Sunday, August25, 2019

Marine Weather and Tides
Heath, TX

Version 3.4
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
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Sunrise 6:54AMSunset 8:01PM Sunday August 25, 2019 5:04 PM CDT (22:04 UTC) Moonrise 12:41AMMoonset 3:10PM Illumination 22% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 25 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Heath, TX
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location: 32.87, -96.44     debug

Area Discussion for - Fort Worth, TX
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Fxus64 kfwd 252020
area forecast discussion
national weather service fort worth tx
320 pm cdt Sun aug 25 2019

Short term
isolated showers and storms associated with a shortwave trough
should end by sunset, with all precipitation moving east into the
mississippi valley tonight. Light south winds, a strengthening
ridge aloft and a muggy surface layer will keep tonight's lows
between 75 and 80 degrees. Veering low level flow should shunt
stratus mainly to the east of the region, keeping skies mostly
clear this evening and overnight.


Long term
Monday onward
Monday is shaping up to be one of the most oppressive days of the
year in terms of heat and humidity. This will be due to a
deepening surface low across the texas panhandle region and a weak
upstream cold front, which will reposition the thermal ridge axis
eastward into our area. Some very warm 850mb temperatures should
result in afternoon highs reaching near 105f across our western
zones, with the remainder of the forecast area likely within a
couple degrees either side of 100f. In addition, afternoon
dewpoints in the mid 60s to low 70s will contribute to heat index
values in the 105-112 degree range. As a result, a heat advisory
has been issued for the entire CWA effective Monday afternoon.

The only bit of relief may be a more stout southerly breeze of
15-20 mph throughout the day, owing to the tightened pressure
gradient accompanying the deepening surface low to our northwest.

The heat advisory may need to be extended into Tuesday,
particularly for areas south of i-20, although there are a couple
of complicating factors regarding Tuesday's forecast that will
need to be ironed out first.

By Monday evening, a band of convection should develop through
south-central oklahoma along the approaching cold front. This
activity is expected to consolidate into perhaps a couple of
linear segments in the presence of ~20 kts of 0-3 km shear, and
move southward off the boundary into north texas sometime Tuesday
morning. However, the environment won't be terribly favorable for
mcs maintenance as any convective clusters move farther south,
due to weak and veered low-level flow ahead of the boundary along
with modest instability. We'll be monitoring mainly wind and
flooding threats overnight and into Tuesday morning, particularly
along and north of hwy 380. Some backbuilding of an MCS could
begin occurring in this region of 2"+ precipitable water, and
measured rain rates near 2" per hour will be a possibility.

Outflow from fairly widespread morning convection may force the
effective frontal zone to become repositioned farther south on
Tuesday afternoon, possibly leading to some additional isolated
development around the i-20 corridor. There will continue to be
the potential for a few strong or marginally severe storms during
the day, mainly owing to a small increase in deep-layer shear as
northwest flow aloft strengthens slightly. Widespread cloud cover
and lingering rainfall throughout the day should result in
substantially cooler conditions across parts of north texas, with
some locations struggling to make it out of the 80s. Meanwhile,
a majority of central texas should remain hot and mostly dry,
which may necessitate an extension of the heat advisory through
Tuesday afternoon for locations south of i-20.

A relative lull in precipitation is expected Tuesday night before
some renewed development occurs near the stalled frontal zone and
any residual outflows on Wednesday afternoon. Once again, decent
coverage of convection and cloud cover should hold highs a bit
below normal for much of north texas. A low-end strong severe
storm potential will continue through Wednesday with mainly a wind
threat. However, heavy rain will continue to be of concern,
particularly across areas that will have already received
rainfall on Tuesday.

Lower convective chances will prevail through the rest of the
workweek as the front beings to slowly lose its identity.

Temperatures will rebound a bit as well with less convective cloud
coverage during the daylight hours. The picture becomes less
clear heading into next weekend. Occasional operational model runs
and some individual ensembles attempt to bring a secondary front
into the area over the weekend that would deliver additional rain
chances and slightly cooler temperatures. However, this solution
hasn't been consistent enough to look like a promising bet at this
point. Have maintained some near-normal temperatures and low rain
chances through the remainder of the extended forecast.


Aviation issued 1245 pm cdt Sun aug 25 2019
18z tafs
scattered thunderstorms are expected from east texas eastward this
afternoon and evening associated with a shortwave trough.

Meanwhile, ridging aloft will continue to enter from the west,
essentially shutting off convection across the rest of the state.

Northeast arrivals and east departures from to dfw tracon may
occasionally be affected this afternoon, but convection will
diminish and shift off to the east this evening.VFR conditions
and light south winds are expected area-wide through tonight,
with somewhat breezier conditions (south winds 10-20 kt) expected
on Monday.


Preliminary point temps pops
Dallas-ft. Worth 80 102 81 95 76 5 0 10 50 40
waco 79 102 79 100 78 0 0 0 20 20
paris 74 98 75 86 71 5 5 20 60 50
denton 79 101 79 89 73 5 0 20 60 40
mckinney 78 101 79 89 74 5 5 20 60 40
dallas 81 102 82 94 76 5 0 10 50 40
terrell 78 101 80 93 76 5 5 10 40 30
corsicana 78 101 79 98 77 5 5 5 20 20
temple 78 102 79 100 76 0 0 0 10 20
mineral wells 76 103 77 97 72 5 0 10 30 40

Fwd watches warnings advisories
Heat advisory from 1 pm to 7 pm cdt Monday for txz091>095-

30 26

Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Mesquite, Mesquite Metro Airport, TX10 mi74 minE 510.00 miPartly Cloudy97°F66°F37%1008.1 hPa
Terrell, Terrell Municipal Airport, TX14 mi71 minE 810.00 miMostly Cloudy97°F69°F40%1007.2 hPa
Dallas / Addison Airport, TX22 mi77 minE 9 G 1410.00 miMostly Cloudy95°F68°F41%1007.8 hPa
Dallas Love Field, TX22 mi71 minSSE 610.00 miPartly Cloudy98°F68°F38%1006.4 hPa
McKinney - McKinney National Airport, TX23 mi71 minE 610.00 miPartly Cloudy94°F69°F44%1007.4 hPa
Greenville / Majors, TX24 mi69 minN 010.00 miMostly Cloudy99°F69°F39%1008.8 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KHQZ

Wind History from HQZ (wind in knots)
Last 24hrN12
1 day agoE4
2 days agoSE5SE10SE5SE5SE6SE5SE6S7S8S6S4S7S4CalmSE5S8S6S3CalmCalmN9

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Wind Forecast for Fort Worth, TX (18,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.