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Marine Weather and Tides Little River, SC Version 3.4

NOTICE 12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed. 10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones. 9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them. 7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

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Sunrise 7:15AM

Sunset 5:39PM

Friday January 24, 2020 1:05 PM EST (18:05 UTC)

Moonrise 7:13AM

Moonset 5:29PM

Illumination 0%

NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Little River, SC

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Area Discussion for - Wilmington, NC

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FXUS62 KILM 241730 AFDILM

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wilmington NC 1230 PM EST Fri Jan 24 2020

SYNOPSIS. A low-pressure system will lift northeast across the Carolinas tonight. This may bring a line of strong thunderstorms across the area in the pre-dawn hours of Saturday. A cold front will cross the coast Saturday, bringing a drying trend and slightly cooler weather into the area Saturday night through much of the upcoming week. A few brief showers are expected with a weak disturbance migrating to the east on Monday.

UPDATE. Low rainfall amounts, if any, through much of the day is the current expectation, and many local rain-buckets may only see a 'T' today, but better chances ramp up tonight. Overall, no significant changes, but near-term adjustments to POP values will be an ongoing process, as small scale features dictate the timing of waves, of mainly light rain showers.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/. In the upper levels, a cut-off low nearing the western Ozarks will shift to western New York near sunrise Sunday morning. At the surface, cold-air damming is occurring as high-pressure ridges to the west of the area and a coastal front lurks just offshore. A low pressure area east of New Orleans will move toward central North Carolina on Friday night. The evolution will be the coastal front will shift onshore, lifting north as a warm front after 18Z today, before the cold front shifts offshore on Saturday. This is leading to temps in the 40s this morning but expect the warm sector this afternoon to allow temps to rise well into the 60s for some areas, with the exception far inland areas and immediate coast where onshore flow off low 50 SSTs will moderate things a bit.

Isolated showers are moving onshore with another area of showers moving through the Pee Dee region this morning. There will be breaks in the precip into the afternoon before the chance of precip increases overnight ahead of the cold front and will shift off the coast before sunrise Saturday morning.

SPC has placed the area in a marginal risk of Severe Thunderstorms and an isolated tornado is possible. CAPE values of 500-1000 J/kg, unidirectional shear, surface convergence, and steeping mid-level lapse rates will bring a marginal chance of damaging winds and a possible isolated tornado. The timing of the thunderstorms will be from late evening west of I-95 and 3 to 4 AM along the coast as the front shift off the coast.

High pressure and dry air will move into mid Saturday into Saturday Night.

SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/. After the front shifts off the coast, drier high pressure will move into the area. High temperatures will range from the mid 50s in the northern two-thirds of the forecast area and upper 50s to the south. Lows Sunday night will fall into the upper 30s inland to the lower 40s at the coast.

LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/. In the mid and upper levels, a shortwave will quickly move from western Canada on Sunday across the region by late Monday. The GFS shows the system as one shortwave while the ECMWF shows two shortwaves. The Precipitable water in the GFS remain below 0.75 of an inch and with the variations of the models and ensembles, the forecast confidence is low. The GFS shows another shortwave that is weakening as it approaches later in the week. The ECMWF solution is not a good match to the GFS so confidence is low on possible showers Wednesday into Thursday.

The temperatures in the extended period will be near the climatological values.

AVIATION /17Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/. Mainly VFR through at least 2z with BKN060-090 leading up to this evening. Mainly light showers with good VSBY, until 3z, as a line of showers and isolated TSTMs begins to reach east of I-95 impacting KFLO first, reaching coastal NE SC by 6z, and affecting KMYR and KCRE. KILM to be impacted around 8z/3am as the dynamic convective line sweeps through, then offshore of the coasts and terminals aft 9z. Aft 3 z MVFR cigs and VSBY likely but brief, in proximity to the frontal convection. Aft 12z winds become W 6-11 kt, with clearing trends of low clouds leading to 18z, drying trends and full VFR anticipated.

Extended Outlook . VFR should rule most of the weekend after a cold front passes offshore and high pressure rebuilds. Some restrictions are possible on Monday as a weak frontal system impacts area with scattered rain showers.

MARINE. A coastal front over the waters will move onshore, followed by a cold front sweeping off the coast late night Friday. All of the waters will see seas increasing further into Small Craft Advisory criteria and then drop below advisory level midday Saturday as the front moves farther offshore south of Little River inlet. The conditions north of Little River will fall below advisory level late afternoon Saturday. As high pressure builds over the water into Tuesday, winds of 15 knots or less and seas 2 to 3 feet Sunday into Tuesday are expected.

ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. SC . None. NC . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 11 AM EST Saturday for AMZ254-256. Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM EST Saturday for AMZ250-252.



SYNOPSIS . 8 UPDATE . MJC NEAR TERM . RH SHORT TERM . RH LONG TERM . RH AVIATION . Colby MARINE . RH

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Weather Reporting Stations

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Stations	Dist	Age	Wind	Air Temp	Water Temp	Waves	Pressure	DewPt
41119	8 mi	75 min			52°F	3 ft
SSBN7	8 mi	43 min				2 ft
41024 - Sunset Nearshore (SUN 2)	9 mi	57 min	E 9.7 G 14	54°F	52°F		1020.1 hPa
MROS1 - 8661070 - Springmaid Pier, SC	20 mi	65 min		54°F
41108	34 mi	65 min			53°F	3 ft
WLON7	44 mi	65 min		60°F	50°F		1020 hPa (-1.9)
NIWS1 - North Inlet-Winyah Bay Reserve, SC	46 mi	80 min	ENE 8	56°F			1018 hPa	54°F

Wind History for Springmaid Pier, SC

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Last 24hr

1 day ago

2 days ago

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Airport Reports

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Airport	Dist	Age	Wind kt	Visibility	Sky/Weather	Temp	DewPt	Humidity	Pressure
North Myrtle Beach Grand Strand Airport, SC	5 mi	72 min	E 10	10.00 mi	Overcast	62°F	55°F	78%	1019.6 hPa
Myrtle Beach International Airport, SC	19 mi	69 min	E 7	10.00 mi	Overcast	57°F	53°F	87%	1019.4 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KCRE

Wind History from CRE (wind in knots)

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N12 G19

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Tide / Current Tables for Nixon Crossroads, ICWW, South Carolina

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Tide / Current Tables for Tubbs Inlet, North Carolina

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Weather Map

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GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East

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Wind Forecast for Wilmington, NC (13,3,4,5)

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Ground Weather Radar Station Wilmington, NC

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