Wednesday, August21, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Travis Ranch, TX

Version 3.4
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7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
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Sunrise 6:52AMSunset 8:06PM Wednesday August 21, 2019 7:24 AM CDT (12:24 UTC) Moonrise 10:42PMMoonset 11:13AM Illumination 67% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 21 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Travis Ranch, TX
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location: 32.81, -96.49     debug


Area Discussion for - Fort Worth, TX
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Fxus64 kfwd 211111
afdfwd
area forecast discussion
national weather service fort worth tx
611 am cdt Wed aug 21 2019

Aviation
12z tafs
concerns and challenges: none...VFR. I expect few-sct CU between
fl070-090 by late morning and continuing into this evening.

Any isolated TS or -shra to remain east of the airports once
again through nightfall. South winds will remain 10 knots or less
through the day, backing southeast briefly this evening.

05

Short term issued 309 am cdt Wed aug 21 2019
through tonight
though I prefer not to say this, I have no choice but to say you
can expect another hot and steamy day across north and central
texas this afternoon. Though the upper high across the region
weakens to 591 decameters, it also expands slightly. Temperatures
will rise to around the century mark once again across especially
those areas areas west of i-35 and along and north of i-20. Areas
east of i-35 will not mix out their surface dew point
temperatures quite as much with a little deeper low level moisture
within the boundary layer. As such, we are continuing the heat
advisory for areas along east of i-35 for this afternoon and early
evening.

In addition to the heat, forcing from a nebulous mid level impulse
embedded within the eastern periphery of our upper high will work
upon higher moisture content across east texas. Weak ascent from
this feature will combine with diurnal heating today for a few
pop up showers and tstorms once again across across our far E se
counties. A few showers were already ongoing with this feature
between emory and athens and will keep slight chances for a shower
or two through mid morning. Otherwise, south-southeast winds to
around 10 mph are expected for much of the area, though this won't
do much to quell the effects from the continuing heat.

By nightfall, a clear to partly forecast is expected with a
continuation of very warm and humid nocturnal conditions. While
lows in the mid-upper 70s will be the general rule across rural
areas, typical "heat island" areas will see lows only fall to
around 80 degrees. A weak and slow-moving cold front will be
setting up across north-central oklahoma with a few storms
popping up to our north. This activity is not expected to progress
far enough south to affect the immediate red river valley later
tonight.

05

Long term issued 309 am cdt Wed aug 21 2019
Thursday into next week
the long-term forecast is characterized by occasional (but modest)
chances for showers storms and near to slightly above normal
temperatures. Any significant cooldown may be delayed until late
next week -- just outside the range of this current forecast.

In the meantime, our persistent mid-level ridge will continue to
weaken overhead through the end of this week, thanks to the
influence of a pair of weak shortwave troughs near the ok ks
border. In turn, expect an increase in primarily diurnal activity
Friday into Saturday, with the highest chances focused near the
red river and across east texas. Highs will be slightly cooler as
well, although any relief will likely be minor, at best. Expect
most locations to still reach the mid to upper 90s.

Unfortunately, temperatures look to rebound some Sunday into
Monday, given the eastward departure of a broad trough and some
re-establishment of anticyclonic flow aloft. Indeed, several
locations may once again hit 100+ degrees on Monday. Additionally,
building heights aloft should quell any deeper convective
attempts, keeping conditions dry in most locales during the first
half of the week.

Deterministic and ensemble guidance continue to suggest a more
substantive pattern shift across the central CONUS around the
middle of next week, with the development of sharper cyclonic flow
across the central northern plains. Within this regime, a surface
front should be driven south towards north texas by next Wednesday
or Thursday. However, significant differences exist in model
solutions regarding the amplitude and timing of the mid-level
systems that would drive this front south. For now, it appears at
least some cooling trend should take shape by the middle end of
next week, with increasing chances for showers and storms as this
front crosses the region.

Picca

Preliminary point temps pops
Dallas-ft. Worth 100 80 99 79 98 5 5 0 5 20
waco 99 79 99 77 99 5 5 0 0 10
paris 99 76 95 75 93 20 20 5 5 30
denton 100 79 99 78 97 5 5 5 5 20
mckinney 99 78 98 78 97 5 5 0 5 20
dallas 101 81 99 80 98 5 5 0 5 20
terrell 100 78 100 78 100 10 10 0 0 20
corsicana 98 77 97 76 95 10 10 0 0 20
temple 99 77 98 76 97 5 5 5 0 10
mineral wells 100 76 99 75 98 0 0 5 5 20

Fwd watches warnings advisories
Heat advisory until 8 pm cdt this evening for txz092>095-103>107-
118>123-133>135-145>148-159>162-174-175.

05 11


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Mesquite, Mesquite Metro Airport, TX5 mi70 minESE 410.00 miFair76°F73°F93%1015.2 hPa
Terrell, Terrell Municipal Airport, TX14 mi92 minS 610.00 miFair79°F72°F79%1014.4 hPa
Dallas Love Field, TX19 mi92 minSSW 310.00 miFair83°F70°F65%1014 hPa
Lancaster Airport, TX20 mi70 minN 010.00 miFair76°F69°F80%1015.2 hPa
Dallas / Addison Airport, TX21 mi93 minSSW 510.00 miClear82°F69°F66%1015.2 hPa
Dallas, Redbird Airport, TX22 mi92 minN 010.00 miFair79°F69°F72%1013.8 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KHQZ

Wind History from HQZ (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmS4S4CalmSE4S7S7S8SE7SE7S9S7SE4SE4SE4----S6------S4SE4SE4
1 day agoSE6S12S11
G16
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SE10S7SE6SE6SE4------S3SE5SE4SE5--S3SE3
2 days agoS10
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SE8S8S8SE9SE8
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SE7SE5SE5SE5SE3SE5SE6--S7S4SE5S5

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Fort Worth, TX (8,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.