Sunrise 6:22 AM   Sunset 8:03 PM Moonrise 3:16 AM   Moonset 3:22 PM

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AMZ256 Coastal Waters From Murrells Inlet To South Santee River Sc Out 20 Nm- 251 Pm Edt Sat May 4 2024
Through 7 pm - SE winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Wave detail: se 2 ft at 6 seconds and E 1 ft at 10 seconds. Tonight - SE winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: se 2 ft at 6 seconds and E 1 ft at 10 seconds. A slight chance of showers after midnight. A chance of showers late. Sun - S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: se 3 ft at 5 seconds and E 1 ft at 9 seconds. A chance of showers with a slight chance of tstms. Sun night - S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Wave detail: se 3 ft at 6 seconds and E 1 ft at 10 seconds. A chance of showers with a slight chance of tstms. Mon - S winds 10 to 15 kt. Gusts up to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: se 3 ft at 7 seconds. A chance of showers. A slight chance of tstms in the morning, then a chance of tstms in the afternoon. Mon night - SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Gusts up to 20 kt in the evening. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: se 3 ft at 7 seconds. A chance of showers and tstms. Tue - SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Gusts up to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: se 3 ft at 7 seconds. A chance of showers. Tue night - SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Wed - SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Wed night - SW winds 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Thu - SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Thu night - SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. A chance of showers and tstms in the evening.
winds and seas higher in and near tstms.

AMZ200 251 Pm Edt Sat May 4 2024
Synopsis for coastal waters from surf city north carolina to south santee river south carolina out to 20 nautical miles - Benign marine wind and sea conditions will continue through this weekend. Scattered showers and Thunderstorms will occur this weekend due to several upper level disturbances, diurnal heating, and the daily sea breeze. Dry high pressure will build overhead by Wednesday with well above normal temperatures likely during the middle and late portions of next week.

FXUS62 KILM 041853 AFDILM

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wilmington NC 253 PM EDT Sat May 4 2024

SYNOPSIS
Scattered showers and thunderstorms will occur this weekend due to several upper level disturbances, diurnal heating, and the daily sea breeze. Dry high pressure will build overhead by Wednesday with well above normal temperatures likely during the middle and late portions of next week. Rain chances increase towards the end of next week due to an approaching frontal system.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/
Scattered showers continue west of US 701, with a few embedded thunderstorms across the Pee Dee region. This activity will briefly diminish as we head into evening hours. The mid level convergence and accompanying moisture axis currently inland (aiding ongoing showers) will shift eastward towards the coast overnight as ridging off to the east begins to move southward.
This will lead to widespread PWATs over 1.6" across the FA for Sunday. Will see showers move onshore across northeast SC overnight, spreading northward into Cape Fear region by morning.
Well above normal low temps tonight in the mid 60s due to clouds and showers. Despite increased cloud coverage tomorrow morning with ample low level moisture, there should be enough sunshine tomorrow afternoon to lead to another day of diurnal convection, including coastal counties this time along sea breeze. High temps around 80F Sunday.

SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/
Unsettled weather continues through the short term period.
Moisture advection picks up Mon ahead of the next shortwave. The higher PWATs paired with the more saturated soils due to continued rain could support the threat of some localized heavier downpours. The shortwave will move offshore by Tues morning with ridging building in behind it. Lingering instability and moisture support continued scattered showers and storms through the day Tuesday. Highs in the low to mid 80s with lows in the mid 60s.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/
Quiet but hot weather through midweek as the ridge amplifies aloft with drier mid level air and subsidence. Highs will increase into the 90s with decent humidity. Still no heat advisory concerns with the current forecast. Current forecast is 2 deg off the record high for Wilmington NC Wed, but high clouds might make it hard to get any warmer. High clouds look to also be overhead Thurs aftn, so didn't go as high as the NBM with highs. An approaching cold front increases rain chances towards the weekend, the frontal passage currently expected sometime Saturday.

AVIATION /18Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
Predominantly VFR through this evening/early overnight, outside of MVFR cigs around Georgetown county. Scattered showers will continue across western parts of the forecast area, with thunderstorm activity expected to increase across Pee Dee region through 21z or so. Inland precipitation will dissipate this evening, with showers moving onshore across coastal northeast SC around 6z. These showers continue through morning, spreading northward. With abundant low level moisture, looking at MVFR stratus to develop during predawn hours, first inland and then the coast, and possibly lingering into Sunday afternoon. Shower activity picks up again midday Sunday with chance for thunder.

Extended Outlook...Scattered convection will bring periodic visibility and ceiling restrictions Sun into Mon. Otherwise, looking at VFR dominating outside the pcpn and becoming the mainstay Tue into Wed.

MARINE
Through Sunday...Onshore flow strengthens a bit tonight into Sunday as offshore high pressure shifts southward, with SSE winds around 10- 15 kts and some sea breeze enhancement closer to the coast Sunday afternoon. Scattered showers, with isolated thunderstorms, will move in from the south across coastal waters after midnight and continue through early Sunday before diminishing. 2 ft seas this evening increase to 3 feet by morning as SE wind wave builds, with weak E swell persisting.

Sunday Night through Thursday...SW flow 10-15 kts expected through the period, with mild enhancement in the winds during the afternoons due to the sea breeze. Seas 2-3 ft increasing to 3-5 ft through Wed into Thurs due to an increasing southerly wind wave (3-5 ft at 5- 6 seconds) and a weaker long period swell from the ENE.

ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...None.
SC...None.
MARINE...None.

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Mt. Pleasant Plantation
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Sat -- 04:16 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 05:12 AM EDT     0.30 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 06:26 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 10:57 AM EDT     2.06 feet High Tide
Sat -- 04:22 PM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 05:40 PM EDT     -0.21 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 08:03 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 11:29 PM EDT     2.20 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Mt. Pleasant Plantation, Black River, South Carolina, Tide feet

Black River (south of Dunbar)
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Sat -- 03:17 AM EDT     0.26 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 04:15 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 06:25 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 08:48 AM EDT     2.61 feet High Tide
Sat -- 03:45 PM EDT     -0.18 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 04:21 PM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 08:03 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 09:20 PM EDT     2.80 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Black River (south of Dunbar), South Carolina, Tide feet

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