Wednesday, March3, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Lewisville, TX

Version 3.4
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1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:51AMSunset 6:28PM Wednesday March 3, 2021 6:07 PM CST (00:07 UTC) Moonrise 11:34PMMoonset 9:47AM Illumination 72% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 20 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Lewisville, TX
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location: 33.08, -96.96     debug


Area Discussion for - Fort Worth, TX
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FXUS64 KFWD 032358 AFDFWD

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 558 PM CST Wed Mar 3 2021

. New Short Term, Aviation .

SHORT TERM. /NEW/ /Tonight and Tomorrow/

A cool and clear night with a light south wind is expected across the region. Most of us will fall into the low to mid 40s, but occasionally gusty winds across the Big Country should keep temperatures in the upper 40s further west. An upper low currently over SoCal will gradually move over the Desert SW of the CONUS tonight and tomorrow. A leading shortwave will approach the area in the early morning hours from the west and create passing mid to high clouds for part of the day tomorrow.

Meanwhile, a deepening leeside low to our northwest will tighten the pressure gradient over the next 24-36 hours. This will be most evident tomorrow after the nocturnal inversion breaks around mid morning and allows breezy south winds to mix down to the surface. Gusty south winds should continue through the afternoon, steadily increasing in speed late in the day as the surface low organizes over the Central Plains. Warm advection brought on by the steady south wind will make tomorrow somewhat mild with highs in the 70s. Compressional warming ahead of a dryline over West Texas and the Big Country will allow the far western parts of our forecast area to climb into the upper 70s or even low 80s if the dryline advances further west than currently forecast.

While RH will be slightly higher tomorrow, cured fine fuels and gusty winds will create an elevated grass fire danger. The higher risk is along and west of I-35, but all of North & Central Texas should use caution if doing any burning or activity that could create a spark and ignite a grass fire.

Bonnette

LONG TERM. /Issued 409 PM CST Wed Mar 3 2021/ /Through This Weekend and Early Next Week/

A vigorous mid level low currently over Southern California will continue east and move east over the Central and Southern High Plains Thursday night, then open up and weaken as it drops southeast toward the Lower Mississippi Valley Friday evening. In advance of this system, strong southerly winds and increasing moisture/stratus east of I-35 Thursday night will help keep most areas up in the lower 50s, though some rural areas of East Texas and the Red River Valley may briefly drop into the upper 40s. The associated surface low will drop southeast across North & Central Texas on Friday, which will eventually shift occasionally gusty south/southeast winds, to briefly westerly across areas west of I-35 through midday, before going north or northwesterly behind a cold front. The downsloping/veered flow along/south of I-20 will lend to the warmest high temperatures from the mid 60s-lower 70s while areas along the Red River and in our northeast zones will be hard pressed to exceed 55-60 degrees. This will be due to more clouds, east-northeast winds to the northeast of the surface low.

These same areas north and east of the surface low and associated dryline moving through in advance of the late day cold front will also likely see the best moisture flux drawn northward from the GOM. Surface convergence along and ahead of the surface dryline will combine with impressive lift from the nearby, left-exit region of a 130-150 kt upper jet to provide isolated to scattered showers with either high-based or possibly elevated tstorms across the Red River Valley southeast into East Texas. Most of the better instability will be contained aloft with lapse rates between 7-8 deg C/km, however, a brief window for SBCAPE up to 500-700 J/KG may develop in advance of the surface dryline across mainly eastern Central Texas in the afternoon. With deep layer shear between 50-60 knots, we can't rule out a few strong storms across East Texas during the afternoon hours. The main threats would be mostly sub-severe hail, though we can't rule out a few storms with gusty winds across eastern Central Texas.

The surface low will exit southeast out of the CWA Friday evening with the cold front sweeping through. Lows Saturday morning will range from 40-45 degrees across the northwest to 45-50 degrees across Central Texas. Despite skies clearing from NE-SW with the departure of our mid level shortwave by afternoon, gusty northeast winds 10-15 mph and continued low level CAA will keep highs down into the lower-mid 60s for the area.

We begin to transition back to gusty south-southeast winds and warmer temperatures Sunday into early next week, as strong zonal flow aloft helps to intensify surface troughing along the Southern Rockies Lee. Temperatures pushing 70 degrees on Sunday will warm well into the 70s Monday and Tuesday, with even readings into the lower 80s a few areas by mid week in advance of our next mid level system. This will be a windy period as well as a strong southerly pressure gradient and mixing of strong 925mb-850mb winds combine for gusty south-southwest winds. The warm and windy conditions will combine with continued worsening drought conditions across some of the area and very dry grasses and small vegetation for an elevated wildfire risk just about every afternoon.

In addition to the increasing grass fire risk Sunday through next Tuesday, elevated fire weather conditions will likely occur Thursday and Friday of this week as well. We will be monitoring these issues daily and encourage everyone to be careful outdoors with campfires, any burning of trash, wood, or leaves, and of course grilling, cigarette butts, and sparks from welding and vehicle exhaust systems.

05/

AVIATION. /NEW/ /00Z TAFs/

Southeast winds and clear skies will prevail tonight. Gusty south winds are expected tomorrow with steadily increasing wind speeds through the afternoon. An area of mid level clouds AOA 15 kft will move in from the west in the mid-late morning, but should not pose a significant operational impact.

Looking ahead . MVFR ceilings are possible in the early morning hours Friday, followed by a westerly, then northwesterly wind shift during the day Friday as a surface low/cold front move through the region.

Bonnette

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS. Dallas-Ft. Worth 47 73 52 66 46 / 0 0 5 10 0 Waco 44 72 51 72 46 / 0 0 5 5 0 Paris 40 69 49 56 42 / 0 0 40 40 0 Denton 44 73 50 63 43 / 0 0 10 10 0 McKinney 42 72 50 63 44 / 0 0 10 20 0 Dallas 47 74 53 67 48 / 0 0 10 10 0 Terrell 41 71 50 62 45 / 0 0 10 20 0 Corsicana 44 71 51 67 47 / 0 0 10 10 0 Temple 43 73 51 71 47 / 0 0 5 5 0 Mineral Wells 45 75 50 64 43 / 0 0 5 5 0

FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. None.


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Dallas / Addison Airport, TX10 mi80 minSSE 813.00 miClear68°F32°F26%1018.6 hPa
Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport, TX12 mi74 minSSW 910.00 miA Few Clouds68°F33°F27%1017.6 hPa
Denton Enterprise Airport, TX14 mi74 minSSE 1210.00 miFair70°F35°F28%1017.8 hPa
Dallas Love Field, TX16 mi74 minSE 810.00 miA Few Clouds69°F35°F29%1018.1 hPa
Fort Worth, Fort Worth Alliance Airport, TX20 mi74 minS 810.00 miFair70°F34°F27%1017.3 hPa
McKinney - McKinney National Airport, TX21 mi74 minSE 1010.00 miFair66°F32°F28%1019.3 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KADS

Wind History from ADS (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmSE5SE5SE5SE4SE7SE7S4SE4SE5--S5S7S5S7S7S9
G13
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1 day agoE5CalmE4CalmCalmE4CalmE3CalmE3--NE3CalmCalmCalmSW3SW4CalmCalmW6N7SW3CalmCalm
2 days ago--N11
G17
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E6NE8N10NE9NE7
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G12
N10E5

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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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