Thursday, December12, 2019
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Marine Weather and Tides
Payne Springs, TX

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:15AMSunset 5:23PM Thursday December 12, 2019 8:09 AM CST (14:09 UTC) Moonrise 6:00PMMoonset 7:36AM Illumination 99% Phase: Full Moon; Moon at 16 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Payne Springs, TX
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location: 32.29, -96.11     debug


Area Discussion for - Fort Worth, TX
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FXUS64 KFWD 121140 AFDFWD

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 540 AM CST Thu Dec 12 2019

AVIATION. /12Z TAFs/

A stratus deck over South Central and Southeast Texas continues to dissipate as it attempts to spread north, so the morning MVFR group has been removed from the KACT forecast. VFR and light south winds are expected at all locations through early Friday. A surface low and weak front will approach from the northwest on Friday, hence the additional line in the extended portion of the DFW TAF indicating veering winds ahead of the system. One-line TAFs should suffice for the rest of the sites at this time.

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SHORT TERM. /Issued 240 AM CST Thu Dec 12 2019/ /Today and Tonight/

Water vapor and IR imagery reveal a shortwave trough crossing the Texas - New Mexico border early this morning. This system will continue eastward across the Southern Plains today, producing little more than high cloud cover. Night fog imagery indicates a swath of meager moisture return over Southeast Texas in the form of a northward-expanding deck of stratus, generated by return flow ahead of the approaching system. These clouds will reach Central Texas this morning but should become more disperse the farther north they advance. Winds will veer and clouds will become shunted off to the east later today as the disturbance moves quickly east across the Plains, leading to a partly to mostly sunny day with seasonable temperatures. Southerly surface winds and slightly higher dewpoints will keep tonight's temperatures a few degrees above last nights readings, with lows in the upper 30s to lower 40s.

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LONG TERM. /Issued 240 AM CST Thu Dec 12 2019/ /Friday through Wednesday/

The end of the week through the upcoming weekend and into next week look to be generally quiet with only one quick shot for some rainfall. Friday morning, we'll start off beneath northwest flow aloft with a fast moving disturbance swinging through the Southern Plains. A weak area of surface low pressure will move across North Texas resulting in light southerly winds becoming northerly with a weak front sliding into the area early Saturday. There really won't be any appreciable temperature change behind the front with perhaps only some passing cloud cover.

Weak shortwave ridging will prevail Saturday into Sunday within generally zonal flow aloft. A strong shortwave will move into the 4-corners region by late Sunday though and surface pressures will fall in advance of this feature. This should lead to an increase in southerly winds late Sunday with fairly stout warm advection occurring well into the nighttime hours. An increase in cloud cover is expected during this time, although a surge in moisture will be displaced just to our north and east. As the strong shortwave kicks out into the Plains Sunday night, a deep surface low should track to near Wichita Falls before racing northeast toward Tulsa by early Monday morning. A strong cold front will slide southward through western Oklahoma and into North Texas during the day Monday. To the east of the surface low and cold front, we could see a few scattered showers and perhaps a thunderstorm as early as late Sunday night into Monday morning. The best chances for rainfall will be east of I-35.

This system quickly races eastward on Monday with rain chances diminishing as the front moves through. Highs on Monday will range from the 40s in the northwest to the upper 50s in the southeast. High pressure will quickly build in behind the front with Monday night being cold and most areas dropping to freezing or below. The remainder of the week looks quiet with temperatures remaining in the 50s for highs through Thursday. We'll keep an eye on another potential system by next Friday which could bring some additional rain chances.

Dunn

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS. Dallas-Ft. Worth 56 42 63 42 64 / 0 0 0 0 0 Waco 57 40 68 40 67 / 0 0 0 0 0 Paris 53 39 59 38 59 / 0 0 5 0 0 Denton 55 40 62 39 62 / 0 0 0 0 0 McKinney 54 41 61 40 62 / 0 0 0 0 0 Dallas 56 42 63 42 64 / 0 0 0 0 0 Terrell 55 40 64 40 64 / 0 0 0 0 0 Corsicana 57 42 64 41 65 / 0 0 0 0 0 Temple 58 39 70 42 68 / 0 0 0 0 0 Mineral Wells 57 38 63 38 64 / 0 0 0 0 0

FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. None.

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Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Corsicana, Campbell Field-Corsicana Municipal Airport, TX24 mi16 minE 410.00 miFair37°F33°F86%1027.8 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KCRS

Wind History from CRS (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE5SE5SE54E4Calm4SE5SE4CalmCalmE3E4SE6SE5SE6SE4SE6SE6SE5S3CalmE4E4
1 day agoN9N6N10N10N9N11N9N6N7N5N3NE3N4NE3NE4E9E6NE7E4NE3CalmCalmE6E3
2 days agoSW14SW16SW12SW12NW13--W12
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Fort Worth, TX (9,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.