57.699.597.45.22.90.9-00.51.93.85.77.17.87.7

Tide / Current Tables for Dillard Creek, Turtle River, Georgia
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Dillard Creek
Click for Map
Fri -- 03:29 AM EST     -0.43 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:16 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:32 AM EST     Moonset
Fri -- 10:00 AM EST     9.51 feet High Tide
Fri -- 04:06 PM EST     -0.02 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 05:24 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 06:57 PM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 10:24 PM EST     7.86 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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5.33.21.2-0.2-0.313.15.67.799.58.97.35.22.90.9-00.41.93.85.77.17.87.7

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Peachtree City, GA (2,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Robins AFB, GA
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.